CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Ryan Brothwell, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Workday Inc. (WDAY) is currently trading at $188.77, below its 50-day simple moving average of $190.52, indicating near-term technical weakness. Despite this, the stock remains above its 200-day SMA of $156.03, suggesting a longer-term uptrend is still intact. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 12.32% and a return on equity of 16.01%, which are solid within the technology sector. However, significant insider selling, totaling $747.6 million, presents a notable risk, overshadowing the positive growth outlook and analyst price targets. Analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus for WDAY, with a median price target of $215.00, implying an upside of 13.9% from the current price. Forward-looking estimates are positive, with projected revenue growth of 12.00% for the current year and an estimated 19.5% earnings growth next year. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 4.47 is below the sector median of 7.6, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. However, the heavy insider selling and the current technical positioning warrant caution.
WDAY at a glance
Workday Inc (WDAY): Hold, 52/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendMixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($156.03 and $190.52).
InsidersInsiders sold $747.6M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 38.3 against 35.1 for the Technology sector: broadly in line with peers (+9%).
As of October 15, 2026, Workday Inc (WDAY) trades at $188.77. Wall Street's consensus target is $215.00 across 42 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 51, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $190.52.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from WDAY's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (9% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
WDAY Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 2 quarters, WDAY beat the analyst estimate 2 times; the stock rose in the first session after every beat.
WDAY earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Aug 27, 2026
$2.61
$2.75
+5.36%
+5.76%
+6.90%
May 21, 2026
$2.52
$2.66
+5.56%
+5.16%
+19.98%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, WDAY has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its latest report, on August 27, 2026, came in 5.36% above the estimate and the stock moved +5.76% in the first session.
WDAY Analysis
Company's Health3/5
12-Month Analyst Target+13.90% above price
Median of 42 analysts (12-month)
$215.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
Workday Inc. (WDAY) is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average ($190.52), a bearish signal for short-term momentum. However, the price remains above the 200-day simple moving average ($156.03), indicating that the longer-term trend is still positive. The 14-day RSI is at 50.85, reflecting neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. Key support is seen at the 200-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA. Volume on the latest trading day was 2.76 million shares, approximately 32.9% above the average volume, suggesting increased investor interest. The MACD is slightly negative at -0.35, indicating a lack of strong upward momentum. The current technical setup suggests a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook, with the stock needing to reclaim its 50-day SMA to signal a stronger bullish continuation.
ProTips
The stock's proximity to its 50-day SMA suggests that a break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, while a failure to do so may indicate further downside.
Key Catalysts
BullishConsistent Earnings Beats
Workday Inc. has a history of exceeding analyst earnings expectations, most recently beating estimates by 5.36% and driving a 5.76% stock price increase, suggesting strong operational execution.
Source: Earnings Reports
BullishPositive Long-Term Growth Estimates
Analysts project strong revenue and earnings growth for Workday Inc. over the next several years, with estimated earnings growth of 19.5% for next year and a 5-year average annual growth rate estimate of 18.8%.
Source: Analyst Estimates
NeutralTrading Below 50-Day SMA
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average ($190.52), which historically can signal a shift in short-term momentum and potential for further price retracement.
Source: Technical Analysis Data
Market Outlook
Workday Inc. (WDAY) is expected to see continued growth, with analysts projecting revenue growth of 12.00% for the current year and earnings growth of 19.5% for the next year. The significant insider selling and the stock's current position below its 50-day SMA present near-term risks. A sustained move above the 50-day SMA and a reduction in insider selling would be key catalysts for a more bullish outlook. Conversely, a failure to reclaim technical levels and continued selling pressure could lead to a retest of the 200-day SMA at $156.03.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
44.83B
P/E Ratio
38.33
EPS (TTM)
4.91
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
247.40
52 Week Low
110.36
As of October 15, 2026, WDAY trades at $188.77, with a market value of $44.83B and a P/E ratio of 38.33.
