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As of October 11, 2026, Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) trades at $179.15. RSI at 54 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $182.83.

Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)

Vanguard Utilities ETF NYSE

$179.15 1.430 (0.80%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Hold
55 / 100
Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) offers focused exposure to the U.S. utilities sector, encompassing regulated and competitive utility operators, electric, gas, and water companies, as well as independent power producers. The fund's strategy is to track an index of U.S. utility companies across various market capitalizations. As of October 2026, VPU holds 99.3% in Utilities stocks, reflecting its sector-specific mandate. The fund's recent performance shows a slight year-to-date return of 0.13%, significantly underperforming its category's 12.44% return for the same period. This divergence suggests the broader utilities sector has experienced stronger tailwinds than VPU's specific holdings or tracking index.

VPU Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$177.75
Day Range
$177.65 to $179.45
Prev Close
$177.72
Volume
259.9K
52-Week Range
$169.37 to $206.10
Market Cap
$5.35B

VPU Fund Facts

Vanguard Utilities ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to the U.S. utilities sector. The fund seeks to track the performance of an index composed of large-, mid-, and small-capitalization utility companies, including electric, gas, water, and independent power businesses. Its portfolio typically includes regulated and competitive utility operators, along with related energy infrastructure names, making it a focused way to access an essential services segment of the market.

Issuer
Vanguard
Category
Utilities
Inception
Jan 26, 2004
Expense ratio
0.09%
Net assets
$10.08B
NAV
$185.85
Distribution yield
2.83%
YTD return
0.13%
Turnover
6.00%

Sector weights

Utilities 99.3%

Trailing returns vs category

Period VPU Category
YTD 0.13% 12.44%
1 month -4.41% 3.15%
3 months -4.55% 9.48%
1 year 2.75% 24.77%
3 years 13.68% 15.27%
5 years 7.34% 10.64%
10 years 8.79% 9.94%

Fund reference data as of Oct 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

VPU Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Hold
Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($182.83 and $191.92), indicating a neutral to bearish trend. The price is above its 20-day exponential moving average ($176.93), suggesting some short-term upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.32, which is considered neutral, showing no signs of overbought or oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator is high at 97.02, suggesting it is approaching overbought territory, while the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at 118.06 indicates bullish momentum but is nearing overbought levels.
ProTips
  • Consider VPU for its low expense ratio and stable dividend yield, characteristic of the utilities sector.
  • Monitor sector rotation trends; a shift towards defensive assets could benefit VPU.
  • Be aware of VPU's recent underperformance compared to its category, which may indicate specific sector challenges or a need for broader market tailwinds.
Market Outlook
The outlook for Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) is neutral to cautiously optimistic, contingent on a potential shift in market sentiment back towards defensive sectors. While VPU's current technicals show it trading below key long-term moving averages, its neutral RSI and the inherent stability of the utilities sector provide a floor. The sector's role in essential services and its dividend-paying nature could attract investors seeking income and stability, especially if broader market volatility persists. However, continued underperformance against its category suggests that specific sector headwinds or a strong rotation into growth assets could limit upside in the near to medium term.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.35
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.24
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.05
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.17
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with VPU? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 5.35B
Yield 2.90%
Day High $179.45
Day Low $177.65
52 Week High 206.10
52 Week Low 169.37
Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) is built to provide exposure to the U.S. utilities sector, which is generally characterized by its defensive nature and stable dividend payouts. The fund holds 99.32% in stocks, with virtually all assets concentrated within the Utilities sector. This concentration means VPU's performance is heavily tied to the specific dynamics of utility companies, including regulatory environments and infrastructure spending. The fund's expense ratio is a very low 0.09%, costing approximately $9.00 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets of over $10 billion, VPU is a substantial and liquid ETF.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

The utilities sector is generally known for stable, albeit often slower, earnings growth driven by essential services. Investors in VPU are looking for the aggregate earnings power of these utility companies to support dividends and gradual capital appreciation. The sector's defensive characteristics often lead to steadier earnings compared to more cyclical industries, making it a component of many diversified portfolios.

Key Risks

The primary risk for Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) is sector-specific concentration; its heavy weighting in utilities means it is susceptible to regulatory changes, interest rate hikes impacting dividend stocks, and potential underperformance if the broader market shifts away from defensive sectors. Also, VPU has underperformed its category in year-to-date, 1-month, 3-month, and 1-year returns, indicating potential headwinds or a lag in sector performance.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 54.32
MACD -1.86
SMA 50 182.83
SMA 200 191.92
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $182.83, 200-day: $191.92), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.

VPU Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$177.36
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$179.15
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$172.04
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (54.3) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$182.68
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$186.23
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$191.55
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of VPU is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on October 11, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in VPU in October 2016 would be worth about $17,463 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VPU today could grow to about $18,622 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $40,504 and a bear case around $8,562. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

VPU ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $230 for VPU by 2030 in the base case, from $179 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $141. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VPU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

VPU simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $149 $191 $244
2028 $143 $203 $287
2029 $141 $216 $330
2030 $141 $230 $376
2031 $141 $244 $424
2032 $143 $260 $475
2033 $145 $277 $530
2034 $147 $295 $590
2035 $150 $314 $655
2036 $153 $334 $726

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VPU's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) and what does it cost?
Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) has a very low expense ratio of 0.09%, which translates to an annual cost of approximately $9.00 for every $10,000 invested.
What sectors does Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) hold and how concentrated is it?
VPU is highly concentrated in the Utilities sector, holding 99.3% of its assets in this industry. The fund's overview indicates it includes regulated and competitive utility operators, electric, gas, water companies, and independent power businesses.
What is the dividend yield for Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)?
Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.90%.
How has Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) performed against its category?
In year-to-date returns, VPU returned 0.13% compared to its category's 12.44%. Over one year, VPU returned 2.75% while its category returned 24.77%, indicating significant underperformance against its peers.
What is the price prediction for VPU ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for VPU ETF in 2030 is $229.74, with a downside projection of $140.54. These figures are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What are the main risks associated with investing in Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)?
Key risks include sector concentration in utilities, sensitivity to regulatory changes and interest rate movements, and recent underperformance relative to its category benchmarks.
What is the current technical outlook for Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)?
VPU is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($182.83 and $191.92), with a neutral RSI at 54.3, suggesting a neutral momentum with some upward pressure from the 20-day EMA.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for VPU are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 11, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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