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As of September 11, 2026, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) trades at $71.21. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $75.00, 5.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $75.00 across 23 analysts. RSI at 50 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $67.18.
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. NYSE
$71.21
-5.020 (-6.59%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) is trading at $71.21, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($67.18 and $61.45), indicating a generally positive technical trend. The company's consensus rating is 'Buy', supported by a Wall Street score of 75 and a median analyst price target of $75, suggesting a modest 5.3% upside potential. Revenue estimates show strong growth, with the next year projected to increase by 20.00% year-over-year. However, insider activity reveals a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with $46.4 million in net sales, which warrants investor attention despite the overall positive analyst sentiment and technical positioning.
FCX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$70.25
Day Range
$68.85 to $71.60
Prev Close
$76.23
Volume
22.18M
52-Week Range
$35.15 to $80.24
Market Cap
$102.26B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+37%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
FCX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, FCX beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
FCX Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+5.32% Upside
Median of 23 analysts (12-month)
$75.00
AI Technical Analysis
At $71.21, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($67.18 and $61.45), signaling a constructive trend. The RSI is neutral at 49.98, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD at 1.86 suggests a slight bullish momentum. The stock is currently trading below its 20-day exponential moving average of $73.00, which may act as near-term resistance. Volume has been significantly above average recently, with a 58.8% increase, suggesting increased investor interest.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling totaling $46.4 million, investors should closely monitor future insider transactions and management commentary for any shifts in sentiment.
- The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($67.18 and $61.45), but below its 20-day EMA, suggesting a consolidation phase. Investors may consider waiting for a clear break above the 20-day EMA for a more confident entry point.
- As a major copper producer, FCX is sensitive to global economic conditions and commodity prices. Diversifying holdings within the Basic Materials sector or across different industries can help mitigate this concentration risk.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Estimates
Wall Street revenue estimates project a 20.00% year-over-year growth for next year, indicating strong demand and potential for increased profitability.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Freeport-McMoRan has a history of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 19.35%, demonstrating operational efficiency and strong execution.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Positive Analyst Consensus
The stock holds a 'Buy' rating from 23 analysts, with a median price target of $75, suggesting confidence in its future performance.
Source: Analyst RatingsBearish
Significant Insider Selling
Insiders have net sold $46.4 million worth of stock, indicating a potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation, despite the positive analyst outlook.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Above Sector Average Valuation
FCX's P/E ratio of 34.91 is higher than the sector average of 25.5, making it potentially more vulnerable to market downturns or commodity price shocks.
Source: Financial DataMarket Outlook
The base case for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. anticipates continued strength driven by positive analyst sentiment and strong revenue growth projections, with a median target price of $75 suggesting modest near-term upside. The company's ability to navigate commodity price fluctuations and maintain its operational efficiency will be critical in achieving this outlook. Upside potential could be realized if copper prices surge or if the company announces significant new supply agreements, potentially pushing the stock towards its higher analyst targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 102.26B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.91 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.04 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8423% |
| 52 Week High | 80.24 |
| 52 Week Low | 35.15 |
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of 34.91, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. The company's earnings per share (EPS) was $2.04. While the current valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, forward revenue growth estimates are strong, with next year projected to grow by 20.00%. The dividend yield stands at approximately 0.84%. The company's balance sheet strength and ability to generate cash flow will be key factors in sustaining its current valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating strong operational performance. The most recent quarter ending July 23, 2026, saw an EPS surprise of 19.35% ($0.74 actual vs. $0.62 estimate), though the stock experienced a slight price decline of -1.42%. Prior quarters also showed significant positive surprises, indicating a pattern of exceeding expectations, which supports the positive outlook.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is its valuation, with a P/E ratio above the sector average, potentially leaving it vulnerable to market corrections. Significant insider selling, totaling $46.4 million, signals a degree of caution from management despite positive analyst ratings. Also, as a copper producer, the company is exposed to commodity price volatility and shifts in global demand, particularly from major consumers like China.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 49.98 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.86 |
| SMA 50 | 67.18 |
| SMA 200 | 61.45 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($67.18) above the 200-day SMA ($61.45), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.59
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.58
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
FCX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$69.79
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$71.21
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$65.61
MAX LOSS
-6.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$73.28
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$76.76
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$80.25
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
FCX is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.15%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in FCX in September 2016 would be worth about $64,269 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FCX today could grow to about $33,946 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $242,180 and a bear case around $4,758. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FCX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $116 for FCX by 2030 in the base case, from $71.21 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $33.51. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FCX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $43.23 | $80.47 | $150 |
| 2028 | $37.76 | $90.93 | $219 |
| 2029 | $35.03 | $103 | $301 |
| 2030 | $33.51 | $116 | $402 |
| 2031 | $32.70 | $131 | $526 |
| 2032 | $32.36 | $148 | $679 |
| 2033 | $32.37 | $168 | $867 |
| 2034 | $32.65 | $189 | $1,098 |
| 2035 | $33.17 | $214 | $1,380 |
| 2036 | $33.88 | $242 | $1,725 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FCX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. FCX is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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FCX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$46.4M
13 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2021 | FORD GERALD J
Director
|
Sell | 2.0M | $70.6M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | ADKERSON RICHARD C
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 401.0K | $25.5M |
| Dec 4, 2020 | QUIRK KATHLEEN L
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 485.0K | $12.3M |
| Dec 4, 2020 | ADKERSON RICHARD C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 467.9K | $11.8M |
| Mar 4, 2021 | FORD GERALD J
Director
|
Sell | 300.0K | $10.0M |
| Apr 30, 2024 | ADKERSON RICHARD C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 169.2K | $8.6M |
| Dec 6, 2021 | ADKERSON RICHARD C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 202.7K | $7.4M |
| Aug 25, 2026 | CURRAULT DOUGLAS NICHOLAS II
General Counsel
|
Sell | 80.0K | $6.3M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | CURRAULT DOUGLAS NICHOLAS II
General Counsel
|
Sell | 75.0K | $4.8M |
| May 3, 2024 | HIGGINS STEPHEN T
Officer
|
Sell | 86.7K | $4.4M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Freeport-McMoRan Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Freeport-McMoRan Inc.'s stock is projected to trade between $33.51 and $402.31 by 2030, with a base case of $116.11. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets or guarantees.
Is Freeport-McMoRan Inc. stock a buy right now?
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $75, indicating a potential 5.3% upside from its current price of $71.21. The stock is trading above key moving averages, and recent earnings have consistently beaten estimates.
What are the biggest risks facing Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?
Key risks include its above-average P/E ratio relative to the sector, significant insider selling totaling $46.4 million, and exposure to copper price volatility and global demand fluctuations.
How has Freeport-McMoRan Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. has a strong track record of beating analyst EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 19.35% surprise. This consistent outperformance suggests strong operational execution.
What is the technical outlook for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. stock?
Technically, FCX is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($67.18 and $61.45), indicating a positive trend. While the RSI is neutral, recent volume has been significantly above average, suggesting increased investor interest.
How does Freeport-McMoRan Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.'s P/E ratio of 34.91 is higher than the sector average of 25.5. However, its projected revenue growth for next year at 20.00% outpaces the sector average of 10.00%.
What is the insider sentiment for Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?
Insider sentiment is currently bearish, with a 'Moderate Sell Signal' indicating net selling activity of $46.4 million in recent filings, despite no reported insider purchases.