CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
SAP SE is currently trading at $220.49, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($211.84 and $192.27), indicating a positive trend. The company's financial performance remains strong, with a healthy profit margin of 20.41% and a return on equity of 18.32%. Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus 'Buy' rating, with a median price target of $259.00, suggesting an upside of 17.5% from current levels. The company's strong revenue growth of 9.4% and forward estimates for continued expansion further strengthen the positive outlook. Key risks include potential competitive pressures within the software application sector and any shifts in enterprise spending.
SAP at a glance
SAP SE Sponsored (SAP): Buy, 77/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendUp: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($211.84 and $192.27).
EarningsSAP beat estimates in 2 of its last 3 quarters, and the stock rose the next day every time.
ValuationP/E of 28.2 against 34.0 for the Technology sector: broadly in line with peers (-17%).
As of October 15, 2026, SAP SE Sponsored (SAP) trades at $220.49. Wall Street's consensus target is $259.00 across 16 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 65, showing bullish momentum without being overbought, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $211.84.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from SAP's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-17% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
SAP Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 3 quarters, SAP beat the analyst estimate 2 times; the stock rose in the first session after every beat.
SAP earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Jul 23, 2026
$2.00
$1.81
-9.50%
+9.30%
+23.57%
Apr 23, 2026
$1.92
$2.01
+4.69%
+7.36%
+3.82%
Jan 29, 2026
$1.72
$1.93
+12.21%
+0.41%
-1.40%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, SAP has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 3 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its latest report, on July 23, 2026, came in 9.50% below the estimate and the stock moved +9.30% in the first session.
SAP Analysis
Company's Health4/5
12-Month Analyst Target+17.47% above price
Median of 16 analysts (12-month)
$259.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreBuy
SAP SE's stock is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $211.84 and its 200-day SMA of $192.27, signaling an upward trend. The 14-day RSI is at 65.1, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought. The MACD is positive at 2.38, further supporting the bullish sentiment. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 52-week highs. Volume has been slightly below average recently, but the overall technical picture remains constructive.
ProTips
The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($211.84 and $192.27) with bullish RSI momentum, suggesting a favorable technical setup for potential further gains.
Key Catalysts
BullishStrong Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
With 16 analysts covering SAP SE, the consensus is 'Buy' with a median price target of $259.00, indicating a potential upside of 17.5% and reflecting confidence in future performance.
Source: Wall Street Analysts
BullishPositive Revenue and EPS Growth Estimates
Forward estimates show strong growth, with next year's revenue projected to increase by 12.00% and EPS by 17.6%, signaling continued business expansion.
Source: Wall Street Estimates
BullishFavorable Technical Indicators
The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day SMA, 200-day SMA, 20-day EMA) with bullish RSI and MACD signals, suggesting positive price momentum.
Source: Technical Analysis
BearishRecent EPS Miss
SAP SE missed its EPS estimate in the most recent quarter (July 23, 2026), which could indicate emerging challenges in meeting analyst expectations.
Source: Earnings Report
NeutralDividend Payout
SAP SE offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.33%, providing a modest income stream to shareholders.
Source: Company Data
Market Outlook
SAP SE is positioned for continued growth over the next 6-12 months, with analysts projecting a median price target of $259.00, implying a 17.5% upside from current levels. The company's strong revenue growth, strong profit margins, and favorable comparison to sector averages provide a solid foundation for this outlook. Continued innovation in cloud solutions and enterprise software is expected to drive further adoption and revenue streams. Potential catalysts include successful integration of new product offerings and expansion into emerging markets. Downside risks include increased competitive pressure from other major software providers and potential macroeconomic headwinds affecting enterprise spending.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
254.49B
P/E Ratio
28.21
EPS (TTM)
7.79
Dividend Yield
1.33%
52 Week High
281.37
52 Week Low
144.97
As of October 15, 2026, SAP trades at $220.49, with a market value of $254.49B, a P/E ratio of 28.21 and a dividend yield of 1.33%.
SAP SE's valuation appears reasonable within the technology sector, trading at a P/E ratio of 28.21 compared to the sector median of 34. Its price-to-sales ratio of 6.64 is also below the sector average of 7.5. The company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 20.41% and an operating margin of 27.62%, exceeding the sector's average ROE of 13.4%. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 is well within healthy limits. These fundamentals suggest that the current valuation is supported by solid operational performance and growth potential.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
SAP SE recently reported earnings on July 23, 2026, with EPS of $1.81, missing the estimate of $2.00 by 9.5%, though the stock reacted positively with a 9.3% price increase. Prior quarters showed mixed performance, with an EPS beat in April 2026 and a significant beat in January 2026. The company's revenue growth has been steady at 9.4%, and forward estimates suggest continued revenue expansion.
