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As of September 11, 2026, Newmont Corporation (NEM) trades at $126.54. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $133.00, 5.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $133.00 across 23 analysts. RSI at 42 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $109.77.
Newmont Corporation (NEM)
Newmont Corporation NYSE
$126.54
0.4000 (0.32%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
76 / 100
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is currently trading at $126.54, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($109.77 and $109.35), indicating a generally positive technical trend. The company operates in the Gold industry within the Basic Materials sector, with a market capitalization of $132.91 billion. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus, supported by a median price target of $133, suggesting a 5.1% upside. Recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a notable beat in Q2 2026, but overall insider activity indicates a moderate sell signal, with $14.5 million in sales versus no reported purchases.
NEM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$127.51
Day Range
$125.97 to $129.25
Prev Close
$126.14
Volume
162.2K
52-Week Range
$72.78 to $135.29
Market Cap
$132.91B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.0208% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
NEM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, NEM beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
NEM Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+5.11% Upside
Median of 23 analysts (12-month)
$133.00
AI Technical Analysis
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($109.77 and $109.35), with the price currently above its 20-day exponential moving average, signaling a constructive short-to-medium term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 42.41, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD shows a positive divergence. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly lower than the average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind recent price action. Key support levels can be inferred from the moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $109.77 and the 200-day SMA at $109.35 acting as potential floors.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current moderate sell signal warrants caution despite a 'Buy' consensus.
- The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($109.77 and $109.35), suggesting a positive trend, but the neutral RSI indicates a lack of strong momentum.
- Consider position sizing carefully given the moderate sell signal from insiders and the projected deceleration in revenue growth.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Q2 2026 Earnings Beat
Newmont Corporation exceeded earnings expectations in Q2 2026 with an EPS of $2.10 versus an estimate of $1.99, indicating operational efficiency.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Upgrade to 'Buy' by TD Cowen
TD Cowen upgraded Newmont Corporation to 'Buy' from 'Hold' on July 14, 2026, reflecting positive sentiment from analysts.
Source: Analyst RatingBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $14.5 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal that warrants investor attention.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Projected Revenue Growth Deceleration
While current year revenue growth is strong at 18.00%, next year's growth is projected to slow to 8.00%, potentially impacting future earnings.
Source: Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
The base case for Newmont Corporation (NEM) anticipates continued stability, with analysts projecting a median price target of $133, implying a modest 5.1% upside from the current $126.54. The company's position above key moving averages and fair sector valuation support this outlook. However, potential headwinds include a projected slowdown in revenue growth from 18.00% this year to 8.00% next year and a moderate sell signal from insider transactions, which warrants monitoring. Factors that could alter this trajectory include significant new discoveries or favorable commodity price movements, which could drive the stock towards higher targets. Conversely, persistent insider selling, a downturn in gold prices, or increased operational costs could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing support levels around the 50-day and 200-day moving averages near $109.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 132.91B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.91 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.93 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8136% |
| 52 Week High | 135.29 |
| 52 Week Low | 72.78 |
