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As of September 27, 2026, T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) trades at $105.51. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $105.51, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $111.50 across 13 analysts. RSI at 32 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $111.29.
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW)
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. NASDAQ
$105.51
1.240 (1.19%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
41 / 100
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) is currently trading at $105.51, below its 50-day moving average of $111.29 but above its 200-day moving average of $103.88. The company's consensus rating is 'Hold' with a score of 41, supported by 13 Wall Street analysts who have a median price target of $111.50, implying a modest 5.7% upside. Recent earnings have shown slight beats, with the quarter to June 2026 reporting EPS of $2.57 against an estimate of $2.52, accompanied by a 1.57% stock price increase. However, insider activity reveals a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with $2.8 million in total sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a degree of caution from management. The company operates within the Asset Management industry, a sector characterized by a median P/E of 16.5 and revenue growth of 11.7%. T. Rowe Price's own fundamentals show a strong return on equity of 19.40% and a healthy profit margin of 29.26%, though its current P/E of 10.59 is below the sector average. The stock's RSI is at 32.22, signaling bearish momentum, and volume has been 39.8% below average recently, suggesting subdued investor interest.
TROW Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$104.86
Day Range
$104.12 to $105.79
Prev Close
$104.27
Volume
1.02M
52-Week Range
$85.22 to $122.00
Market Cap
$22.51B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-36%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
TROW Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, TROW beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
TROW Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+5.68% Upside
Median of 13 analysts (12-month)
$111.50
AI Technical Analysis
Momentum has turned for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW): the RSI has moved to 32.22, indicating bearish momentum. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($111.29) and 20-day EMA ($106.55), but remains above its 200-day SMA ($103.88), suggesting a mixed short-to-medium term trend. Volume has been notably subdued, running 39.8% below its average, which could indicate a lack of conviction from traders on either side of the market. Key support is identified around the 200-day SMA at $103.88, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA near $111.29. The current price action, coupled with bearish RSI and below-average volume, suggests that the stock may struggle to break above immediate resistance without a significant catalyst. The CCI at -5.87 further supports a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook.
ProTips
- Insider selling totaling $2.8 million across 115 transactions, with no reported purchases, suggests a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and warrants caution.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($111.29) with bearish RSI momentum (32.22), indicating potential near-term weakness.
- Consider position sizing carefully given the moderate insider selling and current technical setup.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $2.8 million worth of TROW stock with no reported purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Trading Below 50-Day Moving Average
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. is currently trading at $105.51, which is below its 50-day simple moving average of $111.29, suggesting potential short-term downward pressure.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Long-Range Projection
Monte Carlo simulations project a base case price of $132.94 for TROW by 2030, indicating potential long-term value appreciation.
Source: Long-Range Projection DataNeutral
Slight EPS Beat in Recent Quarter
The company reported an EPS of $2.57 for the quarter to June 2026, slightly exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.52 by 1.98%.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) suggests a period of consolidation or modest upside, with Wall Street's median price target at $111.50, implying a 5.7% increase from the current price. The company's strong profitability and below-sector-average valuation provide a supportive foundation, while its long-range projection indicates a potential base price of $132.94 by 2030. However, the outlook is tempered by moderate insider selling and bearish technical momentum. A significant catalyst, such as stronger-than-expected AUM growth or a shift in market sentiment favoring value-oriented asset managers, would be needed to drive the stock substantially higher. Conversely, continued insider selling, increased competitive pressure, or a broader market downturn could push the stock towards its 200-day moving average support around $103.88 or lower.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 22.51B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 10.59 |
| EPS (TTM) | 9.96 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.90% |
| 52 Week High | 122.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 85.22 |
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 10.59, which is below the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a potential valuation discount. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 2.96, also below the sector average of 3.8. The company boasts strong internal metrics, with a return on equity of 19.40% and a profit margin of 29.26%, both significantly exceeding sector averages. Despite these strong profitability figures, the company's forward growth estimates are modest, with projected revenue growth of 3.00% next year and a negative long-term CAGR estimate of -0.60%. Wall Street analysts have a consensus 'Hold' rating, with a median price target of $111.50, implying limited upside from the current price of $105.51. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is very low at 0.04, indicating a strong balance sheet.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) most recently reported earnings for the quarter to June 2026, exceeding analyst expectations with an EPS of $2.57 versus an estimate of $2.52, a 1.98% surprise, which coincided with a 1.57% stock price increase. Prior quarters have also shown a pattern of slight EPS beats, though the quarter to December 2025 missed estimates by 0.81%. Revenue growth for the current quarter is projected at +4.00% year-over-year, with expectations for continued, albeit slower, growth in the coming quarters.
