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As of September 16, 2026, S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) trades at $412.52. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $525.00, 27.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $525.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 40 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $427.20.
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)
S&P Global Inc. NYSE
$412.52
-6.020 (-1.44%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) is currently trading at $412.52, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($427.20 and $428.65), signaling a near-term bearish technical trend. Despite this, the company maintains a strong 'Buy' consensus from Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $525.00 suggesting a 27.3% upside potential. Fundamentally, SPGI's valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, with a P/E ratio of 24.99 compared to the sector median of 16.5. However, its strong profit margins (30.54%) and operating margins (44.79%) support its premium valuation. The company's recent revenue growth has been negative, with current and next quarter estimates showing declines, though next year's growth is projected to turn positive. Insider activity shows a net selling trend, with $161.8M in total sales versus $3.6M in total purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal.
SPGI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$415.26
Day Range
$411.64 to $416.60
Prev Close
$418.54
Volume
1.70M
52-Week Range
$361.03 to $522.47
Market Cap
$121.61B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+52%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
SPGI Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, SPGI beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
SPGI Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+27.27% Upside
Median of 24 analysts (12-month)
$525.00
AI Technical Analysis
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($427.20 and $428.65), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 40.27, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -1.73, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downward trend, and resistance is observed at the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current price action. The stochastic indicator is in oversold territory, potentially signaling a short-term bounce, but the overall chart structure points to continued pressure until key moving averages are reclaimed.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of sustained revenue recovery, as recent estimates have indicated near-term declines.
- Given the current trading below key moving averages, consider waiting for a confirmed break above the 50-day SMA ($427.20) before initiating new long positions.
- The moderate insider selling signal warrants caution; investors should ensure any new positions are sized appropriately to manage risk.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Next-Year Revenue Growth Projection
Analysts project a return to positive revenue growth of 7.00% in the next year, following estimated declines in the current and next quarters, which could support a stock price recovery.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Strong Analyst Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target of $525.00 suggests a 27.3% upside potential from the current price, indicating Wall Street's confidence in SPGI's future performance.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $13M in stock versus purchases of $3.6M, signaling a moderate insider selling that could indicate a lack of immediate upside conviction from management.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Negative Current and Next Quarter Revenue Growth Estimates
Projected year-over-year revenue declines of -7.00% for the current quarter and -8.00% for the next quarter could pressure earnings and stock performance in the near term.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesMarket Outlook
The base case for S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) anticipates a recovery towards its median analyst price target of $525.00 within the next 6-12 months, driven by a return to positive revenue growth and continued strong profitability. This target represents a 27.3% upside from the current price. Upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected revenue growth in the next fiscal year or successful integration of recent acquisitions. Conversely, a failure to meet projected growth targets, increased competition in the financial data space, or sustained insider selling could push the stock towards its downside projection of $309.49.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 121.61B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.00 |
| EPS (TTM) | 16.43 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.90% |
| 52 Week High | 522.47 |
| 52 Week Low | 361.03 |
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) trades at a premium valuation with a P/E ratio of 24.99, significantly higher than the sector median of 16.5, and a price-to-sales ratio of 7.51 compared to the sector's 3.8. This premium is supported by its strong profitability, with a net profit margin of 30.54% and an operating margin of 44.79%, both exceeding sector averages. The company's return on equity stands at 14.26%, slightly above the sector average of 13.8%. While recent revenue growth has been negative, forward estimates suggest a return to growth next year. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 is within reasonable limits for the sector. The current valuation suggests that investors are pricing in significant future growth and stability, which may be challenged by the recent negative revenue trends.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) reported mixed recent earnings, with the quarter to June 2026 showing an EPS miss of -2.99% against an estimate of $5.02, resulting in a 1.11% price decline. Prior to that, the quarter to June 2026 also saw a significant EPS miss of -76.62%. However, the company has demonstrated an ability to beat estimates, as seen in the quarter to March 2026 with a 3.11% EPS beat. Forward estimates indicate a challenging near-term revenue outlook, with current and next quarters projected to see year-over-year declines. Despite these headwinds, the company is expected to return to positive revenue growth in the next year, with an estimated 13.1% increase. The overall earnings trend suggests some recent operational challenges but a projected recovery.
