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As of September 27, 2026, iShares U.S. Transportation ETF (IYT) trades at $79.35. RSI at 24 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $84.99.

iShares U.S. Transportation ETF (IYT)

iShares U.S. Transportation ETF CBOE

$79.35 0.4300 (0.54%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
25 / 100
The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF (IYT) is experiencing a notable downturn, trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages. The fund's current price of $79.35 is below the 50-day SMA of $84.99 and the 200-day SMA of $81.18, indicating a bearish trend. Volume was 29.9% below its average on the last trading day, suggesting reduced market interest at current levels. The ETF's strategy focuses on U.S. transportation companies across various sub-sectors like railroads, trucking, and airlines, aiming to mirror the performance of its underlying index.

IYT Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$79.12
Day Range
$78.82 to $79.61
Prev Close
$78.92
Volume
866.4K
52-Week Range
$68.10 to $90.06
Market Cap
$228.48M

IYT Fund Facts

iShares U.S. Transportation ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. transportation companies. The fund seeks to track an index of equities in the transportation sector, giving investors a diversified way to access businesses involved in railroads, trucking, airlines, air freight, logistics, and ride-hailing services. Its portfolio typically includes major operators across ground, air, and delivery networks, reflecting the broad role transportation plays in moving goods and people through the U.S. economy.

Issuer
iShares
Category
Industrials
Inception
Oct 6, 2003
Expense ratio
0.37%
Net assets
$2.20B
NAV
$81.65
Distribution yield
0.92%
YTD return
14.85%
Turnover
13.00%

Sector weights

Technology 16.3%
Industrials 83.8%

Trailing returns vs category

Period IYT Category
YTD 14.85% 13.30%
1 month 0.22% 9.31%
3 months 1.72% 5.10%
1 year 20.61% 45.64%
3 years 12.14% 21.72%
5 years 7.36% 11.25%
10 years 10.43% 13.58%

Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

IYT Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Sell
IYT is currently in a bearish technical state, trading below its key moving averages. The price is below the 20-day EMA ($81.73), 50-day SMA ($84.99), and 200-day SMA ($81.18). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24.36, indicating oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator is also low at 11.70, further supporting the oversold narrative. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -104.03 also points to significant downward momentum.
ProTips
  • Monitor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential trend changes.
  • Pay close attention to the RSI and other momentum indicators for signs of a sustained rebound or continued oversold conditions.
  • Consider the broader economic indicators, such as GDP growth and inflation, as they significantly influence the transportation sector.
  • Evaluate the performance of top holdings within the ETF to gauge sector-specific strength or weakness.
Market Outlook
The outlook for IYT is cautiously bearish in the short term, given its current technical setup. The oversold RSI and MACD suggest a potential for a bounce, but the sustained trading below key moving averages indicates underlying weakness. A move above the 50-day SMA ($84.99) would be needed to signal a potential trend reversal. The medium to long-term outlook will depend on the broader economic environment, fuel prices, and the performance of the U.S. transportation sector. Key factors to watch include inflation trends, consumer spending patterns, and any significant shifts in supply chain dynamics. If the Federal Reserve signals a pivot or if economic data improves, transportation stocks could see a resurgence. Conversely, persistent inflation or a recessionary environment would likely weigh further on IYT.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.72
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.60
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.21
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.08
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with IYT? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 228.48M
Yield 0.95%
Day High $79.61
Day Low $78.82
52 Week High 90.06
52 Week Low 68.10
The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, representing 83.75% of its holdings, with Technology making up the remaining 16.25%. This concentration exposes the fund to the specific economic drivers and risks affecting the transportation industry. The fund's expense ratio is 0.37%, costing $37.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of $2.20 billion, IYT is a substantial fund within its category. The overview suggests the ETF provides broad access to U.S. transportation businesses, including railroads, trucking, and airlines.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

However, the performance of its underlying holdings, which are primarily U.S. transportation companies, reflects the aggregate earnings trends within the sector. The current bearish technicals suggest that investors may be anticipating or reacting to weaker forward earnings expectations for these companies, or a general slowdown in economic activity impacting freight and passenger volumes.

Key Risks

The primary risk for IYT is its significant concentration in the Industrials sector, making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns. Given its current oversold technical status, a failure to rebound could lead to further price declines. Additionally, macroeconomic factors such as fuel price volatility, supply chain disruptions, and changes in consumer or business spending can significantly impact the transportation sector.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 24.36
MACD -1.70
SMA 50 84.99
SMA 200 81.18
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($84.99) above the 200-day SMA ($81.18), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 24.4 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.

IYT Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$80.94
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$79.35
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$83.61
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (24.4) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$76.89
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$72.84
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$68.80
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of IYT is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in IYT in September 2016 would be worth about $22,125 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IYT today could grow to about $21,088 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $53,935 and a bear case around $8,245. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

IYT ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $107 for IYT by 2030 in the base case, from $79.35 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $59.05. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IYT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

IYT simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $63.53 $85.50 $115
2028 $60.53 $92.12 $140
2029 $59.34 $99.26 $166
2030 $59.05 $107 $194
2031 $59.32 $115 $224
2032 $59.99 $124 $257
2033 $60.98 $134 $293
2034 $62.23 $144 $334
2035 $63.72 $155 $379
2036 $65.43 $167 $428

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IYT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current price prediction for IYT ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price for IYT in 2030 is $106.95. The downside projection is $59.05, and the upside projection is $193.69. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What is the expense ratio for the iShares U.S. Transportation ETF?
The expense ratio for IYT is 0.37%, which translates to a cost of $37.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does the iShares U.S. Transportation ETF primarily hold?
The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, accounting for 83.75% of its assets. Technology represents the remaining 16.25%.
How has IYT performed against its category over the past year?
Over the past year, IYT returned 20.61%, while its category returned 45.64%, indicating underperformance relative to its peers.
What are the key technical levels for IYT?
IYT is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $84.99 and its 200-day SMA of $81.18. The RSI is at 24.36, indicating oversold conditions, and the CCI is -104.03.
What is the dividend yield for IYT?
The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF has a dividend yield of approximately 0.92%.
What is the overall health score for IYT?
The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF has a health score of 4, suggesting a moderate level of financial health and stability.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for IYT are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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