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As of September 10, 2026, VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) trades at $574.29. RSI at 56 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $572.05.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)
VanEck Semiconductor ETF NASDAQ
$574.29
0.5600 (0.10%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide investors with targeted exposure to the global semiconductor industry. The fund tracks the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, encompassing companies involved in chip design, manufacturing, and related technologies. SMH's strategy focuses on key players within the semiconductor ecosystem, which supports critical areas like consumer electronics, data centers, automotive technology, and advanced computing. As a prominent thematic ETF, it offers a diversified vehicle for accessing the performance of this dynamic sector. The fund's assets under management stand at $67.79 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.35%.
SMH Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$569.90
Day Range
$569.90 to $577.57
Prev Close
$573.73
Volume
3.46M
52-Week Range
$281.74 to $671.83
Market Cap
$5.91B
SMH Fund Facts
VanEck Semiconductor ETF is an exchange-traded fund focused on the semiconductor industry. It seeks to track the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, giving investors broad exposure to leading U.S.-listed companies involved in chip design, semiconductor production, manufacturing equipment, and related technology supply chains. The fund’s portfolio is concentrated in major industry names and includes businesses that support consumer electronics, data centers, automotive technology, industrial automation, and advanced computing.
Issuer
VanEck
Category
Technology
Inception
Dec 20, 2011
Expense ratio
0.35%
Net assets
$67.79B
NAV
$567.21
Distribution yield
0.20%
YTD return
54.56%
Turnover
12.00%
Sector weights
Technology
100.0%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | SMH | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 54.56% | 13.51% |
| 1 month | 3.02% | 19.10% |
| 3 months | -7.03% | 10.83% |
| 1 year | 92.37% | 54.99% |
| 3 years | 53.42% | 27.86% |
| 5 years | 33.48% | 9.93% |
| 10 years | 33.85% | 19.36% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 10, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
SMH Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
SMH is currently trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The 50-day SMA is at $572.05, and the 200-day SMA is at $479.77, with the current price of $574.29 comfortably above both. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.2, indicating a neutral momentum. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 84.49, suggesting the ETF is approaching overbought territory. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 128.36, further reinforcing bullish sentiment.
ProTips
- Consider SMH for targeted exposure to the high-growth semiconductor industry.
- Monitor sector-specific news and macroeconomic indicators for potential shifts in the semiconductor market.
- Be aware of the concentration risk inherent in a single-sector ETF like SMH.
- Evaluate SMH's performance relative to its category and benchmark for long-term investment decisions.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) remains positive over the next 6-12 months, driven by sustained demand in key technology areas. Continued innovation in AI, data centers, and automotive electronics is expected to fuel growth for semiconductor companies. The ETF's strong technical positioning, trading above key moving averages, supports this optimistic view. However, investors should remain aware of potential volatility due to the sector's cyclical nature and global economic factors. Key factors that could alter this thesis include a significant global economic slowdown, increased geopolitical tensions impacting supply chains, or a faster-than-expected saturation in demand for current semiconductor technologies. Conversely, breakthroughs in next-generation chip technology or accelerated adoption of AI could lead to even stronger performance.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.80
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.90
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 5.91B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.3500% |
| Yield | 0.1924% |
| Day High | $577.57 |
| Day Low | $569.90 |
| 52 Week High | 671.83 |
| 52 Week Low | 281.74 |
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) holds 99.93% in stocks, primarily concentrated within the Technology sector, which represents 100% of its allocation. This high concentration in a single sector exposes investors to the specific risks and rewards associated with the semiconductor industry. The fund's expense ratio is 0.35%, and its net assets total $67.79 billion. The semiconductor industry is currently experiencing strong demand driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, data centers, and automotive technology, which are key drivers for the companies within SMH's index.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Recent earnings reports from companies within the semiconductor sector, as reflected in SMH's underlying index, have shown mixed but generally positive trends. For instance, a recent earnings report on July 8, 2026, showed an EPS actual of $0.05 against an estimate of $0.04, a 25% surprise, with a subsequent price change of 2.48%. Another report on March 3, 2026, had an EPS actual of $0.25 versus an estimate of $0.21, a 19.05% surprise, leading to a 2.06% price increase. These results suggest that many companies in the sector are meeting or exceeding expectations, contributing to the ETF's performance.
Key Risks
The primary risk for SMH is its high sector concentration in semiconductors, making it vulnerable to downturns specific to this industry. Geopolitical tensions impacting global supply chains or significant shifts in demand for electronic devices could negatively affect the ETF's performance. Additionally, the ETF's current position near the upper end of its trading range, as indicated by the Stochastic Oscillator, suggests a potential for short-term pullbacks.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 56.20 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.97 |
| SMA 50 | 572.05 |
| SMA 200 | 479.77 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($572.05) above the 200-day SMA ($479.77), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
SMH Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$562.80
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$574.29
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$543.44
MAX LOSS
-3.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (56.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$590.94
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$619.08
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$647.22
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of SMH is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SMH in September 2016 would be worth about $176,460 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SMH today could grow to about $45,770 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $177,911 and a bear case around $11,775. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SMH ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,055 for SMH by 2030 in the base case, from $574 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $447. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SMH's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $435 | $669 | $1,027 |
| 2028 | $424 | $778 | $1,429 |
| 2029 | $431 | $906 | $1,907 |
| 2030 | $447 | $1,055 | $2,490 |
| 2031 | $470 | $1,229 | $3,209 |
| 2032 | $500 | $1,430 | $4,094 |
| 2033 | $535 | $1,665 | $5,186 |
| 2034 | $576 | $1,939 | $6,531 |
| 2035 | $623 | $2,258 | $8,185 |
| 2036 | $676 | $2,629 | $10,217 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SMH's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and what does it cost?
The expense ratio for SMH is 0.35%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, you would pay $35 annually in management fees.
What sectors does the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) concentrate in?
SMH is highly concentrated in the Technology sector, with 100% of its assets allocated to technology companies, specifically those involved in the semiconductor industry.
What is the current distribution yield for the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)?
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) currently has a distribution yield of 0.20%.
How has the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) performed against its category over different periods?
SMH has outperformed its category year-to-date (54.56% vs 13.51%), over the past year (92.37% vs 54.99%), and over the last 3 years (53.42% vs 27.86%). It also outperformed over 5 years (33.48% vs 9.93%) and 10 years (33.85% vs 19.36%). However, it underperformed in the last month (3.02% vs 19.10%) and last 3 months (-7.03% vs 10.83%).
What is the long-term outlook for SMH stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the statistical projection for SMH in 2030 shows a base price of $1,055.27. The downside projection is $447.15, and the upside projection is $2,490.42. These figures represent simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What are the biggest risks associated with investing in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)?
The primary risk is sector concentration in semiconductors, making it susceptible to industry-specific downturns. Geopolitical events affecting supply chains and shifts in consumer demand for electronics are also significant risks. The ETF's current momentum also suggests a potential for short-term price corrections.
When was the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) launched?
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) was launched on December 20, 2011.