As of September 10, 2026, Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) trades at $311.54. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $311.54, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $470.00 across 17 analysts. RSI at 46 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $342.97.
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN)
Talen Energy Corporation NASDAQ
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is currently trading at $311.54, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($342.97 and $357.16), indicating a bearish short-term technical picture. However, the company is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, projected at +73.00% for the current year, driven by strong demand in the independent power producer space. This growth is supported by a consensus 'Buy' rating from 17 Wall Street analysts, who have set a median price target of $470, implying a substantial 50.9% upside potential.
The company's fundamental outlook is bolstered by significant revenue expansion and positive forward estimates, with next year's revenue expected to grow by 17.00%. Despite the current technical weakness, the strong analyst conviction and projected growth suggest a potential for a rebound. Insiders are net sellers with $1,115.1M in total sales versus $191K in total purchases in recent filings. However, 99% of total selling ($114.1M) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by RUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L.P., which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $988K.
TLN Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Utilities)
Performance vs XLU
Sector Position Analysis
TLN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
TLN Analysis
At $311.54, Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) exhibits bearish momentum, trading below its 20-day ($318.13), 50-day ($342.97), and 200-day ($357.16) moving averages. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46.31, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is at -9.11, suggesting a downward trend. The current price action points to immediate resistance at the 20-day EMA and further resistance at the 50-day SMA.
Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 486,935 compared to a 735,364 average, down 33.8%. This subdued volume during a downtrend suggests a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. Key support levels are not clearly defined by recent price action, but the current price is approaching levels not seen since early 2026. Investors should monitor for a potential break above the 20-day EMA as a sign of shifting momentum.
- Monitor Talen Energy Corporation's (TLN) ability to achieve profitability amidst its strong revenue growth, as this will be key to sustaining its valuation and analyst targets.
- Given the current trading below key moving averages, consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above the 50-day SMA ($342.97) before initiating new positions.
- Pay close attention to the implications of the ongoing parent entity divestitures by RUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L.P., ensuring it aligns with strategic growth objectives and does not signal underlying financial strain.
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is projected to achieve 73.00% revenue growth in the current year and 17.00% in the next, indicating strong demand and market positioning.
Source: Wall Street Revenue Estimates17 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $470, suggesting a 50.9% upside potential from the current price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryRUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L.P. is reducing its stake by $114.1M, representing 99.1% of total insider selling. This is classified as a corporate restructuring, not a bearish signal from management.
Source: Insider SummaryTalen Energy Corporation (TLN) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($342.97 and $357.16), indicating short-term bearish technical momentum.
Source: Technical Analysis DataThe base case outlook for Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $470 within the next 6-12 months, driven by its exceptional revenue growth and positive Wall Street sentiment. The company's strong revenue trajectory and positive forward estimates provide a solid foundation for potential price appreciation, especially if it can translate top-line growth into profitability.
Upside catalysts could include continued strong execution on revenue growth, successful cost management leading to improved profitability, and positive developments in the independent power producer market. Conversely, downside risks involve the company's current inability to generate positive earnings, potential shifts in energy market dynamics, and any unforeseen implications from the ongoing parent entity divestitures. A sustained break above its key moving averages would be a critical signal for a bullish trend reversal.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 14.93B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -4.04 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 451.28 |
| 52 Week Low | 288.58 |
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) exhibits exceptional revenue growth, with current year projections at +73.00% and next year's at +17.00%, significantly outpacing sector averages. Despite this strong top-line expansion, the company reports negative EPS of -4.04, rendering its P/E ratio mathematically negative and making traditional valuation metrics unreliable. The current price of $311.54 is significantly above the sector average P/E of 20.0, suggesting a premium valuation if earnings were positive.
The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the substantial revenue growth indicates strong operational demand. The significant selling activity from parent entities, while noted as a corporate restructuring, warrants attention regarding capital allocation and strategic direction. The market appears to be pricing in future growth, but the lack of profitability and the current technical setup present a risk-reward scenario that requires careful consideration.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at $1.33 billion, representing a 64.00% year-over-year increase. For the full current year, revenue is estimated at $4.47 billion, a 73.00% jump from the previous year. While these revenue figures are strong, the company has reported a negative EPS of -4.04, indicating ongoing losses. Forward-looking revenue estimates remain strong, with next year's revenue projected to grow by 17.00% to $5.23 billion, suggesting continued demand for its services.
Key Risks
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) faces risks associated with its current trading position below key moving averages, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. The company's negative EPS of -4.04 means it is currently loss-making, which, combined with a lack of clear profitability metrics, presents a valuation risk. Also, significant selling activity from parent entities, although classified as restructuring, warrants monitoring for any underlying strategic shifts or capital needs.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 46.31 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -9.11 |
| SMA 50 | 342.97 |
| SMA 200 | 357.16 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
TLN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TLN in July 2024 would be worth about $27,558 today, compared with about $13,980 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TLN today could grow to about $43,301 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $328,512 and a bear case around $5,708. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TLN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $560 for TLN by 2030 in the base case, from $312 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $155. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TLN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $190 | $361 | $685 |
| 2028 | $169 | $418 | $1,034 |
| 2029 | $159 | $484 | $1,467 |
| 2030 | $155 | $560 | $2,017 |
| 2031 | $155 | $648 | $2,717 |
| 2032 | $156 | $751 | $3,607 |
| 2033 | $160 | $869 | $4,736 |
| 2034 | $164 | $1,006 | $6,164 |
| 2035 | $170 | $1,165 | $7,966 |
| 2036 | $178 | $1,349 | $10,234 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TLN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. TLN is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TLN Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | RUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.9M | $1,000.0M |
| Jun 27, 2025 | RUBRIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 388.5K | $114.1M |
| Jun 15, 2026 | ABBAS GIZMAN I.
Director
|
Sell | 2.6K | $988.0K |
| Jul 15, 2026 | NUTT TERRY L
President
|
Grant | 8.3K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | ABBAS GIZMAN I.
Director
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | BERRYMAN BRAD
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 99.1K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | CASULLI EDWARD T.
Officer
|
Grant | 6.4K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | HORTON ANTHONY R
Director
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | HYDE KAREN T
Director
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| May 22, 2026 | LEBSACK DALE E JR.
Officer
|
Grant | 85.6K | - |