Workday Inc. (WDAY) exhibits a price-to-sales ratio of 4.47, which is below the sector median of 7.6, suggesting a potential valuation advantage compared to its peers in the technology sector. The company's profit margin stands at 12.32% and its return on equity is 16.01%, indicating efficient operations and profitability. These fundamental strengths are supported by a projected revenue growth of 12.00% for the current year and an estimated 19.5% earnings growth for next year. The current valuation, while appearing reasonable against sector averages on a P/S basis, needs to be considered alongside the significant insider selling activity, which raises questions about management's short-term confidence.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Workday Inc. (WDAY) has demonstrated consistent earnings beats in its recent reports. The company reported earnings per share of $2.75 for the quarter reported August 27, 2026, surpassing the estimate of $2.61 by 5.36% and leading to a 5.76% stock price increase. This follows a similar pattern from the previous quarter, where actual EPS of $2.66 exceeded estimates by 5.56%, resulting in a 5.16% stock price gain. These consistent positive surprises in earnings suggest strong operational execution and effective cost management.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Workday Inc. (WDAY) is the heavy insider selling, with $747.6 million in dispositions reported. Additionally, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average, indicating near-term technical weakness that could lead to further price declines if not overcome. While the company operates in a growing sector and shows solid fundamental metrics, the substantial insider selling pressure cannot be ignored and presents a considerable headwind to positive sentiment.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
50.85
MACD (12, 26)
-0.352
SMA (50-day)
190.52
SMA (200-day)
156.03
Technical RatingNeutral
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($190.52) above the 200-day SMA ($156.03), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with WDAY at $188.77, its 14-day RSI is 50.9 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $190.52 and its 200-day is $156.03.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.29
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.22
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.12
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)-0.10
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, WDAY's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.22 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.12 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.10 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with WDAY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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WDAY Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $92.00Median $215.00 (+13.9%)High $275.00
Ratings
Buy 20Hold 19Sell 33 months ago: 24 of 42 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on WDAY
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Oct 8, 2026
Jefferies
Maintains
Hold
Oct 5, 2026
Needham
Reiterates
Buy
Aug 31, 2026
Goldman Sachs
Maintains
Neutral
Aug 28, 2026
Freedom Broker
Downgrade
Hold
Aug 28, 2026
Wells Fargo
Maintains
Overweight
Aug 28, 2026
Stifel
Maintains
Hold
As of October 15, 2026, 42 Wall Street analysts cover WDAY: 20 rate it a buy or strong buy, 19 a hold and 3 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $92.00 to $275.00, with a median of $215.00, 13.9% above the price of $188.77.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
WDAY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$186.88
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$188.77
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$179.39
MAX LOSS
-4.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.9) and current market volatility
These levels come from WDAY's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in WDAY in October 2016 would be worth about $21,930 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
WDAY Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-62.1%
February 2024 to May 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 38.6% below the February 2024 peak
From the 10-year high
-38.6%
highest close, February 2024
1-year holds that gained
62%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, WDAY's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -62.1% (February 2024 to May 2026); it is still 38.6% below that peak, and 62% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in WDAY today could grow to about $19,802 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $100,178 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,914. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
WDAY Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $248 for WDAY by 2030 in the base case, from $189 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $88.99. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on WDAY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
WDAY simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$121
$202
$337
2028
$105
$216
$447
2029
$95.35
$232
$563
2030
$88.99
$248
$692
2031
$84.42
$266
$836
Method: a lognormal simulation of WDAY's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 15, 2026, WDAY insiders reported 74 open-market sales worth $747.6M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in WDAY
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Oct 6, 2026
DUFFIELD DAVID A.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
99.2K
$18.6M
Oct 6, 2026
ROWE ZANE C
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
6.0K
$1.1M
Oct 6, 2026
KAZMAIER GERRIT S
Officer
Sell
2.7K
$511.1K
Oct 6, 2026
DUFFIELD DAVID A.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant
99.2K
-
Oct 5, 2026
ENSLIN ROBERT
President
Sell
5.4K
$1.0M
Oct 1, 2026
DUFFIELD DAVID A.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
98.4K
$18.4M
Oct 1, 2026
DUFFIELD DAVID A.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant
98.4K
-
Sep 28, 2026
DUFFIELD DAVID A.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
99.0K
$18.7M
Sep 28, 2026
DUFFIELD DAVID A.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant
99.0K
-
Sep 23, 2026
DUFFIELD DAVID A.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
99.6K
$19.1M
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Workday Inc.'s long-term outlook?
Workday Inc. (WDAY) has a positive long-term outlook, supported by projected revenue growth of 12.00% for the current year and estimated earnings growth of 19.5% for next year. Analysts anticipate continued growth, with a 5-year average annual growth rate estimate of 18.8%.
What are the biggest risks facing Workday Inc.?
The primary risks for Workday Inc. (WDAY) include substantial insider selling totaling $747.6 million, which raises concerns about management's confidence, and its current trading position below the 50-day moving average, indicating potential short-term weakness.
How does Workday Inc. compare to its sector peers?
Workday Inc. (WDAY) shows a price-to-sales ratio of 4.47, which is below the sector median of 7.6, suggesting a valuation discount. Its profit margin of 12.32% and return on equity of 16.01% are solid, though its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58 is slightly above the sector median.
What is Workday Inc.'s earnings performance?
Workday Inc. (WDAY) has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, most recently reporting EPS of $2.75 against an estimate of $2.61 for the quarter reported August 27, 2026, which drove a 5.76% stock price increase.
What is the consensus rating for Workday Inc. stock?
The consensus rating for Workday Inc. (WDAY) is 'Buy', with 42 analysts covering the stock. However, the distribution shows a significant number of 'Hold' ratings (19), alongside 20 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy' ratings and 3 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell' ratings.
Is WDAY in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Workday Inc (WDAY) trades at $188.77, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($156.03 and $190.52). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 50.9, in neutral territory.
Are insiders buying or selling WDAY?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, WDAY's officers, directors and large holders reported 74 sales worth $747.6M and no open-market purchases. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for WDAY?
As of October 15, 2026, the 42 Wall Street analysts covering WDAY have 12-month targets from $92.00 to $275.00, with a median of $215.00, 13.9% above the current price of $188.77. 20 rate it a buy or strong buy, 19 a hold and 3 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 24 of 42 rated it a buy.
What is WDAY's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Workday Inc (WDAY)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -62.1%, from February 2024 to May 2026. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 38.6% below it. Over the same period, 62% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are WDAY's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, August has been WDAY's strongest month on average (+8.68%, rising in 8 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-3.24%, rising in 3 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
