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As of October 11, 2026, APA Corporation (APA) trades at $45.88. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $47.00, 2.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $47.00 across 27 analysts. RSI at 60 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $42.46.
APA Corporation (APA)
APA Corporation NASDAQ
$45.88
0.4100 (0.90%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
58 / 100
APA Corporation is currently trading at $45.88, with a 'Hold' consensus rating and a consensus score of 58. The stock's fair value is estimated at $47.00, offering a modest 2.4% upside. Wall Street analysts maintain a mixed outlook, with a median price target of $47.00, reflecting 27 ratings that include 2 'Strong Buy', 8 'Buy', 14 'Hold', and 3 'Sell'. Recent earnings for the quarter to June 2026 showed an EPS surprise of 72.73%, with actual EPS of -$0.09 against an estimate of -$0.33, leading to a 0.65% price increase. The company's fundamentals appear solid, with a strong return on equity of 26.66% and a healthy profit margin of 19.56%. However, insider activity indicates a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total sales of $833.4K versus no reported purchases.
APA Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$45.47
Day Range
$45.37 to $46.59
Prev Close
$45.47
Volume
4.56M
52-Week Range
$21.63 to $47.44
Market Cap
$16.07B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-47%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
APA Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, APA beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
APA Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+2.44% Upside
Median of 27 analysts (12-month)
$47.00
AI Technical Analysis
APA Corporation is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($42.46 and $35.85), with its price at $45.88 surpassing the 50-day SMA of $42.46 and the 200-day SMA of $35.85. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60.36, indicating bullish momentum. The MACD is at 0.559, suggesting a positive trend. Volume for APA Corporation was 4.56 million shares, which is 14.6% below its average volume. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, while resistance may be found near recent highs. The overall technical picture suggests a positive trend, supported by bullish RSI and MACD readings, though the below-average volume warrants monitoring.
ProTips
- Monitor APA Corporation's revenue growth trends closely against sector averages and analyst projections for signs of competitive pressure or recovery.
- Given the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insiders, consider the implications of ongoing selling activity on future stock performance.
- The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), suggesting positive technical momentum, but watch for sustained volume to confirm the trend.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprise in Q2 2026
APA Corporation exceeded EPS estimates for the quarter to June 2026, reporting -$0.09 actual EPS against an estimate of -$0.33, a 72.73% surprise, leading to a 0.65% stock price increase.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Strong Profitability Metrics
The company's return on equity of 26.66% and profit margin of 19.56% significantly outperform sector averages, indicating efficient operations and strong financial health.
Source: Company FundamentalsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold $833.4K worth of stock with no reported purchases, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that could indicate a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Projected Revenue Decline
Wall Street analysts forecast a revenue decline of 1.00% for the current year and 10.00% for the next year, potentially impacting future earnings and growth prospects.
Source: Analyst EstimatesMarket Outlook
APA Corporation's base case scenario for the next 6-12 months suggests a stable outlook, with its fair value at $47.00, implying a modest 2.4% upside from the current price of $45.88. The company's strong profitability metrics and attractive valuation relative to sector peers provide a foundational support. However, potential headwinds include Wall Street's projection of revenue declines in the coming years and the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions. Upside catalysts could emerge from better-than-expected earnings surprises, similar to recent quarters, or a broader recovery in energy sector demand that boosts revenue growth beyond current estimates.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 16.07B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 9.74 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.73 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.18% |
| 52 Week High | 47.44 |
| 52 Week Low | 21.63 |
APA Corporation exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.74, which is significantly lower than the sector average of 18.4, suggesting it may be undervalued relative to its peers. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 1.88, also below the sector average of 2.5. The company boasts a strong return on equity of 26.66% and a healthy profit margin of 19.56%, outperforming the sector average ROE of 14.2%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.49, which is in line with the sector average. While revenue growth for the sector is strong at 32.8%, APA Corporation's reported revenue growth is 9.2%. Wall Street estimates a revenue decline of 1.00% for the current year and a further 10.00% for next year, contrasting with the company's strong historical profitability and current valuation metrics.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
APA Corporation recently reported an EPS surprise of 72.73% for the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS of -$0.09 compared to an estimate of -$0.33. This beat resulted in a 0.65% price increase. The prior quarter, ending March 2026, also saw a positive surprise of 18.18% with actual EPS of $0.13 against an estimate of $0.11, leading to a 3.21% stock price jump. These recent earnings beats suggest an improving operational performance.
