
Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC)
- Market cap
- $74.26B
- P/E
- 27.71
- Dividend yield
- 1.63%
- Street target
- $352.50median of 21 analysts
- 52-week range
- $277.80 $358.60
NSC stock today, November 12, 2026: price, news and analyst targets
As of November 11, 2026, Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) trades at $330.59. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $352.50 across 21 analysts, 6.6% above the price. CleaRank rates it Buy with a score of 66/100.
Norfolk Southern's stock sits at $330.59, 7.81% below its 52-week high of $358.60 and 19.00% above its 52-week low, after a 3.94% decline over the past week. The most recent earnings report, dated October 22, 2026, showed adjusted EPS of $3.62 against an estimate of $3.47, a 4.32% beat, and the shares rose 3.09% in the first session afterward. The stock remains above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($324.05 and $316.91), and analysts are split: most rate it Hold, with a median 12-month target of $352.50.
What the earnings record shows
Norfolk Southern has beaten the EPS estimate in five of its last six reports, the exception being one miss. The October 22, 2026 report was the largest of the recent beats in percentage terms after January 29, 2026, when EPS of $3.22 beat a $2.76 estimate by 16.67%. The October beat of 4.32% was followed by a 3.09% gain in the first session, while two of the five beats were followed by a lower share price. The pattern shows that a beat alone has not reliably lifted the stock, although the most recent reaction was positive.
Why the trend and valuation matter together
The stock is above its 50-day SMA by 2.02% and its 200-day SMA by 4.32%, and the 50-day SMA is 2.25% above the 200-day SMA, which together point to an uptrend. Its trailing P/E of 27.71 is 18.5% below the sector median of 34.0, and the stock's P/E is broadly in line with peers.
Analyst ratings have barely moved
Of 21 analysts with a current rating, five rate the stock buy or strong buy, 16 rate it hold, and none rate it sell. Three months ago five of 21 were buy ratings, so the split is unchanged. On October 23, 2026, Citigroup, Evercore ISI Group, JP Morgan, RBC Capital and TD Cowen each kept their existing ratings, and Citigroup had also kept its Neutral rating on October 7, 2026. The median target of $352.50 sits 6.6% above the price, while the range runs from $297.00 to $400.00.
Business and balance sheet
Norfolk Southern is a freight railroad that moves raw materials, intermediate products and finished goods across the eastern United States. Its net profit margin is 20.71% and its operating margin is 35.42%, but its return on equity of 16.84% is below the sector median of 17.8%, and its debt-to-equity ratio is 1.02. The dividend yield is 1.63%, based on an annual dividend of $5.40 per share.
CleaRank score 66/100 (Buy). 15 of 19 checks pass: trend 4 of 4, momentum 3 of 3, valuation and quality 4 of 5, analysts 1 of 3, track record 3 of 4.
About Norfolk Southern
Norfolk Southern Corp. is a transportation company and major freight railroad operator that moves raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods across the eastern United States. Norfolk Southern Corp. provides rail service for merchandise, intermodal containers, and coal, linking industrial plants, distribution centers, warehouses, and port gateways to support supply chains in agriculture, automotive, chemicals, metals, construction, and consumer goods.
NSC stock news
Earnings beat and positive reaction
·Earnings report
The October 22, 2026 report showed adjusted EPS of $3.62 against a $3.47 estimate, and the shares rose 3.09% in the next session. A continued beat pattern would support the earnings growth analysts expect this year.
TD Cowen keeps Buy rating
·TD Cowen
TD Cowen kept its Buy rating on October 23, 2026, one of only five buy ratings among 21 analysts. It is a rare positive view in an otherwise hold-heavy group.
Citigroup holds Neutral view
·Citigroup
Citigroup kept its Neutral rating on October 23, 2026, after keeping the same rating on October 7, 2026. Repeated holds suggest the firm does not see a near-term change in the rating.
Evercore ISI keeps In-Line rating
·Evercore ISI Group
Evercore ISI Group kept its In-Line rating on October 23, 2026, the same day as the earnings-related rating reviews. The rating consensus did not change on that date.
RBC Capital keeps Sector Perform
·RBC Capital
RBC Capital kept its Sector Perform rating on October 23, 2026. Like most of the group, it signals a neutral view rather than a strong call either way.
