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01

The short version

Where SGOL stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

SGOL at a glance

abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL): Sell, 30/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($41.23 and $43.05).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.17%, $7.2B in net assets, +9.0% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) Sell, with a model score of 30/100.

Cost lifts the score most: the expense ratio is 0.17%. The trend holds it back most: the price is 7.83% below its 200-day average and 3.76% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 4.22% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $41.23 and the 200-day at $43.05. Over the past year the price fell 3.36%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from SGOL's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $39.68 is 3.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $41.23.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 7.8% below the 200-day simple moving average of $43.05.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($41.23) is 4.2% below the 200-day average ($43.05), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 15% of its 52-week range, between $37.31 and $52.84.

SGOL share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far SGOL has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $41.06 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $39.68 Oct 16, 2026
High $51.41 Jan 29, 2026
Low $37.54 Nov 4, 2025

Today's trading

Where SGOL sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.01% wide
$39.68
$39.56 $39.96
52-week range 15% of the way up
$39.68
$37.31 $52.84
Open
$39.60
Previous close
$39.74
Volume
2.03M
1% below average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

3/3
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.17% a year, $17.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $7.2B.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of 8.99%.

SGOL Fund Facts

Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide investors with a straightforward and efficient method to access the gold market. The primary function of this ETF is to track the price of gold bullion by holding physical gold bars in secured vaults, thus closely mirroring fluctuations in the metal's market prices.

Issuer
Aberdeen Standard Investments
Category
Commodities Focused
Inception
Sep 9, 2009
Expense ratio
0.17%
Net assets
$7.17B
NAV
$39.84
Distribution yield
0.00%
YTD return
-3.18%
Turnover
11.42%

Trailing total returns

Period SGOL
YTD -3.18%
1 month -8.48%
3 months 3.69%
1 year 8.99%
3 years 30.48%
5 years 18.90%
10 years 11.94%

As of Oct 17, 2026, SGOL has an expense ratio of 0.17%, $7.17B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.00%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 17, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for SGOL.

Net Assets
7.17B
Expense Ratio
0.17%
Yield
0.00%
Day High
$39.96
Day Low
$39.56
52 Week High
52.84
52 Week Low
37.31

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SGOL's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

SGOL is a fund in the Commodities Focused type, run by Aberdeen Standard Investments and launched on September 9, 2009.

Costs take 0.17% a year, or $17.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund's net assets come to $7.2B, and portfolio turnover is 11%.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of SGOL shifts by 1.27%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 24.91% below its 52-week high of $52.84. Over the past year the price fell 3.36%.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 45.7, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 45.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of SGOL

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
30/100
Sell
What the AI sees

Both moving averages sit above the price, the shape of a downtrend for abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL): the price of $39.68 is 3.76% below the 50-day average ($41.23) and 7.83% below the 200-day average ($43.05). At 15% of its 52-week range, the price is 6.35% above the 52-week low of $37.31. The 50-day average sits 4.22% below the 200-day, which confirms the weakness rather than contradicting it.

The short and long run point different ways: the price fell 2.41% over the past month, rose 3.82% over the past three months and fell 3.36% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 45.7, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.

ProTips
  1. Two levels deserve the closest attention: the 20-day EMA, which sits at $39.94 above the price, and the 52-week low of $37.31 beneath it.
  2. The 14-day RSI stands at 45.7, which is neutral, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.17% a year, SGOL charges $17.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

As long as SGOL stays under both its 50-day average of $41.23 and its 200-day average of $43.05, the downtrend holds. A close back above the 50-day average would be the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the first hurdle is the 20-day EMA at $39.94.

