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As of September 26, 2026, APA Corporation (APA) trades at $42.74. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $46.00, 7.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $46.00 across 27 analysts. RSI at 50 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $40.89.
APA Corporation (APA)
APA Corporation NASDAQ
$42.74
-0.9400 (-2.15%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
58 / 100
APA Corporation (APA) is currently trading at $42.74, positioned between its 50-day ($40.89) and 200-day ($34.92) moving averages, indicating a period of consolidation. The stock's RSI is neutral at 49.89, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $46.00, implying a modest 7.6% upside from the current price. The company's recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with the quarter to June 2026 beating estimates by 72.73% and the quarter to March 2026 by 18.18%. insiders are net sellers, with $3.7M in total purchases versus $7.7M in total sales, signaling some internal confidence. However, forward revenue growth estimates for the next year are projected to decline by 10.00%, and the next five years show a projected compound annual growth rate of -8.23%, posing a significant headwind to future performance. The energy sector itself is experiencing strong revenue growth of 32.8% on average, placing APA below its peers in this regard.
APA Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$42.80
Day Range
$42.23 to $43.26
Prev Close
$43.68
Volume
5.33M
52-Week Range
$21.63 to $47.44
Market Cap
$14.97B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-51%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
APA Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, APA beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
APA Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+7.63% Upside
Median of 27 analysts (12-month)
$46.00
AI Technical Analysis
APA Corporation's stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($40.89 and $34.92), indicating a generally positive long-term trend. However, it is trading below its 20-day EMA ($43.59), suggesting some near-term weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 49.89, reflecting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. MACD is slightly positive at 0.65, hinting at a mild bullish bias but without significant conviction. Volume has been below average recently, with current volume at 5.33 million compared to the average of 6.92 million, suggesting subdued investor interest. Key support is seen around the 50-day SMA, while resistance may form near the 20-day EMA.
ProTips
- Insiders have been net buyers of APA Corporation stock, with $1.4 million in purchases versus $833,373 in sales, indicating a degree of internal confidence.
- APA Corporation's stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($40.89 and $34.92) but below its 20-day EMA, suggesting a consolidation phase with potential for either a breakout or a pullback.
- Given the projected decline in future revenue growth, investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports and management guidance for any signs of a turnaround or further deterioration.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprises
APA Corporation has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last two reported quarters, leading to positive stock price reactions, suggesting operational improvements.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Insider Net Buying Activity
Insiders have recently purchased $1.4 million worth of APA Corporation stock, signaling confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Projected Revenue Decline
Forward revenue estimates indicate a 2.00% decrease for the current year and a 10.00% decrease for the next year, posing a significant challenge to future growth.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Lagging Sector Revenue Growth
APA Corporation's revenue growth of 9.2% significantly trails the energy sector average of 32.8%, indicating potential competitive disadvantages or market share loss.
Source: Sector AnalysisMarket Outlook
APA Corporation's outlook is tempered by projected declines in future revenue and earnings growth. Wall Street revenue estimates suggest a 2.00% decrease for the current year and a 10.00% decrease for the next year, with a projected five-year compound annual growth rate of -8.23%. While the company has demonstrated strong operational efficiency and profitability, with a net profit margin of 19.56%, this forward-looking trend poses a significant headwind. The energy sector, on average, is experiencing strong revenue growth of 32.8%, highlighting APA's relative underperformance in this area. The median analyst price target of $46.00 suggests limited upside, reinforcing a cautious near-to-medium term outlook.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 14.97B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 9.02 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.74 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.34% |
| 52 Week High | 47.44 |
| 52 Week Low | 21.63 |
APA Corporation exhibits a mixed fundamental profile. Its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 9.02, which is significantly lower than the sector average of 18.4, suggesting it may be undervalued on this metric. The company's profit margin is strong at 19.56%, and its operating margin is even higher at 56.33%, indicating efficient operations. However, its revenue growth of 9.2% lags considerably behind the sector average of 32.8%. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.49, which is manageable. While the company demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, the lagging revenue growth and a projected decline in future earnings growth present a challenge when compared to sector averages.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
APA Corporation has recently demonstrated positive earnings surprises, beating analyst estimates in its last two reported quarters. The quarter to June 2026 saw an EPS actual of -0.09 against an estimate of -0.33, a 72.73% surprise, with the stock reacting positively with a 0.65% gain. Similarly, the quarter to March 2026 beat estimates by 18.18%, leading to a 3.21% stock price increase. Despite these beats, forward revenue growth estimates for the current year are projected to decrease by 2.00%, and next year by 10.00%, indicating a potential slowdown.
