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As of September 11, 2026, The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) trades at $317.44. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $395.50, 24.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $395.50 across 26 analysts. RSI at 17 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $341.64.
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
The Sherwin-Williams Company NYSE
$317.44
-3.200 (-1.00%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is currently trading at $317.44, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), indicating a bearish technical trend. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $395.50, suggesting a 24.6% upside potential. The company reported a 5.11% EPS beat in its most recent quarter, but overall insider activity shows a net seller stance with $11.7 million in sales versus no reported purchases, signaling moderate insider caution. Revenue growth is projected at 7.00% for the current year, but the stock's current technical weakness and insider selling present near-term headwinds.
SHW Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$320.00
Day Range
$315.42 to $320.00
Prev Close
$320.64
Volume
1.67M
52-Week Range
$289.86 to $377.77
Market Cap
$77.06B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.0113% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
SHW Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+24.59% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$395.50
AI Technical Analysis
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), indicating a bearish trend over the last quarter. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 17.04, signaling oversold conditions, while the MACD is at -6.13, suggesting bearish momentum. Volume has been 14.6% above its average, with recent trading activity showing increased participation on price declines. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the oversold RSI, but the current price action suggests potential for further downside before any significant bounce.
ProTips
- Given the current oversold RSI and bearish technicals, consider waiting for a confirmed technical reversal or a more significant price discount before initiating new positions in Sherwin-Williams (SHW).
- The moderate insider selling trend warrants close monitoring; a shift to net buying activity would be a strong signal of renewed management confidence.
- Sherwin-Williams (SHW) pays a dividend yield of approximately 1.01%. Ensure this aligns with your income investment strategy, especially given the current stock price weakness.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Recent EPS Beat Exceeds Expectations
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) reported EPS of $3.70 on July 28, 2026, surpassing estimates by 5.11%, indicating operational resilience.
Source: Company Earnings ReportBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold $11.7 million worth of SHW stock with no reported purchases, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential caution.
Source: Insider Transaction FilingsNeutral
Revenue Growth Aligns with Sector
Projected current year revenue growth of 7.00% is comparable to sector averages, suggesting stable market positioning.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
Bearish Technical Trend
SHW is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), with an oversold RSI, indicating potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis DataMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) over the next 6-12 months suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $395.50, driven by a return to more favorable market conditions and potential stabilization of its technical indicators. The company's projected revenue growth of 7.00% for the current year provides a foundation for this recovery, assuming it can maintain its market position in specialty chemicals. However, the current oversold RSI and bearish momentum indicate that a near-term rebound is not guaranteed and could face resistance. Factors that could alter this thesis include a significant improvement in broader economic sentiment, which would likely boost demand for coatings and paints, and a reversal of the current insider selling trend. Conversely, persistent inflation, increased competition, or unforeseen supply chain disruptions could pressure earnings and push the stock towards its downside projection of $233.41, especially if the current technical weakness continues and the oversold conditions do not lead to a sustained bounce.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 77.06B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 29.61 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.83 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.01% |
| 52 Week High | 377.77 |
| 52 Week Low | 289.86 |
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) trades at a P/E ratio of 29.61, which is in line with the sector average of 29.61, suggesting fair valuation relative to peers. However, its current price action below key moving averages indicates that the market may be pricing in slower future growth or increased risks. The company's revenue growth is projected at 7.00% for the current year, aligning with the sector average of 10.00%. While the company's profitability and balance sheet strength are generally solid, the current valuation does not offer a significant discount, especially given the bearish technicals and insider selling.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
In its most recent earnings report on July 28, 2026, Sherwin-Williams (SHW) reported an EPS of $3.70, exceeding the analyst estimate of $3.52 by 5.11%, though the stock saw a 2.93% decline. Prior to this, the company reported a slight EPS miss in the first quarter of 2026. While the company has demonstrated an ability to meet or slightly beat earnings expectations, the stock's reaction has been mixed, suggesting that market sentiment is currently more influenced by broader economic factors and technical trends than by individual earnings beats.
Key Risks
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) faces near-term risks from its bearish technical positioning, trading below key moving averages with an oversold RSI. Moderate insider selling, with $11.7 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicates a degree of caution among management. Also, the company's stock price reaction to recent earnings, despite an EPS beat, highlights sensitivity to broader market sentiment and potential headwinds in the specialty chemicals sector.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 17.04 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.13 |
| SMA 50 | 341.64 |
| SMA 200 | 334.07 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($341.64) above the 200-day SMA ($334.07), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 17.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.47
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.07
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
SHW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$314.27
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$317.44
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$303.89
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (17.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$323.69
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$329.98
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$339.41
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for SHW is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SHW in September 2016 would be worth about $34,091 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SHW today could grow to about $26,054 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $77,632 and a bear case around $8,744. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SHW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $466 for SHW by 2030 in the base case, from $317 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $233. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SHW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $247 | $349 | $493 |
| 2028 | $236 | $384 | $626 |
| 2029 | $233 | $423 | $769 |
| 2030 | $233 | $466 | $929 |
| 2031 | $237 | $512 | $1,109 |
| 2032 | $242 | $564 | $1,314 |
| 2033 | $249 | $621 | $1,547 |
| 2034 | $257 | $683 | $1,813 |
| 2035 | $267 | $752 | $2,117 |
| 2036 | $278 | $827 | $2,464 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SHW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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SHW Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$11.7M
7 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2021 | MORIKIS JOHN G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 155.5K | $44.9M |
| Aug 30, 2024 | MORIKIS JOHN G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 116.0K | $42.3M |
| Sep 28, 2020 | MORIKIS JOHN G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.3K | $15.8M |
| Mar 8, 2021 | SEWELL DAVID B.
President
|
Sell | 21.7K | $15.1M |
| Aug 31, 2020 | MORIKIS JOHN G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.3K | $15.0M |
| Oct 26, 2020 | MORIKIS JOHN G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.3K | $14.9M |
| Dec 12, 2019 | MORIKIS JOHN G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.7K | $8.5M |
| Feb 10, 2020 | MORIKIS JOHN G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.7K | $8.4M |
| Feb 26, 2024 | GARCEAU MARY L
Officer
|
Sell | 23.5K | $7.6M |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SEWELL DAVID B.
President
|
Sell | 10.2K | $6.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Sherwin-Williams' (SHW) current stock price and rating?
As of September 11, 2026, Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is trading at $317.44. The consensus rating from Wall Street analysts is 'Hold' with a consensus score of 67.
What is the median analyst price target for Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?
The median analyst price target for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is $395.50, implying an upside of 24.6% from the current price of $317.44.
What are the key technical indicators for Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), with an oversold RSI at 17.0 and bearish MACD momentum.
What is the insider trading activity for Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?
Insider activity for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) indicates a 'NET SELLER' stance, with $11.7 million in total sales versus no reported purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal'.
How is Sherwin-Williams (SHW) performing relative to its sector?
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) has a P/E ratio of 29.61, which is in line with the sector average of 29.61. Its projected revenue growth of 7.00% for the current year is slightly below the sector average of 10.00%.
What are the main risks facing Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?
Key risks for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) include its bearish technical trend, moderate insider selling, and the stock's sensitivity to broader market sentiment despite meeting earnings expectations.
What is the long-term projection for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) stock?
The long-range projection for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) in 2030 shows a base case price of $465.60, with a downside projection of $233.41 and an upside projection of $928.76 based on Monte Carlo simulations.