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01

GLDM ETF forecast today

Where GLDM stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

GLDM at a glance

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM): Sell, 23/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($84.27 and $89.01).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.10%, $30.7B in net assets, price down 3.5% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 30, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) Sell, with a model score of 23/100.

Cost lifts the score most: the expense ratio is 0.10%. The trend holds it back most: the price is 13.69% below its 200-day average and 8.83% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.32% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $84.27 and the 200-day at $89.01. Over the past year the price fell 3.52%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from GLDM's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

GLDM ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $76.83 is 8.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $84.27.
  • Price below its 200-day average ›
    The price is 13.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $89.01.
  • 50-day average below the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($84.27) is 5.3% below the 200-day average ($89.01), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 1% of its 52-week range, between $76.55 and $109.74.

GLDM share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far GLDM has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $79.63 Oct 30, 2025
Latest close $76.83 Oct 30, 2026
High $106.77 Jan 29, 2026
Low $76.83 Oct 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where GLDM sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.98% wide
$76.83
$76.55 $78.06
52-week range 1% of the way up
$76.83
$76.55 $109.74
Open
$78.04
Previous close
$79.56
Volume
8.04M
110% above average
03

GLDM fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

2/3
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.10% a year, $10.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $30.7B.
  • Price down over one year ›
    The price fell 3.52% over the past year.

GLDM Fund Facts

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust is a gold-backed exchange-traded fund designed to provide direct exposure to the price of gold bullion through physically held gold bars. The fund’s shares represent beneficial interests in a trust that primarily holds gold, with cash or receivables used only as needed for operations. SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust is used by investors seeking a simple, exchange-traded way to access precious metals without buying or storing physical bullion.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Commodities Focused
Inception
Jun 25, 2018
Expense ratio
0.10%
Net assets
$30.71B
Distribution yield
None
YTD total return (fund family)
-3.13%
Turnover
None

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period GLDM
YTD -3.13%
1 month -8.48%
3 months 3.71%
1 year 9.07%
3 years 30.57%
5 years 18.97%

As of Oct 31, 2026, GLDM has an expense ratio of 0.10%, $30.71B in net assets and no distribution yield.

Fund reference data as of Oct 31, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for GLDM.

Net Assets
30.71B
Expense Ratio
0.10%
Yield
None
Day High
$78.06
Day Low
$76.55
52 Week High
109.74
52 Week Low
76.55

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of GLDM's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

GLDM is run by State Street Investment Management as a Commodities Focused fund. It was launched on June 25, 2018.

The yearly cost of owning GLDM is 0.10%, which works out to $10.00 on a $10,000 position.

Key risks

Normal swings for GLDM run at about 1.35% a day. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 29.99% below its 52-week high of $109.74. The one-year record is a loss of 3.52%.

04

GLDM AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 30.5, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 30.5 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of GLDM

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
23/100
Sell
What the AI sees

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) is trending down. At $76.83, the fund sits 8.83% below its 50-day average of $84.27 and 13.69% below its 200-day average of $89.01. Its price is close to the bottom of its 52-week range: it is 0.37% above the low of $76.55 and 29.99% below the high of $109.74.

The 14-day RSI of 30.5 is in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, and the MACD line is negative. The recent returns are all negative: the price fell 4.13% over the past three months, fell 15.77% over the past six months and fell 3.52% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 110.2% above its average, on a day the price fell 3.43%.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $80.95 sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $76.55 sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 30.5, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.10% a year, GLDM charges $10.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The trend is down because GLDM sits beneath both its 50-day ($84.27) and 200-day ($89.01) averages. A move back above the 50-day would be the first real sign of recovery. Just overhead, the 20-day EMA at $80.95 is the first level a rally would reach.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $76.55. With the RSI in the bearish zone, momentum still leans toward lower prices.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for GLDM, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
30.514-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -1.37 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-8.8%price against the 50-day average
200-day $89.01 50-day $84.27 Price $76.83
Price against the 200-day -13.7% Bearish

As of October 30, 2026, with GLDM at $76.83, its 14-day RSI is 30.5 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $84.27 and its 200-day is $89.01.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What GLDM moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.18 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.21 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.31 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.98 Strong

As of October 30, 2026, GLDM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.18 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.21 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.31 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.98 with gold (XAU).

