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As of September 26, 2026, Oracle Corporation (ORCL) trades at $137.10. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $137.10, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $240.00 across 43 analysts. RSI at 29 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $142.25.
Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
Oracle Corporation NYSE
$137.10
-2.440 (-1.75%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is currently trading at $137.10, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($142.25 and $164.54), signaling a bearish technical trend. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.48, indicating oversold conditions. Despite these near-term challenges, Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $240.00, implying a substantial 75.1% upside potential. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 34.00% increase year-over-year, driven by strong performance in its cloud infrastructure and software segments. However, significant insider selling, with over $2.1 billion in dispositions versus $112.3 thousand in purchases, presents a notable risk to investor sentiment. Oracle's fundamental picture shows a company with strong profitability, including a net profit margin of 26.36% and an operating margin of 35.63%. Its return on equity stands at a healthy 41.19%. While the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.52 is higher than the sector median of 2.52, its price-to-sales ratio of 5.78 is below the sector average of 7.5, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to its peers. The company's forward-looking growth estimates are also strong, with analysts projecting a compound annual growth rate of 14.2% over the next five years. The primary risk remains the heavy insider selling, which could weigh on the stock price in the short to medium term, alongside potential competitive pressures in the cloud computing market from giants like Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN).
ORCL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$138.57
Day Range
$136.92 to $140.88
Prev Close
$139.54
Volume
23.55M
52-Week Range
$114.50 to $329.50
Market Cap
$414.55B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-37%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
ORCL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ORCL beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
ORCL Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is exhibiting bearish momentum, with trading volume at 23.55 million, 29% below its average volume of 33.17 million. The stock is trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $142.25 and its 200-day SMA of $164.54, indicating a downtrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.48, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downtrend, but the price is approaching levels not seen since early 2026. Resistance is expected at the 50-day SMA ($142.25) and subsequently the 200-day SMA ($164.54). The MACD indicator is negative at -1.23, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Investors should monitor volume closely for any signs of accumulation that could signal a reversal, but the current technical setup points to continued weakness in the near term.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the recent heavy selling pressure of over $2.1 billion warrants caution despite positive analyst ratings.
- Given the oversold RSI of 29.48, look for signs of technical consolidation or a confirmed reversal pattern before considering new positions.
- Consider the competition; while Oracle is growing rapidly, intense competition from Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) in cloud services could impact market share and pricing power.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $2.1 billion worth of Oracle (ORCL) stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $112.3 thousand, indicating a strong bearish signal from management.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
Oracle (ORCL) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($142.25) and 200-day SMA ($164.54), suggesting a bearish trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Analyst Consensus and Price Target
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating on Oracle (ORCL) with a median price target of $240.00, representing a 75.1% upside from the current price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Oracle (ORCL) is projected to achieve strong revenue growth, with current year estimates showing a 34.00% year-over-year increase, driven by its cloud and software segments.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesNeutral
Oversold RSI Conditions
The RSI for Oracle (ORCL) is at 29.48, indicating oversold conditions that could precede a short-term technical bounce, though this does not negate the underlying bearish trend.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is positioned for potential upside driven by strong long-term growth estimates and a favorable valuation relative to its peers, with analysts projecting a median price target of $240.00. The company's strong revenue growth, projected to reach 34.00% year-over-year for the current year, coupled with strong profitability margins, provides a solid foundation for future performance. The cloud infrastructure and software segments are expected to continue their expansion, supported by ongoing innovation and strategic partnerships. However, the near-term outlook is clouded by significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators, which could suppress the stock price. A catalyst for upside could be a clear shift in insider sentiment or a sustained break above key moving averages. Conversely, intensified competition from major cloud providers or a failure to maintain its aggressive growth trajectory could lead to downside. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any changes in insider transaction patterns closely.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 414.55B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.49 |
| EPS (TTM) | 6.38 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.46% |
| 52 Week High | 329.50 |
| 52 Week Low | 114.50 |
