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As of September 27, 2026, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) trades at $113.35. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $136.50, 20.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $136.50 across 22 analysts. RSI at 18 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $122.16.
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)
Duke Energy Corporation NYSE
$113.35
0.1200 (0.11%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is currently trading at $113.35, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($122.16 and $124.04), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The company's recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with the latest quarter to June 2026 beating estimates by 10%, yet the stock reacted negatively, suggesting broader market concerns or sector headwinds. Analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $136.50, implying a 20.4% upside. While the company operates in the stable Utilities sector, its current technical setup and moderate insider selling warrant caution. The dividend yield of approximately 3.78% offers some income appeal, but the overall outlook suggests a period of consolidation rather than significant growth.
DUK Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$113.14
Day Range
$112.52 to $113.61
Prev Close
$113.23
Volume
3.75M
52-Week Range
$112.52 to $134.49
Market Cap
$88.38B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Utilities)
Performance vs XLU
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-25%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
DUK Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, DUK beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
DUK Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+20.42% Upside
Median of 22 analysts (12-month)
$136.50
AI Technical Analysis
Duke Energy Corporation's stock is exhibiting bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day SMA of $122.16 and its 200-day SMA of $124.04. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 18.22, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a bounce. Key support levels are being tested, with the current price of $113.35 approaching previous lows. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current downward move. The chart structure implies that while oversold conditions may offer a short-term reprieve, the broader trend remains under pressure until the stock can reclaim its key moving averages.
ProTips
- Duke Energy Corporation's oversold RSI (18.22) suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but traders should watch for confirmation above the 50-day SMA at $122.16 before committing to a bullish position.
- Given the moderate insider selling and 'Hold' consensus, consider a strategy that prioritizes income from the 3.78% dividend yield while awaiting clearer signals for significant capital appreciation.
- The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 is at the higher end for the utility sector; monitor interest rate trends and the company's ability to manage its debt obligations.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Potential Bounce from Oversold Technical Levels
The stock's RSI is at 18.22, indicating oversold conditions. A bounce towards the 50-day SMA at $122.16 is possible if broader market sentiment improves or sector-specific news emerges.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Consistent Dividend Payout
Duke Energy Corporation offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.78%, providing a stable income stream for investors that can support the stock price during periods of low growth.
Source: Financial DataBearish
Insider Selling Trend
Insiders have sold over $11.1 million in stock, with no significant purchases reported, indicating a lack of strong conviction from management regarding near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($122.16 and $124.04), signaling a bearish trend that may persist until these levels are reclaimed.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case for Duke Energy Corporation over the next 6-12 months suggests a period of consolidation, with the median analyst target price of $136.50 indicating limited upside from the current price of $113.35. The company's stable utility operations and consistent dividend provide a defensive floor, but significant growth catalysts appear limited. Potential upside could be driven by a broader market rally in defensive sectors or a successful execution of its long-term growth initiatives, which are projected to see revenue growth of around 5% annually in the coming years. Conversely, rising interest rates could pressure its debt-heavy balance sheet, and any failure to meet forward earnings estimates could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 88.38B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.07 |
| EPS (TTM) | 6.64 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.78% |
| 52 Week High | 134.49 |
| 52 Week Low | 112.52 |
Duke Energy Corporation's valuation appears reasonable within the Utilities sector, with a P/E ratio of 17.07 compared to the sector median of 22.8. Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.69 is also below the sector average of 3.3, suggesting it is not excessively valued on a sales basis. The company's fundamentals show a return on equity of 9.86% and a profit margin of 16.00%, which are slightly above sector averages. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 is higher than the sector median of 1.62, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The reported revenue growth of 1.1% is below the sector's median growth of 4.1%, suggesting slower expansion compared to peers.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Duke Energy Corporation has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters, with the latest quarter to June 2026 exceeding expectations by 10% with an EPS of $1.43 versus an estimate of $1.30. Despite these beats, the stock experienced a minor decline of 0.75% following the announcement, indicating that positive earnings news is not currently translating into stock price appreciation. This trend of earnings beats without corresponding stock price gains suggests that the market may be pricing in future challenges or that the company's growth prospects are limited, as reflected in the modest revenue growth estimates.
