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As of September 11, 2026, XP Inc. Sponsored CEDEAR (XPD) trades at $5.20. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $5.20, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $7.95 across 9 analysts. RSI at 71 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $4.44.

XP Inc. Sponsored CEDEAR (XPD)

XP Inc. Sponsored CEDEAR BCBA

$5.20 0.2550 (5.16%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
65 / 100
XP Inc. (XP) is currently trading at $5.20, which is below its fair value estimate and its 200-day moving average of $4.67. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 10.6% and analysts project further acceleration to 12.00% next year. Recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with the latest quarter beating estimates by 41.67%. The stock is exhibiting strong upward momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.44 and $4.67), and its RSI is in overbought territory at 70.66, indicating strong buying interest. However, the current price is below the median analyst target price of $7.95, suggesting potential upside. XP Inc. operates in the Capital Markets industry within Financial Services. The company has a solid revenue growth trajectory and has recently shown positive earnings surprises. While the stock is currently in overbought territory, its position above key moving averages and the significant upside indicated by analyst targets present a compelling case for investors. The dividend yield is 1.84%, with a rate of $0.095.

XPD Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$5.01
Day Range
$4.87 to $5.23
Prev Close
$4.95
Volume
4.6K
52-Week Range
$3.81 to $6.50

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)

Performance vs IAI

Sector Position Analysis

XPD Analysis

Company's Health 4/5
12-Month Analyst Target +52.88% Upside
Median of 9 analysts (12-month)
$7.950
AI Technical Analysis Buy
XP Inc. is trading above its 50-day SMA of $4.44 and its 200-day SMA of $4.67, indicating a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 70.66, which is considered overbought, suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 0.22, further supporting the bullish momentum. Volume has been below average recently, down 34.6%, which could indicate caution among traders despite the positive technical indicators. The stock's current price of $5.20 is above its 20-day EMA of $4.77, reinforcing the short-term bullish trend. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $4.44 and the 200-day SMA at $4.67. Resistance is not clearly defined by the provided data, but the overbought RSI suggests that further immediate gains may be limited without a consolidation period.
ProTips
  • XP Inc. is trading in overbought territory (RSI 70.66), suggesting caution for new entries and potential for a short-term pullback.
  • Consider the significant upside potential indicated by analyst targets ($7.95) relative to the current price ($5.20) as a key factor in investment decisions.
  • Monitor XP Inc.'s ability to sustain its revenue growth and deliver consistent earnings beats to validate the bullish outlook.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Exceeding Sector Average

XP Inc. is projected to achieve 12.00% revenue growth next year, surpassing the sector average of 8.00%, indicating strong market positioning and demand for its services.

Source: Wall Street Revenue Estimates
Bullish Recent Earnings Beat

The latest earnings report showed an EPS surprise of 41.67%, demonstrating the company's ability to outperform analyst expectations.

Source: Earnings Data
Bullish Positive Technical Momentum

The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.44 and $4.67), supported by a positive MACD, indicating sustained upward price pressure.

Source: Technical Analysis
Bearish Overbought RSI Condition

The RSI is at 70.66, indicating that the stock may be overextended and susceptible to a short-term price correction.

Source: Technical Analysis
Neutral Mixed Historical Earnings Performance

While the latest quarter showed a strong beat, previous quarters exhibited significant misses, suggesting potential volatility in future earnings predictability.

Source: Earnings Data
Market Outlook
XP Inc. is expected to continue its positive trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong revenue growth and analyst optimism. The median analyst target price of $7.95 suggests a significant upside from the current price of $5.20, implying that the market may be undervaluing the company's growth potential. The company's ability to consistently grow revenue, coupled with recent positive earnings surprises, supports a bullish outlook. Potential catalysts for upside include continued execution on revenue growth targets and further positive earnings surprises. Conversely, risks such as the stock's overbought technical condition, which could lead to a short-term correction, and the absence of a P/E ratio for traditional valuation analysis, pose challenges. Investors should monitor the company's ability to maintain its growth momentum and manage any potential pullbacks in its stock price.