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with strong growth and profitability metrics contrasting with significant insider selling. The company's current price-to-sales ratio of 5.78 is below the sector median of 7.5, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its revenue generation compared to peers like Microsoft (MSFT) and Salesforce (CRM). Its return on equity is an impressive 41.19%, significantly outperforming the sector average of 13.4%. Profitability remains a strong point, with a net profit margin of 26.36% and an operating margin of 35.63%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.52, which is at the higher end of the sector average. an insider's revenue growth of 29.6% is strong and exceeds the sector average of 24.1%, the substantial insider selling, totaling over $2.1 billion, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence in the stock's valuation, despite the positive analyst consensus and forward-looking growth estimates.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) has a history of beating analyst estimates, most recently reporting an EPS of $1.92 for the quarter ending September 2026, which surpassed the estimate of $1.74 by 10.34%. This followed a beat in the quarter ending March 2026, where actual EPS of $1.79 exceeded estimates by 5.92%. However, the stock experienced a price decline of 1.74% after the September 2026 earnings release and an 8.53% drop after the June 2026 report, indicating that positive earnings surprises are not currently translating into sustained stock price appreciation. Revenue growth remains strong, with current quarter estimates projecting a 32.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is the heavy insider selling, with over $2.1 billion in dispositions, which signals a potential lack of confidence from management regarding the current stock valuation. Additionally, the stock is trading below key technical levels, including its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish momentum that could lead to further price declines. Competitive pressures in the cloud infrastructure and software markets from major players like Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) also pose a persistent threat to market share and growth.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 29.48 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.23 |
| SMA 50 | 142.25 |
| SMA 200 | 164.54 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $142.25, 200-day: $164.54), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 29.5 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.49
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ORCL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
ORCL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$135.73
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$137.10
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$129.20
MAX LOSS
-4.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (29.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$139.80
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$142.52
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$146.59
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ORCL is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ORCL in September 2016 would be worth about $35,127 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ORCL today could grow to about $26,410 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $111,695 and a bear case around $6,244. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ORCL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $202 for ORCL by 2030 in the base case, from $137 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $81.22. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ORCL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $95.76 | $151 | $238 |
| 2028 | $87.36 | $166 | $317 |
| 2029 | $83.28 | $183 | $404 |
| 2030 | $81.22 | $202 | $503 |
| 2031 | $80.37 | $223 | $618 |
| 2032 | $80.35 | $246 | $750 |
| 2033 | $80.96 | $271 | $904 |
| 2034 | $82.09 | $298 | $1,083 |
| 2035 | $83.65 | $329 | $1,291 |
| 2036 | $85.61 | $362 | $1,531 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ORCL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ORCL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$112.3K
1 Transactions
Sold
$2.1B
29 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$68.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2025 | CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.7M | $794.6M |
| Jun 23, 2025 | CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.7M | $764.0M |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.8M | $705.5M |
| Jun 22, 2023 | ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 5.3M | $640.4M |
| Mar 27, 2024 | CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.8M | $346.8M |
| May 10, 2021 | ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 4.2M | $335.0M |
| Mar 18, 2021 | CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 5.0M | $333.8M |
| Jul 16, 2024 | ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 2.3M | $322.0M |
| Apr 11, 2023 | CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.1M | $288.9M |
| Jun 27, 2025 | CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.3M | $267.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Oracle stock a buy right now?
Oracle (ORCL) is currently rated as a 'Hold' by our AI, with a consensus score of 59. Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $240.00, suggesting significant upside. However, heavy insider selling and bearish technicals present near-term risks.
What is Oracle's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Oracle's (ORCL) stock price is projected to be $202.18 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $81.22, while the upside projection reaches $503.31. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What are Oracle's biggest risks?
The primary risks for Oracle (ORCL) include substantial insider selling exceeding $2.1 billion, bearish technical indicators with the stock below key moving averages, and intense competition from cloud giants like Microsoft and Amazon.
How is Oracle performing in terms of earnings?
Oracle (ORCL) has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 10.34% for the September 2026 quarter. However, the stock has seen price declines following recent earnings reports, suggesting that positive surprises are not currently driving price appreciation.
What is Oracle's valuation compared to its sector?
Oracle (ORCL) trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 5.78, which is below the sector median of 7.5, indicating a potential valuation discount. Its return on equity of 41.19% significantly outperforms the sector average of 13.4%.
What is the outlook for Oracle's revenue growth?
Oracle (ORCL) is expected to see strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates projecting a 32.00% year-over-year increase. Analysts forecast continued strong growth, with next year's revenue estimated to increase by 45.00%.
How does Oracle's AI consensus compare to Wall Street's?
Oracle's (ORCL) AI consensus score is 59, aligning with Wall Street's 'Buy' rating and a score of 74, resulting in an 'Aligned' agreement. Both perspectives recognize strong growth potential, though the AI score reflects caution due to insider selling and technicals.