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As of September 27, 2026, State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) trades at $181.50. RSI at 38 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $182.30.

State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)

State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF NYSE

$181.50 -2.550 (-1.39%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
35 / 100
The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) offers targeted exposure to the U.S. oil and gas exploration and production industry, tracking the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index. The fund employs a modified equal-weighted approach, spreading holdings across various market-cap energy companies involved in upstream activities. Its portfolio is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, with 95.48% of assets allocated, and a small allocation to Basic Materials. Recent fund flows and sector rotation signals suggest a cautious sentiment within this specific energy sub-sector.

XOP Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$181.45
Day Range
$179.69 to $182.26
Prev Close
$184.05
Volume
4.72M
52-Week Range
$122.11 to $200.89
Market Cap
$11.95B

XOP Fund Facts

State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide targeted exposure to the U.S. oil and gas exploration and production industry. The fund seeks to track the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index, using a modified equal-weighted approach that spreads holdings across large-, mid-, and small-cap energy companies. Its portfolio is concentrated in businesses involved in upstream energy activity, including exploration, production, and related oil and gas operations.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Equity Energy
Inception
Jun 19, 2006
Expense ratio
0.35%
Net assets
$3.99B
NAV
$194.98
Distribution yield
1.72%
YTD return
50.95%
Turnover
33.00%

Sector weights

Energy 95.5%
Basic Materials 4.2%

Trailing returns vs category

Period XOP Category
YTD 50.95% 33.40%
1 month 6.46% 2.32%
3 months 15.77% 18.69%
1 year 45.34% 64.81%
3 years 10.88% 17.73%
5 years 20.82% 20.41%
10 years 4.53% 6.80%

Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

XOP Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Sell
At 37.93, XOP's RSI is in bearish territory, indicating negative momentum. The ETF is trading below its 20-day exponential moving average of $187.40 and its 50-day simple moving average of $182.30. While the price is above its 200-day simple moving average of $162.45, the recent downward trend suggests that the 50-day SMA is acting as resistance. Stochastic levels are also low at 8.54, reinforcing the oversold condition in the short term.
ProTips
  • Monitor oil and natural gas price movements closely, as they are the primary drivers of XOP's performance.
  • Consider the ETF's high sector concentration as a key risk factor and assess your overall portfolio diversification.
  • Evaluate the broader energy sector's outlook, including regulatory policies and technological advancements, to inform investment decisions.
Market Outlook
The outlook for XOP is cautiously bearish in the short to medium term, given its current technical positioning. The ETF is trading below key moving averages, and its RSI indicates bearish momentum. However, the price remains above the 200-day SMA, suggesting that the long-term trend may still be intact, contingent on a recovery in oil and gas prices. A sustained move above the 50-day SMA would be required to signal a shift in momentum. The sector's performance will remain highly sensitive to global energy demand, supply dynamics, and geopolitical events.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.36
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.28
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.07
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) -0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with XOP? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 11.95B
Yield 1.72%
Day High $182.26
Day Low $179.69
52 Week High 200.89
52 Week Low 122.11
XOP's underlying sector, Energy Exploration & Production, is heavily concentrated with 95.48% of assets in Energy. This focus makes the ETF susceptible to sector-specific headwinds and commodity price volatility. The fund's expense ratio is 0.35%, costing $35.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of $3,986,409,216, XOP is a substantial vehicle for accessing this niche. The macro environment for oil and gas producers, including regulatory changes and global demand shifts, will significantly influence the fund's performance.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Its performance is tied to the aggregate earnings trends of the oil and gas exploration and production companies it holds. The sector's profitability is directly linked to crude oil and natural gas prices. Positive earnings reports from major constituents could support the ETF, while negative earnings or downward revisions would likely weigh on its price.

Key Risks

The primary risk for XOP is its high concentration in the Energy sector, making it vulnerable to commodity price swings and regulatory changes impacting fossil fuels. Geopolitical events affecting oil supply and demand can also introduce significant volatility. Also, the ETF's performance is closely tied to the specific upstream exploration and production segment, which can be more volatile than the broader energy market.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 37.93
MACD 0.26
SMA 50 182.30
SMA 200 162.45
Technical Rating Neutral
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($182.30) above the 200-day SMA ($162.45), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.

XOP Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$185.13
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$181.50
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$190.68
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (37.9) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$175.87
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$166.62
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$157.36
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XOP is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in XOP in September 2016 would be worth about $12,872 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XOP today could grow to about $15,757 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $82,716 and a bear case around $3,002. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XOP ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $218 for XOP by 2030 in the base case, from $182 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $76.28. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XOP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XOP simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $112 $190 $321
2028 $94.69 $199 $417
2029 $83.89 $208 $516
2030 $76.28 $218 $621
2031 $70.54 $228 $736
2032 $66.00 $238 $861
2033 $62.32 $250 $999
2034 $59.26 $261 $1,151
2035 $56.68 $273 $1,318
2036 $54.48 $286 $1,501

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XOP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF's expense ratio and cost?
The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which equates to a cost of $35.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF concentrate in?
The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 95.48% of its assets in this area, with a smaller allocation of 4.17% in Basic Materials.
How has the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF performed against its category over different periods?
In the year-to-date period, XOP returned 50.95% compared to the category's 33.40%. Over the past year, the fund returned 45.34% while the category returned 64.81%. Over 5 years, XOP returned 20.82% versus the category's 20.41%, and over 10 years, it returned 4.53% compared to the category's 6.80%.
What is the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF's price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF's projected price for 2030 is $217.70 as a base case, with a downside projection of $76.28 and an upside projection of $621.31. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What are the key technical levels for the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF?
The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $182.30 and its 20-day exponential moving average of $187.40, indicating short-term weakness. The 200-day simple moving average stands at $162.45.
What is the insider and institutional activity for the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF?
Insider and institutional activity data is not directly applicable to ETFs in the same way it is for individual companies. Investor flows into and out of the ETF, as reflected in net assets and trading volume, are key indicators of institutional sentiment.
What is the current dividend yield for the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF?
The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF currently has a dividend yield of 1.72%.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XOP are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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