Stock·NASDAQ·Financial Services
Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR)
- Market cap
- $6.70B
- P/E
- 19.91
- Dividend yield
- 1.82%
- Street target
- $119.00median of 7 analysts
- 52-week range
- $57.03 $123.55
VCTR stock forecast today
Where VCTR stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
VCTR at a glance
Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR): Buy, 71/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($88.33 and $111.29).
- Earnings VCTR beat estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Valuation P/E of 19.9 against 16.5 for the Financial Services sector: a premium to peers (+21%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 71/100.
Trend adds the most to that score, with the price 23.29% above its 200-day average and the 50-day average 25.99% above the 200-day. Momentum is the largest drag, as the MACD line is negative. The 50-day average is $111.29 and the 200-day is $88.33. The price rose 71.32% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from VCTR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
VCTR stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $108.91 is 2.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $111.29.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 23.3% above the 200-day simple moving average of $88.33.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($111.29) is 26.0% above the 200-day average ($88.33), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 78% of its 52-week range, between $57.03 and $123.55.
VCTR share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far VCTR has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where VCTR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
VCTR fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 19.91 is 20.7% above the Financial Services median of 16.5.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 4.30 is 13.1% above the sector median of 3.8.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $460.9M on revenue of $1.6B, a net margin of 29.6%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
VCTR beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.82%, or $1.98 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for VCTR.
As of October 26, 2026, VCTR trades at $108.91, with a market value of $6.70B, a P/E ratio of 19.91 and a dividend yield of 1.82%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of VCTR's valuation, growth and risks.
Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR) screens as broadly in line with peers on earnings. Its P/E of 19.91 is 19.2% above the Financial Services sector median P/E of 16.5. On sales, its P/S of 4.30 is 13.1% above the sector median P/S of 3.8.
In the latest quarter, against the same quarter a year earlier, revenue grew 24.00%, 12.3 percentage points faster than the sector median of 11.7%. Margins stand at a net margin of 29.57% and an operating margin of 48.99%. It reports a return on equity of 19.05%, above the sector median of 13.8%. Debt-to-equity of 0.43 and a trailing dividend yield of 1.82% ($1.98 a share a year) round out the fundamentals.
VCTR's August 5, 2026 report topped expectations by 23.46%, with EPS of $2.21 against the $1.79 that analysts had forecast. In the following session, the shares climbed 6.82%.
Across its last 8 reports, VCTR beat the estimate every time, though the stock still fell in the first session after 3 of those 8 beats. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $8.01 for this fiscal year and $8.50 for next, growth of 25.6% for the current year.
VCTR's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 1.47%. Against the S&P 500, the stock's beta stands at 1.13.
VCTR against the Financial Services sector
How VCTR compares with the median Financial Services stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: VCTR trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+21%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs XLF: Since May 14, 2025, VCTR has gained 68.6% against a gain of 10.0% for XLF.
Performance against XLF
VCTR and the Financial Services sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much VCTR sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 46.2% in FY2025 to $1.3B, from $893M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 25.3% in FY2025, down from 32.3% the year before.
Profitable: VCTR earned $330M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did VCTR beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: VCTR beat the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 8 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026after close | $1.79 | $2.21 | +23.46% | +6.82% | +16.26% |
| May 6, 2026after close | $1.63 | $1.82 | +11.66% | +1.70% | +5.72% |
| Feb 4, 2026after close | $1.66 | $1.78 | +7.23% | -2.17% | +7.42% |
| Nov 6, 2025after close | $1.59 | $1.63 | +2.52% | -0.76% | +2.69% |
| Aug 7, 2025after close | $1.48 | $1.57 | +6.08% | +5.01% | +6.06% |
| May 8, 2025after close | $1.35 | $1.36 | +0.74% | -1.55% | +6.23% |
| Feb 6, 2025after close | $1.37 | $1.45 | +5.84% | +7.53% | +4.37% |
| Nov 7, 2024after close | $1.34 | $1.35 | +0.75% | +4.11% | +0.00% |
As of October 26, 2026, VCTR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on August 5, 2026, came in 23.46% above the estimate and the stock moved +6.82% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
VCTR AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 48.8, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 48.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of VCTR
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR) is trading between its two moving averages. At $108.91, the stock sits 23.29% above its 200-day average of $88.33, yet 2.14% below its 50-day average of $111.29. The stock is at 78% of its 52-week range, and the price is 11.85% below the 52-week high of $123.55. The 50-day average is 25.99% above the 200-day average.
The recent returns all show a gain, with the price up 9.27% over the past three months, 43.10% over the past six months and 71.32% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 48.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.
Earnings beat ›
The August 5, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 23.46%, and the share price rose 6.82% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 5, 2026
Rating reaffirmed ›
JP Morgan kept its Neutral rating on October 16, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, October 16, 2026
- The two closest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $109.16, which sits above the price, and the 200-day SMA at $88.33, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 48.8 and sits in the neutral zone, while the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would indicate stretched momentum.
- In the first session after the August 5, 2026 report, the share price climbed 6.82%. VCTR has beaten estimates in 8 of the last 8 reports.
The trend is mixed: VCTR is above its 200-day average at $88.33 but below its 50-day average at $111.29. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 200-day would turn both down. In the meantime the price sits between the 200-day SMA ($88.33) underneath and the 20-day EMA ($109.16) overhead.
The 14-day RSI of 48.8 is in the neutral band, between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for VCTR, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with VCTR at $108.91, its 14-day RSI is 48.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $111.29 and its 200-day is $88.33.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What VCTR moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, VCTR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.60 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.51 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.21 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.00 with gold (XAU).