With a P/E ratio of 15.91, Newmont Corporation is trading in line with its sector average P/E of 15.91, suggesting fair valuation. The company's earnings per share (EPS) stands at $7.93. Revenue growth for the current year is projected at 18.00%, with a slight deceleration expected next year at 8.00%. While the company's profitability metrics are not fully detailed, the current valuation appears reasonable given its growth prospects and sector positioning. The dividend yield is approximately 0.81%, with a dividend rate of $1.03.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Newmont Corporation's most recent earnings report for Q2 2026 showed an EPS of $2.10, beating the estimate of $1.99 by 5.53%, though the stock experienced a 1.62% decline. Prior quarters presented a mixed picture, including a significant miss in Q1 2026. The company's revenue growth for the current year is estimated at 18.00%, indicating a positive trajectory.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Newmont Corporation stems from insider selling, with $14.5 million in sales reported and no corresponding purchases, signaling a moderate sell signal from management. While the stock is trading above key moving averages, the neutral RSI suggests a lack of strong bullish momentum. Also, the projected revenue growth is expected to decelerate from 18.00% this year to 8.00% next year, which could impact future performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 42.41 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 4.64 |
| SMA 50 | 109.77 |
| SMA 200 | 109.35 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.76
Strong correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
NEM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$124.01
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$126.54
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$118.39
MAX LOSS
-4.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (42.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$130.21
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$136.41
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$142.61
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
NEM is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.02%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NEM in September 2016 would be worth about $31,254 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NEM today could grow to about $25,016 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $107,520 and a bear case around $5,820. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NEM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $183 for NEM by 2030 in the base case, from $127 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $72.61. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NEM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $87.46 | $139 | $220 |
| 2028 | $79.19 | $152 | $292 |
| 2029 | $74.96 | $167 | $370 |
| 2030 | $72.61 | $183 | $459 |
| 2031 | $71.38 | $200 | $561 |
| 2032 | $70.90 | $219 | $679 |
| 2033 | $70.98 | $240 | $814 |
| 2034 | $71.51 | $264 | $971 |
| 2035 | $72.42 | $289 | $1,152 |
| 2036 | $73.65 | $317 | $1,361 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NEM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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NEM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$14.5M
35 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$414.7K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2020 | ENGEL EDWARD RANDALL
Officer
|
Sell | 68.0K | $4.4M |
| Mar 16, 2026 | FRY DAVID JAMES
Officer
|
Sell | 18.4K | $2.1M |
| Mar 30, 2022 | LIPSON NANCY L
General Counsel
|
Sell | 19.9K | $1.6M |
| May 1, 2026 | WEXLER PETER
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 13.4K | $1.5M |
| Aug 5, 2026 | TABOLT BRIAN
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 11.4K | $1.2M |
| Oct 1, 2024 | PALMER THOMAS RONALD
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.1M |
| Sep 3, 2024 | PALMER THOMAS RONALD
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.0M |
| Aug 1, 2024 | PALMER THOMAS RONALD
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $990.3K |
| Mar 3, 2026 | THORNTON DAVID JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 8.1K | $973.5K |
| May 14, 2020 | GOTTESFELD STEPHEN P.
Officer
|
Sell | 13.5K | $884.1K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Newmont Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Newmont Corporation's stock price is projected to be $182.61 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $72.61, while the upside projection reaches $459.23. These are statistical outcomes and not definitive price targets.
Is Newmont Corporation stock a buy right now?
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $133, indicating a potential 5.1% upside from its current price of $126.54. The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($109.77 and $109.35), suggesting a positive technical outlook.
What are the main risks facing Newmont Corporation?
Key risks include moderate insider selling totaling $14.5 million, a neutral RSI indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum, and an expected deceleration in revenue growth from 18.00% this year to 8.00% next year.
How does Newmont Corporation's valuation compare to its sector?
Newmont Corporation's P/E ratio of 15.91 is in line with the Basic Materials sector average P/E of 15.91, suggesting that the stock is fairly valued relative to its peers.
What was Newmont Corporation's recent earnings performance?
In Q2 2026, Newmont Corporation reported an EPS of $2.10, exceeding the estimate of $1.99 by 5.53%, although the stock saw a slight decline. Previous quarters showed a mixed performance, including a significant earnings miss in Q1 2026.
What is the outlook for Newmont Corporation's revenue growth?
Revenue growth for Newmont Corporation is projected to be 18.00% for the current year. However, growth is expected to moderate to 8.00% for the next year.
What is the current analyst consensus for Newmont Corporation?
The current Wall Street consensus for Newmont Corporation is 'Buy', with 23 analysts covering the stock. Five analysts rate it a 'Strong Buy', 15 rate it a 'Buy', two rate it 'Hold', and one rates it 'Sell'.