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As of September 11, 2026, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) trades at $131.64. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $131.64, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $140.00 across 38 analysts. RSI at 52 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $132.36.
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP)
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. NASDAQ
$131.64
1.130 (0.87%)
At close: Sep 11, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) is currently trading at $131.64, aligning with its fair value and below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($132.36 and $149.79), indicating a neutral technical posture. The company's recent earnings have shown slight beats, but revenue growth has been marginal, with current quarter estimates showing a slight year-over-year decline. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus, reflecting a balanced view with a median price target of $140, suggesting limited upside from current levels. The primary risk stems from the moderate insider selling observed, totaling $12.2 million, which tempers bullish conviction.
CHKP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$129.21
Day Range
$128.49 to $132.85
Prev Close
$130.51
Volume
1.39M
52-Week Range
$112.23 to $210.66
Market Cap
$13.44B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-59%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
CHKP Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, CHKP beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
CHKP Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+6.35% Upside
Median of 38 analysts (12-month)
$140.00
AI Technical Analysis
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($132.36 and $149.79), signaling a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The RSI is at 51.69, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD shows a slight positive divergence. Volume has been notably higher than average recently, suggesting increased investor interest around the current price levels. Key support is near the current price, with resistance found at the 50-day SMA.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling trend as a signal of caution regarding near-term price appreciation.
- The stock's current position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($132.36 and $149.79) suggests a risk-off technical environment.
- Given the 'Hold' consensus and limited analyst upside, consider waiting for clearer technical or fundamental catalysts before initiating a position.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $12.2 million worth of shares across 20 transactions, indicating a net seller position which may weigh on stock performance.
Source: Insider Trading DataNeutral
Subdued Revenue Growth Outlook
Current quarter revenue estimates project a -1.00% year-over-year change, suggesting challenges in top-line expansion that could impact future earnings.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesNeutral
Mixed Analyst Sentiment
The 'Hold' consensus from 38 analysts, with a significant number maintaining neutral ratings, reflects a balanced view on the stock's prospects.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Below Sector Median P/E Ratio
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s P/E ratio of 13.85 is substantially lower than the Technology sector median of 34.0, potentially offering a valuation floor.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. over the next 6-12 months suggests a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, with the stock trading near its fair value and below key technical indicators. The median analyst price target of $140 implies limited upside from the current $131.64. Revenue growth is expected to remain subdued, with current quarter estimates showing a slight decline, which could pressure future earnings. Upside potential would likely require a significant acceleration in revenue or a shift in analyst sentiment, while downside risks include continued insider selling and potential competitive pressures in the cybersecurity market.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 13.44B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.85 |
| EPS (TTM) | 9.42 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 210.66 |
| 52 Week Low | 112.23 |
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. exhibits a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 13.85, which is significantly below the Technology sector median of 34.0, suggesting a potential valuation discount. However, the company's revenue growth has been modest, with current quarter estimates projecting a -1.00% year-over-year change, contrasting with the sector median of 24.1%. While the Return on Equity (ROE) of 13.4% is slightly below the sector median, the company's profitability appears stable, though growth is a concern. The current valuation may reflect these slower growth prospects.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. has demonstrated a pattern of slight earnings beats in its recent quarterly reports, with the latest quarter (July 2026) showing an EPS of $2.84 against an estimate of $2.80, a 1.43% surprise. This follows a similar trend in prior quarters, though the magnitude of surprises has varied. Revenue growth remains a point of caution, with current quarter estimates indicating a slight contraction.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. lies in its decelerating revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a year-over-year decline. Additionally, moderate insider selling totaling $12.2 million across 20 transactions signals a lack of strong conviction from management. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, indicating potential for further downside if broader market sentiment shifts or competitive pressures intensify.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 51.69 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.75 |
| SMA 50 | 132.36 |
| SMA 200 | 149.79 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $132.36, 200-day: $149.79), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
CHKP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$130.32
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$131.64
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$123.68
MAX LOSS
-5.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (51.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$134.23
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$136.84
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$140.75
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for CHKP is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CHKP in September 2016 would be worth about $16,849 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CHKP today could grow to about $18,267 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $54,480 and a bear case around $6,125. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CHKP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $168 for CHKP by 2030 in the base case, from $132 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $83.93. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CHKP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $98.97 | $140 | $198 |
| 2028 | $91.09 | $148 | $242 |
| 2029 | $86.69 | $158 | $287 |
| 2030 | $83.93 | $168 | $334 |
| 2031 | $82.16 | $178 | $385 |
| 2032 | $81.06 | $189 | $441 |
| 2033 | $80.45 | $201 | $501 |
| 2034 | $80.21 | $213 | $566 |
| 2035 | $80.29 | $226 | $638 |
| 2036 | $80.63 | $240 | $717 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CHKP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CHKP Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$12.2M
6 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | CHELOUCHE YOAV
Director
|
Sell | 25.0K | $3.5M |
| Jun 11, 2026 | SHAVIT TAL SHENHAV
Director
|
Sell | 25.0K | $3.1M |
| Jun 11, 2026 | UNGERMAN JERRY T
Director
|
Sell | 25.0K | $3.1M |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SEDDIK SHERIF
Officer
|
Sell | 10.3K | $1.3M |
| Aug 3, 2026 | GOLAN ROEI
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 9.9K | $1.2M |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KREMER NATALY
Officer
|
Sell | 665 | $82.2K |
| Sep 2, 2026 | CHELOUCHE YOAV
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Sep 2, 2026 | GRUBER DAFNA EYAL
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Sep 2, 2026 | OZER-ARMON TZIPI
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Sep 2, 2026 | SHAVIT TAL SHENHAV
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s stock price is projected to be $167.52 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $83.93, while the upside projection reaches $334.35. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. stock a buy right now?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $140, suggesting limited upside from its current price of $131.64. While its P/E ratio is below the sector average, concerns regarding revenue growth and insider selling temper the bullish case.
What are the main risks facing Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.?
Key risks include decelerating revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a year-over-year decline, and moderate insider selling totaling $12.2 million. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($132.36 and $149.79), indicating potential for further price weakness.
How does Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. compare to its sector averages?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. trades at a P/E ratio of 13.85, significantly lower than the Technology sector median of 34.0. However, its revenue growth of 1.3% lags the sector median of 24.1%, and its ROE of 13.4% is slightly below the sector's 13.4% median.
What is the recent earnings performance of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.?
The company has shown a trend of slight earnings beats in recent quarters, with the latest report in July 2026 exceeding estimates by 1.43%. However, revenue growth has been modest, and current quarter estimates indicate a slight year-over-year contraction.
What is the technical outlook for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. stock?
The stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish short-to-medium term trend. While RSI indicates neutral momentum, the MACD shows a slight positive divergence, and recent volume has been above average.
What is the consensus rating for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. among Wall Street analysts?
The consensus rating for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 'Hold', with 38 analysts covering the stock. This includes 1 Strong Buy, 13 Buy, and 24 Hold ratings, contributing to a Wall Street score of 60 out of 100.