Key Risks
APA Corporation faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with $833.4K in total sales and no reported purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal'. While the company's valuation appears attractive relative to sector averages, Wall Street analysts project a revenue decline for the next two years, which could pressure future earnings. Also, the company's reported revenue growth of 9.2% lags behind the sector average of 32.8%, suggesting potential competitive challenges.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 60.36 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.56 |
| SMA 50 | 42.46 |
| SMA 200 | 35.85 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($42.46) above the 200-day SMA ($35.85), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.14
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with APA? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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APA Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$45.42
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$45.88
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$43.59
MAX LOSS
-4.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (60.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$46.78
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$47.69
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$49.05
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for APA is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in APA in October 2016 would be worth about $7,298 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in APA today could grow to about $11,415 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $86,601 and a bear case around $1,505. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
APA Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $48.37 for APA by 2030 in the base case, from $45.88 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $13.43. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on APA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $24.49 | $46.49 | $88.24 |
| 2028 | $19.03 | $47.11 | $117 |
| 2029 | $15.73 | $47.74 | $145 |
| 2030 | $13.43 | $48.37 | $174 |
| 2031 | $11.70 | $49.02 | $205 |
| 2032 | $10.34 | $49.67 | $239 |
| 2033 | $9.24 | $50.33 | $274 |
| 2034 | $8.33 | $51.00 | $312 |
| 2035 | $7.56 | $51.68 | $353 |
| 2036 | $6.90 | $52.37 | $397 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using APA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
APA Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$833.4K
1 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$833.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2022 | LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY
General Counsel
|
Sell | 86.8K | $3.6M |
| Mar 7, 2022 | LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY
General Counsel
|
Sell | 40.8K | $1.6M |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BOB MATTHEW REGIS
Director
|
Sell | 23.0K | $833.4K |
| Mar 18, 2021 | RINEY STEPHEN J
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $678.4K |
| Feb 24, 2022 | RINEY STEPHEN J
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 12.3K | $386.4K |
| Aug 10, 2021 | JOUNG CHANSOO
Director
|
Sell | 20.0K | $381.2K |
| Apr 6, 2020 | LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY
General Counsel
|
Sell | 32.9K | $185.8K |
| Sep 30, 2026 | BAY ANNELL R
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Sep 30, 2026 | ELLIS JULIET S.
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Sep 30, 2026 | FISHER KENNETH M
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is APA Corporation's stock forecast for 2030?
APA Corporation's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $48.37, with a downside scenario at $13.43 and an upside scenario at $174.26. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets.
Is APA Corporation a buy right now?
APA Corporation is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street, with a consensus score of 58. The stock's fair value is estimated at $47.00, offering minimal upside, and analysts have a median price target of $47.00.
What are APA Corporation's recent earnings results?
For the quarter ending June 2026, APA Corporation reported an EPS surprise of 72.73% with actual EPS of -$0.09 versus an estimate of -$0.33. The previous quarter, ending March 2026, also beat estimates with actual EPS of $0.13 against $0.11.
How does APA Corporation's valuation compare to its sector peers?
APA Corporation's P/E ratio of 9.74 and P/S ratio of 1.88 are significantly lower than the sector averages of 18.4 and 2.5, respectively, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. Its return on equity of 26.66% also surpasses the sector average of 14.2%.
What is the insider sentiment for APA Corporation stock?
Insider sentiment for APA Corporation is currently a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total sales of $833.4K in recent filings and no reported purchases. This indicates a net selling trend among insiders.
What are the key risks facing APA Corporation?
Key risks for APA Corporation include moderate insider selling, projected revenue declines for the next two years according to Wall Street estimates, and revenue growth that lags behind sector averages, potentially indicating competitive pressures.
What is the technical outlook for APA Corporation?
Technically, APA Corporation is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($42.46 and $35.85), with bullish RSI and MACD indicators, suggesting a positive trend. However, volume is currently below average, which warrants monitoring for sustained upward momentum.