CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Jacob Bakshi, Senior Market Strategist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) is trading at $1.99, significantly below its 200-day simple moving average of $4.47 and its 50-day simple moving average of $2.92. The stock's 14-day RSI is 22.01, indicating oversold conditions. Despite these technical signals, the company faces fundamental challenges, including a negative EPS of -1.89 and a revenue decline of -43.7% year-over-year. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus rating with a median price target of $4.50, suggesting a potential upside of 126.1%. However, the company's profit margins are negative, with a net profit margin of -46.74% and an operating margin of -15.86%. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.15, which is in line with the sector median of 2.15, and its return on equity is a significantly negative -196.89%. Insider activity shows a net buying trend, with total insider purchases of $4.4M versus $2.1M in sales, indicating some level of insider conviction.
OPEN at a glance
Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN): Hold, 50/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($2.92 and $4.47).
InsidersInsiders sold $2.1M and bought $4.4M over the last 18 months.
As of October 14, 2026, Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) trades at $1.990. Wall Street's consensus target is $4.500 across 9 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 22, in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $2.924.
Figures as of October 14, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from OPEN's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, OPEN trades at 0.6256x, far below the sector average of 10.40x.
OPEN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last quarter, OPEN did not beat the analyst estimate.
OPEN earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Aug 4, 2026
-$0.02
-$0.03
-50.00%
-8.74%
-13.11%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 14, 2026, OPEN has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 reported quarters; its latest report, on August 4, 2026, came in 50.00% below the estimate and the stock moved -8.74% in the first session.
OPEN Analysis
Company's Health2/5
12-Month Analyst Target+126.13% above price
Median of 9 analysts (12-month)
$4.500
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $1.99 sitting below the 50-day SMA ($2.92) and the 200-day SMA ($4.47). The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 22.01, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce. Volume has been elevated, with the latest volume at 48.9 million shares, approximately 47.5% above the average daily volume. This high volume accompanying the price decline could indicate capitulation, but the sustained downtrend and bearish MACD reading (-0.25) suggest that immediate upside is limited. Key support levels are difficult to ascertain given the current trend, but the oversold RSI may offer a temporary floor.
ProTips
The stock's current price is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($2.92 and $4.47), indicating a strong downtrend. A break above the 50-day SMA would be a key technical signal to watch for potential trend reversal.
Key Catalysts
BullishInsider Buying Trend Continues
Insiders have demonstrated a net buying trend, with total purchases of $4.4M versus $2.1M in sales across recent filings, indicating a moderate level of insider conviction in the company's prospects.
Source: Insider Trading Data
BullishPotential for Housing Market Recovery
A stabilization or recovery in the broader housing market could positively impact Opendoor's iBuying volumes and profitability, potentially driving the stock towards analyst price targets.
Source: Market Analysis
BearishPersistent Negative Earnings
The company reported a -50% EPS surprise in its latest earnings, with a negative EPS of -1.89 for the trailing twelve months, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.
Source: Earnings Report
BearishRevenue Contraction
Opendoor Technologies Inc. experienced a revenue decline of -43.7% year-over-year, signaling weakening demand or market share challenges.
Source: Company Filings
Market Outlook
The base case outlook for Opendoor Technologies Inc. suggests a challenging near-to-medium term, with the stock currently trading at oversold technical levels and below key moving averages. The median Wall Street price target of $4.50 implies significant upside potential, but this is contingent on the company reversing its current negative earnings trend and achieving projected revenue growth. Key catalysts for upside include a potential turnaround in the housing market and successful execution of the company's strategy to achieve profitability. Conversely, downside risks include continued revenue contraction, failure to improve profit margins, and broader economic downturns impacting the real estate sector. The company's ability to manage its debt and generate positive cash flow will be critical for its long-term viability.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
1.92B
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-1.89
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
9.46
52 Week Low
1.94
As of October 14, 2026, OPEN trades at $1.99, with a market value of $1.92B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
Opendoor Technologies Inc. exhibits a low price-to-sales ratio of 0.63, significantly below the sector median of 10.4, indicating it is trading at a discount relative to its revenue. However, this valuation is overshadowed by its significantly negative profitability metrics. The company's net profit margin is -46.74%, and its return on equity is a stark -196.89%, far below the sector average of 5.8%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 2.15, matching the sector median. While the price-to-sales ratio is low, the negative earnings and revenue contraction (-43.7%) present significant challenges. The current valuation appears to be pricing in distress rather than reflecting fundamental strength.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Opendoor Technologies Inc. reported earnings on August 4, 2026, with an actual EPS of -0.03 against an estimated -0.02, missing expectations by 50%. This earnings miss was accompanied by an 8.74% drop in stock price. The company has consistently missed EPS estimates in recent quarters, signaling ongoing profitability challenges.
Key Risks
Opendoor Technologies Inc. faces significant risks, including its persistent negative earnings and declining revenue, which have led to a significantly negative return on equity. The stock is trading well below its key moving averages, indicating a strong bearish technical trend despite oversold RSI conditions. Also, the company's high debt-to-equity ratio and negative profit margins present financial fragility.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
22.01
MACD (12, 26)
-0.247
SMA (50-day)
2.92
SMA (200-day)
4.47
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $2.924, 200-day: $4.473), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 22.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
As of October 14, 2026, with OPEN at $1.99, its 14-day RSI is 22.0 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $2.92 and its 200-day is $4.47.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.29
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.28
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.30
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.09
Weak correlation
As of October 14, 2026, OPEN's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.28 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.09 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with OPEN? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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OPEN Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $1.00Median $4.50 (+126.1%)High $7.00
Ratings
Buy 2Hold 5Sell 23 months ago: 2 of 9 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on OPEN
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Sep 11, 2026
JP Morgan
Maintains
Overweight
Sep 11, 2026
Citizens
Reiterates
Market Perform
Aug 5, 2026
UBS
Maintains
Neutral
Jul 13, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Maintains
Underperform
Apr 28, 2026
Alliance Global Partners
Initiates
Buy
As of October 14, 2026, 9 Wall Street analysts cover OPEN: 2 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $1.00 to $7.00, with a median of $4.50, 126.1% above the price of $1.99.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
OPEN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$1.970
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$1.990
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$1.777
MAX LOSS
-9.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (22.0) and current market volatility
These levels come from OPEN's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OPEN in June 2020 would be worth about $1,953 today, compared with about $24,954 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
OPEN Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 6 years
-98.5%
February 2021 to June 2025
Recovery
Not yet
still 94.2% below the February 2021 peak
From the 6-year high
-94.2%
highest close, February 2021
1-year holds that gained
38%
of every 1-year window
As of October 14, 2026, OPEN's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 6 years was -98.5% (February 2021 to June 2025); it is still 94.2% below that peak, and 38% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OPEN today could grow to about $4,138 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $31,391 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $545. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OPEN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1.40 for OPEN by 2030 in the base case, from $1.99 today (0.7x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $0.3881. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OPEN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
OPEN simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$0.9599
$1.82
$3.46
2028
$0.674
$1.67
$4.13
2029
$0.5033
$1.53
$4.63
2030
$0.3881
$1.40
$5.04
2031
$0.3055
$1.28
$5.36
Method: a lognormal simulation of OPEN's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 14, 2026, OPEN insiders reported 11 open-market sales worth $2.1M and 5 open-market purchases worth $4.4M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in OPEN
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Sep 15, 2026
SCHWARTZ CHRISTINA MIGNACCA
Chief Financial Officer
Option
59.7K
$57.9K
Aug 14, 2026
NEJATIAN KASRA
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
27.6K
$100.0K
Jul 15, 2026
NGUYEN GIANG
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
3.6K
$16.8K
Jun 16, 2026
BENSON DAVID C
Director
Sell
40.0K
$193.4K
Jun 11, 2026
BAIN ADAM
Director
Grant
41.7K
-
Jun 11, 2026
BENSON DAVID C
Director
Grant
41.7K
-
Jun 11, 2026
FEDER ERIC
Director
Grant
41.7K
-
Jun 11, 2026
HAMILTON DANA K
Director
Grant
41.7K
-
Jun 11, 2026
RABOIS KEITH
Director
Grant
41.7K
-
Jun 11, 2026
WU ERIC CHUNG-WEI
Director
Grant
41.7K
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the biggest risks for Opendoor Technologies Inc. stock?
The primary risks for Opendoor Technologies Inc. include its ongoing negative profitability, evidenced by a -46.74% net profit margin and a -196.89% return on equity. Additionally, the stock is trading below key moving averages, and revenue has contracted significantly, signaling potential financial distress.
How is Opendoor Technologies Inc. performing financially?
Financially, Opendoor Technologies Inc. is struggling, reporting a negative EPS of -1.89 and a revenue decline of -43.7%. Its profit margins are negative, and its return on equity is significantly in the red, indicating significant challenges in generating profits.
What is the outlook for Opendoor Technologies Inc. stock?
The outlook for Opendoor Technologies Inc. is mixed. While analysts see potential upside to their median price target of $4.50, the company's current financial performance, including negative earnings and revenue contraction, poses substantial risks. Future performance will depend on its ability to achieve profitability and reverse its revenue decline.
Are insiders buying Opendoor Technologies Inc. stock?
Yes, insider activity indicates a net buying trend for Opendoor Technologies Inc. Insiders have purchased approximately $4.4 million worth of stock, compared to $2.1 million in sales, suggesting a moderate level of insider confidence.
How does Opendoor Technologies Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Opendoor Technologies Inc. has a significantly lower return on equity (-196.89%) compared to the sector average of 5.8%. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.63 is also much lower than the sector median of 10.4, while its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.15 matches the sector median.
Is OPEN in an uptrend?
No. Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) trades at $1.99, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($2.92 and $4.47). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 22.0, in oversold territory.
What is the analyst price target for OPEN?
As of October 14, 2026, the 9 Wall Street analysts covering OPEN have 12-month targets from $1.00 to $7.00, with a median of $4.50, 126.1% above the current price of $1.99. 2 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 2 of 9 rated it a buy.
What is OPEN's biggest drop in the last 6 years?
Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 6 years was -98.5%, from February 2021 to June 2025. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 94.2% below it. Over the same period, 38% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are OPEN's best and worst months?
Over the last 7 years, July has been OPEN's strongest month on average (+40.46%, rising in 3 of 7 years) and March its weakest (-15.23%, rising in 0 of 6 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does OPEN move with the stock market?
Over the past year OPEN's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.29). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.28; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.30; Gold (XAU): +0.09. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
