ETF·NYSE
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL)
- Net assets
- $7.17B
- Expense ratio
- 0.17%
- Yield
- None
- 52-week range
- $37.45 $52.84
SGOL ETF forecast today
Where SGOL stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
SGOL at a glance
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL): Sell, 30/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($40.82 and $42.93).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.17%, $7.2B in net assets, price up 1.7% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) Sell, with a model score of 30/100.
Cost lifts the score most: the expense ratio is 0.17%. The trend holds it back most: the price is 9.94% below its 200-day average and 5.28% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 4.92% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $40.82 and the 200-day at $42.93. Over the past year the price rose 1.66%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from SGOL's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
SGOL ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $38.66 is 5.3% below the 50-day simple moving average of $40.82.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 9.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $42.93.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($40.82) is 4.9% below the 200-day average ($42.93), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 8% of its 52-week range, between $37.45 and $52.84.
SGOL share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far SGOL has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where SGOL sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
SGOL fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
3/3Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.17% a year, $17.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $7.2B.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 1.66% over the past year.
SGOL Fund Facts
Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide investors with a straightforward and efficient method to access the gold market. The primary function of this ETF is to track the price of gold bullion by holding physical gold bars in secured vaults, thus closely mirroring fluctuations in the metal's market prices.
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | SGOL |
|---|---|
| YTD | -3.18% |
| 1 month | -8.48% |
| 3 months | 3.69% |
| 1 year | 8.99% |
| 3 years | 30.48% |
| 5 years | 18.90% |
| 10 years | 11.94% |
As of Oct 28, 2026, SGOL has an expense ratio of 0.17%, $7.17B in net assets and no distribution yield.
Fund reference data as of Oct 28, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for SGOL.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SGOL's holdings, performance and risks.
SGOL is run by Aberdeen Standard Investments as a Commodities Focused fund that went live on September 9, 2009.
The expense ratio is 0.17%, which comes to $17.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. Net assets total $7.2B. Portfolio turnover runs at 11%.
On a typical day the price of SGOL shifts by 1.27%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 26.84% below its 52-week high of $52.84.
SGOL AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 41.2, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 41.2 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of SGOL
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Both moving averages sit above the price, the shape of a downtrend for abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL): the price of $38.66 is 5.28% below the 50-day average ($40.82) and 9.94% below the 200-day average ($42.93). At 8% of its 52-week range, the price is 3.23% above the 52-week low of $37.45. The 50-day average sits 4.92% below the 200-day, which confirms the weakness rather than contradicting it.
A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 5.31% over the past month, rose 0.83% over the past three months and rose 1.66% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 41.2, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $39.30 sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $37.45 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 41.2, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. With an expense ratio of 0.17% a year, SGOL takes $17.00 from every $10,000 invested.
A close above the 50-day would mark the first sign of repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $39.30 is the first hurdle a rally would meet.
The 52-week low at $37.45 is the next level below. The 14-day RSI of 41.2 is in the neutral band, between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for SGOL, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with SGOL at $38.66, its 14-day RSI is 41.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $40.82 and its 200-day is $42.93.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What SGOL moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, SGOL's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.18 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.20 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.98 with gold (XAU).
SGOL trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
SGOL trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from SGOL's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much SGOL tends to move, against the market and on its own.
SGOL price history and drawdowns
SGOL's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.27% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 26.3%, from January 2026 to July 2026; the price is still 24.8% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
76% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $31,177, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
SGOL Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, SGOL's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -26.3% (January 2026 to July 2026); it is still 24.8% below that peak, and 76% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into SGOL in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: SGOL trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $31,177 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in SGOL in October 2016 would be worth about $31,177 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to SGOL, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +3.69%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -1.39%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.11%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, SGOL's strongest calendar month has been January (average +3.69%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -1.39%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
SGOL price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SGOL, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in SGOL today could grow to about $13,819 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $21,072 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,062. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SGOL 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $53.42 for SGOL by 2030 in the base case, from $38.66 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $35.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SGOL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $33.94 | $41.92 | $51.76 | |
| 2028 | $33.72 | $45.45 | $61.24 | |
| 2029 | $34.19 | $49.27 | $71.01 | |
| 2030 | $35.03 | $53.42 | $81.46 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of SGOL's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
SGOL ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.