Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of September 15, 2026, iShares Gold Trust (IAU) trades at $80.54. RSI at 28 is in oversold territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $80.25.
iShares Gold Trust (IAU)
iShares Gold Trust NYSE
$80.54
-1.170 (-1.43%)
At close: Sep 14, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
70 / 100
iShares Gold Trust (IAU) is a commodity ETF designed for direct exposure to gold prices through physically held bullion. The fund aims to mirror gold's day-to-day price movements, offering investors a liquid and transparent way to gain precious metals exposure without the complexities of storage and insurance. As of September 2026, IAU is trading below its key moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend in the short to medium term. Despite this, its recent performance shows a significant divergence from its category average, highlighting the volatility inherent in commodity tracking ETFs.
IAU Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$80.40
Day Range
$80.16 to $81.17
Prev Close
$81.71
Volume
12.95M
52-Week Range
$65.56 to $104.40
Market Cap
$85.44B
IAU Fund Facts
iShares Gold Trust is a commodity exchange-traded fund designed to provide direct exposure to the price of gold through physically held bullion. The trust’s shares are backed by allocated gold bars, making it a straightforward vehicle for investors seeking a simple way to track gold market movements without handling storage, security, or insurance logistics.
Issuer
iShares
Category
Commodities Focused
Inception
Jan 21, 2005
Expense ratio
0.25%
Net assets
$67.54B
NAV
$82.99
Distribution yield
0.00%
YTD return
5.74%
Turnover
0.00%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | IAU | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 5.74% | 29.92% |
| 1 month | 13.29% | 3.11% |
| 3 months | 0.30% | 11.90% |
| 1 year | 32.73% | 71.37% |
| 3 years | 32.61% | 17.21% |
| 5 years | 19.95% | 12.75% |
| 10 years | 13.02% | 7.26% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
IAU Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
As of September 2026, IAU is trading above its 50-day SMA ($80.25) of $80.25 and its 200-day SMA of $85.23, indicating a bearish trend. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $82.58, also above the current price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 28.17, which is considered oversold. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at -115.30, further confirming oversold conditions. The recent volume has been significantly higher than average, suggesting increased market interest.
ProTips
- Consider IAU as a potential hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.
- Monitor macroeconomic indicators, especially inflation and interest rate policies, for directional cues.
- The oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term buying opportunity, but the bearish trend requires caution.
- Compare IAU's performance to broader commodity ETFs to assess sector rotation.
Market Outlook
The outlook for iShares Gold Trust (IAU) is cautiously optimistic in the short term, driven by its oversold technical indicators. While the current trend is bearish with prices below key moving averages, the RSI suggests a potential for a rebound. The medium to long-term outlook will depend heavily on macroeconomic factors such as inflation trends, central bank monetary policy, and global economic stability, which typically influence gold prices. A sustained increase in inflation or geopolitical uncertainty could drive demand for gold, potentially pushing IAU higher towards its 200-day SMA and beyond.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.98
Strong correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with IAU? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 85.44B |
|---|---|
| Yield | 0.00% |
| Day High | $81.17 |
| Day Low | $80.16 |
| 52 Week High | 104.40 |
| 52 Week Low | 65.56 |
The iShares Gold Trust (IAU) provides direct exposure to the price of gold, a commodity often sought as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. Its expense ratio is 0.25%, costing $25.00 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund's net assets stand at $67.54 billion, indicating substantial investor participation. While the fund itself does not hold specific company stocks, its performance is intrinsically linked to the global gold market dynamics, including central bank policies, geopolitical events, and inflation expectations. The sector's performance, as indicated by trailing returns, shows significant year-to-date underperformance compared to its category average.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Its performance is dictated by the price fluctuations of physical gold. Sector earnings trends are indirectly reflected in gold's price, as a strong corporate earnings environment might reduce the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, while weak earnings or economic downturns could increase demand for gold. The fund's year-to-date return of 5.74% contrasts with the category's 29.92% return, suggesting that the broader commodity sector has seen stronger performance drivers than gold alone in the current period.
Key Risks
The primary risk for IAU is the inherent volatility of gold prices, which can be influenced by a multitude of macroeconomic factors, including interest rate changes, inflation, and geopolitical instability. Concentration risk is also a factor, as the fund's performance is tied solely to a single commodity. Also, the ETF's recent performance has lagged its category, indicating potential headwinds or a rotation out of gold into other commodities.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 28.17 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.12 |
| SMA 50 | 80.25 |
| SMA 200 | 85.23 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $80.25, 200-day: $85.23), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture, RSI at 28.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
IAU Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$78.93
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$80.54
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$76.32
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (28.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$82.88
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$86.82
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$90.77
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of IAU is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 15, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in IAU in September 2016 would be worth about $31,784 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IAU today could grow to about $25,221 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $48,932 and a bear case around $13,000. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
IAU ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $117 for IAU by 2030 in the base case, from $80.54 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $76.68. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IAU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $71.64 | $88.35 | $109 |
| 2028 | $72.05 | $96.91 | $130 |
| 2029 | $73.94 | $106 | $153 |
| 2030 | $76.68 | $117 | $177 |
| 2031 | $80.05 | $128 | $204 |
| 2032 | $83.97 | $140 | $234 |
| 2033 | $88.40 | $154 | $268 |
| 2034 | $93.32 | $169 | $305 |
| 2035 | $98.75 | $185 | $347 |
| 2036 | $105 | $203 | $394 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IAU's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?
The iShares Gold Trust (IAU) has an expense ratio of 0.25%. This translates to an annual cost of $25.00 for every $10,000 invested in the fund.
What sectors or assets does the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) hold, and how concentrated is it?
The iShares Gold Trust (IAU) is a commodity ETF that provides direct exposure to the price of gold through physically held bullion. Its asset allocation is concentrated solely in gold.
What is the distribution yield for the iShares Gold Trust (IAU)?
The iShares Gold Trust (IAU) has a distribution yield of 0% and a dividend rate of 0%.
How has the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) performed against its category over various periods?
In the year-to-date period, IAU returned 5.74% compared to the category's 29.92%. Over one year, IAU returned 32.73% versus the category's 71.37%. Over three years, IAU returned 32.61% compared to the category's 17.21%, and over five years, IAU returned 19.95% against the category's 12.75%.
What are the nearest support and resistance levels for IAU?
The nearest support level for IAU is its 50-day SMA at $80.25, and the nearest resistance is its 200-day SMA at $85.23.
What is the current RSI status for IAU?
The current RSI status for IAU is oversold, with an RSI value of 28.17.
What are the statistical simulation outcomes for IAU price in 2030?
According to Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price for IAU in 2030 is $116.61, with a downside price of $76.68 and an upside price of $177.32. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What is the current Net Assets for the iShares Gold Trust?
The iShares Gold Trust currently has net assets of $67,539,091,456.