VCTR price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
2 of 7 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $119.00 is 9.3% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
2 of 7 rate it a buy now, against 2 of 7 three months ago.
VCTR Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $108.91, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral |
| Aug 7, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
As of October 26, 2026, 7 Wall Street analysts cover VCTR: 2 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $115.00 to $146.00. The median VCTR price target is $119.00, 9.3% above the price of $108.91.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
VCTR trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
VCTR trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from VCTR's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much VCTR tends to move, against the market and on its own.
VCTR price history and drawdowns
VCTR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.47% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 44.0%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by December 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
83% of 1-year holding periods in the last 9 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in February 2018 is now worth $113,042, against $33,906 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
VCTR Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, VCTR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2018 with dividends reinvested was -44.0% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by December 2020, 9 months after the low, and 83% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into VCTR in February 2018 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: VCTR beat the S&P 500 over this period: $113,042 against $33,906.
A $10,000 investment in VCTR in February 2018 would be worth about $113,042 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $33,906 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to VCTR, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +14.66%, up in 5 of 8 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -3.47%, up in 3 of 9 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.27%, up in 4 of 8 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 9 years, VCTR's strongest calendar month has been November (average +14.66%, up in 5 of 8 years) and its weakest March (average -3.47%, up in 3 of 9 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 9 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
VCTR stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in VCTR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 9 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in VCTR today could grow to about $15,333 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $41,282 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,695. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.82% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
VCTR Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $167 for VCTR by 2030 in the base case, from $109 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $62.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VCTR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $73.86 | $121 | $199 | |
| 2028 | $66.95 | $135 | $272 | |
| 2029 | $63.65 | $150 | $354 | |
| 2030 | $62.03 | $167 | $450 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of VCTR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
VCTR insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
VCTR insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Insider trading: No insider bought VCTR shares on the open market in the last 18 months.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Mary M. Jackson
Director
|
Grant | 259 | $28.7K |
| Aug 13, 2026 | David Craig Brown
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 147.5K | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mannik S. Dhillon
Officer
|
Grant | 16.4K | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Nina Gupta
Officer
|
Grant | 19.1K | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Michael Dennis Policarpo
President
|
Grant | 73.8K | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Thomas Michael Sipp
Officer
|
Grant | 41.0K | - |
| Aug 5, 2026 | David Craig Brown
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 147.5K | - |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mannik S. Dhillon
Officer
|
Grant | 16.4K | - |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nina Gupta
Officer
|
Grant | 19.1K | - |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Michael Dennis Policarpo
President
|
Grant | 73.8K | - |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Thomas Michael Sipp
Officer
|
Grant | 41.0K | - |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.
Director
|
Grant | 311 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Lawrence Davanzo
Director
|
Grant | 311 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Richard M Demartini
Director
|
Grant | 392 | $36.2K |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Karin Hirtler-Garvey
Director
|
Grant | 311 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Mary M. Jackson
Director
|
Grant | 311 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Alan H. Rappaport
Director
|
Grant | 718 | $66.2K |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.
Unknown
|
Grant | 424 | $28.7K |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Lawrence Davanzo
Director
|
Grant | 424 | $28.7K |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Richard M Demartini
Director
|
Grant | 534 | $36.2K |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Karin Hirtler-Garvey
Director
|
Grant | 424 | $28.7K |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Mary M. Jackson
Director
|
Grant | 424 | $28.7K |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Alan H. Rappaport
Director
|
Grant | 977 | $66.2K |
| Mar 13, 2026 | David Craig Brown
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 102.0K | $6.8M |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Mannik S. Dhillon
Officer
|
Grant | 16.5K | $1.1M |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Nina Gupta
Officer
|
Grant | 27.0K | $1.8M |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Michael Dennis Policarpo
President
|
Grant | 62.2K | $4.1M |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Thomas Michael Sipp
Officer
|
Grant | 54.7K | $3.6M |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.
Unknown
|
Grant | 417 | $28.7K |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Lawrence Davanzo
Director
|
Grant | 417 | $28.7K |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Richard M Demartini
Director
|
Grant | 525 | $36.2K |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Karin Hirtler-Garvey
Director
|
Grant | 417 | $28.7K |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Mary M. Jackson
Director
|
Grant | 417 | $28.7K |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Alan H. Rappaport
Director
|
Grant | 961 | $66.2K |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.
Unknown
|
Grant | 435 | $28.7K |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 435 | $28.7K |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Lawrence Davanzo
Director
|
Grant | 435 | $28.7K |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Richard M Demartini
Director
|
Grant | 549 | $36.2K |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Karin Hirtler-Garvey
Director
|
Grant | 435 | $28.7K |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Mary M. Jackson
Director
|
Grant | 435 | $28.7K |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Alan H. Rappaport
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | $66.2K |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Lawrence Davanzo
Director
|
Grant | 21.3K | - |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 434 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Lawrence Davanzo
Director
|
Grant | 434 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Richard M Demartini
Director
|
Grant | 547 | $36.2K |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Karin Hirtler-Garvey
Director
|
Grant | 434 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Robert J Hurst
Director
|
Grant | 10 | $662 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Mary M. Jackson
Director
|
Grant | 434 | $28.7K |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Alan H. Rappaport
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | $66.2K |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Thomas Michael Sipp
Officer
|
Grant | 48.7K | $3.0M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
VCTR stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.