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01

VPU ETF forecast today

Where VPU stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

VPU at a glance

Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU): Buy, 60/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($180.73 and $191.73).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.09%, $9.5B in net assets, price down 3.5% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 30, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) Buy, with a model score of 60/100.

Momentum lifts the score most: the 14-day RSI of 65.0 is in the bullish zone and the MACD line is positive. The trend holds it back most: the price is 2.16% below its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.74% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $180.73 and the 200-day at $191.73. Over the past year the price fell 3.46%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from VPU's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

VPU ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $187.58 is 3.8% above the 50-day simple moving average of $180.73.
  • Price below its 200-day average ›
    The price is 2.2% below the 200-day simple moving average of $191.73.
  • 50-day average below the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($180.73) is 5.7% below the 200-day average ($191.73), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 50% of its 52-week range, between $169.37 and $206.10.

VPU share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far VPU has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $194.31 Oct 30, 2025
Latest close $187.58 Oct 30, 2026
High $205.87 Feb 27, 2026
Low $170.29 Sep 28, 2026

Today's trading

Where VPU sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.58% wide
$187.58
$187.21 $188.29
52-week range 50% of the way up
$187.58
$169.37 $206.10
Open
$187.40
Previous close
$186.38
Volume
314.90K
40% above average
03

VPU fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

3/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.09% a year, $9.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $9.5B.
  • One sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Utilities, makes up 99.2% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 3.04%.
  • Price down over one year ›
    The price fell 3.46% over the past year.

VPU Fund Facts

Vanguard Utilities ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to the U.S. utilities sector. The fund seeks to track the performance of an index composed of large-, mid-, and small-capitalization utility companies, including electric, gas, water, and independent power businesses. Its portfolio typically includes regulated and competitive utility operators, along with related energy infrastructure names, making it a focused way to access an essential services segment of the market.

Issuer
Vanguard
Category
Utilities
Inception
Apr 28, 2004
Expense ratio
0.09%
Net assets
$9.47B
Distribution yield
3.04%
YTD total return (fund family)
-5.66%
Turnover
6.00%

Sector weights

Utilities 99.2%
Energy 0.5%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period VPU
YTD -5.66%
1 month -5.78%
3 months -12.07%
1 year -7.16%
3 years 13.63%
5 years 7.43%
10 years 8.09%

As of Oct 31, 2026, VPU has an expense ratio of 0.09%, $9.47B in net assets and a distribution yield of 3.04%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 31, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for VPU.

Net Assets
9.47B
Expense Ratio
0.09%
Yield
3.04%
Day High
$188.29
Day Low
$187.21
52 Week High
206.10
52 Week Low
169.37

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of VPU's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Utilities is the core of Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU), making up 99.2% of the fund. Energy follows at 0.5%. With nearly all assets in one sector, VPU's price tends to move in step with that sector. The fund is a Vanguard Utilities fund that launched on April 28, 2004.

Costs run at 0.09% a year, or $9.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund has $9.5B in net assets. Its distribution yield stands at 3.04%, and portfolio turnover is 6%.

Key risks

Sector concentration is the main risk. Utilities accounts for 99.2% of the fund, so any setback in that sector would hit nearly the entire portfolio. Day-to-day swings also deserve attention, since VPU has moved 1.06% on an average session. The price fell 3.46% over the past year.

04

VPU AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

3/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 65.0, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 65.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of VPU

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
60/100
Buy
What the AI sees

VPU, the Vanguard Utilities ETF, trades between its two moving averages. At $187.58, the price is 2.16% below the 200-day average of $191.73 and 3.79% above the 50-day average of $180.73. Because the 50-day average is 5.74% below the 200-day, the recovery has yet to lift the price back to the longer-run averages. The price sits at 50% of its 52-week range, which runs from a low of $169.37 to a high of $206.10.

Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 9.70% over the past month, fell 1.90% over the past three months and fell 3.46% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 65.0, in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, with the MACD line positive. The price rose 0.64% in the last session on volume 40.3% above its average.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels. Above the price sits the 200-day SMA at $191.73, and below it sits the 20-day EMA at $182.22.
  2. A 14-day RSI of 65.0 falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. VPU's 0.09% annual expense ratio means $9.00 a year on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

VPU has a mixed trend. The price is above its 50-day average of $180.73 but beneath its 200-day average of $191.73. Should the price close above the 200-day, both signals would point up. A close below the 50-day would instead point both down. For now the price is wedged between the 20-day EMA of $182.22 below it and the 200-day SMA of $191.73 above it.

