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As of September 10, 2026, Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) trades at $203.23. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $225.00, 10.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $225.00 across 30 analysts. RSI at 40 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $195.99.
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)
Diamondback Energy Inc. NASDAQ
$203.23
0.6000 (0.30%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
73 / 100
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) is currently trading at $202.63, a level that positions it above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($195.99 and $181.39), indicating a generally positive technical trend. The company's recent earnings have shown a mixed performance, with a beat in the latest quarter (EPS actual $6.48 vs. estimate $5.98, +8.36% surprise) but a miss in the quarter prior. Despite this, forward revenue estimates remain strong, with the current year projected to grow by 23.00% year-over-year. Analysts maintain a largely positive outlook, with a consensus 'Buy' rating and a median price target of $225.00, suggesting an 11% upside potential. This context is key for understanding the insider transaction narrative. Insiders are net sellers with $7,599.7M in total sales versus $3.4M in total purchases in recent filings. However, 97% of total selling ($5B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $153.8M.
FANG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$206.75
Day Range
$203.11 to $207.33
Prev Close
$202.63
Volume
4.4K
52-Week Range
$134.30 to $216.90
Market Cap
$56.74B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+280%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
FANG Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, FANG beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
FANG Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+10.71% Upside
Median of 30 analysts (12-month)
$225.00
AI Technical Analysis
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) is currently trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average of $195.99 and its 200-day Simple Moving Average of $181.39, signaling a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 40.31, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. Key support levels are found near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge around the $225 median analyst target price. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders, but the overall price action above key moving averages points to continued upward potential if broader market conditions remain favorable.
ProTips
- Monitor the impact of parent company SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP's stake reduction on FANG's stock price, as this activity is currently driving insider transaction narratives.
- With FANG trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($195.99 and $181.39), consider the $225 median analyst target price as a potential near-term resistance level.
- Given the current P/E ratio of 38.02, which is considerably higher than the sector average, investors should closely watch for any signs of slowing revenue growth or increased operational costs.
Key Catalysts
Neutral
Parent Company Stake Reduction Continues
SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP, a parent entity, has been systematically reducing its stake in Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG), accounting for 97% of total insider selling. This ongoing divestiture is a key factor in insider transaction analysis.
Source: Insider FilingsBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast current year revenue growth of 23.00% for Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG), indicating strong demand and expansion potential for the company's E&P operations.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Recent Earnings Beat
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) exceeded analyst EPS expectations in its latest report, posting $6.48 against an estimate of $5.98, signaling operational efficiency and strong performance.
Source: Earnings ReportBearish
Projected Slowdown in Next Year Revenue Growth
Forward-looking estimates suggest a 7.00% decline in revenue growth for Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) in the next year, potentially indicating market saturation or increased competition.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesMarket Outlook
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) is expected to maintain a positive trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong revenue growth and a median analyst target price of $225.00, representing an 11% upside. The company's ability to consistently grow revenue, even amidst fluctuating energy prices, underpins this optimistic outlook. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong execution on production and cost management, as well as favorable commodity price movements. Conversely, a significant downturn in oil prices, increased regulatory scrutiny on E&P companies, or a failure to meet forward revenue growth expectations could pressure the stock and alter this outlook.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 56.74B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.02 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.33 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.10% |
| 52 Week High | 216.90 |
| 52 Week Low | 134.30 |
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.02, which appears elevated compared to the sector average P/E of 10.0. However, the company's reported revenue growth of 52.5% significantly outpaces the sector average of 15.0%, suggesting strong operational expansion that may justify a premium valuation. The company's earnings per share (EPS) stands at $5.33. While the P/E ratio is high, the substantial revenue growth and positive analyst outlook on future revenue, with the current year estimated to grow by 23.00%, indicate that investors are pricing in significant future earnings potential. The dividend yield is approximately 2.10%, offering a modest income component.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) most recently reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $6.48, surpassing the analyst estimate of $5.98 by 8.36%. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings performance, including a 12.8% beat in the prior quarter and a 13% miss before that. The company's revenue growth remains a strong point, with the current quarter's revenue expected to increase by 14.00% year-over-year.
