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01

IAU ETF forecast today

Where IAU stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

IAU at a glance

iShares Gold Trust (IAU): Sell, 21/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($80.07 and $84.62).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.25%, $62.2B in net assets, price down 3.8% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 30, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates iShares Gold Trust (IAU) Sell, giving it a model score of 21/100.

The expense ratio of 0.25% lifts the score more than any other factor. The trend pulls it down the most: the price sits 13.80% below the 200-day average and 8.91% below the 50-day, and the 50-day average is 5.37% under the 200-day. Those averages stand at $80.07 and $84.62. Across the past year the price declined 3.76%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from IAU's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

IAU ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $72.94 is 8.9% below the 50-day simple moving average of $80.07.
  • Price below its 200-day average ›
    The price is 13.8% below the 200-day simple moving average of $84.62.
  • 50-day average below the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($80.07) is 5.4% below the 200-day average ($84.62), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 1% of its 52-week range, between $72.72 and $104.40.

IAU share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far IAU has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $75.79 Oct 30, 2025
Latest close $72.94 Oct 30, 2026
High $101.57 Jan 29, 2026
Low $72.94 Oct 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where IAU sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.98% wide
$72.94
$72.72 $74.15
52-week range 1% of the way up
$72.94
$72.72 $104.40
Open
$74.07
Previous close
$75.57
Volume
22.47M
258% above average
03

IAU fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

1/3
  • Expense ratio above 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.25% a year, $25.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $62.2B.
  • Price down over one year ›
    The price fell 3.76% over the past year.

IAU Fund Facts

iShares Gold Trust is a commodity exchange-traded fund designed to provide direct exposure to the price of gold through physically held bullion. The trust’s shares are backed by allocated gold bars, making it a straightforward vehicle for investors seeking a simple way to track gold market movements without handling storage, security, or insurance logistics.

Issuer
iShares
Category
Commodities Focused
Inception
Jan 21, 2005
Expense ratio
0.25%
Net assets
$62.22B
Distribution yield
None
YTD total return (fund family)
-3.24%
Turnover
None

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period IAU
YTD -3.24%
1 month -8.49%
3 months 3.67%
1 year 8.90%
3 years 30.38%
5 years 18.80%
10 years 11.91%

As of Oct 30, 2026, IAU has an expense ratio of 0.25%, $62.22B in net assets and no distribution yield.

Fund reference data as of Oct 30, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for IAU.

Net Assets
62.22B
Expense Ratio
0.25%
Yield
None
Day High
$74.15
Day Low
$72.72
52 Week High
104.40
52 Week Low
72.72

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of IAU's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

IAU is run by iShares as a Commodities Focused fund. It launched on January 21, 2005.

Holding IAU costs 0.25% a year in expenses, or $25.00 on a $10,000 position. The fund has $62.2B in net assets.

Key risks

IAU's price typically moves 1.36% in a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. While the price stays under both moving averages, the downtrend remains a risk. The price is 30.13% below its 52-week high of $104.40, and over the past year it fell 3.76%.

04

IAU AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 30.3, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 30.3 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of IAU

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
21/100
Sell
What the AI sees

IAU sits under both of its main moving averages at $72.94. The price is 8.91% below the 50-day average of $80.07 and 13.80% below the 200-day average of $84.62. Sitting at 1% of its 52-week range, the price is 0.31% above the 52-week low of $72.72. Both averages point the same way, with the 50-day 5.37% below the 200-day.

On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 30.3, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative. The recent returns all show a loss, with the price down 4.24% over the past three months, 15.89% over the past six months and 3.76% over the past year. The price fell 3.48% in the last session on volume 258.5% above its average.