Key Risks
Duke Energy Corporation faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with over $11.1 million in sales across 55 transactions, signaling a lack of strong conviction from management. The stock's current technical position, trading below key moving averages and in oversold territory, presents a risk of further downside if support levels fail. Also, the company's higher-than-sector-average debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 could become a concern in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting profitability and future investment capacity.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 18.22 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.21 |
| SMA 50 | 122.16 |
| SMA 200 | 124.04 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $122.16, 200-day: $124.04), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 18.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
-0.08
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.22
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with DUK? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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DUK Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$112.22
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$113.35
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$108.51
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (18.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$115.58
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$117.83
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$121.19
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for DUK is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in DUK in September 2016 would be worth about $13,920 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DUK today could grow to about $16,457 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $37,753 and a bear case around $7,174. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DUK Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $138 for DUK by 2030 in the base case, from $113 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $81.83. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DUK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $91.63 | $119 | $155 |
| 2028 | $86.38 | $125 | $182 |
| 2029 | $83.52 | $132 | $207 |
| 2030 | $81.83 | $138 | $234 |
| 2031 | $80.84 | $145 | $262 |
| 2032 | $80.34 | $153 | $291 |
| 2033 | $80.20 | $161 | $322 |
| 2034 | $80.35 | $169 | $355 |
| 2035 | $80.73 | $177 | $390 |
| 2036 | $81.31 | $187 | $428 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DUK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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DUK Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$11.1M
15 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$742.5K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | GOOD LYNN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 45.9K | $4.0M |
| May 8, 2026 | SIDERIS HARRY K.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $2.5M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | GHARTEY-TAGOE KODWO
Officer
|
Sell | 18.2K | $2.4M |
| Feb 25, 2022 | GOOD LYNN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $2.0M |
| Aug 26, 2019 | YATES LLOYD M
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.8M |
| Nov 15, 2024 | GLENN ROBERT ALEXANDER
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.6M |
| Jul 16, 2021 | JANSON JULIE S.
Officer
|
Sell | 15.5K | $1.6M |
| May 15, 2024 | GOOD LYNN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.5M |
| Feb 23, 2026 | SAVOY BRIAN D.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $1.5M |
| Feb 28, 2020 | GOOD LYNN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 16.4K | $1.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Duke Energy Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?
Duke Energy Corporation's stock price is projected to be around $138.34 in 2030 based on a Monte Carlo simulation. The downside projection is $81.83, while the upside projection reaches $233.90. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Duke Energy Corporation stock a buy right now?
Duke Energy Corporation is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 59. The stock is trading below its key moving averages and shows oversold conditions on the RSI, but insider selling and a median price target suggesting only moderate upside temper a strong buy recommendation.
What are the key technical levels for Duke Energy Corporation stock?
Duke Energy Corporation is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $122.16 and its 200-day SMA of $124.04. The RSI is at an oversold level of 18.22, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, but the stock needs to reclaim these moving averages to signal a trend reversal.
How does Duke Energy Corporation's insider activity look?
Insider activity for Duke Energy Corporation shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with insiders selling over $11.1 million in stock versus no reported purchases. This net selling trend suggests a cautious sentiment among management.
What is Duke Energy Corporation's dividend yield?
Duke Energy Corporation offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.78%, providing a steady income stream for investors.
How does Duke Energy Corporation compare to its sector peers?
Duke Energy Corporation's P/E ratio of 17.07 and P/S ratio of 2.69 are below the sector medians of 22.8 and 3.3, respectively. However, its revenue growth of 1.1% lags the sector median of 4.1%, and its debt-to-equity ratio is at the sector median.
What is the outlook for Duke Energy Corporation's earnings?
Duke Energy Corporation has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with its most recent quarter to June 2026 showing a 10% EPS surprise. However, the stock's reaction to these beats has been muted, indicating that future earnings growth may be priced in or facing headwinds.