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As of September 27, 2026, Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) trades at $78.69. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $108.00, 37.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $108.00 across 26 analysts. RSI at 61 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $76.13.
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP)
Microchip Technology Inc. NASDAQ
$78.69
4.000 (5.36%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
71 / 100
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is currently trading at $78.69, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.13 and $78.61), indicating positive price action. The company is a leader in the semiconductor industry, a sector with a median P/E of 34 and revenue growth of 24.1%. Analysts maintain a consensus 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $108, suggesting a 37.2% upside from current levels. Despite the positive technical and analyst outlook, significant insider selling, totaling $72.4 million with no reported purchases, presents a considerable risk. This heavy selling pressure, as indicated by the heavy insider selling, suggests potential headwinds or a lack of insider confidence in near-term price appreciation, which investors should closely monitor alongside the company's strong revenue growth projections.
MCHP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$75.20
Day Range
$74.93 to $78.96
Prev Close
$74.69
Volume
9.75M
52-Week Range
$48.52 to $105.91
Market Cap
$42.73B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+240%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
MCHP Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
MCHP Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+37.25% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$108.00
AI Technical Analysis
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.13 and $78.61), signaling an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 60.66 is in the 'BULLISH' territory, indicating strong momentum, and the MACD is currently at -0.23. The nearest support level is around the 50-day SMA at $76.13, with resistance potentially near the current price or slightly higher. Volume has been slightly above average recently, suggesting sustained interest. The overall chart structure indicates a bullish bias, but the proximity to the 200-day SMA at $78.61 could act as a psychological resistance point.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling closely; a continuation of the heavy selling trend could signal underlying concerns despite positive analyst ratings.
- Given the elevated P/E ratio, investors should pay close attention to Microchip Technology Inc.'s (MCHP) ability to meet or exceed forward-looking revenue and EPS estimates to justify its current valuation.
- The stock is trading near its 200-day SMA ($78.61); a sustained break above this level could signal further upside, while a failure to hold above it might indicate renewed selling pressure.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Buy Consensus and Price Targets
26 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $108, suggesting a 37.2% upside potential from the current price of $78.69.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Projected Strong Revenue Growth
Analysts forecast significant revenue growth, with an estimated 41% increase for the current quarter and 36% for the current year, indicating strong demand for Microchip Technology Inc.'s products.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold $72.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling, which may indicate a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider SummaryNeutral
Trading Above Key Moving Averages
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.13 and $78.61), indicating a generally positive technical trend.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) anticipates continued upward price movement, driven by strong revenue growth projections and analyst optimism, with a median target price of $108 representing a 37.2% upside. The company's position above key moving averages and bullish RSI further support this outlook. However, the significant insider selling presents a considerable risk that could temper upside potential. Should these selling pressures continue or intensify, or if the company's premium valuation fails to be supported by sustained earnings growth, the stock could face downward pressure. Conversely, exceeding revenue and EPS estimates could validate the current valuation and potentially drive the stock towards the higher end of analyst targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 42.73B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 115.72 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.6800 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
| 52 Week High | 105.91 |
| 52 Week Low | 48.52 |
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) trades at a P/E ratio of 115.72, significantly higher than the sector median of 34, and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.34, also above the sector median of 7.5. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 7.19%, below the sector median of 13.4%, and its Net Profit Margin is 9.34%, which is lower than the sector median. Despite the elevated valuation multiples, analysts project substantial revenue growth of 36% for the current year and 16% for the next, with a 5-year average growth estimate of 9%. The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.84 is in line with the sector average. The current valuation appears stretched relative to its profitability and sector averages, but future growth prospects are a key factor supporting the stock.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is expected to report strong earnings growth, with current year EPS estimates at $3.65 and next year's at $4.58, representing significant year-over-year increases. Revenue growth is also projected to be strong, with an estimated 41% increase for the current quarter and 36% for the current year. The company's past 5-year average annual growth was -5.2%, but forward-looking estimates suggest a strong turnaround.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) stems from significant insider selling, with over $72 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, indicating potential concerns among management. Additionally, the stock's valuation appears stretched, with a P/E ratio of 115.72 significantly exceeding the sector median, and its ROE is below the industry average. Competitive pressures within the semiconductor industry also pose an ongoing challenge.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 60.66 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.23 |
| SMA 50 | 76.13 |
| SMA 200 | 78.61 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $76.13, 200-day: $78.61), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.66
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.67
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MCHP? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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MCHP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$77.12
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$78.69
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$70.89
MAX LOSS
-8.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (60.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$80.97
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$84.83
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$88.68
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MCHP is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MCHP in September 2016 would be worth about $25,665 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MCHP today could grow to about $22,733 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $128,418 and a bear case around $4,024. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MCHP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $109 for MCHP by 2030 in the base case, from $78.69 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $36.56. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MCHP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $49.41 | $85.43 | $148 |
| 2028 | $42.75 | $92.74 | $201 |
| 2029 | $39.00 | $101 | $260 |
| 2030 | $36.56 | $109 | $327 |
| 2031 | $34.88 | $119 | $404 |
| 2032 | $33.69 | $129 | $492 |
| 2033 | $32.84 | $140 | $595 |
| 2034 | $32.26 | $152 | $714 |
| 2035 | $31.88 | $165 | $852 |
| 2036 | $31.67 | $179 | $1,011 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MCHP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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MCHP Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$72.4M
23 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | SANGHI STEVE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 416.6K | $36.9M |
| May 1, 2026 | SANGHI STEVE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 110.0K | $10.3M |
| Jan 28, 2026 | SANGHI STEVE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 98.8K | $8.0M |
| Dec 1, 2021 | SANGHI STEVE
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 94.3K | $7.9M |
| Feb 12, 2026 | SANGHI STEVE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 94.9K | $7.8M |
| Dec 9, 2021 | SANGHI STEVE
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 45.1K | $3.9M |
| Dec 22, 2021 | SANGHI STEVE
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 45.3K | $3.8M |
| Dec 16, 2021 | SANGHI STEVE
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 41.5K | $3.6M |
| Mar 7, 2024 | SANGHI STEVE
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 36.4K | $3.4M |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SANGHI STEVE
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 18.5K | $1.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Microchip Technology Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) has a projected base case price of $109.29 for 2030, with a downside projection of $36.56 and an upside projection of $326.72. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is Microchip Technology Inc. stock a buy right now?
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $108 suggesting a 37.2% upside. The stock is trading above its key moving averages with bullish momentum, but significant insider selling warrants careful consideration.
What are the key technical levels for MCHP stock?
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is trading above its 50-day SMA ($76.13) and 200-day SMA ($78.61). The RSI is at 60.66, indicating bullish momentum. Key support is near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge near the current price or slightly higher.
What is the consensus rating for Microchip Technology Inc.?
The consensus rating for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is 'Buy', with a consensus score of 71 out of 100. This is based on 26 Wall Street analysts covering the stock.
How does Microchip Technology Inc.'s valuation compare to its peers?
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) has a P/E ratio of 115.72 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.34, which are significantly higher than the sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. Its ROE of 7.19% is also below the sector median of 13.4%.
Are there any significant insider transactions for MCHP stock?
Yes, there has been significant insider selling for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP), with total sales amounting to $72.4 million and no reported purchases. This heavy insider selling suggests a lack of insider confidence in the near term.
What are the revenue growth prospects for Microchip Technology Inc.?
Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) is projected to experience strong revenue growth, with an estimated 41% increase for the current quarter and 36% for the current year. Forward-looking estimates indicate continued growth, with next year's revenue expected to increase by 16%.