Key Risks
While SAP SE shows strong fundamentals and positive technicals, potential risks include increased competition in the enterprise software market, which could pressure margins and growth. Additionally, any slowdown in global enterprise IT spending could impact future revenue and earnings. The recent EPS miss, although met with a positive stock reaction, warrants monitoring for any emerging trend of underperformance against estimates.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
65.10
MACD (12, 26)
2.38
SMA (50-day)
211.84
SMA (200-day)
192.27
Technical RatingBullish
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($211.84) above the 200-day SMA ($192.27), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
As of October 15, 2026, with SAP at $220.49, its 14-day RSI is 65.1 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $211.84 and its 200-day is $192.27.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.38
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.32
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.17
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.05
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, SAP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.38 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.17 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.05 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with SAP? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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SAP Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $177.00Median $259.00 (+17.5%)High $319.00
Ratings
Buy 13Hold 3Sell 03 months ago: 13 of 16 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on SAP
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Oct 8, 2026
BMO Capital
Maintains
Outperform
Aug 26, 2026
UBS
Downgrade
Neutral
Jul 27, 2026
Barclays
Maintains
Overweight
Jul 24, 2026
BMO Capital
Maintains
Outperform
Jul 21, 2026
Barclays
Maintains
Overweight
Jul 17, 2026
TD Cowen
Maintains
Buy
As of October 15, 2026, 16 Wall Street analysts cover SAP: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $177.00 to $319.00, with a median of $259.00, 17.5% above the price of $220.49.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
SAP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$216.08
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$220.49
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$209.60
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (65.1) and current market volatility
These levels come from SAP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SAP in October 2016 would be worth about $25,534 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
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SAP Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-52.1%
September 2020 to September 2022
Recovery
16 months
back at the old peak by January 2024
From the 10-year high
-29.3%
highest close, July 2025
1-year holds that gained
64%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, SAP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -52.1% (September 2020 to September 2022); it regained that peak by January 2024, 16 months after the low, and 64% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SAP today could grow to about $20,979 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $68,376 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,437. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.33% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SAP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $297 for SAP by 2030 in the base case, from $220 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $140. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SAP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
SAP simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$163
$237
$345
2028
$151
$256
$434
2029
$144
$275
$526
2030
$140
$297
$626
2031
$139
$319
$736
Method: a lognormal simulation of SAP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is SAP SE's long-term outlook?
SAP SE's long-term outlook appears positive, driven by consistent revenue growth and strong profitability. Analysts project continued earnings and revenue expansion, with an average growth estimate of 3.6% annually over the next five years, suggesting sustained business development.
What are SAP SE's growth prospects?
SAP SE is expected to see significant growth, with next year's revenue growth estimated at 12.00% and next year's EPS growth projected at 17.6%. This momentum is supported by strong current quarter growth estimates of 12.5% for revenue and 12.49% for EPS.
How does SAP SE compare to its sector peers?
SAP SE's P/E ratio of 28.21 and P/S ratio of 6.64 are below the sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. Its ROE of 18.32% also surpasses the sector average of 13.4%, indicating strong performance relative to its peers.
What is SAP SE's dividend yield?
SAP SE offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.33%, with a dividend rate of $2.93.
Is SAP in an uptrend?
Yes. SAP SE Sponsored (SAP) trades at $220.49, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($211.84 and $192.27). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 65.1, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.
How does SAP stock react to earnings?
Of its last 3 reports, SAP beat the estimate twice, and the shares rose the next day every time it did. Most recently, on Jul 23, 2026, earnings came in 9.5% below the estimate and the stock moved +9.3% the next day.
What is the analyst price target for SAP?
As of October 15, 2026, the 16 Wall Street analysts covering SAP have 12-month targets from $177.00 to $319.00, with a median of $259.00, 17.5% above the current price of $220.49. 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 13 of 16 rated it a buy.
What is SAP's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
SAP SE Sponsored (SAP)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -52.1%, from September 2020 to September 2022. It regained that peak by January 2024, 16 months after the low. Over the same period, 64% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are SAP's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, January has been SAP's strongest month on average (+3.72%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and February its weakest (-2.34%, rising in 5 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does SAP move with the stock market?
Over the past year SAP's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.38). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.32; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.17; Gold (XAU): +0.05. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
