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01

ITB ETF forecast today

Where ITB stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

ITB at a glance

iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB): Sell, 37/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($90.05 and $96.32).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.37%, $2.4B in net assets, price down 13.2% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) Sell, with a model score of 37/100.

The trend holds it back most: the price is 6.14% below its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.51% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $90.05 and the 200-day at $96.32. Over the past year the price fell 13.20%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from ITB's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

ITB ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $90.41 is 0.4% above the 50-day simple moving average of $90.05.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 6.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $96.32.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($90.05) is 6.5% below the 200-day average ($96.32), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 25% of its 52-week range, between $82.08 and $115.26.

ITB share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far ITB has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $104.16 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $90.41 Oct 27, 2026
High $113.57 Feb 13, 2026
Low $83.39 Oct 14, 2026

Today's trading

Where ITB sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 2.17% wide
$90.41
$88.64 $90.56
52-week range 25% of the way up
$90.41
$82.08 $115.26
Open
$89.64
Previous close
$89.87
03

ITB fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

2/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.37% a year, $37.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $2.4B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Consumer Cyclical, makes up 76.9% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 1.45%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price fell 13.20% over the past year.

ITB Fund Facts

iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index, providing focused exposure to U.S. companies involved in residential construction and related industries. The fund concentrates on homebuilders and businesses tied to the housing supply chain, including building materials, home improvement retail, fixtures, and construction products.

Issuer
iShares
Category
Consumer Cyclical
Inception
May 1, 2006
Expense ratio
0.37%
Net assets
$2.38B
Distribution yield
1.45%
YTD total return (fund family)
-8.57%
Turnover
12.00%

Sector weights

Consumer Cyclical 76.9%
Industrials 14.0%
Basic Materials 8.3%
Real Estate 0.8%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period ITB
YTD -8.57%
1 month -7.26%
3 months -16.08%
1 year -17.76%
3 years 4.69%
5 years 6.67%
10 years 13.02%

As of Oct 27, 2026, ITB has an expense ratio of 0.37%, $2.38B in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.45%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for ITB.

Net Assets
2.38B
Expense Ratio
0.37%
Yield
1.45%
Day High
$90.56
Day Low
$88.64
52 Week High
115.26
52 Week Low
82.08

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ITB's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

ITB is led by Consumer Cyclical, which makes up 76.9% of the fund, followed by Industrials at 14.0% and Basic Materials at 8.3%. With more than half in one sector, ITB moves with that sector more than a broadly spread fund would. ITB is a Consumer Cyclical fund from iShares, launched on May 1, 2006.

The expense ratio stands at 0.37%, or $37.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fund holds $2.4B in net assets. Its distribution yield is 1.45%, and portfolio turnover is 12%.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of ITB shifts by 1.87%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. Concentration matters here: Consumer Cyclical makes up 76.9% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole. The price is 21.56% below its 52-week high of $115.26. Over the past year the price fell 13.20%.

04

ITB AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

2/2
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 56.2, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 56.2 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of ITB

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
37/100
Sell
What the AI sees

ITB is caught between its two moving averages. At $90.41, the price is 6.14% below the 200-day average of $96.32 but 0.39% above the 50-day average of $90.05. The price sits at 25% of its 52-week range and is 10.15% above the 52-week low of $82.08. Because the 50-day average is 6.51% below the 200-day average, the longer-term structure has not turned up yet, even though the price has climbed back above the shorter average.

Recent gains come up against a weaker record over longer spans. Over the past month the price rose 1.10%, but over the past three months it fell 9.89% and over the past year it fell 13.20%. The 14-day RSI sits at 56.2, which is neutral territory for momentum.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels. The 200-day SMA, at $96.32, sits above the price, while the 50-day SMA, at $90.05, sits below it.
  2. A 14-day RSI of 56.2 falls in the neutral zone. Readings above 70 or below 30 are the signs of stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.37% a year, ITB charges $37.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The trend is mixed: ITB is above its 50-day average at $90.05 but below its 200-day average at $96.32. A close above the 200-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 50-day would turn both down. In the meantime the price sits between the 50-day SMA ($90.05) underneath and the 200-day SMA ($96.32) overhead.

