As of September 15, 2026, Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) trades at $142.80. RSI at 42 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $148.11.
Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM)
Defiance Quantum ETF NASDAQ
The Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) is currently trading at $142.80, showing a mixed short-term technical picture. While the fund remains above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $131.96, indicating a positive long-term trend, it is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $148.11 and its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $147.70. This positioning suggests a potential short-term pullback or consolidation phase. The fund's strategy focuses on companies involved in quantum computing and machine learning, offering a specialized exposure to emerging technologies within the broader technology sector.
QTUM's sector allocation is heavily concentrated in Technology, representing 78.98% of its holdings. Industrials (10.1%) and Communication Services (6.85%) make up the next largest allocations. This concentration highlights the fund's focus on innovation-driven companies. Recent performance shows a strong 1-year return of 57.84% compared to its category's 54.99%, and a significant 5-year return of 24.90% versus the category's 9.93%, underscoring its long-term growth potential despite short-term fluctuations.
QTUM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
QTUM Fund Facts
Defiance Quantum ETF is a thematic exchange-traded fund that provides exposure to companies involved in quantum computing and machine learning. The fund follows the BlueStar Quantum Computing and Machine Learning Index, which selects liquid global companies engaged in products and services tied to quantum computers, quantum chips, embedded artificial intelligence, and data-driven software. Its portfolio is designed to reflect businesses across the technology landscape, including hardware, software, semiconductors, and related advanced materials.
Sector weights
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | QTUM | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 35.72% | 13.51% |
| 1 month | 4.68% | 19.10% |
| 3 months | -7.10% | 10.83% |
| 1 year | 57.84% | 54.99% |
| 3 years | 44.25% | 27.86% |
| 5 years | 24.90% | 9.93% |
| 10 years | N/A | 19.36% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
QTUM Analysis
QTUM is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($148.11) and 20-day EMA ($147.70), indicating short-term weakness. However, the price is above its 200-day SMA ($131.96), suggesting the longer-term uptrend remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 41.55, which is in neutral territory and does not indicate overbought or oversold conditions. The Stochastic Oscillator at 6.14 also suggests the ETF is not in oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -1.17, indicating bearish momentum in the short term.
Volume has been slightly above its average, with the latest volume at 296,300 compared to an average of 248,000, representing a 19.5% increase. This suggests increased investor interest, though the price action is currently subdued. Key technical levels to watch include the 50-day SMA as resistance and the 200-day SMA as support.
- Monitor the 50-day SMA for a potential breakout as a sign of renewed short-term strength.
- Consider the overall technology sector sentiment, as QTUM's performance is heavily influenced by this broader trend.
- Stay informed about advancements in quantum computing and AI, as these are the primary drivers of QTUM's investment thesis.
- Evaluate the expense ratio of 0.40% in the context of long-term investment goals and compare it with alternative technology ETFs.
The outlook for the Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) is cautiously optimistic, driven by the long-term growth potential of quantum computing and machine learning. While the ETF is currently trading below its short-term moving averages, its position above the 200-day SMA suggests that the underlying uptrend remains intact. The fund's strong historical performance, particularly over the 3- and 5-year periods, supports a positive long-term thesis.
The key to QTUM's future performance will be the continued innovation and commercialization within the quantum technology and AI sectors. Any significant breakthroughs or increased adoption of quantum computing solutions could lead to substantial upside. Conversely, delays in technological development, increased regulatory scrutiny, or a rotation out of growth-oriented technology stocks could present headwinds. The ETF's concentrated nature means that performance will be highly sensitive to the success of its underlying holdings.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with QTUM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Yield | 0.83% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $144.09 |
| Day Low | $142.22 |
| 52 Week High | 170.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 92.28 |
The Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) provides concentrated exposure to the rapidly evolving quantum computing and machine learning sectors, primarily within the Technology industry. Its strategy, guided by the BlueStar Quantum Computing and Machine Learning Index, aims to capture growth from companies at the forefront of these advanced computing technologies. The fund's net assets stand at $5.56 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.40%, costing $40.00 per $10,000 invested. This expense ratio is competitive for a specialized thematic ETF.
The sector allocation is heavily weighted towards Technology (78.98%), with smaller allocations to Industrials and Communication Services. This concentration means the fund's performance is closely tied to the health and innovation within the technology sector.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
However, its performance is intrinsically linked to the earnings trends of the companies it holds, which are focused on quantum computing and machine learning. These companies are typically in high-growth phases, often reinvesting heavily in R&D, which can impact near-term profitability but signals long-term potential. The overall sector earnings trend for technology, particularly in advanced computing and AI, is expected to be positive, driven by increasing demand for processing power and data analytics capabilities.
The aggregate performance of QTUM's top holdings, which are involved in cutting-edge technology, will dictate the fund's earnings-related performance. Investors should monitor the financial reports of key companies within the quantum computing and AI landscape to gauge the underlying health and growth trajectory that supports QTUM's investment thesis.
Key Risks
The primary risk for the Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) is its high concentration in the Technology sector, specifically within the nascent fields of quantum computing and machine learning. This focus exposes the fund to significant volatility and the risk of underperformance if these emerging technologies do not develop as anticipated or face regulatory hurdles. Additionally, as a thematic ETF, QTUM is subject to sector-specific downturns and the risk that its chosen index may not accurately capture the most promising companies in the quantum space.
Another key risk is the potential for rapid technological obsolescence. The quantum computing and AI fields are evolving at an unprecedented pace, meaning that companies currently leading the pack could be surpassed by new innovations or competitors. Investors should also consider the fund's expense ratio of 0.40%, which, while typical for thematic ETFs, can impact long-term returns compared to broader, lower-cost index funds.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 41.55 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.17 |
| SMA 50 | 148.11 |
| SMA 200 | 131.96 |
QTUM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in QTUM in September 2018 would be worth about $57,697 today, compared with about $26,325 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in QTUM today could grow to about $37,976 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $117,086 and a bear case around $12,317. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
QTUM ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $244 for QTUM by 2030 in the base case, from $143 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $119. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on QTUM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $114 | $163 | $233 |
| 2028 | $113 | $186 | $309 |
| 2029 | $115 | $213 | $395 |
| 2030 | $119 | $244 | $496 |
| 2031 | $126 | $278 | $617 |
| 2032 | $133 | $318 | $761 |
| 2033 | $142 | $363 | $932 |
| 2034 | $152 | $415 | $1,137 |
| 2035 | $163 | $475 | $1,381 |
| 2036 | $176 | $542 | $1,672 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using QTUM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.