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01

SPYM ETF forecast today

Where SPYM stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

SPYM at a glance

State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM): Buy, 75/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($90.32 and $85.64).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.02%, $173.6B in net assets, price up 12.4% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) earns a Buy rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 75/100.

Trend contributes the most to that score. The price is 5.79% above its 200-day average and 0.31% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.47% above the 200-day. Those averages come in at $90.32 and $85.64. Across the last twelve months the price climbed 12.39%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from SPYM's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

SPYM ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

4/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $90.60 is 0.3% above the 50-day simple moving average of $90.32.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 5.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $85.64.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($90.32) is 5.5% above the 200-day average ($85.64), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 92% of its 52-week range, between $74.06 and $92.00.

SPYM share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far SPYM has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $80.61 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $90.60 Oct 27, 2026
High $91.72 Oct 6, 2026
Low $74.38 Mar 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where SPYM sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.77% wide
$90.60
$90.07 $90.76
52-week range 92% of the way up
$90.60
$74.06 $92.00
Open
$90.32
Previous close
$90.06
Volume
11.00M
4% above average
03

SPYM fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

4/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.02% a year, $2.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $173.6B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 40.5% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 1.02%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 12.39% over the past year.

SPYM Fund Facts

State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF is an exchange-traded fund launched in November 2005 by State Street Global Advisors. It seeks to deliver investment results that closely correspond to the total return performance of the S&P 500 Index, which measures the large-capitalization segment of the U.S. equity market, before fees and expenses. Employing a representative sampling strategy, the fund invests at least 80% of its assets in securities comprising the index, holding approximately 507 stocks rather than replicating the full benchmark.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Large Blend
Inception
Nov 8, 2005
Expense ratio
0.02%
Net assets
$173.63B
NAV
$91.69
Distribution yield
1.02%
YTD total return (fund family)
12.72%
Turnover
3.00%

Sector weights

Technology 40.5%
Financial Services 11.2%
Communication Services 10.0%
Healthcare 9.3%
Consumer Cyclical 8.7%
Industrials 7.5%
Other 12.9%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period SPYM
YTD 12.72%
1 month -0.35%
3 months 2.30%
1 year 15.71%
3 years 22.85%
5 years 13.76%
10 years 15.32%

As of Oct 28, 2026, SPYM has an expense ratio of 0.02%, $173.63B in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.02%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 28, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for SPYM.

Net Assets
173.63B
Expense Ratio
0.02%
Yield
1.02%
Day High
$90.76
Day Low
$90.07
52 Week High
92.00
52 Week Low
74.06

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SPYM's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) has its heaviest weighting in Technology, which makes up 40.5% of the fund. Financial Services follows at 11.2%, and Communication Services is third at 10.0%. The fund is a Large Blend offering from State Street Investment Management and was launched on November 8, 2005.

The expense ratio is 0.02%, which comes to $2.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. Net assets total $173.6B. The distribution yield is 1.02%. Portfolio turnover runs at 3%.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of SPYM shifts by 0.66%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.

04

SPYM AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

2/2
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 51.3, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 51.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of SPYM

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
75/100
Buy
What the AI sees

The trend for SPYM is up. The price of $90.60 sits 5.79% above its 200-day average of $85.64 and 0.31% above its 50-day average of $90.32. Sitting at 92% of its 52-week range, the price is 1.52% below the 52-week high of $92.00.

The recent dip is small against a longer run of gains. Over the past month the price slipped 0.22%, yet it climbed 3.91% across the past three months and 12.39% over the past year. The 14-day RSI sits at 51.3, which keeps momentum in the neutral zone.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high at $92.00 sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $90.46 sits below it.
  2. Momentum is neutral, with the 14-day RSI at 51.3. Only readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.02% a year, SPYM charges $2.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

SPYM trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($90.32 and $85.64), which is what makes the trend up; losing the 50-day would be the first warning. The nearest level under the price is the 20-day EMA at $90.46.

