As of September 27, 2026, ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) trades at $54.97. RSI at 24 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $57.34.
ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL)
ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF CBOE
NOBL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
NOBL Fund Facts
ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. The fund focuses on companies in the S&P 500 that have increased their dividend payments for at least 25 consecutive years, emphasizing established businesses with long records of shareholder payouts. Its portfolio is equal-weighted, which helps reduce concentration in any single holding and gives broader representation across qualifying companies.
Sector weights
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | NOBL | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 12.35% | 7.82% |
| 1 month | 1.42% | 6.23% |
| 3 months | 8.43% | 3.90% |
| 1 year | 12.93% | 26.16% |
| 3 years | 9.34% | 15.87% |
| 5 years | 6.38% | 10.13% |
| 10 years | 9.98% | 11.26% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
NOBL Analysis
- Consider NOBL for its dividend growth focus and potential for mean reversion after oversold conditions.
- Monitor sector rotation within the S&P 500, as shifts away from defensive sectors could impact NOBL.
- Compare NOBL's long-term performance against its category to assess its strategic effectiveness beyond dividend growth.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with NOBL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Yield | 2.13% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $55.05 |
| Day Low | $54.59 |
| 52 Week High | 59.30 |
| 52 Week Low | 50.12 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 23.70 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.72 |
| SMA 50 | 57.34 |
| SMA 200 | 55.16 |
NOBL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NOBL in September 2016 would be worth about $20,314 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NOBL today could grow to about $20,175 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $39,704 and a bear case around $10,252. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NOBL ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $72.79 for NOBL by 2030 in the base case, from $54.97 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $47.44. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NOBL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $47.60 | $58.97 | $73.04 |
| 2028 | $46.73 | $63.25 | $85.62 |
| 2029 | $46.83 | $67.85 | $98.31 |
| 2030 | $47.44 | $72.79 | $112 |
| 2031 | $48.38 | $78.08 | $126 |
| 2032 | $49.58 | $83.76 | $142 |
| 2033 | $50.99 | $89.85 | $158 |
| 2034 | $52.60 | $96.38 | $177 |
| 2035 | $54.39 | $103 | $197 |
| 2036 | $56.36 | $111 | $218 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NOBL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