Key Risks
The primary risk for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) stems from moderate insider selling, with $2.8 million in sales against no purchases, signaling a degree of caution from management. Additionally, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average and exhibits bearish momentum as indicated by its RSI of 32.22, suggesting potential near-term headwinds. Competition within the asset management sector is intense, and modest long-term growth projections could limit upside potential.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 32.22 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.01 |
| SMA 50 | 111.29 |
| SMA 200 | 103.88 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($111.29) above the 200-day SMA ($103.88), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.67
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.57
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with TROW? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
TROW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$104.45
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$105.51
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$101.32
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (32.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$107.59
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$109.68
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$112.81
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for TROW is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TROW in September 2016 would be worth about $16,094 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TROW today could grow to about $17,819 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $60,139 and a bear case around $5,280. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TROW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $133 for TROW by 2030 in the base case, from $106 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $61.60. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TROW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $76.09 | $112 | $164 |
| 2028 | $68.74 | $118 | $204 |
| 2029 | $64.45 | $125 | $244 |
| 2030 | $61.60 | $133 | $287 |
| 2031 | $59.59 | $141 | $333 |
| 2032 | $58.16 | $149 | $383 |
| 2033 | $57.14 | $158 | $437 |
| 2034 | $56.43 | $167 | $497 |
| 2035 | $55.97 | $177 | $563 |
| 2036 | $55.71 | $188 | $635 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TROW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TROW Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$2.8M
7 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$404.5K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2020 | ALDERSON CHRISTOPHER DAVID
Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $13.4M |
| Jun 3, 2021 | THOMSON ANDREW JUSTIN MACKENZIE
Officer
|
Sell | 23.4K | $4.5M |
| Nov 21, 2023 | HIGGINBOTHAM ROBERT C. T.
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $3.9M |
| Feb 12, 2021 | THOMSON ANDREW JUSTIN MACKENZIE
Officer
|
Sell | 23.4K | $3.8M |
| Jun 2, 2020 | STROMBERG WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $3.7M |
| Dec 28, 2021 | STROMBERG WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $3.0M |
| Sep 2, 2021 | PAGE SEBASTIEN
Vice President
|
Sell | 7.7K | $1.7M |
| Aug 5, 2021 | STROMBERG WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 8.0K | $1.7M |
| Feb 10, 2023 | MCCORMICK ANDREW C
Officer
|
Sell | 14.2K | $1.7M |
| Mar 11, 2021 | STROMBERG WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 9.0K | $1.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is T. Rowe Price Group Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, T. Rowe Price Group Inc.'s (TROW) stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $132.94, a downside projection of $61.60, and an upside projection of $286.91. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets.
Is T. Rowe Price Group Inc. stock a buy right now?
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a score of 41. While the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average and exhibits bearish momentum, its valuation is below sector averages and it has strong profitability metrics.
What are the biggest risks facing T. Rowe Price Group Inc.?
Key risks for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) include moderate insider selling totaling $2.8 million, a bearish RSI momentum, and trading below its 50-day moving average. Intense sector competition and modest long-term growth estimates also present challenges.
How does T. Rowe Price Group Inc. compare to its sector averages?
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) trades at a lower P/E of 10.59 and P/S of 2.96 compared to sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively. Its return on equity (19.40%) and profit margin (29.26%) significantly outperform sector averages (ROE 13.8%, Profit Margin not provided).
What is the recent earnings performance of T. Rowe Price Group Inc.?
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) recently reported an EPS beat for the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of $2.57 exceeding estimates by 1.98%. While most recent quarters have shown slight beats, the company's forward revenue growth is projected to be around 3.00% next year.
What is the analyst consensus for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) is predominantly 'Hold', with 9 out of 13 analysts rating it as such. The overall consensus score is 41, and the median price target is $111.50.
What is the technical outlook for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. stock?
Technically, T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) shows bearish momentum with an RSI at 32.2 and is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, though it remains above its 200-day moving average. Subdued volume below average suggests a lack of strong conviction.