The next level overhead for SPYM is the 52-week high, which sits at $92.00.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for SPYM, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 2 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Neutral
Momentum Neutral
51.314-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.0361 Neutral
Trend Golden cross
+0.3%price against the 50-day average
200-day $85.64 50-day $90.32 Price $90.60
Price against the 200-day +5.8% Bullish

As of October 27, 2026, with SPYM at $90.60, its 14-day RSI is 51.3 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $90.32 and its 200-day is $85.64.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What SPYM moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +1.00 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.95 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.47 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.16 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, SPYM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +1.00 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.95 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.47 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.16 with gold (XAU).

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05

SPYM trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

SPYM trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$88.79
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$90.60
Entry at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$86.12
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (51.3) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$93.23
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$97.67
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$102.11
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from SPYM's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much SPYM tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.66%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$90.60
$74.06 92% of the way up $92.00

Compare SPYM

Put SPYM side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

SPYM price history and drawdowns

SPYM's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/3
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.66% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 28.8%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by August 2020.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    86% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.

SPYM Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-28.8%
February 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
5 months
back at the old peak by August 2020
From the 10-year high
-1.2%
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
86%
of every 1-year window

As of October 27, 2026, SPYM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -28.8% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by August 2020, 5 months after the low, and 86% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into SPYM in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

SPYM today
$42,151
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
Total change
+322%
4.2x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
SPYM

A $10,000 investment in SPYM in October 2016 would be worth about $42,151 today with dividends reinvested.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to SPYM, and which have not.

Jan9/10 upFeb5/10 upMar5/10 upApr7/10 upMay8/10 upJun6/10 upJul9/10 upAug7/10 upSep5/10 upOct7/9 upNov9/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, July: an average of +3.48%, up in 9 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -2.17%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +1.32%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, SPYM's strongest calendar month has been July (average +3.48%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.17%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

SPYM price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SPYM, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$8,851
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$14,074
median path
Upside, 2030
$22,381
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in SPYM today could grow to about $14,074 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $22,381 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,851. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.02% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

SPYM 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$90.60
Base case, 2030
$128
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$80.19 to $203
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $128 for SPYM by 2030 in the base case, from $90.60 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $80.19. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPYM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

SPYM simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $78.25 $98.68 $124
2028 $77.43 $107 $149
2029 $78.34 $117 $175
2030 $80.19 $128 $203

Method: a lognormal simulation of SPYM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

SPYM ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

SPYM Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates SPYM Buy, on a model score of 75/100. The biggest support is the trend: the price is 5.79% above its 200-day average and 0.31% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.47% above the 200-day. No factor pulls the score down. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) performed over the past year?
The price rose 12.39% across the past year. Looking at shorter windows, it gained 3.91% over three months but lost 0.22% in the last month. Currently it sits 1.52% under its 52-week high of $92.00.
What does SPYM cost to own?
SPYM has an expense ratio of 0.02%, which comes to $2.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fee is taken from the fund's assets rather than billed separately.
What are the largest sectors in SPYM?
By weight, Technology leads the fund at 40.5%. Financial Services comes next at 11.2%, and Communication Services follows at 10.0%.
Does SPYM pay a dividend?
Yes, SPYM pays a distribution yield of 1.02%. Because yield is the payout divided by the price, it moves whenever either of those figures moves.
What are the key price levels for SPYM?
On the upside, the first level the price meets is the 52-week high at $92.00. On the downside, the 20-day EMA at $90.46 comes first, with the 50-day SMA at $90.32 just beneath it.
How volatile is SPYM?
On an average day, SPYM's price moves 0.66%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of SPYM?
Over the last 52 weeks, SPYM has moved between $74.06 and $92.00. With the price at $90.60, it stands at 92% of that band, 22.33% above the low and 1.52% under the high.
Is SPYM in an uptrend?
Yes. State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) trades at $90.60, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($90.32 and $85.64). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 51.3, in neutral territory.
What is SPYM's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -28.8%, from February 2020 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by August 2020, 5 months after the low. Over the same period, 86% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for SPYM are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 28, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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