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As of September 27, 2026, NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) trades at $76.08. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell on near-term price action, while its valuation model puts fair value at $87.53, 15.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $100.50 across 20 analysts. RSI at 16 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $84.34.
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE)
NextEra Energy Inc. NYSE
$76.08
0.4600 (0.61%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) is currently trading at $76.08, well below its 50-day SMA of $84.34 and 200-day SMA of $87.53, indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 32.40% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62, which is in line with the sector median of 1.62. However, recent earnings have been mixed, with a significant miss in the quarter to June 2026. Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus 'Hold' rating with a median price target of $100.50, suggesting potential upside. Despite this, moderate insider selling totaling $36.6 million in recent filings signals caution from management. The stock's oversold RSI of 16.25 suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall technical picture remains weak.
NEE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$75.77
Day Range
$75.38 to $76.28
Prev Close
$75.62
Volume
16.46M
52-Week Range
$69.37 to $98.75
Market Cap
$158.70B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Utilities)
Performance vs XLU
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-25%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
NEE Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, NEE beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
NEE Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($84.34 and $87.53), at $84.34 and $87.53 respectively, signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 16.25, indicating the stock is oversold and may be due for a bounce. The stock's current price of $76.08 is below its 20-day exponential moving average of $80.57. Volume has been above average recently, with the latest volume at 16.46 million compared to an average of 12.58 million, suggesting increased trading activity. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current downward momentum, but the oversold condition could provide a temporary floor.
ProTips
- Given the oversold technical conditions, consider waiting for confirmation of a bottoming pattern or a break above resistance before initiating new positions.
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of consistent EPS beats and improved guidance, as this has been a point of weakness recently.
- As a regulated utility, NEE's performance can be sensitive to interest rate changes. Keep an eye on macroeconomic trends impacting borrowing costs.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold $36.6 million worth of NEE stock across 48 transactions, indicating a lack of confidence in the near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Significant Earnings Miss in Q2 2026
The company reported an EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04 for the quarter to June 2026, a -150% surprise, raising concerns about operational execution.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The RSI is at 16.25, suggesting the stock is oversold and may be due for a short-term technical bounce.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Revenue Growth
NEE reported revenue growth of 12.4%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 4.1%, indicating strong demand for its services.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) anticipates a challenging near-term outlook given its current technical weakness and moderate insider selling. While Wall Street's median target price of $100.50 suggests potential upside, the stock's positioning below key moving averages and oversold RSI present immediate headwinds. The company's strong revenue growth and solid profit margins provide a fundamental underpinning, but execution on earnings needs to improve. Potential catalysts for a turnaround include a sustained bounce from oversold technical levels or positive news regarding regulatory approvals or new project pipelines. Conversely, continued earnings misses, rising interest rates impacting utility financing, or increased competition could push the stock lower, potentially testing the lower end of analyst price targets and our long-range downside projection.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 158.70B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.10 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.45 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.20% |
| 52 Week High | 98.75 |
| 52 Week Low | 69.37 |
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) exhibits a P/E ratio of 17.10, which is below the sector median of 22.8, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation from a P/E perspective. The company's profit margin stands at a strong 32.40%, and its return on equity is 11.68%, though both are higher than sector medians. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.62, matching the sector average. With a price-to-sales ratio of 5.53, NEE appears to be valued moderately compared to its sector. Revenue growth of 12.4% is significantly above the sector average of 4.1%, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the recent earnings miss in the quarter to June 2026 raises concerns about profitability execution.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) reported a significant earnings miss in the quarter to June 2026, with an actual EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04, a surprise of -150%. This followed a beat in the prior quarter and a slight beat in the quarter to December 2025. The stock saw a 0.99% increase on the day of the June 2026 earnings release, which is unusual given the magnitude of the miss.
Key Risks
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) faces considerable downside risk due to its bearish technical positioning, trading significantly below key moving averages with an oversold RSI. Moderate insider selling, with $36.6 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicates a lack of confidence from management. Also, the recent EPS miss in the quarter to June 2026 raises concerns about the company's ability to meet financial expectations.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 16.25 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.09 |
| SMA 50 | 84.34 |
| SMA 200 | 87.53 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $84.34, 200-day: $87.53), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 16.3 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.08
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with NEE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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NEE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$77.60
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$76.08
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$80.16
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (16.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$73.72
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$69.84
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$65.96
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for NEE is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NEE in September 2016 would be worth about $24,002 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NEE today could grow to about $21,982 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $61,932 and a bear case around $7,802. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NEE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $104 for NEE by 2030 in the base case, from $76.08 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $54.15. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NEE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $59.32 | $82.31 | $114 |
| 2028 | $56.04 | $89.06 | $142 |
| 2029 | $54.64 | $96.36 | $170 |
| 2030 | $54.15 | $104 | $201 |
| 2031 | $54.23 | $113 | $235 |
| 2032 | $54.71 | $122 | $272 |
| 2033 | $55.51 | $132 | $314 |
| 2034 | $56.57 | $143 | $361 |
| 2035 | $57.86 | $155 | $413 |
| 2036 | $59.36 | $167 | $471 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NEE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
NEE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$36.6M
20 Transactions
Insiders
23
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.8M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | ROBO JAMES L
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 111.9K | $21.4M |
| Mar 2, 2020 | ROBO JAMES L
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 71.0K | $18.6M |
| May 1, 2020 | ROBO JAMES L
President
|
Sell | 71.0K | $16.1M |
| Oct 29, 2020 | ROBO JAMES L
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 165.9K | $12.3M |
| Nov 17, 2025 | PIMENTEL ARMANDO JR.
Director
|
Sell | 145.1K | $12.2M |
| Sep 1, 2020 | ROBO JAMES L
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 41.5K | $11.5M |
| Aug 15, 2019 | ROBO JAMES L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 44.5K | $9.7M |
| Jan 24, 2020 | SIEVING CHARLES E
General Counsel
|
Sell | 35.5K | $9.2M |
| Nov 2, 2020 | SIEVING CHARLES E
General Counsel
|
Sell | 121.1K | $9.1M |
| Mar 2, 2021 | ROBO JAMES L
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 118.0K | $9.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is NextEra Energy Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, NextEra Energy Inc.'s (NEE) stock price is projected to be $104.26 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $54.15, and the upside projection is $200.73. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is NextEra Energy Inc. stock a buy right now?
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) is currently rated 'Sell' by our AI consensus, with a score of 21 out of 100. While Wall Street has a 'Hold' consensus and a median price target of $100.50, the stock's technical indicators are bearish, and insiders have been net sellers.
What is NextEra Energy Inc.'s current technical position?
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) is trading below its 50-day SMA ($84.34) and 200-day SMA ($87.53), indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 16.25, signaling oversold conditions, which could precede a short-term bounce.
How are NextEra Energy Inc.'s recent earnings?
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) experienced a significant earnings miss in the quarter to June 2026, reporting -$0.02 EPS against an estimate of $0.04. This follows a pattern of mixed performance in recent quarters.
What are the key risks for NextEra Energy Inc.?
Key risks include the stock's bearish technical trend, moderate insider selling totaling $36.6 million, and the recent significant earnings miss. These factors suggest potential for further price declines.
What is the Wall Street consensus for NextEra Energy Inc.?
The Wall Street consensus for NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) is 'Hold', with a score of 59 out of 100, based on ratings from 20 analysts. The median price target is $100.50, implying an upside of 32.1% from the current price.
What is NextEra Energy Inc.'s dividend yield?
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.20%, with a dividend rate of $2.44.