NSC price target 2026
The base case is that the stock keeps trading in a range between its moving averages and its 52-week high while analysts wait for evidence that the earnings beat turns into sustained growth. Analysts expect earnings to rise 4.4% this fiscal year to an average estimate of $13.03 per share and 11.3% next year to $14.51, and expected revenue growth of 10.4% this year supports that view. A move toward the $352.50 median target would require the price to hold above the 50-day SMA and push through the 52-week high of $358.60. The reverse case is a loss of the 50-day SMA at $324.05, which would bring the 200-day SMA at $316.91 into focus, and the lowest analyst target of $297.00 would become a reference point if earnings momentum faded. These are conditions, not forecasts, and the stock's typical daily move of 1.52% means short-term swings are normal.
Analyst targets and ratings
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line |
| Oct 23, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 23, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform |
| Oct 23, 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral |
NSC support and resistance levels
Support: the 50-day simple moving average at $324.05 is the nearest level below the price, and a fall would meet it first. The 200-day simple moving average at $316.91 is the next level down, followed by the 52-week low of $277.80. Resistance: the 52-week high of $358.60 is the nearest level above the price, and a rise would meet it first. The analysts' median 12-month target of $352.50 sits just below that high and is a forecast, not a technical level. The 20-day exponential moving average at $330.92 is effectively at the price, so the stock is trading right at it.
| Level | What it is | Price | From the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance 1 | 52-week high | $358.60 | +8.5% |
| Price | November 11, 2026 | $330.59 | |
| Support 1 | 50-day moving average | $324.05 | -2.0% |
| Support 2 | 200-day moving average | $316.91 | -4.1% |
| Support 3 | 52-week low | $277.80 | -16.0% |
Technical indicators
NSC stock price and trading
NSC share price
NSC fundamentals and valuation
Key statistics
NSC against the Industrials sector
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-19% against the sector median P/E).
Return vs XLI: Since Jun 2, 2025, NSC has gained 34.8% against a gain of 19.9% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
Revenue and earnings
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 0.5% in FY2025 to $12.2B, from $12.1B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 23.6% in FY2025, up from 21.6% the year before.
Profitable: NSC earned $2.9B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Earnings record: NSC beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026before open | $3.47 | $3.62 | +4.32% | +3.09% | +3.05% |
| Apr 24, 2026before open | $2.49 | $2.65 | +6.43% | -0.54% | -1.75% |
| Jan 29, 2026before open | $2.76 | $3.22 | +16.67% | +2.00% | +7.86% |
| Oct 23, 2025before open | $3.20 | $3.30 | +3.13% | -1.66% | -3.15% |
| Jul 29, 2025before open | $3.31 | $3.29 | -0.60% | -3.04% | -2.90% |
| Apr 23, 2025before open | $2.68 | $2.69 | +0.37% | +0.89% | +1.53% |
NSC price history and drawdowns
Risk profile
Worst falls and recoveries
Growth of $10,000
Against the market: NSC trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $37,734 against $40,494.
A $10,000 investment in NSC in December 2016 would be worth about $37,734 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $40,494 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
NSC stock price prediction 2030
NSC Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $458 for NSC by 2030 in the base case, from $331 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $227. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NSC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $252 | $359 | $510 | |
| 2028 | $237 | $389 | $640 | |
| 2029 | $230 | $422 | $776 | |
| 2030 | $227 | $458 | $925 |
NSC insider trading
NSC insider trading
Month by month
Net insider buying: Insiders bought $1.3M on the open market and sold $253K.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Brian Barr
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 653 | - |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Anil Bhatt
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 3.3K | - |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Mark R. George
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Apr 24, 2026 | John Frederick Orr
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 8.3K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Anil Bhatt
Officer
|
Grant | 861 | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Claude E Elkins
Officer
|
Grant | 1.3K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Mark R. George
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 3.7K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Gilbert H Lamphere
Director
|
Grant | 700 | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Claiborne L. Moore
Officer
|
Grant | 673 | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | John Frederick Orr
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
NSC stock forecast: questions people ask
NSC Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions
What is the NSC stock forecast?
What is the NSC price target?
Is NSC a buy or sell today?
How has NSC performed over the past year?
How risky is NSC stock compared with the market?
Does NSC pay a dividend?
How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology.