Jump to any asset
850 assets, updated daily
As of September 11, 2026, ConocoPhillips (COP) trades at $136.66. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $146.00, 6.8% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $146.00 across 26 analysts. RSI at 55 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $122.73.
ConocoPhillips (COP)
ConocoPhillips NYSE
$136.66
-0.3850 (-0.28%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
72 / 100
ConocoPhillips (COP) is trading at $136.66, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($122.73 and $113.70), indicating positive technical momentum. The company operates in the Energy sector, specifically Oil & Gas E&P, with a sector ETF of XLE. Analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $146.00, suggesting a 6.8% upside. Recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with EPS beating estimates in the latest quarter by 10.2%. Revenue growth has been strong, with current year estimates showing an 18.00% increase year-over-year, although next year's growth is projected to decline by 8.00%. The company also offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.46%. Despite the positive financial and technical indicators, a significant concern is the heavy insider selling, with $483.0M in total sales versus $5.0M in total purchases. This heavy insider selling verdict from insider transactions warrants close monitoring. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 17.85, is in line with sector averages, and its revenue growth is strong, but the insider activity introduces a notable risk factor that investors should consider.
COP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$136.27
Day Range
$135.53 to $137.66
Prev Close
$137.04
Volume
135.7K
52-Week Range
$85.57 to $138.89
Market Cap
$164.63B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.0165% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
COP Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, COP beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
COP Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+6.84% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$146.00
AI Technical Analysis
ConocoPhillips (COP) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($122.73 and $113.70), signaling a generally positive trend. The current price of $136.66 is also above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average, reinforcing bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.66, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is positive at 3.87. Volume was notably low in the latest trading session, significantly below the average. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $122.73 and the 200-day SMA at $113.70. Resistance can be inferred from the current price action and potentially higher levels not explicitly stated. The neutral RSI suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for further price movement in either direction. The low volume on recent price action might suggest a lack of conviction from traders.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling totaling $144.6 million, investors should closely monitor future transactions and management commentary for any signs of underlying issues.
- The stock's neutral RSI suggests it is not currently overextended, offering potential for further gains if positive catalysts emerge, but also indicating a lack of strong immediate buying pressure.
- With a projected revenue decline next year, consider the company's ability to manage costs and maintain profitability through the energy cycle.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Continued Earnings Beats
ConocoPhillips has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 10.2% on August 6, 2026. This trend suggests operational strength and could continue to support the stock price.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment
A 'Buy' consensus from 26 analysts, with a median price target of $146.00, indicates strong institutional confidence in the stock's future performance.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling
Insiders have sold $144.6 million in stock versus minimal purchases, resulting in a heavy insider selling verdict. This suggests potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance.
Source: Insider Transaction FilingsBearish
Projected Revenue Decline
Revenue growth is projected to shift from an 18.00% increase this year to an 8.00% decline next year, indicating potential headwinds for future top-line performance.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
ConocoPhillips (COP) is expected to maintain a positive trajectory in the medium term, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from 26 analysts and a median price target of $146.00, implying a 6.8% upside. The company's strong revenue growth, currently projected at 18.00% for the year, and consistent earnings beats provide a solid fundamental base. The stock's position above key moving averages also suggests continued technical strength. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling and a projected slowdown in revenue growth for next year, with an anticipated 8.00% decline. Investors should monitor these factors closely. Potential catalysts include favorable commodity prices and successful exploration efforts, while risks include regulatory changes, geopolitical instability in energy markets, and a potential shift in analyst sentiment if insider selling continues or revenue declines materialize.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 164.63B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.85 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.65 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
| 52 Week High | 138.89 |
| 52 Week Low | 85.57 |
ConocoPhillips (COP) presents a P/E ratio of 17.85, which aligns closely with the sector average of 17.85, suggesting a fair valuation relative to its peers. The company's revenue growth is a strong point, with a reported 35.5% year-over-year growth and current year estimates projecting an 18.00% increase. However, forward estimates indicate a potential slowdown with an 8.00% revenue decline projected for next year. The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 2.46%. While the valuation appears reasonable and revenue growth is currently strong, the significant insider selling activity, totaling $144.6 million in sales against minimal purchases, raises concerns about management's short-term outlook. The company's profitability, as indicated by its EPS of $7.65, supports its current valuation, but the divergence between analyst sentiment and insider actions requires careful consideration.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
ConocoPhillips (COP) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters. Most recently, on August 6, 2026, the company reported EPS of $3.24, surpassing the estimate of $2.94 by 10.2% and resulting in a 0.73% price increase. Prior to this, the company also beat estimates in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, though it missed expectations in Q3 2025. This consistent ability to outperform analyst expectations on earnings suggests operational efficiency and effective management.