Key Risks
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) faces risks from its premium valuation, trading at a higher P/E and P/S ratio than its sector peers, which could lead to a correction if growth expectations are not met. Insider selling, with total sales exceeding purchases by a significant margin, signals a lack of conviction from management regarding the current stock price. Also, recent negative revenue growth estimates for the current and next quarters present a near-term headwind that could impact future earnings.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 40.27 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.73 |
| SMA 50 | 427.20 |
| SMA 200 | 428.65 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with SPGI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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SPGI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$404.27
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$412.52
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$392.14
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (40.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$424.48
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$444.70
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$464.91
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for SPGI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SPGI in September 2016 would be worth about $35,372 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SPGI today could grow to about $26,506 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $77,341 and a bear case around $9,084. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SPGI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $609 for SPGI by 2030 in the base case, from $413 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $309. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPGI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $324 | $455 | $638 |
| 2028 | $311 | $501 | $809 |
| 2029 | $307 | $553 | $994 |
| 2030 | $309 | $609 | $1,199 |
| 2031 | $315 | $672 | $1,432 |
| 2032 | $323 | $740 | $1,697 |
| 2033 | $333 | $816 | $1,999 |
| 2034 | $345 | $900 | $2,345 |
| 2035 | $359 | $992 | $2,739 |
| 2036 | $375 | $1,093 | $3,190 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SPGI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
SPGI Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$3.6M
5 Transactions
Sold
$13.0M
5 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2020 | PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $10.5M |
| May 1, 2025 | PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
|
Sell | 19.2K | $9.6M |
| Sep 5, 2023 | STEENBERGEN EWOUT L
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 23.5K | $9.4M |
| Aug 1, 2024 | KANSLER ADAM JASON
Officer
|
Sell | 17.0K | $8.3M |
| Aug 4, 2022 | KANSLER ADAM JASON
Officer
|
Sell | 17.7K | $6.6M |
| Aug 4, 2022 | BERISFORD JOHN L
Officer
|
Sell | 13.5K | $5.0M |
| Aug 1, 2024 | KOCHERLAKOTA SITARAMA SWAMY
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 9.6K | $4.7M |
| Aug 11, 2023 | KANSLER ADAM JASON
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $3.9M |
| Jul 31, 2023 | PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 9.7K | $3.8M |
| Aug 3, 2022 | KEMPS STEVEN J
Officer
|
Sell | 10.3K | $3.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is S&P Global Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) has a long-range projection for 2030 with a base case price of $609.23 and a downside case of $309.49. These figures are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation and not definitive price targets.
Is S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) a buy right now?
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a median price target of $525.00, indicating a potential 27.3% upside from its current price of $412.52.
What are the main risks for S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)?
Key risks for SPGI include its premium valuation relative to sector averages, recent insider selling activity, and projected near-term revenue declines, which could pressure the stock if growth expectations falter.
How does S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) compare to its sector averages?
SPGI trades at a higher P/E (24.99 vs 16.5) and P/S (7.51 vs 3.8) than the Financial Services sector median. However, its ROE (14.26%) and profit margins exceed sector averages.
What is the recent earnings performance of S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)?
SPGI recently missed EPS estimates for the quarter to June 2026, leading to a price decline. While there have been mixed results, forward estimates suggest a return to positive revenue growth next year.
What is the technical outlook for S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)?
Technically, SPGI is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($427.20 and $428.65), indicating a bearish trend with neutral momentum. Key resistance is seen at these moving averages.
What is the dividend yield for S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)?
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) offers a dividend yield of approximately 0.90%, with a dividend rate of $3.71.