ETF·NASDAQ
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)
- Net assets
- $74.88B
- Expense ratio
- 0.35%
- Yield
- 0.18%
- 52-week range
- $315.05 $671.83
SMH ETF forecast today
Where SMH stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
SMH at a glance
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($516.25 and $574.17).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.35%, $74.9B in net assets, price up 54.2% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Hold with a model score of 55/100.
The biggest lift to the score comes from one-year performance, as the price climbed 54.25% over the past year. Momentum pulls the score down the most: the 14-day RSI sits at 39.8, inside the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Trend is mixed, with SMH 5.67% below its 50-day average of $574.17 but 4.91% above its 200-day average of $516.25.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from SMH's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
SMH ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $541.62 is 5.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $574.17.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 4.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $516.25.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($574.17) is 11.2% above the 200-day average ($516.25), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 64% of its 52-week range, between $315.05 and $671.83.
SMH share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far SMH has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where SMH sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
SMH fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
3/5Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.35% a year, $35.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $74.9B.No sector above 35% of the fund ›
The largest sector, Technology, makes up 100.0% of the fund.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 0.18%.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 54.25% over the past year.
SMH Fund Facts
VanEck Semiconductor ETF is an exchange-traded fund focused on the semiconductor industry. It seeks to track the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, giving investors broad exposure to leading U.S.-listed companies involved in chip design, semiconductor production, manufacturing equipment, and related technology supply chains. The fund’s portfolio is concentrated in major industry names and includes businesses that support consumer electronics, data centers, automotive technology, industrial automation, and advanced computing.
Sector weights
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | SMH |
|---|---|
| YTD | 68.93% |
| 1 month | 9.30% |
| 3 months | -7.34% |
| 1 year | 86.90% |
| 3 years | 62.01% |
| 5 years | 37.38% |
| 10 years | 34.42% |
As of Oct 27, 2026, SMH has an expense ratio of 0.35%, $74.88B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.18%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for SMH.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SMH's holdings, performance and risks.
Technology makes up 100.0% of the fund, so nearly all of SMH moves with that one sector. SMH is a Technology fund from VanEck, launched on December 20, 2011.
SMH charges 0.35% a year, which works out to $35.00 on every $10,000 invested. Net assets stand at $74.9B, and the distribution yield is 0.18%. Portfolio turnover is 12%.
Normal swings for SMH run at about 2.17% a day. With 100.0% of its holdings in Technology, the fund depends heavily on one sector. The price is 19.38% below its 52-week high of $671.83.
SMH AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 39.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 39.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of SMH
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) shows a mixed trend. At $541.62, the fund is 5.67% below its 50-day average of $574.17, yet it stands 4.91% above its 200-day average of $516.25. The 50-day average is 11.22% above the 200-day, but the price has slipped beneath the shorter average. Across its 52-week range of $315.05 to $671.83, the price sits at 64%, and 19.38% below the high.
A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 10.71% over the past month, fell 1.26% over the past three months and rose 54.25% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 39.8 is in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, and the MACD line is negative.
- The two closest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $566.12, which sits above the price, and the 200-day SMA at $516.25, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 39.8, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. SMH takes $35.00 a year from every $10,000 invested, at an expense ratio of 0.35%.
The trend is mixed: SMH is above its 200-day average at $516.25 but below its 50-day average at $574.17. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 200-day would turn both down. The nearest levels are the 200-day SMA at $516.25 below and the 20-day EMA at $566.12 above.
With the RSI in the bearish zone, momentum still leans toward lower prices.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for SMH, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with SMH at $541.62, its 14-day RSI is 39.8 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $574.17 and its 200-day is $516.25.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What SMH moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, SMH's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.79 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.90 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.34 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU).
SMH trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
SMH trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from SMH's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much SMH tends to move, against the market and on its own.
SMH price history and drawdowns
SMH's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.17% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 42.6%, from January 2022 to October 2022, regained by July 2023.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
83% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $174,213, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
SMH Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, SMH's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -42.6% (January 2022 to October 2022); it regained that peak by July 2023, 9 months after the low, and 83% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into SMH in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: SMH beat the S&P 500 over this period: $174,213 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in SMH in October 2016 would be worth about $174,213 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to SMH, and which have not.
Strongest month, May: an average of +7.00%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -1.63%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.00%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, SMH's strongest calendar month has been May (average +7.00%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -1.63%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
SMH price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SMH, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in SMH today could grow to about $15,422 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $36,593 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,499. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.18% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SMH 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $835 for SMH by 2030 in the base case, from $542 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $352. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SMH's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $392 | $604 | $930 | |
| 2028 | $365 | $673 | $1,239 | |
| 2029 | $355 | $750 | $1,584 | |
| 2030 | $352 | $835 | $1,982 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of SMH's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
SMH ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.