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As of September 27, 2026, Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) trades at $313.00. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $369.50, 18.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $369.50 across 21 analysts. RSI at 25 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $333.71.
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC)
Norfolk Southern Corp. NYSE
$313.00
-0.1700 (-0.05%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
57 / 100
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is currently trading at $313, below its 50-day SMA of $333.71, signaling a bearish short-term trend. The stock's RSI is at 24.77, indicating oversold conditions. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $369.50, suggesting an 18.1% upside potential. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 21.02% and a return on equity of 16.99%, which are solid but not exceptional within the Industrials sector. Recent earnings have shown modest beats, but forward growth estimates are subdued, particularly for next quarter.
NSC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$312.57
Day Range
$311.20 to $314.35
Prev Close
$313.17
Volume
616.8K
52-Week Range
$274.78 to $358.60
Market Cap
$70.30B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
NSC Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, NSC beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
NSC Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+18.05% Upside
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
$369.50
AI Technical Analysis
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is currently trading below its 50-day and 20-day SMAs, indicating bearish short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24.77, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -6.51, reinforcing the current downtrend. Key support can be found near the 200-day SMA at $310.98, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA of $333.71. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction in the current price action.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of sustained operational efficiency and revenue growth, as these will be key drivers for the stock's performance.
- Given the oversold technical conditions (RSI 24.77), traders may look for a short-term bounce, but long-term investors should focus on fundamental improvements and the 'Hold' consensus.
- Insider sentiment is moderately positive, with net buying activity, which could signal underlying confidence from management, but this should be weighed against the neutral Wall Street consensus.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Moderate Insider Buying Signal
Insiders have demonstrated net buying activity, with total purchases of $1.3 million against $253,442 in sales, indicating a 'Moderate Buy Signal' and potential confidence from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is at 24.77, indicating oversold conditions that could precede a technical bounce or reversal.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Wall Street 'Hold' Consensus
The majority of analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating, reflecting a neutral stance that awaits further evidence of sustained operational improvements and growth.
Source: Analyst RatingsNeutral
Earnings Beat in Q2 2026
Norfolk Southern reported an EPS beat of 6.36% for the quarter ending June 2026, with a modest positive price reaction, indicating the company is meeting analyst expectations.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
The base case for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) over the next 6-12 months anticipates a gradual recovery driven by operational improvements and potential stabilization in freight volumes. The median analyst target price of $369.50 suggests an 18.1% upside from the current price. Continued execution on efficiency initiatives and a favorable macroeconomic environment could push the stock towards this target. However, any setbacks in operational performance or a significant downturn in industrial activity could pressure the stock.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 70.30B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 26.71 |
| EPS (TTM) | 11.72 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.73% |
| 52 Week High | 358.60 |
| 52 Week Low | 274.78 |
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 26.71, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 5.61, also below the sector median of 4, indicating that the stock may be relatively expensive on a sales basis. The company's profit margin is 21.02% and its return on equity is 16.99%, both respectable figures within the Industrials sector. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 is slightly above the sector average, warranting monitoring.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an EPS of $1.17 beating the estimate of $1.10 by 6.36%, leading to a modest 0.62% price increase. Prior quarters also showed slight beats, indicating a pattern of meeting or slightly exceeding analyst expectations. Revenue growth for the current quarter is projected at 12.00% year-over-year, with similar growth anticipated for the next quarter, suggesting continued top-line expansion.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is the potential for continued operational challenges and regulatory scrutiny, which have impacted performance in the past. While insider sentiment is moderately positive with net buying, the neutral Wall Street consensus suggests caution. The stock's current valuation, while below the sector P/E, still requires sustained earnings growth to justify its price, which may be challenged by economic slowdowns or increased competition.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 24.77 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.51 |
| SMA 50 | 333.71 |
| SMA 200 | 310.98 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($333.71) above the 200-day SMA ($310.98), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 24.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with NSC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
NSC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$309.87
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$313.00
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$299.64
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (24.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$319.17
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$325.36
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$334.66
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for NSC is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NSC in September 2016 would be worth about $33,129 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NSC today could grow to about $25,710 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $78,191 and a bear case around $8,454. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NSC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $457 for NSC by 2030 in the base case, from $313 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $226. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NSC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $242 | $344 | $489 |
| 2028 | $230 | $378 | $622 |
| 2029 | $226 | $416 | $764 |
| 2030 | $226 | $457 | $923 |
| 2031 | $229 | $502 | $1,102 |
| 2032 | $233 | $552 | $1,306 |
| 2033 | $239 | $606 | $1,537 |
| 2034 | $246 | $666 | $1,802 |
| 2035 | $255 | $732 | $2,103 |
| 2036 | $265 | $805 | $2,447 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NSC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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NSC Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.3M
3 Transactions
Sold
$253.4K
1 Transactions
Insiders
10
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$378.3K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2022 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Director
|
Sell | 105.4K | $26.2M |
| May 18, 2021 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 70.0K | $19.8M |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 62.9K | $16.9M |
| Sep 13, 2024 | SHAW ALAN H
Former
|
Sell | 51.3K | $13.1M |
| Jun 4, 2020 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 50.8K | $9.7M |
| May 16, 2022 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Director
|
Sell | 27.9K | $6.9M |
| Aug 13, 2018 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 34.1K | $5.9M |
| May 24, 2021 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $5.6M |
| Dec 8, 2022 | SQUIRES JAMES A
Director
|
Sell | 21.3K | $5.2M |
| Jan 30, 2020 | WHEELER MICHAEL JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 11.0K | $2.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) stock a buy right now?
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $369.50 suggesting an 18.1% upside. While technical indicators show oversold conditions and insider sentiment is moderately positive, the neutral consensus suggests investors should wait for clearer signs of sustained operational improvement before considering a buy.
What is NSC's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) has a base case price projection of $456.65 for 2030, with a downside scenario of $225.99 and an upside scenario of $922.77. These figures represent statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets.
What are the key technical levels for NSC stock?
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is currently trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating bearish short-term momentum. The RSI is in oversold territory at 24.77, suggesting a potential for a bounce. Key support is near the 200-day SMA at $310.98, while resistance is at the 50-day SMA of $333.71.
How is Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) performing financially?
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) reported a profit margin of 21.02% and a return on equity of 16.99% in its latest fundamentals. Its P/E ratio of 26.71 is below the sector median, but its price-to-sales ratio of 5.61 is higher than the sector median, indicating a mixed valuation picture.
What is the Wall Street consensus for NSC stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) is 'Hold', with 16 out of 21 analysts rating it as such. The consensus score is 57 out of 100, and the median price target is $369.50.
Are insiders buying or selling Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) stock?
Insider activity for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) shows a 'Moderate Buy Signal', with insiders being net buyers. Total insider purchases amount to $1.3 million, significantly outweighing total sales of $253,442 in recent filings.
What are the recent earnings results for Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC)?
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) recently beat earnings estimates for the quarter ending June 2026, reporting $1.17 EPS against an estimate of $1.10. This continues a trend of slight earnings beats, with revenue growth projected to be around 12.00% for the current and next quarters.