Head-to-head · Stock vs Stock
Marathon Petroleum vs Phillips 66
vs
MPC vs PSX: the verdict
How MPC and PSX compare today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
The verdict
CleaRank Financial AI favours
MPC
MPC
PSX
78/100
AI score
77/100
+101.3%
1-year change
+83.7%
54.3%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
47.3%
43.3
RSI (14-day)
44.2
8.0x
P/E ratio
8.3x
0.99%
Dividend yield
1.94%
The verdict
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) comes out ahead on CleaRank's model, scoring 78/100 (Buy) against 77/100 (Buy) for Phillips 66 (PSX). The scores are close, and no single factor separates them by much.
Key difference
Size is the plainest contrast here. MPC carries a market value of $109.7B, while PSX is valued at $100.9B.
Outlook
MPC sits between its 50-day average at $422.89 and its 200-day at $299.39. PSX sits between its 50-day average at $268.56 and its 200-day at $203.61.
Price, side by side
Both prices start at 0% on the first day of the period you pick, so the moves compare directly.
Rebased price
-20%-10%0%-8.1%-12%
Nov '26
0%+10%+20%+30%+40%+16%+15%
Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
0%+20%+40%+60%+80%+100%+62%+51%
Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
0%+50%+100%+150%+101%+84%
Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jul '26Sep '26Nov '26
0%+50%+100%+150%+135%+96%
Oct '24Mar '25Aug '25Jan '26Jun '26Nov '26
Over 1 year: MPC gained 101.3% and PSX gained 83.7%, a gap of 17.6 points in MPC's favour.
Valuation and profitability
What each costs relative to its earnings and sales, and how much of its revenue it keeps.
Side by side
Valuation
Lower multiples mean you pay less for each dollar of earnings or sales.
MPC
PSX
$109.7B
Market cap
$100.9B
8.0x
P/E ratio
8.3x
0.6x
Price / sales
0.6x
4.6x
Price / book
2.9x
5.6x
EV / EBITDA
7.3x
Profitability
How much of each dollar of revenue becomes profit, and how hard the capital works.
MPC
PSX
+53.8%
Revenue growth (quarter, y/y)
+53.1%
8.3%
Net margin
7.5%
60.5%
Return on equity
39.8%
13.8%
Return on assets
10.6%
1.15
Debt / equity
0.52
On valuation
PSX trades on the higher trailing P/E, 8.30 against 7.98 for MPC. Both P/Es are at a discount to peers, against an Energy median of 18.4. On sales, MPC is valued higher, at 0.63 times against 0.60. MPC is the larger company, worth $109.7B against $100.9B.
On profitability
MPC turns more of each sales dollar into profit, reporting a net margin of 8.34% to PSX's 7.48%. Its return on equity is also the higher of the two, at 60.46% against 39.84%. Year on year, latest-quarter revenue rose 53.83% at MPC and 53.06% at PSX. On yield, MPC pays a trailing dividend yield of 0.99%, and PSX pays 1.94%.
Earnings reality check
MPC
MPC beat the estimate in 5 of its last 5 reports (latest Nov '26); the shares fell in the first session after 4 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Aug '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Nov '26
PSX
PSX beat the estimate in 5 of its last 5 reports (latest Oct '26); the shares fell in the first session after 1 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Jul '25Oct '25Feb '26Aug '26Oct '26
Momentum and sentiment
The indicators behind each AI score, side by side.
Indicators side by side
MPC
PSX
78/100
AI score
77/100
43.3
RSI (14-day)
44.2
-4.7%
Price against 50-day average
-3.7%
+34.6%
Price against 200-day average
+27.0%
Technicals
MPC is in a mixed trend, trading 4.74% below its 50-day average and 34.55% above its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 43.3, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative. PSX is in a mixed trend, trading 3.68% below its 50-day average and 27.05% above its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 44.2, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative. PSX sits higher in its 52-week range, at 76% against 73% for MPC.
Sentiment
Of the 18 analysts covering MPC, 8 rate it buy, 9 hold and 1 sell; their median target is $466.00, 15.7% above the price. Of the 20 analysts covering PSX, 11 rate it buy, 8 hold and 1 sell; their median target is $297.00, 14.8% above the price.
Risk and practical tips
How much each moves, how much return each has paid for that risk, and what to watch if you hold either.
Risk measures
MPC
PSX
54.3%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
47.3%
0.51
Beta against the S&P 500
0.67
1.15
Sharpe ratio
0.95
Risk
MPC typically moves more in a day, 3.04% against 2.59% for PSX. Against the S&P 500, MPC has a beta of 0.51 and PSX 0.67. Their worst falls in the price history were 79.5% for MPC (September 2018 to March 2020) and 64.2% for PSX (November 2019 to March 2020). The measures split: MPC typically moves more in a day and has had the deeper worst fall, while PSX has the higher beta.
ProTips
- For MPC, watch the 20-day EMA at $419.02 above the price and the 200-day SMA at $299.39 below it.
- For PSX, watch the 20-day EMA at $266.44 above the price and the 200-day SMA at $203.61 below it.
MPC vs PSX: long-term scenarios
Simulated paths from each price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Simulated growth of $10,000
$50K$100K$121K$82.1K$25.4K$20.7K
202620282030203220342035
MPC
PSX
$5,306
Downside, 2035 (10th)
$5,210
$25,367
Base case, 2035 (median)
$20,676
$121,260
Upside, 2035 (90th)
$82,051
In the median simulated path, $10,000 in MPC grows to about $25,400 and $10,000 in PSX grows to about $20,700 by 2035. The paths come from each asset's own volatility and capped historical trend; they are statistical outcomes, not forecasts. MPC and PSX's upside columns reach an extreme multiple of the starting amount; treat them as a statistical tail, not a likely outcome.
MPC vs PSX: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which is better, MPC or PSX?+
On CleaRank's model MPC scores higher, 78/100 (Buy) against 77/100 (Buy) for PSX. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
Which has performed better over the past year, MPC or PSX?+
MPC has done better: its price rose 101.29% over the past year, while PSX rose 83.66%.
Which is cheaper on earnings, MPC or PSX?+
MPC has the lower trailing P/E of the two, at 7.98 against 8.30 for PSX.
Which pays more income, MPC or PSX?+
PSX yields more, at 1.94% compared with 0.99% for MPC. Yield is the payout divided by the price, so it moves whenever either of those moves.
Which is riskier, MPC or PSX?+
Most of the measures we track point to MPC as the riskier of the two. Average daily move: 3.04% for MPC, 2.59% for PSX. Beta against the S&P 500: 0.51 for MPC, 0.67 for PSX. Worst fall in the price history: 79.5% for MPC, 64.2% for PSX.
Which has stronger momentum right now, MPC or PSX?+
PSX's 14-day RSI is higher, at 44.2 (neutral), while MPC's is 43.3 (neutral). The MACD line is negative for both. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
Which is the bigger company, MPC or PSX?+
MPC is the larger company, with a market value of $109.7B, while PSX is valued at $100.9B.
What do analysts say about MPC and PSX?+
MPC has 8 buy ratings out of 18, with a median target 15.7% above the price. PSX has 11 buy ratings out of 20, with a median target 14.8% above the price.
How would $10,000 have grown in MPC or PSX?+
Invested in December 2016, $10,000 would be worth $112,533 today in MPC and $43,731 in PSX.