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As of October 10, 2026, State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) trades at $169.25. RSI at 48 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $175.72.

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE

$169.25 0.8500 (0.50%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Hold
55 / 100
The State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) offers targeted exposure to the U.S. industrials sector, tracking the S&P Industrial Select Sector Index. This passive ETF concentrates on large-cap industrial companies across various industries including aerospace, machinery, transportation, and electrical equipment. Its strategy aims to capture the performance of companies integral to infrastructure, commerce, and manufacturing within the U.S. economy. XLI's portfolio is heavily weighted towards the Industrials sector, with a small allocation to Technology, reflecting a focused approach to this segment of the market.

XLI Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$168.71
Day Range
$167.91 to $169.50
Prev Close
$168.40
Volume
3.89M
52-Week Range
$147.14 to $188.19
Market Cap
$23.57B

XLI Fund Facts

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to the U.S. industrials sector. The fund seeks to track the performance of the S&P Industrial Select Sector Index, using a passive, index-based approach that concentrates on large-cap industrial companies from the S&P 500. Its portfolio spans industries such as aerospace and defense, machinery, transportation, electrical equipment, construction and engineering, and industrial services.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Industrials
Inception
Dec 16, 1998
Expense ratio
0.08%
Net assets
$31.95B
NAV
$171.75
Distribution yield
1.18%
YTD return
13.52%
Turnover
3.00%

Sector weights

Technology 6.7%
Industrials 92.8%

Trailing returns vs category

Period XLI Category
YTD 13.52% 13.30%
1 month -2.56% 9.31%
3 months 1.39% 5.10%
1 year 16.70% 45.64%
3 years 19.10% 21.72%
5 years 12.56% 11.25%
10 years 13.50% 13.58%

Fund reference data as of Oct 10, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

XLI Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Hold
XLI is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($175.72 and $172.69), indicating a neutral to slightly bearish technical trend. The price is also below its 20-day exponential moving average, reinforcing this short-term weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 47.88, which falls into the neutral category, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -1.58, further supporting a lack of strong bullish momentum. The Stochastic indicator is near the midpoint at 49.84, also indicating a neutral stance. Volume was below its average, down 45.1% on the latest day.
ProTips
  • Monitor XLI's ability to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages for signs of a trend reversal.
  • Consider the broader economic environment and its impact on industrial production and demand.
  • Compare XLI's performance against other sector ETFs to identify relative strength or weakness.
Market Outlook
The 6-12 month outlook for XLI is neutral, influenced by its current trading position below key moving averages and mixed sector performance against its category. While the industrials sector is fundamental to economic activity, potential headwinds from global economic slowdowns or persistent supply chain issues could cap upside. A move above the 50-day SMA at $175.72 would be a positive signal, potentially leading towards the 200-day SMA at $172.69. Conversely, a break below recent lows could signal further downside. The sector's performance will likely be tied to broader economic recovery and infrastructure spending initiatives.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.82
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.72
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.10
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with XLI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 23.57B
Expense Ratio 0.0900%
Yield 1.11%
Day High $169.50
Day Low $167.91
52 Week High 188.19
52 Week Low 147.14
The State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, with 92.81% of its assets allocated here, and a minor 6.66% in Technology. This concentration provides focused exposure to companies involved in manufacturing, transportation, and infrastructure. The fund's expense ratio is 0.08%, costing $8.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of $31.95 billion, XLI is a substantial vehicle for accessing the industrial segment. The fund's dividend yield stands at 1.18%, providing a modest income stream to investors.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

However, the performance of its underlying holdings, which are large-cap industrial companies, reflects the broader earnings trends within the sector. The sector's aggregate performance, as indicated by its trailing returns against the category, shows mixed results over different timeframes. For instance, while XLI outperformed its category year-to-date (13.52% vs 13.30%), it lagged significantly over the past year (16.70% vs 45.64%). This suggests that while the sector has seen some positive momentum, its overall earnings power may be facing headwinds or is not as strong as other market segments over longer periods.

Key Risks

The primary risk for XLI lies in its high concentration within the Industrials sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns. Significant headwinds for industrial production, such as supply chain disruptions or a slowdown in global manufacturing, could negatively impact the fund. Also, the ETF's recent performance shows it lagging its category over the past year, indicating potential underperformance relative to peers or broader market trends.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 47.88
MACD -1.58
SMA 50 175.72
SMA 200 172.69
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($175.72) above the 200-day SMA ($172.69), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.

XLI Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$167.56
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$169.25
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$162.53
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (47.9) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$172.58
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$175.94
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$180.96
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XLI is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on October 10, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in XLI in October 2016 would be worth about $29,373 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLI today could grow to about $24,281 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $54,927 and a bear case around $10,734. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XLI ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $241 for XLI by 2030 in the base case, from $169 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $144. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XLI simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $143 $185 $239
2028 $140 $202 $291
2029 $141 $221 $345
2030 $144 $241 $404
2031 $148 $264 $470
2032 $153 $288 $542
2033 $159 $315 $623
2034 $166 $344 $714
2035 $173 $376 $816
2036 $182 $411 $930

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)?
The expense ratio for XLI is 0.08%, which translates to a cost of $8.00 per $10,000 invested annually. This fee covers the fund's management and operational costs.
What sectors does the XLI ETF hold and how concentrated is it?
XLI is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, holding 92.81% of its assets there, with an additional 6.66% in Technology. This focus provides targeted exposure to industrial companies.
What is the distribution yield for the XLI ETF?
The XLI ETF has a distribution yield of 1.18%, providing investors with a modest income component from their investment.
How has XLI performed against its category over various timeframes?
XLI has shown mixed performance against its category. It outperformed year-to-date (13.52% vs 13.30%) and over 5 and 10 years, but lagged significantly over the past year (16.70% vs 45.64%) and 3 years (19.10% vs 21.72%).
What is the price prediction for XLI ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for XLI in 2030 is $241.34, with a downside projection of $144.02 and an upside projection of $404.44. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What are the key technical indicators for XLI?
XLI's technical indicators show a neutral momentum. The RSI at 47.9, the MACD is -1.58, and it is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($175.72 and $172.69), suggesting a lack of strong bullish trend.
What is the overall outlook for the U.S. Industrials sector as represented by XLI?
The outlook for the U.S. Industrials sector, as represented by XLI, is cautiously neutral to slightly bearish in the short term due to current technical trends. However, the sector's long-term importance in infrastructure and manufacturing suggests potential for recovery and growth, contingent on macroeconomic factors and global economic health.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XLI are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 10, 2026.

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