Stock·NYSE·Energy
ConocoPhillips (COP)
- Market cap
- $181.85B
- P/E
- 19.97
- Dividend yield
- 2.22%
- Street target
- $150.00median of 28 analysts
- 52-week range
- $85.57 $152.77
COP stock forecast today
Where COP stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
COP at a glance
ConocoPhillips (COP): Buy, 76/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($134.56 and $120.25).
- Earnings COP beat estimates in 7 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 4 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $144.6M and bought $999K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 20.0 against 18.4 for the Energy sector: broadly in line with peers (+9%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates ConocoPhillips (COP) Buy, with a model score of 76/100.
The trend lifts the score most: the price is 25.88% above its 200-day average and 12.49% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 11.90% above the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $134.56 and the 200-day at $120.25. Over the past year the price rose 71.95%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from COP's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
COP stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $151.37 is 12.5% above the 50-day simple moving average of $134.56.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 25.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $120.25.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($134.56) is 11.9% above the 200-day average ($120.25), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 98% of its 52-week range, between $85.57 and $152.77.
COP share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far COP has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where COP sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
COP fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 19.97 is 8.6% above the Energy median of 18.4.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.81 is 12.4% above the sector median of 2.5.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $9.3B on revenue of $64.5B, a net margin of 14.4%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
COP beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 2.22%, or $3.36 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for COP.
As of October 26, 2026, COP trades at $151.37, with a market value of $181.85B, a P/E ratio of 19.97 and a dividend yield of 2.22%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of COP's valuation, growth and risks.
ConocoPhillips (COP) trades at 19.97 times trailing earnings, which places the P/E 8.6% above the Energy median of 18.4. The peer comparison on this page calls that P/E broadly in line with peers. The price-to-sales ratio of 2.81 is 12.4% above the sector median of 2.5. Market capitalisation stands at $181.8B, and trailing earnings come to $7.55 per share.
Its net margin is 14.40% and its operating margin is 31.51%. Return on equity is 14.18%, which is below the sector median of 14.2%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 0.36, and the trailing dividend yield is 2.22%, equal to $3.36 a share each year.
COP's most recent earnings report, dated August 6, 2026, came in above expectations: EPS of $3.24 compared with an estimate of $2.93, a beat of 10.58%. Investors responded positively, and the stock rose 0.73% in the next session.
Over its last 8 reports, COP topped the estimate 7 times; even so, 4 of those 7 beats were followed by a lower share price the next session. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $11.40, which would be growth of 85.1%, and $10.77 for next year (a decline of 5.5%).
COP typically moves 2.00% on an average day, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.24. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $144.6M of stock and bought $999K. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they tell less than open-market purchases do.
COP against the Energy sector
How COP compares with the median Energy stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (9% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs XLE: Since May 14, 2025, COP has gained 63.5% against a gain of 63.4% for XLE.
Performance against XLE
COP and the Energy sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much COP sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 7.7% in FY2025 to $58.9B, from $54.7B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 13.6% in FY2025, down from 16.9% the year before.
Profitable: COP earned $8.0B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did COP beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: COP beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 4 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | $2.93 | $3.24 | +10.58% | +0.73% | +6.65% |
| Apr 30, 2026after close | $1.72 | $1.89 | +9.88% | -2.06% | -8.67% |
| Feb 5, 2026after close | $1.10 | $1.02 | -7.27% | +2.51% | +5.57% |
| Nov 6, 2025after close | $1.41 | $1.61 | +14.18% | +1.37% | +4.39% |
| Aug 7, 2025after close | $1.35 | $1.42 | +5.19% | +1.41% | +3.29% |
| May 8, 2025after close | $2.05 | $2.09 | +1.95% | -0.26% | +4.66% |
| Feb 6, 2025after close | $1.83 | $1.98 | +8.20% | -1.58% | -3.04% |
| Oct 31, 2024after close | $1.64 | $1.78 | +8.54% | -1.55% | +2.61% |
As of October 26, 2026, COP has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 4 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 10.58% above the estimate and the stock moved +0.73% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
COP AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 77.3, in overbought territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 77.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of COP
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
ConocoPhillips (COP) is trending up. Trading at $151.37, the stock sits 12.49% above its 50-day average of $134.56 and 25.88% above its 200-day average of $120.25. It is near the top of its 52-week range: the price is 0.92% below the high of $152.77 and 76.90% above the low of $85.57. The 50-day average is 11.90% above the 200-day, so the two averages are arranged in a way that supports the uptrend.
With an 14-day RSI of 77.3 on the 14-day measure, COP sits in the overbought zone, and its MACD line is positive. Returns have been positive across every window shown: over the past three months the price rose 30.97%, over the past six months it rose 24.40%, and over the past year it rose 71.95%.
Earnings beat ›
The August 6, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 10.58%, and the share price rose 0.73% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 6, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
Susquehanna kept its Positive rating on October 20, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Susquehanna, October 20, 2026
New analyst coverage ›
Seaport Global started coverage at Neutral on September 3, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Seaport Global, September 3, 2026
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high at $152.77 sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $140.70 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 77.3, which is in the overbought zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 flag momentum that has become stretched.