Key Risks
The primary risk for ConocoPhillips (COP) stems from significant insider selling, with $144.6 million in dispositions versus minimal purchases, signaling a heavy insider selling. While the company's valuation is in line with sector averages and revenue growth is positive, a projected 8.00% revenue decline for next year presents a potential headwind. Also, the neutral RSI suggests a lack of strong momentum, indicating that the stock may be range-bound in the near term.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 54.66 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 3.87 |
| SMA 50 | 122.73 |
| SMA 200 | 113.70 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($122.73) above the 200-day SMA ($113.70), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
COP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$133.92
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$136.66
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$129.90
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (54.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$140.62
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$147.31
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$154.01
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for COP is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in COP in September 2016 would be worth about $32,116 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COP today could grow to about $25,340 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $116,974 and a bear case around $5,489. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
COP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $198 for COP by 2030 in the base case, from $137 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $75.34. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $92.46 | $150 | $243 |
| 2028 | $83.04 | $165 | $326 |
| 2029 | $78.15 | $181 | $417 |
| 2030 | $75.34 | $198 | $522 |
| 2031 | $73.76 | $218 | $642 |
| 2032 | $73.00 | $239 | $781 |
| 2033 | $72.86 | $262 | $942 |
| 2034 | $73.20 | $288 | $1,129 |
| 2035 | $73.93 | $316 | $1,347 |
| 2036 | $75.01 | $346 | $1,599 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using COP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
COP Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$999.5K
2 Transactions
Sold
$144.6M
14 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$9.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2024 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 607.0K | $76.4M |
| Jun 7, 2022 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 584.9K | $70.9M |
| Sep 1, 2023 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 569.4K | $69.5M |
| Mar 20, 2026 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 506.8K | $64.5M |
| Dec 19, 2025 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 500.7K | $46.3M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 113.2K | $15.0M |
| Aug 22, 2018 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 160.1K | $11.5M |
| Feb 7, 2022 | LUNDQUIST ANDREW D
Officer
|
Sell | 112.3K | $10.4M |
| May 14, 2018 | CARRIG JANET L.
General Counsel
|
Sell | 114.2K | $8.0M |
| Dec 27, 2021 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 105.1K | $7.7M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is ConocoPhillips's stock forecast for 2030?
ConocoPhillips's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $198.22. The downside scenario suggests a price of $75.34, while the upside scenario reaches $521.53. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is ConocoPhillips stock a buy right now?
ConocoPhillips (COP) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $146.00, implying a 6.8% upside from the current price of $136.66. The stock is trading above key moving averages, and recent earnings have beaten expectations.
What are the biggest risks facing ConocoPhillips?
The most significant risk for ConocoPhillips is the heavy insider selling, with $144.6 million in sales, indicating potential concerns among management. Additionally, projected revenue growth is expected to turn negative next year, and the stock's neutral RSI suggests limited immediate upside momentum.
How does ConocoPhillips compare to its sector averages?
ConocoPhillips's P/E ratio of 17.85 is in line with the sector average of 17.85. Its reported revenue growth of 35.5% significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.0%, although next year's projected growth is expected to slow.
What is ConocoPhillips's dividend yield?
ConocoPhillips offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.46%, with a dividend rate of $3.36.
How has ConocoPhillips performed in recent earnings reports?
ConocoPhillips has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, with its latest report on August 6, 2026, showing an EPS beat of 10.2% and a positive stock price reaction. This trend has been consistent over the past several quarters.
What is the sentiment from ConocoPhillips's insider transactions?
Insider sentiment for ConocoPhillips is currently bearish, with a heavy insider selling verdict. Insiders have sold $144.6 million worth of stock compared to only $999.5 thousand in purchases, indicating a net seller position.