ConocoPhillips (COP)
ConocoPhillips NYSE
COP at a glance
ConocoPhillips (COP): Buy, 71/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($130.64 and $118.22).
- Earnings COP beat estimates in 2 of its last 3 quarters, yet fell the next day after 1 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $144.6M and bought $999K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 18.7 against 18.4 for the Energy sector: broadly in line with peers (+2%).
As of October 15, 2026, ConocoPhillips (COP) trades at $142.34. Wall Street's consensus target is $146.00 across 28 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 71, in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $130.64.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from COP's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
COP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
COP Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $2.93 | $3.24 | +10.58% | +0.73% | +6.65% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.72 | $1.89 | +9.88% | -2.06% | -8.67% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $1.10 | $1.02 | -7.27% | +2.51% | +5.57% |
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, COP has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 3 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 10.58% above the estimate and the stock moved +0.73% in the first session.
COP Analysis
- Significant insider selling totaling $144.6 million should be monitored closely as it could indicate potential future headwinds for ConocoPhillips (COP).
- The stock is currently in overbought territory (RSI 71.25), suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback. Consider waiting for a more favorable entry point or managing position size accordingly.
- ConocoPhillips (COP) pays a dividend of 3.36%, providing a yield that can contribute to total returns, especially if the stock price experiences consolidation.
Insiders have sold $144.6 million worth of stock against $999.5 thousand in purchases, resulting in a 'Heavy Sell Signal' and raising concerns about management's confidence.
Source: Insider Trading DataThe latest earnings report on August 6, 2026, showed EPS exceeding estimates by 10.58%, contributing to positive price momentum.
Source: Company Earnings ReportA 'Buy' consensus rating from 28 analysts, with a median price target of $146.00, indicates Wall Street's positive outlook on ConocoPhillips (COP).
Source: Wall Street AnalystsRevenue estimates for next year show a projected decline of 5.00%, which could signal a slowdown in growth if market conditions do not improve.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 171.00B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.69 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.36 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.36% |
| 52 Week High | 142.55 |
| 52 Week Low | 85.57 |
As of October 15, 2026, COP trades at $142.34, with a market value of $171.00B, a P/E ratio of 18.69 and a dividend yield of 2.36%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14-day) | 71.25 |
|---|---|
| MACD (12, 26) | 2.19 |
| SMA (50-day) | 130.64 |
| SMA (200-day) | 118.22 |
As of October 15, 2026, with COP at $142.34, its 14-day RSI is 71.3 (overbought territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $130.64 and its 200-day is $118.22.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
As of October 15, 2026, COP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.24 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.13 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.00 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.04 with gold (XAU).
How does any other asset move with COP? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
COP Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold |
| Sep 14, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 15, 2026, 28 Wall Street analysts cover COP: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $126.00 to $189.00, with a median of $146.00, 2.6% above the price of $142.34.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
COP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from COP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in COP in October 2016 would be worth about $34,633 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
COP Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 15, 2026, COP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -67.3% (October 2018 to March 2020); it regained that peak by January 2022, 22 months after the low, and 59% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COP today could grow to about $23,176 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $106,852 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,027. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.36% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
COP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $199 for COP by 2030 in the base case, from $142 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $75.78. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $95.48 | $155 | $251 |
| 2028 | $85.01 | $168 | $334 |
| 2029 | $79.30 | $183 | $423 |
| 2030 | $75.78 | $199 | $524 |
| 2031 | $73.54 | $217 | $639 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of COP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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COP Insider Trading Analysis
As of October 15, 2026, COP insiders reported 14 open-market sales worth $144.6M and 2 open-market purchases worth $999K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | ROSE KELLY BRUNETTI
General Counsel
|
Sell | 15.0K | $2.0M |
| Jun 10, 2026 | MULLIGAN SHARMILA
Director
|
Sell | 2.0K | $234.9K |
| Jun 1, 2026 | LUNDQUIST ANDREW D
Officer
|
Grant | 2.9K | - |
| Apr 15, 2026 | LEACH TIMOTHY ALLEN
Director
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| Apr 15, 2026 | MCRAVEN WILLIAM H.
Director
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| Mar 31, 2026 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 113.2K | $15.0M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | OLDS NICHOLAS G
Officer
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Mar 24, 2026 | ROSE KELLY BRUNETTI
General Counsel
|
Sell | 7.7K | $1.0M |
| Mar 23, 2026 | OLDS NICHOLAS G
Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $888.7K |
| Mar 20, 2026 | LANCE RYAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 506.8K | $64.5M |