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As of September 27, 2026, SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) trades at $98.32. RSI at 36 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $104.17.
SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)
SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF NYSE
$98.32
1.520 (1.57%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
35 / 100
The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) provides targeted exposure to U.S. companies in the homebuilding and related housing industries, tracking the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index. The fund's strategy is to offer diversified access to this focused segment of the U.S. equity market through an equal-weighted structure. XHB is utilized by investors seeking a sector-specific vehicle linked to residential construction, consumer housing demand, and the overall housing cycle. Its portfolio comprises companies that support home development, furnishing, and improvement, positioning it as a specialized tool within the ETF landscape. The fund's net assets stand at $1.33 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.35%.
XHB Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$97.20
Day Range
$96.57 to $98.84
Prev Close
$96.80
Volume
1.82M
52-Week Range
$93.57 to $123.13
XHB Fund Facts
SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. companies involved in homebuilding and related housing industries. It seeks to track the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index, which includes businesses across home construction, building products, home improvement retail, household appliances, and related supply-chain segments.
Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Consumer Cyclical
Inception
Jan 31, 2006
Expense ratio
0.35%
Net assets
$1.33B
NAV
$99.19
Distribution yield
0.77%
YTD return
0.33%
Turnover
31.00%
Sector weights
Realestate
1.5%
Industrials
37.9%
Consumer Cyclical
60.7%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | XHB | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 0.33% | -1.29% |
| 1 month | -0.76% | 7.91% |
| 3 months | 0.41% | -1.59% |
| 1 year | -9.11% | 14.89% |
| 3 years | 8.19% | 13.04% |
| 5 years | 6.52% | 2.49% |
| 10 years | 11.99% | 10.82% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
XHB Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
XHB is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($104.17 and $106.42), indicating a bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is at 104.17, and the 200-day SMA is at 106.42, with the current price of 98.32 significantly below both. The 20-day exponential moving average is at 99.51, also above the current price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 36.03, which is classified as bearish momentum, and the MACD is at -2.13, further supporting a downward trend. The Stochastic indicator is at 35.62, suggesting a lack of strong upward momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor interest rate changes closely, as they significantly impact the housing market and XHB's performance.
- Consider the fund's high concentration in the Consumer Cyclical sector and its associated volatility.
- Evaluate the broader economic conditions and consumer sentiment for insights into future housing demand.
Market Outlook
The outlook for XHB is bearish in the short to medium term, given its current technical positioning below key moving averages and bearish momentum indicators. The fund's heavy concentration in the cyclical homebuilding sector makes it susceptible to broader economic slowdowns and rising interest rate environments. While longer-term returns have historically been strong, the current trend suggests potential for further downside. A shift in monetary policy towards lower interest rates or a significant rebound in housing demand would be necessary to alter this bearish thesis. The fund's performance will likely continue to be dictated by the cyclical nature of the housing market and consumer confidence.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.57
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.47
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with XHB? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Yield | 0.97% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $98.84 |
| Day Low | $96.57 |
| 52 Week High | 123.13 |
| 52 Week Low | 93.57 |
The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) is heavily concentrated in the Consumer Cyclical sector, representing 60.65% of its holdings, with Industrials making up another significant portion at 37.88%. This concentration means the fund's performance is closely tied to the health and cyclicality of the housing market and related industries. The fund's overview highlights its focus on companies involved in home construction, building products, home improvement retail, and household appliances. The broad housing cycle, consumer confidence, and interest rate environments are key macro factors influencing the performance of XHB's underlying constituents. The fund's expense ratio is 0.35%, costing $35.00 per $10,000 invested.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
However, the performance of its underlying holdings, which are primarily in the Consumer Cyclical and Industrials sectors, is influenced by the aggregate earnings trends of companies involved in homebuilding and related industries. A positive trend in earnings for these companies would generally support the ETF's performance, while declining earnings would likely lead to underperformance. The fund's overview emphasizes its focus on companies supporting the development, furnishing, and improvement of homes, indicating that sector-wide earnings are a critical driver.
Key Risks
The primary risk for XHB is its high concentration in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically homebuilders and related industries, making it vulnerable to downturns in the housing market. Interest rate sensitivity is another significant risk, as rising rates can dampen housing demand and increase borrowing costs for builders and buyers. Sector-specific headwinds, such as supply chain disruptions or regulatory changes impacting construction, also pose a risk to the fund's performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 36.03 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.13 |
| SMA 50 | 104.17 |
| SMA 200 | 106.42 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $104.17, 200-day: $106.42), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
XHB Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$100.29
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$98.32
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$103.83
MAX LOSS
-3.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (36.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$95.27
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$90.26
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$85.24
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XHB is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XHB in September 2016 would be worth about $28,648 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XHB today could grow to about $23,994 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $73,990 and a bear case around $7,781. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XHB ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $140 for XHB by 2030 in the base case, from $98.32 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $68.45. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XHB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $75.16 | $107 | $153 |
| 2028 | $70.79 | $117 | $194 |
| 2029 | $68.99 | $128 | $237 |
| 2030 | $68.45 | $140 | $284 |
| 2031 | $68.69 | $152 | $338 |
| 2032 | $69.48 | $166 | $398 |
| 2033 | $70.72 | $181 | $465 |
| 2034 | $72.33 | $198 | $542 |
| 2035 | $74.26 | $216 | $629 |
| 2036 | $76.51 | $236 | $727 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XHB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the price prediction for XHB ETF in 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price projection for XHB in 2030 is $139.54. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $68.45 and an upside price of $284.44. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
What are the top sectors held by the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)?
XHB is primarily concentrated in the Consumer Cyclical sector, accounting for 60.65% of its holdings. The Industrials sector represents another significant portion at 37.88%, with a small allocation to Real Estate at 1.47%.
What is the expense ratio for the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)?
The expense ratio for XHB is 0.35%, which translates to a cost of $35.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
How has XHB performed against its category over different time periods?
Over the last year, XHB returned -9.11% compared to its category's 14.89%. However, over longer periods, XHB has shown stronger performance: 8.19% annually over 3 years versus 13.04% for the category, 6.52% over 5 years versus 2.49%, and 11.99% over 10 years versus 10.82% for the category.
What is the current dividend yield for XHB?
The current dividend yield for XHB is approximately 0.97%.
What is the RSI status for XHB?
The RSI for XHB is 36.03, which is interpreted as having bearish momentum.
What is the net asset value of the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)?
The net assets of the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) are $1.33 billion.