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As of September 9, 2026, Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) trades at $240.58. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $266.00, 10.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $266.00 across 14 analysts. RSI at 59 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $241.99.
Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD)
Steel Dynamics Inc. NASDAQ
$240.58
0.2700 (0.11%)
At close: Sep 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
68 / 100
Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is trading at $240.58, below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, indicating a mixed short-term trend with longer-term support. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a 31.00% year-over-year increase. Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $266, suggesting a 10.6% upside. Insider activity shows a net seller position, with $11.6 million in sales versus no reported purchases, which warrants monitoring as a potential risk factor.
STLD Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$240.09
Day Range
$240.09 to $246.02
Prev Close
$240.31
Volume
619.2K
52-Week Range
$126.88 to $288.74
Market Cap
$34.48B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+45%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
STLD Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, STLD beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
STLD Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+10.57% Upside
Median of 14 analysts (12-month)
$266.00
AI Technical Analysis
Steel Dynamics Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of $241.99 but above its 200-day moving average of $211.17, indicating a neutral momentum with longer-term support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 58.73, suggesting neutral momentum without being overbought or oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -1.94, signaling a slight bearish trend in the short term. Key support is near the 200-day SMA, while resistance is around the 50-day SMA and the current price level.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as $11.6 million in recent sales could indicate management's short-term sentiment.
- Steel Dynamics Inc. is trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting potential near-term headwinds, but remains above its 200-day moving average, indicating underlying strength.
- Consider position sizing carefully given the current valuation premium relative to sector averages and the flat revenue growth projection for next year.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat
Steel Dynamics Inc. exceeded EPS estimates by 0.54% in Q2 2026, leading to a 1.31% stock price increase, reinforcing positive earnings momentum.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
With a consensus rating of Buy and a median analyst price target of $266, Wall Street anticipates a 10.6% upside for Steel Dynamics Inc. stock.
Source: Analyst ReportsBearish
Significant Insider Selling
Insiders have sold a total of $11.6 million in stock, indicating potential concerns or profit-taking by management, which could weigh on future price performance.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Flat Revenue Growth Projection for Next Year
The projected revenue growth for next year stands at 0.00%, which could signal a slowdown in expansion and requires careful monitoring against market expectations.
Source: Analyst EstimatesMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Steel Dynamics Inc. over the next 6-12 months anticipates continued performance driven by strong revenue growth, with a median analyst target price of $266 suggesting a potential upside. Factors that could alter this thesis include the company's ability to sustain its impressive revenue growth beyond the current year, as next year's projection is currently flat. Additionally, managing its valuation relative to sector averages and addressing insider selling trends will be critical for maintaining investor confidence and achieving further price appreciation.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 34.48B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.80 |
| EPS (TTM) | 11.01 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8687% |
| 52 Week High | 288.74 |
| 52 Week Low | 126.88 |
Steel Dynamics Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of approximately 21.8, which appears elevated compared to sector averages, suggesting a potential valuation premium. The company's revenue growth has been strong, with current year estimates projecting a 30.00% increase. While profitability metrics are not explicitly detailed, the strong revenue trajectory and positive analyst sentiment suggest underlying business strength. The dividend yield is approximately 0.87%, providing a modest income component for investors.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Steel Dynamics Inc. most recently reported Q2 2026 earnings with an EPS of $3.69, beating the estimate of $3.67 by 0.54%, leading to a 1.31% price increase. The company has a history of beating estimates, with positive surprises in three of the last four reported quarters, indicating consistent operational performance.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Steel Dynamics Inc. is its current valuation, with a P/E ratio that appears higher than sector averages, potentially limiting upside if growth expectations are not met. Insider selling, totaling $11.6 million in recent transactions, warrants close observation as it could signal a lack of confidence from management. Also, the projected revenue growth for next year is flat (0.00%), which could indicate a slowdown in expansion if not offset by operational efficiencies or market share gains.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 58.73 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.94 |
| SMA 50 | 241.99 |
| SMA 200 | 211.17 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($241.99) above the 200-day SMA ($211.17), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
STLD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$235.77
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$240.58
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$226.74
MAX LOSS
-3.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (58.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$247.56
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$259.35
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$271.13
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for STLD is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 9, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in STLD in September 2016 would be worth about $100,129 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STLD today could grow to about $39,429 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $195,508 and a bear case around $7,952. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
STLD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $416 for STLD by 2030 in the base case, from $241 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $151. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STLD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $166 | $276 | $458 |
| 2028 | $155 | $317 | $648 |
| 2029 | $151 | $363 | $873 |
| 2030 | $151 | $416 | $1,146 |
| 2031 | $154 | $478 | $1,482 |
| 2032 | $159 | $548 | $1,894 |
| 2033 | $165 | $629 | $2,399 |
| 2034 | $172 | $721 | $3,019 |
| 2035 | $181 | $827 | $3,777 |
| 2036 | $191 | $949 | $4,704 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using STLD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
STLD Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$11.6M
9 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | BUSSE KEITH E
Director
|
Sell | 250.0K | $15.9M |
| Sep 3, 2021 | MILLETT MARK D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 176.8K | $11.9M |
| Aug 30, 2021 | MILLETT MARK D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 155.6K | $11.0M |
| Aug 15, 2023 | GRAHAM CHRISTOPHER A
Officer
|
Sell | 48.0K | $5.0M |
| Sep 9, 2021 | MILLETT MARK D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 67.7K | $4.5M |
| Feb 11, 2025 | PUSHIS GLENN A
Officer
|
Sell | 23.6K | $3.2M |
| Dec 19, 2023 | MARCUCCILLI JAMES C
Director
|
Sell | 25.5K | $3.1M |
| May 15, 2024 | GRAHAM CHRISTOPHER A.
Officer
|
Sell | 21.0K | $2.9M |
| Aug 27, 2021 | WAGLER THERESA E.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 38.0K | $2.7M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | ANDERSON JAMES STANLEY
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $2.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Steel Dynamics Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Steel Dynamics Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $416.47 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $151.29, while the upside projection reaches $1146.47. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Steel Dynamics Inc. stock a buy right now?
Steel Dynamics Inc. is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 68. The median analyst target price is $266, suggesting a potential 10.6% upside from the current price of $240.58.
What are the key risks for Steel Dynamics Inc.?
Key risks include a potentially elevated valuation compared to sector averages and significant insider selling totaling $11.6 million. Additionally, projected revenue growth for next year is flat, which could signal a slowdown.
How has Steel Dynamics Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
In its most recent Q2 2026 report, Steel Dynamics Inc. reported an EPS of $3.69, slightly beating the estimate of $3.67 and resulting in a 1.31% stock price increase. The company has a positive track record of earnings beats over the past four quarters.
What is the long-term outlook for Steel Dynamics Inc.?
The long-term outlook for Steel Dynamics Inc. appears positive, supported by strong revenue growth and a median analyst price target of $266. The company's ability to maintain its growth trajectory and manage its valuation will be key factors.
What is the momentum and trend for Steel Dynamics Inc. stock?
Steel Dynamics Inc. stock is trading below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, indicating neutral short-term momentum with longer-term support. The RSI is at 58.73, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
How does Steel Dynamics Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Steel Dynamics Inc.'s P/E ratio of approximately 21.8 appears higher than the sector average of 15.0. However, its revenue growth is projected at 30.00% for the current year, exceeding the sector average of 15.0%.