As of September 15, 2026, State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) trades at $112.85. RSI at 30 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $115.85.
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY)
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE
XLY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
XLY Fund Facts
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to large-cap U.S. consumer discretionary companies. It seeks to track the performance of the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index, giving investors diversified access to businesses tied to non-essential spending across retail, media, hotels, restaurants, leisure, apparel, automobiles, and related services.
Sector weights
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | XLY | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | -1.95% | -1.29% |
| 1 month | 0.48% | 7.91% |
| 3 months | -3.36% | -1.59% |
| 1 year | 1.42% | 14.89% |
| 3 years | 11.85% | 13.04% |
| 5 years | 5.76% | 2.49% |
| 10 years | 12.37% | 10.82% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
XLY Analysis
- Monitor consumer confidence and retail sales data closely for signs of a potential rebound in discretionary spending.
- Consider the ETF's high concentration in consumer cyclicals as a key risk factor, especially in uncertain economic environments.
- Evaluate the performance of the underlying S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index for broader sector trends.
- Compare XLY's expense ratio and performance against other consumer discretionary ETFs.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with XLY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 14.27B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.0900% |
| Yield | 0.80% |
| Day High | $113.28 |
| Day Low | $112.11 |
| 52 Week High | 125.01 |
| 52 Week Low | 105.19 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 30.32 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.04 |
| SMA 50 | 115.85 |
| SMA 200 | 116.98 |
XLY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XLY in September 2016 would be worth about $28,577 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLY today could grow to about $23,970 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $59,142 and a bear case around $9,715. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XLY ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $160 for XLY by 2030 in the base case, from $113 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $90.43. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $92.56 | $123 | $164 |
| 2028 | $89.75 | $134 | $201 |
| 2029 | $89.45 | $147 | $241 |
| 2030 | $90.43 | $160 | $283 |
| 2031 | $92.26 | $175 | $331 |
| 2032 | $94.73 | $191 | $384 |
| 2033 | $97.75 | $208 | $443 |
| 2034 | $101 | $227 | $509 |
| 2035 | $105 | $248 | $584 |
| 2036 | $110 | $271 | $667 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.