The RSI sits in the bullish band, which supports the current direction and sits close to the overbought line.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for VPU, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bullish 3 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bullish
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Bullish
65.014-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 1.88 Bullish
Trend Death cross
+3.8%price against the 50-day average
200-day $191.73 50-day $180.73 Price $187.58
Price against the 200-day -2.2% Bearish

As of October 30, 2026, with VPU at $187.58, its 14-day RSI is 65.0 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $180.73 and its 200-day is $191.73.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What VPU moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.33 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.20 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.04 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.16 Weak

As of October 30, 2026, VPU's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.33 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.20 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.04 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.16 with gold (XAU).

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05

VPU trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

VPU trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$183.83
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$187.58
Entry at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$178.31
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (65.0) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$193.02
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$202.21
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$211.40
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from VPU's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much VPU tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.06%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$187.58
$169.37 50% of the way up $206.10

Compare VPU

Put VPU side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

VPU price history and drawdowns

VPU's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.06% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 26.0%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by August 2021.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    78% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $23,638, against $41,607 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

VPU Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-26.0%
February 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
17 months
back at the old peak by August 2021
From the 10-year high
-8.9%
highest close, February 2026
1-year holds that gained
78%
of every 1-year window

As of October 30, 2026, VPU's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -26.0% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by August 2021, 17 months after the low, and 78% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into VPU in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

VPU today
$23,638
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$41,607
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$17,968
0.6x the index result
Total change
+136%
2.4x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
VPU S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: VPU trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $23,638 against $41,607.

A $10,000 investment in VPU in October 2016 would be worth about $23,638 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $41,607 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to VPU, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb4/10 upMar5/10 upApr7/10 upMay5/10 upJun6/10 upJul8/10 upAug7/10 upSep5/10 upOct6/9 upNov7/10 upDec5/10 up

Strongest month, April: an average of +2.54%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, December: an average of -1.28%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +1.19%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, VPU's strongest calendar month has been April (average +2.54%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest December (average -1.28%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

VPU price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in VPU, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$7,726
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$12,634
median path
Upside, 2030
$20,661
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in VPU today could grow to about $12,634 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $20,661 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,726. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.04% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

VPU 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$188
Base case, 2030
$237
1.3x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$145 to $388
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $237 for VPU by 2030 in the base case, from $188 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $145. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VPU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

VPU simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $156 $199 $254
2028 $149 $211 $299
2029 $146 $224 $342
2030 $145 $237 $388

Method: a lognormal simulation of VPU's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

VPU ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.

VPU Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates VPU Buy, on a model score of 60/100. Most of the lift comes from momentum, as the 14-day RSI of 65.0 is in the bullish zone and the MACD line is positive. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 2.16% below its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.74% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) performed over the past year?
The price fell 3.46% over the past year. Shorter stretches tell a different story: down 1.90% over three months and up 9.70% over the past month. The price now sits 8.99% below its 52-week high of $206.10.
What does VPU cost to own?
Annual cost for VPU is 0.09%, which works out to $9.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee comes out of the fund's assets, so it is not charged as a separate bill.
What are the largest sectors in VPU?
Utilities is the largest sector in the fund at 99.2%. Energy is second at 0.5%.
Does VPU pay a dividend?
Yes, VPU pays a distribution yield of 3.04%. Yield is calculated as the payout divided by the price, so the figure moves whenever either of those does.
What are the key price levels for VPU?
Two levels sit above the price: the 200-day SMA at $191.73 and the 52-week high at $206.10. Two sit below it: the 20-day EMA at $182.22 and the 50-day SMA at $180.73.
How volatile is VPU?
On an average day VPU's price moves 1.06%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of VPU?
Over the past 52 weeks, VPU has ranged from $169.37 up to $206.10. At $187.58, the price is 10.75% above the low and 8.99% below the high, which places it at 50% of that range.
Is VPU in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) trades at $187.58, above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($180.73 and $191.73). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 65.0, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.
What is VPU's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -26.0%, from February 2020 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by August 2021, 17 months after the low. Over the same period, 78% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for VPU are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 31, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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