Key Risks
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) faces valuation risk, with its P/E ratio of 38.02 significantly higher than the sector average of 10.0, despite strong revenue growth. Additionally, the company's next year revenue growth is projected to decline by 7.00%, indicating potential headwinds. While insider selling is attributed to parent company restructuring, the substantial volume of sales warrants monitoring.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 40.31 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.99 |
| SMA 50 | 195.99 |
| SMA 200 | 181.39 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($195.99) above the 200-day SMA ($181.39), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.09
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
FANG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$199.17
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$203.23
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$192.95
MAX LOSS
-3.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (40.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$209.12
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$219.08
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$229.04
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for FANG is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in FANG in September 2016 would be worth about $21,189 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FANG today could grow to about $20,626 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $156,485 and a bear case around $2,719. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FANG Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $271 for FANG by 2030 in the base case, from $203 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $75.36. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FANG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $115 | $218 | $415 |
| 2028 | $94.91 | $235 | $581 |
| 2029 | $83.23 | $253 | $766 |
| 2030 | $75.36 | $271 | $978 |
| 2031 | $69.65 | $292 | $1,223 |
| 2032 | $65.31 | $314 | $1,508 |
| 2033 | $61.91 | $337 | $1,838 |
| 2034 | $59.21 | $363 | $2,222 |
| 2035 | $57.03 | $390 | $2,666 |
| 2036 | $55.25 | $419 | $3,180 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FANG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
FANG Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$5.2B
52 Transactions
Insiders
20
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$99.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2024 | GRETH LYNDAL
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.2M | $2.3B |
| Mar 12, 2026 | SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 12.7M | $2.2B |
| Jun 4, 2026 | SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 10.0M | $2.0B |
| Feb 4, 2026 | SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.0M | $331.9M |
| Nov 28, 2025 | SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.0M | $305.2M |
| Mar 4, 2026 | SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.0M | $176.7M |
| Dec 4, 2025 | MELOY CHARLES ALVIN
Director
|
Sell | 377.9K | $52.4M |
| Mar 6, 2026 | STICE TRAVIS D
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $18.1M |
| Jun 16, 2026 | MELOY CHARLES ALVIN
Director
|
Sell | 83.3K | $15.6M |
| Feb 16, 2018 | STICE TRAVIS D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 87.2K | $10.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) stock a buy right now?
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) is currently rated a 'Buy' by our AI consensus and has a 'Buy' consensus from Wall Street analysts. The median analyst price target is $225.00, suggesting an 11% upside from the current price of $202.63.
What is Diamondback Energy Inc.'s (FANG) fair value?
Our fair value estimate for Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) is $225.00, indicating an 11.0% potential upside from its current trading price.
What are the key risks for Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)?
Key risks for Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) include its elevated P/E ratio of 38.02 compared to the sector average, a projected 7.00% decline in revenue growth for next year, and significant insider selling activity, although largely attributed to parent company restructuring.
How has Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) performed in recent earnings reports?
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) recently beat its EPS estimate by 8.36% ($6.48 actual vs. $5.98 estimate). However, earnings performance has been mixed over the past few quarters, with a prior quarter miss.
What is the dividend yield for Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)?
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.10%, with a dividend rate of $4.25.
What is Diamondback Energy Inc.'s (FANG) long-term forecast?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Diamondback Energy Inc.'s (FANG) base case forecast for 2030 is $270.69, with a downside projection of $75.14 and an upside potential of $975.13. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets.
How does Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) compare to its sector averages?
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) shows significantly higher revenue growth (52.5%) than the sector average (15.0%) and a higher P/E ratio (38.02 vs. 10.0). Its Return on Equity (ROE) is estimated at 20.0%, aligning with the sector average.