Key Statistics

Market Cap N/A
P/E Ratio N/A
EPS (TTM) N/A
Dividend Yield 1.84%
52 Week High 6.50
52 Week Low 3.81
XP Inc. exhibits strong revenue growth, with current year projections at 9.00% and next year's growth anticipated at 12.00%. However, its revenue growth significantly exceeds the sector average of 8.00%. The latest reported earnings beat expectations by 41.67%, signaling operational efficiency and market demand for its services. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the positive revenue and earnings trends suggest a healthy underlying business. Given the lack of P/E data, a price-to-sales (PS) multiple comparison would be more appropriate if available. The current price of $5.20, compared to the median analyst target of $7.95, implies a substantial upside potential of 52.88%. This suggests that the stock may be undervalued relative to future growth prospects and analyst expectations, despite the absence of a traditional P/E valuation.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

XP Inc. recently reported a significant earnings beat in its latest quarter ending June 1, 2026, with actual EPS of $3.23 exceeding estimates by 41.67%, although the stock saw a minor price decline of 2.87%. Prior to this, the company missed estimates in November 2025 by 4.75% and significantly missed in September 2025 by 166.67%. This mixed earnings surprise history indicates some volatility in predicting earnings, but the most recent quarter demonstrates strong performance.

Key Risks

XP Inc. faces risks related to its overbought technical conditions, with an RSI of 70.66 suggesting a potential for a short-term correction. Also, the mixed history of earnings surprises, despite the most recent strong beat, indicates potential unpredictability in future earnings performance.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 70.66
MACD 0.22
SMA 50 4.44
SMA 200 4.67
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $4.439, 200-day: $4.668), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 70.7 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.29
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.28
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

XPD Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)

CONSERVATIVE
$5.096
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$5.200
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$4.408
MAX LOSS
-13.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (70.7) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$5.351
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$5.606
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$5.860
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
⚠️ High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
XPD is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.12%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in XPD in December 2024 would be worth about $15,339 today, compared with about $12,540 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XPD today could grow to about $28,915 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $219,368 and a bear case around $3,811. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XPD Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $7.95 for XPD by 2030 in the base case, from $5.20 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.21. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XPD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XPD simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $3.05 $5.78 $10.98
2028 $2.60 $6.43 $15.91
2029 $2.36 $7.15 $21.70
2030 $2.21 $7.95 $28.64
2031 $2.11 $8.84 $37.06
2032 $2.05 $9.83 $47.25
2033 $2.01 $10.93 $59.58
2034 $1.99 $12.16 $74.48
2035 $1.98 $13.52 $92.45
2036 $1.98 $15.04 $114

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XPD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. XPD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is XP Inc.'s current stock price and rating?
XP Inc. (XP) is currently trading at $5.20 per share. The consensus rating is Buy, with a consensus score of 65 out of 100, indicating a moderately positive outlook.
What is XP Inc.'s fair value and upside potential?
The fair value for XP Inc. is estimated at $5.20. With a median analyst target price of $7.95, the stock presents an upside potential of 52.88% from its current trading price.
How has XP Inc. performed technically?
XP Inc. is showing strong bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.44 and $4.67). The RSI is currently overbought at 70.66, suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback.
What are XP Inc.'s recent earnings results?
XP Inc.'s most recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 1, 2026, showed an EPS beat of 41.67%. However, prior quarters showed mixed results, including a significant miss in September 2025.
What is XP Inc.'s revenue growth outlook?
XP Inc. has a strong revenue growth outlook, with current year projections at 9.00% and next year's growth anticipated to accelerate to 12.00%, exceeding the sector average.
What are the main risks for XP Inc. investors?
Key risks for XP Inc. include its overbought technical indicators, the lack of a P/E ratio for valuation assessment, and the historically mixed earnings surprise performance, despite the most recent strong beat.
What is XP Inc.'s dividend yield?
XP Inc. offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.84%, with a dividend rate of $0.095.
What is XP Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, XP Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $7.95 in 2030 under a base case scenario, with a downside projection of $2.21 and an upside projection of $28.64. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for XPD are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on September 11, 2026.