Commodity·Spot
Palladium Spot (XPD)
- 52-week range
- $1,017.01 $2,190.20
XPD forecast today
Where XPD stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
XPD at a glance
Palladium Spot (XPD): Strong Sell, 10/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($1,192.15 and $1,316.11).
- Volatility Daily moves average 1.52% (30-day standard deviation).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Palladium Spot (XPD/USD) Strong Sell, with a model score of 10/100.
The trend holds it back most: the price is 22.60% below its 200-day average and 14.55% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 9.42% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $1,192.15 and the 200-day at $1,316.11.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from XPD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
XPD price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $1,018.65 is 14.6% below the 50-day simple moving average of $1,192.15.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 22.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $1,316.11.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($1,192.15) is 9.4% below the 200-day average ($1,316.11), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 0% of its 52-week range, between $1,017.01 and $2,190.20.
XPD price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far XPD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where XPD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
XPD key levels
The figures the trade plan is built on.
Key levels
The averages and the year's range that XPD's trade plan is built on.
Short-term trend: XPD is below its 50-day average of $1,192.15.
Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of $1,316.11.
52-week range: $1,017.01 to $2,190.20; the price sits 0% of the way up.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XPD's drivers and risks.
XPD/USD fell 27.76% over the past year, with its trading range running from $1,017.01 up to $2,190.20.
Day to day, the price moves 1.52% on average (the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns). As a traded commodity contract, XPD/USD responds to shifts in supply, industrial and investment demand, and the US dollar.
Palladium Spot (XPD/USD) moves an average of 1.52% on a given session, so day-to-day swings are the first thing to plan around. The downtrend adds risk for as long as the price remains beneath both moving averages. The price is 53.49% below its 52-week high of $2,190.20, and over the past year it fell 27.76%.
XPD AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
0/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 20.6, in oversold territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 20.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of XPD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Palladium Spot (XPD/USD) sits in a downtrend: its price of $1,018.65 is 14.55% below the 50-day average of $1,192.15 and 22.60% below the 200-day average of $1,316.11, so both averages lie overhead. The price stands at 0% of its 52-week range and is 0.16% above the 52-week low of $1,017.01. Because the 50-day average is 9.42% below the 200-day average, the shorter-term trend is weaker than the longer one.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 20.6, in oversold territory, with the MACD line negative. The recent returns all show a loss, with the price down 19.40% over the past three months, 30.55% over the past six months and 27.76% over the past year.
- The two closest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $1,097.68, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $1,017.01, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 20.6, which is in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
A close above the 50-day would mark the first sign of repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $1,097.68 is the first barrier a rebound would have to clear.
Palladium Spot (XPD/USD) has the 52-week low of $1,017.01 as the next level below the price. The RSI is in oversold territory, and a move back above the oversold line would be the first sign that selling pressure is easing.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for XPD, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with XPD at $1,018.65, its 14-day RSI is 20.6 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $1,192.15 and its 200-day is $1,316.11.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What XPD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, XPD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.26 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.26 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.32 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.57 with gold (XAU).
XPD trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
XPD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
With leverage, losses on XPD can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much XPD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
XPD price history and drawdowns
XPD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/2Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.52% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $17,125, against $35,904 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into XPD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: XPD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $17,125 against $35,904.
A $10,000 investment in XPD in October 2016 would be worth about $17,125 today, compared with about $35,904 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to XPD, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +5.96%, up in 6 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -3.22%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.76%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, XPD's strongest calendar month has been January (average +5.96%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -3.22%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.
XPD long-term forecast 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XPD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in XPD today could grow to about $10,000 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $25,343 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,946. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XPD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,019 for XPD by 2030 in the base case, from $1,019 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $402. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XPD's historical return distribution, not price targets.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $640 | $1,019 | $1,622 | |
| 2028 | $528 | $1,019 | $1,966 | |
| 2029 | $455 | $1,019 | $2,279 | |
| 2030 | $402 | $1,019 | $2,582 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of XPD's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
XPD forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.