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As of September 10, 2026, Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) trades at $111.06. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $114.50, 3.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $114.50 across 7 analysts. RSI at 46 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $105.40.
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR)
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ
$111.06
-0.8000 (-0.72%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) is currently trading at $111.10, near its median analyst price target of $114.50, suggesting limited near-term upside. The company operates within the Asset Management industry, a segment of Financial Services. Recent earnings have shown consistent beats against estimates, with the latest quarter reporting a 23.46% EPS surprise. Revenue growth has been strong, with current year estimates projecting a 26.00% increase year-over-year, although next year's growth is expected to moderate to 5.00%. The stock's technicals show it trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($105.40 and $81.09), but below its 20-day EMA, indicating a mixed short-term trend. Insider activity is dominated by stock grants, with no open-market purchases or sales, providing no directional signal from management. Despite the positive earnings surprises and revenue growth, the 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street analysts, coupled with a median price target only slightly above the current price, suggests a balanced risk-reward profile. The dividend yield stands at approximately 1.78%, offering a modest income component. Key risks include the expected slowdown in revenue growth for next year and the neutral momentum indicated by the RSI. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 20.19, is below the sector average P/E of 25.5, which could be seen as a point of relative attractiveness, but the analyst sentiment does not yet support a strong buy recommendation.
VCTR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$110.68
Day Range
$109.60 to $112.01
Prev Close
$111.86
Volume
1.01M
52-Week Range
$57.03 to $123.55
Market Cap
$6.83B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
VCTR Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+3.10% Upside
Median of 7 analysts (12-month)
$114.50
AI Technical Analysis
Victory Capital Holdings is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($105.40 and $81.09), indicating a generally positive long-term trend. However, the price is currently below its 20-day exponential moving average, suggesting some short-term weakness or consolidation. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.82, which falls into the neutral momentum category, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volume on the latest trading day was 1,011,066, which is 52% above the average daily volume, suggesting increased investor interest. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at approximately $105.40 and the 200-day SMA at $81.09. Resistance may be found near recent highs or psychological price points. The current technical setup suggests a neutral to slightly cautious short-term outlook, awaiting clearer directional signals.
ProTips
- Given the neutral RSI momentum and the stock trading below its 20-day EMA, consider waiting for a clearer technical breakout or a more decisive shift in analyst sentiment before initiating a new position.
- Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.78%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, though it is not the primary driver of the stock's valuation.
- With revenue growth expected to moderate next year, closely monitor forward guidance and industry trends in asset management to assess the company's ability to navigate a potentially slower growth environment.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Victory Capital Holdings has consistently surpassed analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 23.46% in Q2 2026, indicating strong operational execution and a reliable earnings profile.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Below Sector Average P/E Ratio
The company's P/E ratio of 20.19 is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its peers, offering potential for multiple expansion.
Source: Financial Data AnalysisNeutral
Moderating Revenue Growth Outlook
While current year revenue growth is strong at 26.00%, next year's projection of 5.00% indicates a significant slowdown, which could impact future valuation multiples.
Source: Analyst EstimatesNeutral
Neutral Technical Momentum
The RSI is at 45.82, indicating neutral momentum, and the stock is trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting a lack of strong short-term bullish conviction.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) suggests a neutral to slightly positive trajectory, with the median analyst price target of $114.50 indicating limited upside from the current $111.10. The company's ability to consistently beat earnings estimates and its below-sector-average P/E ratio provide a foundation for stability. However, the anticipated deceleration in revenue growth to 5.00% next year, down from a strong 26.00% this year, presents a headwind that may limit significant price appreciation. Potential catalysts for upside could include better-than-expected revenue growth in future quarters or a shift in analyst sentiment towards a more bullish stance. Conversely, a failure to maintain earnings beats, a more pronounced slowdown in revenue growth, or broader market headwinds impacting the financial services sector could lead to downside. The current 'Hold' consensus reflects this balance of factors, suggesting that investors should await clearer signals of sustained growth or improved market sentiment before considering a more aggressive position.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 6.83B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.19 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.50 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.78% |
| 52 Week High | 123.55 |
| 52 Week Low | 57.03 |