Key Risks
A primary risk for APA Corporation is the projected decline in future revenue growth, with estimates showing a 10.00% decrease next year and a negative compound annual growth rate for the next five years. While current earnings have shown positive surprises, this forward-looking trend suggests potential headwinds. Additionally, the stock's current price is below its 20-day EMA, indicating some near-term selling pressure. The neutral RSI and below-average volume suggest a lack of strong conviction from investors, which could lead to sideways price action or a potential pullback if negative catalysts emerge.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 49.89 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.65 |
| SMA 50 | 40.89 |
| SMA 200 | 34.92 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($40.89) above the 200-day SMA ($34.92), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with APA? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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APA Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$42.31
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$42.74
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$40.73
MAX LOSS
-3.7%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (49.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$43.58
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$44.43
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$45.70
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for APA is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in APA in September 2016 would be worth about $7,130 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in APA today could grow to about $11,265 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $85,466 and a bear case around $1,485. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
APA Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $44.83 for APA by 2030 in the base case, from $42.74 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $12.44. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on APA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $22.79 | $43.25 | $82.09 |
| 2028 | $17.69 | $43.77 | $108 |
| 2029 | $14.60 | $44.30 | $134 |
| 2030 | $12.44 | $44.83 | $161 |
| 2031 | $10.82 | $45.36 | $190 |
| 2032 | $9.55 | $45.91 | $221 |
| 2033 | $8.53 | $46.46 | $253 |
| 2034 | $7.68 | $47.01 | $288 |
| 2035 | $6.96 | $47.58 | $325 |
| 2036 | $6.35 | $48.15 | $365 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using APA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
APA Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.4M
1 Transactions
Sold
$833.4K
1 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2022 | LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY
General Counsel
|
Sell | 86.8K | $3.6M |
| Mar 7, 2022 | LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY
General Counsel
|
Sell | 40.8K | $1.6M |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BOB MATTHEW REGIS
Director
|
Sell | 23.0K | $833.4K |
| Mar 18, 2021 | RINEY STEPHEN J
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $678.4K |
| Feb 24, 2022 | RINEY STEPHEN J
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 12.3K | $386.4K |
| Aug 10, 2021 | JOUNG CHANSOO
Director
|
Sell | 20.0K | $381.2K |
| Apr 6, 2020 | LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY
General Counsel
|
Sell | 32.9K | $185.8K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | BAY ANNELL R
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Jun 30, 2026 | ELLIS JULIET S.
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FISHER KENNETH M
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is APA Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?
APA Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $44.83, with a downside scenario of $12.44 and an upside scenario of $161.48. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is APA Corporation a buy right now?
APA Corporation is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 58. The median analyst price target is $46.00, suggesting a limited 7.6% upside from the current price of $42.74.
What are APA Corporation's recent earnings results?
APA Corporation recently reported positive earnings surprises, beating estimates by 72.73% for the quarter to June 2026 and by 18.18% for the quarter to March 2026. The stock saw positive price reactions following these announcements.
How does APA Corporation compare to its sector averages?
APA Corporation's P/E ratio of 9.02 is significantly lower than the sector average of 18.4, indicating potential undervaluation. However, its revenue growth of 9.2% lags behind the sector average of 32.8%.
What is the insider sentiment for APA Corporation?
Insider sentiment for APA Corporation is positive, with insiders being net buyers. Total purchases amount to $1.4 million, while total sales are $833,373, indicating a slight buy signal from management.
What are the main risks facing APA Corporation?
Key risks for APA Corporation include projected declines in future revenue growth, with estimates showing a 10.00% decrease next year and a negative five-year CAGR. Additionally, the stock's current technical positioning below its 20-day EMA and neutral RSI suggest a lack of strong upward momentum.
What is APA Corporation's outlook for the next year?
The outlook for APA Corporation is cautious, with Wall Street revenue estimates projecting a 2.00% decrease for the current year and a 10.00% decrease for the next year. While the company has shown recent earnings beats, the forward-looking revenue trend and a negative five-year growth estimate present significant challenges.