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As of September 27, 2026, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) trades at $105.56. RSI at 38 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $106.42.
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF NYSE
$105.56
1.060 (1.01%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) is currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, signaling a potential short-term downturn. The fund's Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 38.46 indicates bearish momentum, suggesting that selling pressure may be outweighing buying interest in the near term. Despite these short-term technical headwinds, EFA has demonstrated strong long-term performance, outperforming its category average over the past 5 and 10 years, with a 10-year annualized return of 9.49%. The fund's dividend yield stands at a notable 3.19%, offering income to investors. EFA's strategy focuses on providing broad exposure to large- and mid-cap equities in developed markets outside the United States and Canada, making it a core component for global equity portfolios.
EFA Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$105.18
Day Range
$104.76 to $105.63
Prev Close
$104.50
Volume
14.07M
52-Week Range
$91.21 to $108.89
Market Cap
$95.13B
EFA Fund Facts
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the MSCI EAFE Index, providing broad exposure to large- and mid-cap equities in developed markets outside the United States and Canada. Managed by BlackRock’s iShares, the fund offers diversified access across Europe, Australasia, and the Far East, with holdings spanning sectors such as financials, industrials, healthcare, consumer staples, and technology.
Issuer
iShares
Category
Foreign Large Blend
Inception
Aug 14, 2001
Expense ratio
0.32%
Net assets
$79.32B
NAV
$107.71
Distribution yield
3.14%
YTD return
13.70%
Turnover
4.00%
Sector weights
Energy
3.7%
Utilities
3.6%
Healthcare
10.2%
Realestate
1.6%
Technology
11.4%
Industrials
18.8%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | EFA | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 13.70% | 7.09% |
| 1 month | 1.72% | 6.73% |
| 3 months | 3.89% | 1.93% |
| 1 year | 21.50% | 26.63% |
| 3 years | 18.18% | 15.67% |
| 5 years | 9.30% | 8.20% |
| 10 years | 9.49% | 8.78% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
EFA Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
Momentum has shifted for iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA): the RSI has moved from a neutral level to 38.46, indicating bearish momentum. EFA's current price of $105.56 is trading below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $106.09 and its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $106.42, suggesting short-term weakness. However, the price remains above its 200-day SMA of $102.40, indicating that the longer-term trend is still positive. Volume on the latest trading day was 14,070,200, which is 10.9% above its average volume, suggesting increased investor activity. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -49.64 further supports the bearish short-term outlook.
ProTips
- Consider EFA as a core holding for international developed market exposure, but be mindful of its short-term technical weakness.
- Monitor the performance of the Financial Services and Industrials sectors within the EAFE region, as they heavily influence EFA's returns.
- The dividend yield of over 3% provides a valuable income component, which can be attractive in a mixed market environment.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) is cautiously optimistic, balancing strong long-term performance and a decent dividend yield against current bearish technical momentum. The fund's ability to outperform its category over extended periods suggests underlying resilience in its investment strategy. However, the immediate future may see continued choppiness as the ETF consolidates below its short-term moving averages. A sustained move above the 50-day SMA would be a positive signal, potentially leading to a retest of higher levels. Investors should watch for improvements in global economic sentiment and stability in the regions covered by the MSCI EAFE Index.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.75
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.70
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with EFA? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 95.13B |
|---|---|
| Yield | 3.19% |
| Day High | $105.63 |
| Day Low | $104.76 |
| 52 Week High | 108.89 |
| 52 Week Low | 91.21 |
The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) offers diversified exposure to developed markets outside North America, with its top sector allocation being Financial Services at 26.06%, followed by Industrials at 18.76% and Technology at 11.36%. This concentration in financials and industrials reflects the economic structure of the regions it tracks. The fund's assets under management stand at a substantial $79.32 billion, with a net asset value (NAV) per share of $107.71. The expense ratio is 0.32%, translating to a cost of $32.00 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund's asset allocation is heavily weighted towards stocks (99.31%), with a minimal cash position (0.52%).
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Its underlying holdings reflect the earnings trends of developed international markets. The significant weighting in Financial Services and Industrials suggests that the fund's performance is tied to the profitability and growth within these sectors across Europe, Australasia, and the Far East. Investors should monitor the aggregate earnings reports from companies within these key sectors in EFA's portfolio to gauge the fund's future performance potential.
Key Risks
The primary risk for iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) lies in its sector concentration, particularly in Financial Services and Industrials, which could be sensitive to global economic slowdowns or specific regional downturns. Geopolitical instability in Europe or Asia could also negatively impact performance. Also, currency fluctuations between the US Dollar and the various currencies of the EAFE region present a constant risk.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 38.46 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.47 |
| SMA 50 | 106.42 |
| SMA 200 | 102.40 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($106.42) above the 200-day SMA ($102.40), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
EFA Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$104.50
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$105.56
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$101.37
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (38.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$107.64
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$109.73
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$112.86
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of EFA is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in EFA in September 2016 would be worth about $17,895 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in EFA today could grow to about $18,867 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $37,992 and a bear case around $9,370. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
EFA ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $136 for EFA by 2030 in the base case, from $106 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $87.40. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on EFA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $90.15 | $112 | $140 |
| 2028 | $87.64 | $120 | $164 |
| 2029 | $87.04 | $128 | $187 |
| 2030 | $87.40 | $136 | $212 |
| 2031 | $88.39 | $145 | $238 |
| 2032 | $89.84 | $154 | $266 |
| 2033 | $91.66 | $165 | $296 |
| 2034 | $93.79 | $175 | $328 |
| 2035 | $96.22 | $187 | $363 |
| 2036 | $98.91 | $199 | $401 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using EFA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?
The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) has an expense ratio of 0.32%. This translates to an annual cost of $32.00 for every $10,000 invested in the fund.
What sectors does the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) hold and how concentrated is it?
The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) is primarily concentrated in Financial Services (26.06%), Industrials (18.76%), and Technology (11.36%). Its asset allocation is 99.31% stocks and 0.52% cash.
How has the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) performed against its category over different time periods?
In the year-to-date, EFA returned 13.70% versus the category's 7.09%. Over 1 year, EFA returned 21.50% compared to the category's 26.63%. However, EFA has outperformed its category over longer periods, with 5-year returns of 9.30% versus 8.20% and 10-year returns of 9.49% versus 8.78%.
What is the current price prediction for EFA ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price prediction for EFA ETF in 2030 is $136.08. The downside scenario predicts $87.40, while the upside scenario reaches $211.86. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees.
What are the key technical levels for the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)?
The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) is currently trading at $105.56, below its 20-day EMA of $106.09 and 50-day SMA of $106.42, indicating short-term resistance. The 200-day SMA at $102.40 is acting as support.
What is the dividend yield for the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)?
The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.19%.
What are the main risks associated with investing in the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA)?
Key risks include concentration in Financial Services and Industrials, which are sensitive to global economic conditions, and potential negative impacts from geopolitical instability in its tracked regions. Currency fluctuations also pose a risk.
How does the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) compare to its benchmark index?
The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) seeks to track the MSCI EAFE Index, providing broad exposure to developed markets outside the US and Canada. Its performance is designed to mirror that of this benchmark index.