ProTips
  1. Two levels deserve the most attention: the 20-day EMA at $76.91, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $72.72, which sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 30.3, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.25% a year, IAU charges $25.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

IAU stays in a downtrend for as long as it trades under both its 50-day average, now $80.07, and its 200-day average, now $84.62. A close back above the 50-day average would be the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $76.91 is the first barrier a rebound would have to clear.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $72.72. With the RSI in the bearish zone, momentum is working against a quick rebound.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for IAU, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
30.314-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -1.31 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-8.9%price against the 50-day average
200-day $84.62 50-day $80.07 Price $72.94
Price against the 200-day -13.8% Bearish

As of October 30, 2026, with IAU at $72.94, its 14-day RSI is 30.3 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $80.07 and its 200-day is $84.62.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What IAU moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.18 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.21 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.31 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.98 Strong

As of October 30, 2026, IAU's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.18 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.21 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.31 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.98 with gold (XAU).

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05

IAU trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

IAU trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$74.40
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$72.94
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$76.63
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (30.3) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$70.68
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$66.96
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$63.24
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from IAU's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much IAU tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.36%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$72.94
$72.72 1% of the way up $104.40

Compare IAU

Put IAU side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

IAU price history and drawdowns

IAU's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

2/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.36% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Not yet recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 28.2%, from January 2026 to October 2026; the price is still 28.2% below that peak.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    76% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $30,670, against $42,358 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

IAU Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-28.2%
January 2026 to October 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 28.2% below the January 2026 peak
From the 10-year high
-28.2%
highest close, January 2026
1-year holds that gained
76%
of every 1-year window

As of October 30, 2026, IAU's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -28.2% (January 2026 to October 2026); it is still 28.2% below that peak, and 76% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into IAU in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

IAU today
$30,670
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,358
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$11,688
0.7x the index result
Total change
+207%
3.1x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
IAU S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: IAU trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $30,670 against $42,358.

A $10,000 investment in IAU in October 2016 would be worth about $30,670 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,358 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to IAU, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb7/10 upMar6/10 upApr6/10 upMay5/10 upJun2/10 upJul7/10 upAug6/10 upSep3/10 upOct7/9 upNov4/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, January: an average of +3.57%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, June: an average of -1.51%, up in 2 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +2.00%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, IAU's strongest calendar month has been January (average +3.57%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -1.51%, up in 2 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

IAU price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in IAU, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$9,045
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$13,789
median path
Upside, 2030
$21,021
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in IAU today could grow to about $13,789 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $21,021 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,045. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

IAU 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$72.94
Base case, 2030
$101
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$65.97 to $153
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $101 for IAU by 2030 in the base case, from $72.94 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $65.97. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IAU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

IAU simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $64.02 $79.04 $97.59
2028 $63.57 $85.65 $115
2029 $64.42 $92.81 $134
2030 $65.97 $101 $153

Method: a lognormal simulation of IAU's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

IAU ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.

IAU Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is iShares Gold Trust (IAU) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates IAU Sell, on a model score of 21/100. Most of the lift comes from cost, as the expense ratio is 0.25%. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 13.80% below its 200-day average and 8.91% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.37% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has iShares Gold Trust (IAU) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 3.76%. Over shorter periods it fell 4.24% in three months and fell 6.61% in the past month. It now trades 30.13% below its 52-week high of $104.40.
What does IAU cost to own?
IAU charges an expense ratio of 0.25%, equal to $25.00 each year on a $10,000 holding. That fee is deducted from the fund's assets, not sent as a separate bill.
What are the key price levels for IAU?
Overhead, the nearest levels are the 20-day EMA at $76.91 and the 50-day SMA at $80.07. The level beneath the price is the 52-week low at $72.72.
How volatile is IAU?
On an average day IAU's price moves 1.36%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of IAU?
Over the past 52 weeks, IAU has moved between $72.72 and $104.40. At $72.94, the price is at 1% of that span, 0.31% above the low and 30.13% below the high.
Is IAU in an uptrend?
No. iShares Gold Trust (IAU) trades at $72.94, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($80.07 and $84.62). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 30.3, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is IAU's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
iShares Gold Trust (IAU)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -28.2%, from January 2026 to October 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 28.2% below it. Over the same period, 76% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are IAU's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, January has been IAU's strongest month on average (+3.57%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and June its weakest (-1.51%, rising in 2 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does IAU move with the stock market?
Over the past year IAU's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.18). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.21; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.31; Gold (XAU): +0.98. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for IAU are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 30, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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