- The share price rose 0.73% in the first session after the August 6, 2026 report. COP has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 reports.
The uptrend depends on COP holding above its 50-day average of $134.56 and its 200-day average of $120.25. A close below the 50-day average would be the first sign of that trend weakening. If the price pulls back, the first level it would reach is the 20-day EMA at $140.70.
ConocoPhillips (COP) has its next overhead level at the 52-week high of $152.77. Momentum is stretched, with the RSI above the overbought line, so a pullback in momentum would not be surprising even while the uptrend holds.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for COP, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with COP at $151.37, its 14-day RSI is 77.3 (overbought territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $134.56 and its 200-day is $120.25.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What COP moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, COP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.23 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.12 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.01 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.07 with gold (XAU).
COP price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
19 of 28 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $150.00 is 0.9% below the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
19 of 28 rate it a buy now, against 19 of 26 three months ago.
COP Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold |
| Sep 14, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral |
As of October 26, 2026, 28 Wall Street analysts cover COP: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $126.00 to $189.00. The median COP price target is $150.00, 0.9% below the price of $151.37.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
COP trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
COP trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from COP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much COP tends to move, against the market and on its own.
COP price history and drawdowns
COP's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.00% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 65.8%, from October 2018 to March 2020, regained by October 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
61% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $45,793, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
COP Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, COP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -65.8% (October 2018 to March 2020); it regained that peak by October 2021, 19 months after the low, and 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into COP in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: COP beat the S&P 500 over this period: $45,793 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in COP in October 2016 would be worth about $45,793 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to COP, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +4.17%, up in 5 of 10 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -1.14%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.95%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, COP's strongest calendar month has been November (average +4.17%, up in 5 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -1.14%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
COP stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in COP, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in COP today could grow to about $13,985 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $36,750 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,322. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.22% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
COP Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $212 for COP by 2030 in the base case, from $151 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $80.56. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $102 | $165 | $267 | |
| 2028 | $90.40 | $179 | $354 | |
| 2029 | $84.32 | $195 | $449 | |
| 2030 | $80.56 | $212 | $556 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of COP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
COP insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
COP insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $999K on the open market and sold $144.6M.
As of October 26, 2026, COP insiders reported 14 open-market sales worth $144.6M and 2 open-market purchases worth $999K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kelly Brunetti Rose
General Counsel
|
Sell | 15.0K | $2.0M |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Sharmila Mulligan
Director
|
Sell | 2.0K | $234.9K |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Andrew D Lundquist
Officer
|
Grant | 2.9K | - |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Timothy Allen Leach
Director
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| Apr 15, 2026 | William H. Mcraven
Director
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ryan Michael Lance
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 113.2K | $15.0M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Nicholas G Olds
Officer
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Kelly Brunetti Rose
General Counsel
|
Sell | 7.7K | $1.0M |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Nicholas G Olds
Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $888.7K |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Ryan Michael Lance
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 506.8K | $64.5M |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Ryan Michael Lance
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 506.8K | $25.2M |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Andrew D Lundquist
Officer
|
Sell | 34.5K | $4.1M |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Heather Grace Hrap
Officer
|
Sell | 2.7K | $317.6K |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Andrew D Lundquist
Officer
|
Option | 34.5K | $1.7M |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Nicholas G Olds
Officer
|
Sell | 14.5K | $1.7M |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Kontessa S. Haynes-Welsh
Officer
|
Sell | 10.3K | $1.2M |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Nicholas G Olds
Officer
|
Sell | 12.2K | $1.4M |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Nicholas G Olds
Officer
|
Option | 12.2K | $604.5K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Kelly Brunetti Rose
General Counsel
|
Sell | 8.5K | $1.0M |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Timothy Allen Leach
Director
|
Sell | 40.0K | $4.8M |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Timothy Allen Leach
Director
|
Grant | 15.9K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kontessa S. Haynes-Welsh
Officer
|
Grant | 2.0K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Heather G. Hrap
Officer
|
Grant | 4.3K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kirk L Johnson
Officer
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ryan Michael Lance
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 49.0K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Timothy Allen Leach
Director
|
Grant | 7.3K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Andrew D Lundquist
Officer
|
Grant | 3.7K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Andrew M O'Brien
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 4.0K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nicholas G Olds
Officer
|
Grant | 8.6K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kelly Brunetti Rose
General Counsel
|
Grant | 10.1K | - |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Ryan Michael Lance
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 500.7K | $46.3M |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Ryan Michael Lance
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 819.9K | $27.2M |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Timothy Allen Leach
Director
|
Grant | 26.1K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Ryan Michael Lance
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Timothy Allen Leach
Director
|
Grant | 324 | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Andrew D Lundquist
Officer
|
Grant | 211 | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Nicholas G Olds
Officer
|
Grant | 498 | - |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Kelly Brunetti Rose
General Counsel
|
Grant | 446 | - |
| Nov 10, 2025 | William H. Mcraven
Director
|
Buy | 5.8K | $500.0K |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Kirk L Johnson
Officer
|
Buy | 5.3K | $499.5K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
COP stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.