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As of September 11, 2026, Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) trades at $20.95. RSI at 34 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $20.31.
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV)
Sprott Physical Silver Trust NYSE
$20.95
0.0550 (0.26%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
35 / 100
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($20.31) but below its 200-day SMA ($23.53), indicating a bearish trend. The ETF's recent price action suggests a potential continuation of this downward movement. While PSLV is not a traditional ETF with sector allocations in the same way as equity ETFs, it is focused on physical silver, a commodity whose performance is influenced by macroeconomic factors and inflation expectations. Recent trading volumes have been below average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from market participants.
PSLV Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$21.29
Day Range
$20.92 to $21.32
Prev Close
$20.89
Volume
5.77M
52-Week Range
$13.21 to $38.13
Market Cap
$13.20B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs SPY
Sector Position Analysis
PSLV Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, PSLV beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
PSLV Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($20.31) of $20.31 and its 200-day simple moving average of $23.53. The price is also below its 20-day exponential moving average of $21.45. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 34.06, indicating bearish momentum. The MACD is at 0.1999, suggesting a bearish trend. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 4.78, further reinforcing the oversold conditions. The 50-day SMA is acting as resistance, and the 200-day SMA is also above the current price, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
ProTips
- Monitor the spot price of silver closely for directional cues.
- Be aware of the trust's costs related to silver storage and insurance.
- Consider PSLV as a tactical act on silver rather than a long-term core holding due to its volatility.
Market Outlook
The outlook for Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) is cautiously bearish in the short to medium term, primarily driven by its current technical indicators. Trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum suggests potential for further downside. The price of silver itself is influenced by a complex interplay of factors including inflation expectations, industrial demand, and its safe-haven appeal. Should these factors turn unfavorable, PSLV could see continued price depreciation. Conversely, a significant increase in inflation or a major geopolitical event could drive silver prices higher, potentially reversing the current bearish trend.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 13.20B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 2.57 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.12 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 38.13 |
| 52 Week Low | 13.21 |
As a trust holding physical silver, Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) does not have traditional sector holdings or an expense ratio in the same vein as equity ETFs. Its fundamental value is tied directly to the price of silver. The trust's objective is to provide investors with a secure, convenient, and cost-effective way to invest in physical silver. The underlying asset, silver, is influenced by global economic conditions, industrial demand, and its role as a safe-haven asset. Investors should monitor silver market dynamics, including supply and demand, geopolitical events, and inflation trends, as these factors directly impact PSLV's performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
However, the trust has reported earnings data in the past, with the most recent report on May 8, 2026, showing an EPS actual of $0.13 against an estimate of $0.11, a positive surprise of 18.18%. Prior to that, on March 17, 2026, the trust reported an EPS actual of $0.65 versus an estimate of $0.42, a significant surprise of 54.76%. These past earnings surprises, while not directly indicative of the trust's future performance, reflect the volatility and potential for significant price movements associated with the underlying commodity.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) is the inherent volatility of the silver market. Fluctuations in silver prices due to macroeconomic factors, industrial demand, or shifts in investor sentiment can significantly impact the trust's value. Concentration risk is also a factor, as the trust's performance is entirely dependent on a single commodity. Additionally, changes in monetary policy or a strengthening U.S. dollar could negatively affect silver prices.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 34.06 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.20 |
| SMA 50 | 20.31 |
| SMA 200 | 23.53 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $20.31, 200-day: $23.53), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.74
Strong correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
PSLV Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$21.36
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$20.95
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$22.20
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (34.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$20.30
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$19.23
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$18.16
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for PSLV is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in PSLV in September 2016 would be worth about $28,460 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PSLV today could grow to about $23,918 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $88,571 and a bear case around $6,459. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PSLV ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $29.69 for PSLV by 2030 in the base case, from $20.95 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $12.97. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PSLV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $15.11 | $22.85 | $34.57 |
| 2028 | $13.89 | $24.94 | $44.78 |
| 2029 | $13.28 | $27.21 | $55.73 |
| 2030 | $12.97 | $29.69 | $67.95 |
| 2031 | $12.84 | $32.39 | $81.75 |
| 2032 | $12.82 | $35.34 | $97.44 |
| 2033 | $12.90 | $38.56 | $115 |
| 2034 | $13.05 | $42.08 | $136 |
| 2035 | $13.26 | $45.91 | $159 |
| 2036 | $13.53 | $50.10 | $186 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PSLV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current price prediction for PSLV ETF in 2030?
According to Monte Carlo simulations, the base price projection for PSLV ETF in 2030 is $29.69. The downside projection is $12.97, and the upside projection is $67.95. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What is the expense ratio for Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV)?
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) does not have an expense ratio in the traditional sense as it is a trust holding physical silver. Its costs are associated with the storage and insurance of the physical silver held by the trust.
What does Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) hold and what are its sector concentrations?
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) holds physical silver bullion. It is not diversified across multiple sectors but is concentrated solely in the precious metals commodity sector.
What is the dividend yield for Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV)?
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) does not pay a dividend yield, as it is structured to hold physical silver rather than generate income through dividends from underlying equities.
How has PSLV performed against its benchmark?
As PSLV is a commodity trust, it does not have a direct benchmark in the same way an equity ETF does. Its performance is measured against the spot price of silver.
What are the key risks associated with investing in PSLV?
The key risks associated with PSLV include the volatility of the silver market, concentration risk due to holding only physical silver, and potential negative impacts from changes in monetary policy or the U.S. dollar's strength.
What is the current technical outlook for PSLV?
The current technical outlook for PSLV is bearish, with the price trading above its 50-day SMA ($20.31) but below its 200-day SMA ($23.53) and a bearish RSI reading of 34.06.