Victory Capital Holdings exhibits a P/E ratio of 20.19, which is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to its peers. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a significant 26.00% increase year-over-year, though this is expected to decelerate to 5.00% next year. The latest reported EPS was $2.21, beating the estimate of $1.79 by a notable 23.46%. Profitability appears solid, supported by consistent earnings beats. The company's P/E ratio suggests that investors are valuing its earnings at a reasonable multiple compared to the industry. The forward revenue growth, while strong this year, moderating next year, warrants attention for long-term investors.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Victory Capital Holdings has a strong track record of exceeding analyst earnings expectations, with the most recent quarter (August 5, 2026) showing an EPS of $2.21 against an estimate of $1.79, a positive surprise of 23.46%. This beat was accompanied by a significant 6.82% price increase. Prior quarters also show consistent positive surprises, indicating reliable earnings performance and effective management of operations.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Victory Capital Holdings lies in the anticipated slowdown of revenue growth to 5.00% next year, which could temper investor enthusiasm. Additionally, the neutral momentum indicated by the RSI and the fact that the stock is trading below its 20-day EMA suggest potential short-term headwinds. While the current valuation appears reasonable relative to the sector, a lack of strong insider buying and a 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street indicate a balanced risk-reward scenario rather than a clear bullish conviction.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 45.82 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.77 |
| SMA 50 | 105.40 |
| SMA 200 | 81.09 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($105.40) above the 200-day SMA ($81.09), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.61
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
VCTR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$109.95
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$111.06
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$106.06
MAX LOSS
-3.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (45.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$113.25
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$115.45
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$118.75
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for VCTR is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in VCTR in February 2018 would be worth about $96,431 today, compared with about $29,593 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VCTR today could grow to about $43,301 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $208,809 and a bear case around $8,980. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
VCTR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $200 for VCTR by 2030 in the base case, from $111 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $73.80. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VCTR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $78.19 | $129 | $211 |
| 2028 | $73.67 | $149 | $301 |
| 2029 | $72.82 | $172 | $408 |
| 2030 | $73.80 | $200 | $540 |
| 2031 | $75.98 | $231 | $703 |
| 2032 | $79.11 | $268 | $905 |
| 2033 | $83.07 | $310 | $1,155 |
| 2034 | $87.83 | $359 | $1,465 |
| 2035 | $93.37 | $415 | $1,848 |
| 2036 | $99.73 | $481 | $2,319 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VCTR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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VCTR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
N/A
Values not reported
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | CRESTVIEW PARTNERS II GP, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.1M | $106.6M |
| Nov 22, 2021 | BERLINSKI MILTON R.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 863.8K | $29.4M |
| Nov 29, 2021 | CRESTVIEW PARTNERS II GP, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 470.4K | $16.0M |
| Jul 14, 2023 | BROWN DAVID CRAIG
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 201.7K | $6.8M |
| Jul 18, 2023 | BROWN DAVID CRAIG
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 148.3K | $5.0M |
| Nov 29, 2021 | BERLINSKI MILTON R.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 129.6K | $4.4M |
| Feb 23, 2023 | CLIFF KELLY STEVENSON
Officer
|
Sell | 12.5K | $414.1K |
| Aug 13, 2026 | BROWN DAVID CRAIG
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 147.5K | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | DHILLON MANNIK S.
Officer
|
Grant | 16.4K | - |
| Aug 13, 2026 | GUPTA NINA
Officer
|
Grant | 19.1K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) stock a buy?
Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) is currently rated as a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 61 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $114.50, offering a modest 3.1% upside from the current price of $111.10, suggesting it is not a strong buy at this time.
What is Victory Capital Holdings' (VCTR) dividend yield?
Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.78%, with a dividend rate of $1.98 per share. This provides a modest income stream for investors.
What are the key risks facing Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR)?
Key risks for VCTR include the projected slowdown in revenue growth to 5.00% next year and neutral technical momentum. The 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street and limited upside to the median price target also suggest a balanced risk-reward profile.
How does Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) compare to its sector averages?
Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) has a P/E ratio of 20.19, which is below the sector average of 25.5. However, its revenue growth is projected to be 5.00% next year, compared to the sector average of 10.00%.
What is the outlook for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) revenue growth?
Revenue growth for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) is strong in the current year, with estimates projecting a 26.00% increase. However, growth is expected to moderate significantly to 5.00% in the next year.
What does insider activity suggest for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR)?
Insider activity for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) consists solely of stock grants and awards, totaling $39.28 million. There have been no open-market purchases or sales by insiders, indicating no current directional signal from management's personal trading.
What is Victory Capital Holdings' (VCTR) long-range projection for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) has a base case projection of $199.60 by 2030, with a downside scenario of $73.80 and an upside scenario of $539.86. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.