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05

GLDM trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

GLDM trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$78.37
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$76.83
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$80.72
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (30.5) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$74.45
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$70.53
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$66.61
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from GLDM's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much GLDM tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.35%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$76.83
$76.55 1% of the way up $109.74

Compare GLDM

Put GLDM side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

GLDM price history and drawdowns

GLDM's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

2/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.35% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Not yet recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 28.0%, from January 2026 to October 2026; the price is still 28.0% below that peak.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    84% of 1-year holding periods in the last 8 years ended with a gain.
  • Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in June 2018 is now worth $30,517, against $31,490 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

GLDM Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall since June 2018
-28.0%
January 2026 to October 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 28.0% below the January 2026 peak
From the high since June 2018
-28.0%
highest close, January 2026
1-year holds that gained
84%
of every 1-year window

As of October 30, 2026, GLDM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since June 2018 with dividends reinvested was -28.0% (January 2026 to October 2026); it is still 28.0% below that peak, and 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into GLDM in June 2018 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

GLDM today
$30,517
from $10,000 in June 2018, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$31,490
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$973
0.97x the index result
Total change
+205%
3.1x the starting amount
2020202220242026
GLDM S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: GLDM trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $30,517 against $31,490.

A $10,000 investment in GLDM in June 2018 would be worth about $30,517 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $31,490 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to GLDM, and which have not.

Jan5/8 upFeb6/8 upMar4/8 upApr5/8 upMay4/8 upJun2/8 upJul6/9 upAug5/9 upSep3/9 upOct7/8 upNov3/8 upDec7/8 up

Strongest month, January: an average of +3.27%, up in 5 of 8 years.

Weakest month, June: an average of -1.31%, up in 2 of 8 years.

This month, October: has averaged +2.33%, up in 7 of 8 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 9 years, GLDM's strongest calendar month has been January (average +3.27%, up in 5 of 8 years) and its weakest June (average -1.31%, up in 2 of 8 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 9 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

GLDM price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in GLDM, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$9,050
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$14,144
median path
Upside, 2030
$22,104
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 8 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in GLDM today could grow to about $14,144 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $22,104 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,050. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

GLDM 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$76.83
Base case, 2030
$109
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$69.53 to $170
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $109 for GLDM by 2030 in the base case, from $76.83 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $69.53. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GLDM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

GLDM simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $67.02 $83.79 $105
2028 $66.64 $91.37 $125
2029 $67.69 $99.65 $147
2030 $69.53 $109 $170

Method: a lognormal simulation of GLDM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

GLDM ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.

GLDM Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) a buy right now?
A score of 23/100 gives GLDM its Sell rating. Cost does the most to lift the score, since the expense ratio is 0.10%. The main drag is the trend: the price is 13.69% below its 200-day average and 8.83% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.32% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 3.52%. Over shorter periods it fell 4.13% in three months and fell 6.51% in the past month. It now trades 29.99% below its 52-week high of $109.74.
What does GLDM cost to own?
Annual costs for GLDM run 0.10%, equal to $10.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That charge comes out of the fund's assets instead of being invoiced to shareholders.
What are the key price levels for GLDM?
Overhead, the first level is the 20-day EMA at $80.95, followed by the 50-day SMA at $84.27. On the downside, the nearest level is the 52-week low at $76.55.
How volatile is GLDM?
On an average day, GLDM's price moves 1.35%. This figure is the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of GLDM?
Over the past 52 weeks, GLDM has moved between $76.55 and $109.74. At $76.83, the price is at 1% of that span, 0.37% above the low and 29.99% below the high.
Is GLDM in an uptrend?
No. SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) trades at $76.83, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($84.27 and $89.01). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 30.5, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is GLDM's biggest drop in the period since June 2018?
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since June 2018 was -28.0%, from January 2026 to October 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 28.0% below it. Over the same period, 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are GLDM's best and worst months?
Over the last 9 years, January has been GLDM's strongest month on average (+3.27%, rising in 5 of 8 years) and June its weakest (-1.31%, rising in 2 of 8 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does GLDM move with the stock market?
Over the past year GLDM's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.18). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.21; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.31; Gold (XAU): +0.98. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for GLDM are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 31, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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