Next below the price is the 52-week low at $37.31. The 14-day RSI reads 45.7, which places it in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for SGOL, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
45.714-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.439 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-3.8%price against the 50-day average
200-day $43.05 50-day $41.23 Price $39.68
Price against the 200-day -7.8% Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with SGOL at $39.68, its 14-day RSI is 45.7 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $41.23 and its 200-day is $43.05.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What SGOL moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.17 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.19 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.30 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.98 Strong

As of October 17, 2026, SGOL's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.17 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.19 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.98 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

SGOL trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$40.47
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$39.68
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$41.69
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (45.7) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$38.45
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$36.43
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$34.40
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from SGOL's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much SGOL tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.27%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$39.68
$37.31 15% of the way up $52.84

Compare SGOL

Put SGOL side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

SGOL's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

2/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.27% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 26.3%, from January 2026 to July 2026; the price is still 22.8% below that peak.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    76% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $32,503, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

SGOL Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-26.3%
January 2026 to July 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 22.8% below the January 2026 peak
From the 10-year high
-22.8%
highest close, January 2026
1-year holds that gained
76%
of every 1-year window

As of October 17, 2026, SGOL's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -26.3% (January 2026 to July 2026); it is still 22.8% below that peak, and 76% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into SGOL in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

SGOL today
$32,503
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,055
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$9,551.51
0.8x the index result
Total change
+225%
3.3x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
SGOL S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: SGOL trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $32,503 against $42,055.

A $10,000 investment in SGOL in October 2016 would be worth about $32,503 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to SGOL, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb7/10 upMar6/10 upApr6/10 upMay5/10 upJun2/10 upJul7/10 upAug6/10 upSep2/10 upOct7/9 upNov4/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, January: an average of +3.61%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, June: an average of -1.52%, up in 2 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +2.00%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, SGOL's strongest calendar month has been January (average +3.61%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -1.52%, up in 2 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SGOL, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$11,681
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$22,733
median path
Upside, 2036
$44,241
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SGOL today could grow to about $22,733 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $44,241 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $11,681 (above the amount invested: over ten years most simulated paths of a rising, moderately volatile asset end higher). Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

SGOL 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$39.68
Base case, 2030
$55.11
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$36.17 to $83.97
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $55.11 for SGOL by 2030 in the base case, from $39.68 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $36.17. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SGOL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

SGOL simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $34.90 $43.08 $53.17
2028 $34.72 $46.76 $62.98
2029 $35.25 $50.77 $73.11
2030 $36.17 $55.11 $83.97
2031 $37.36 $59.83 $95.80

Method: a lognormal simulation of SGOL's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) a buy right now?
The Sell rating comes from a model score of 30/100. The biggest support is cost: the expense ratio is 0.17%. Against that, the trend weighs on the score, as the price is 7.83% below its 200-day average and 3.76% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 4.22% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) performed over the past year?
Across the last twelve months the price declined 3.36%. In shorter windows the picture is mixed: up 3.82% over three months, down 2.41% over the past month. The price now sits 24.91% below its 52-week high of $52.84.
What does SGOL cost to own?
SGOL charges an expense ratio of 0.17%, which works out to $17.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee comes out of the fund's assets instead of being billed to the investor separately.
What are the key price levels for SGOL?
Overhead, the nearest levels are the 20-day EMA at $39.94 and the 50-day SMA at $41.23. The level below the price is the 52-week low at $37.31.
How volatile is SGOL?
On an average day SGOL's price changes by 1.27%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of SGOL?
Over the past 52 weeks, SGOL has moved between $37.31 and $52.84. At $39.68, the price is at 15% of that range, 6.35% above the low and 24.91% below the high.
Is SGOL in an uptrend?
No. abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) trades at $39.68, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($41.23 and $43.05). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 45.7, in neutral territory.
What is SGOL's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -26.3%, from January 2026 to July 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 22.8% below it. Over the same period, 76% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are SGOL's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, January has been SGOL's strongest month on average (+3.61%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and June its weakest (-1.52%, rising in 2 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does SGOL move with the stock market?
Over the past year SGOL's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.17). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.19; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.30; Gold (XAU): +0.98. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for SGOL are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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