ITB's 14-day RSI of 56.2 places it in the neutral zone, which covers readings from 40 to 60.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for ITB, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Neutral
Momentum Neutral
56.214-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.0459 Neutral
Trend Death cross
+0.4%price against the 50-day average
200-day $96.32 50-day $90.05 Price $90.41
Price against the 200-day -6.1% Bearish

As of October 27, 2026, with ITB at $90.41, its 14-day RSI is 56.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $90.05 and its 200-day is $96.32.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What ITB moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.44 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.32 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.07 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.13 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, ITB's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.44 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.13 with gold (XAU).

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05

ITB trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

ITB trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$92.22
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$90.41
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$95.22
Max loss
-3.3%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (56.2) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$87.61
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$83.00
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$78.39
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from ITB's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much ITB tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.87%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$90.41
$82.08 25% of the way up $115.26

Compare ITB

Put ITB side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

ITB price history and drawdowns

ITB's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.87% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 45.7%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by July 2020.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    65% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $38,059, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

ITB Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-45.7%
February 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
4 months
back at the old peak by July 2020
From the 10-year high
-30.1%
highest close, October 2024
1-year holds that gained
65%
of every 1-year window

As of October 27, 2026, ITB's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -45.7% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by July 2020, 4 months after the low, and 65% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into ITB in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

ITB today
$38,059
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,015
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$3,957
0.9x the index result
Total change
+281%
3.8x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
ITB S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: ITB trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $38,059 against $42,015.

A $10,000 investment in ITB in October 2016 would be worth about $38,059 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to ITB, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb6/10 upMar6/10 upApr7/10 upMay4/10 upJun5/10 upJul8/10 upAug6/10 upSep4/10 upOct4/9 upNov9/10 upDec4/10 up

Strongest month, November: an average of +7.43%, up in 9 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -3.82%, up in 6 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged -1.70%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, ITB's strongest calendar month has been November (average +7.43%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -3.82%, up in 6 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

ITB price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ITB, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$6,417
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$14,032
median path
Upside, 2030
$30,683
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in ITB today could grow to about $14,032 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $30,683 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,417. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.45% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

ITB 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$90.41
Base case, 2030
$127
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$58.01 to $277
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $127 for ITB by 2030 in the base case, from $90.41 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $58.01. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ITB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

ITB simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $66.54 $98.40 $146
2028 $61.59 $107 $186
2029 $59.19 $117 $230
2030 $58.01 $127 $277

Method: a lognormal simulation of ITB's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

ITB ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

ITB Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) a buy right now?
ITB scores 37/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Sell band. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 6.14% below its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.51% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) performed over the past year?
The price fell 13.20% across the last twelve months. Looking at shorter windows, it dropped 9.89% over three months but climbed 1.10% during the most recent month. Currently it is 21.56% under its 52-week high of $115.26.
What does ITB cost to own?
ITB has an expense ratio of 0.37%, which comes to $37.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fee is taken from the fund's assets rather than billed separately.
What are the largest sectors in ITB?
Consumer Cyclical makes up 76.9% of the fund, the largest share. Industrials follows at 14.0%, and Basic Materials comes third at 8.3%.
Does ITB pay a dividend?
Yes, ITB pays a distribution yield of 1.45%. Yield is the payout measured against the price, so it moves whenever either of those two figures moves.
What are the key price levels for ITB?
Levels above the price are the 200-day SMA at $96.32 and the 52-week high at $115.26. Levels below it are the 50-day SMA at $90.05 and the 20-day EMA at $87.95.
How volatile is ITB?
On an average day, ITB's price changes by 1.87%, using the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns as the yardstick.
What is the 52-week range of ITB?
Over the past 52 weeks, ITB has moved between $82.08 and $115.26. At $90.41, the price is at 25% of that span, 10.15% above the low and 21.56% under the high.
Is ITB in an uptrend?
Not clearly. iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) trades at $90.41, above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($90.05 and $96.32). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 56.2, in neutral territory.
What is ITB's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -45.7%, from February 2020 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by July 2020, 4 months after the low. Over the same period, 65% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for ITB are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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