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As of September 26, 2026, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) trades at $164.19. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $167.00, 1.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $167.00 across 12 analysts. RSI at 74 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $154.54.
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX)
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. NASDAQ
$164.19
0.4200 (0.26%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
50 / 100
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) is trading at $164.19, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($154.54 and $157.02), indicating positive short-term momentum. However, the stock's RSI is in overbought territory at 73.68, suggesting a potential for pullback. Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus 'Hold' rating with a median price target of $167.00, implying only 1.7% upside from current levels. The company's revenue growth has recently turned negative at -0.5%, contrasting with its sector's average growth of 11.7%, and recent insider activity shows a moderate sell signal with $2.4 million in sales versus no reported purchases. Despite these near-term concerns, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. demonstrates strong underlying profitability with a net profit margin of 35.22% and a return on equity of 23.14%, both significantly outperforming sector averages. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 is also favorable compared to the sector median of 0.14. The recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 2026 showed an EPS beat of 4.84%, though the stock saw a minor price decline of -0.28% on the news. The primary risk remains the slowing revenue growth and the moderate insider selling, which could temper investor enthusiasm.
MKTX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$163.77
Day Range
$163.55 to $164.20
Prev Close
$163.77
Volume
1.23M
52-Week Range
$108.75 to $195.97
Market Cap
$5.78B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs KBE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (17% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
MKTX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, MKTX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
MKTX Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+1.71% Upside
Median of 12 analysts (12-month)
$167.00
AI Technical Analysis
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($154.54 and $157.02), signaling an overall bullish trend. The price is also above its 20-day exponential moving average, reinforcing positive short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 73.68, indicating the stock is in overbought territory and may be due for a correction. The MACD is positive at 2.17, suggesting continued upward momentum, though the high RSI warrants caution. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA of $154.54 and the 200-day SMA of $157.02. Resistance is implied by the current price and the overbought RSI. Volume on the latest trading day was 1.23 million shares, which is 27.4% above the average volume, indicating strong investor interest. The stochastic oscillator is at 99.19, further confirming the overbought condition. Investors should monitor for any signs of reversal from the overbought RSI and stochastic levels.
ProTips
- Monitor MarketAxess Holdings Inc. for any signs of renewed revenue growth acceleration to justify its premium valuation.
- Given the overbought RSI (73.68), consider waiting for a technical pullback before initiating new positions.
- The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 1.89%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, though growth concerns should be weighed.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Revenue Growth Re-acceleration
A return to positive revenue growth in upcoming quarters would alleviate concerns about market share and competitive pressures, potentially boosting investor confidence and stock price.
Source: Company FilingsBearish
Continued Revenue Contraction
If revenue growth remains negative or further decelerates, it could signal deeper issues within the business model or increased competitive intensity, leading to downward pressure on the stock.
Source: Company FilingsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Trend
The ongoing net selling by insiders, totaling $2.4 million with no reported purchases, could indicate a lack of confidence in near-term prospects or a desire to diversify personal holdings.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Analyst Rating Revisions
Recent analyst rating changes, including downgrades to 'Market Perform' and 'Neutral', suggest a cautious near-term outlook from Wall Street, which could limit upside potential.
Source: Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for MarketAxess Holdings Inc. suggests limited near-term upside, with a median analyst price target of $167.00, implying only a 1.7% increase from current levels. While the company maintains strong profitability and a healthy balance sheet, the recent negative revenue growth and overbought technical indicators present headwinds. The long-range projection indicates a base case of $185.10 by 2030, but this is contingent on overcoming current growth challenges. Potential catalysts for upside include a return to positive revenue growth and a favorable shift in analyst sentiment. Conversely, continued revenue contraction, increased competition, or a broader market downturn could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing support levels near the 200-day SMA of $157.02. The moderate insider selling also warrants attention as a potential indicator of future performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 5.78B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.35 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.46 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.89% |
| 52 Week High | 195.97 |
| 52 Week Low | 108.75 |
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.35, which is slightly above the sector average of 16.5, suggesting a modest premium valuation. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 6.62, also higher than the sector median of 3.8. However, the company's profitability metrics are strong, with a net profit margin of 35.22% and an operating margin of 41.86%, significantly exceeding sector averages. The return on equity (ROE) is also strong at 23.14%, well above the sector's 13.8%. The company's balance sheet appears healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, in line with the sector median. While recent revenue growth has been negative at -0.5%, the strong profit margins and ROE suggest efficient operations. The current valuation, while carrying a premium, is supported by superior profitability and a solid balance sheet, though the negative revenue growth warrants close monitoring.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $1.95, beating the estimated $1.86 by 4.84%. Despite this earnings beat, the stock experienced a slight price decrease of -0.28%. Prior to this, the company missed estimates for the quarter ending March 2026, reporting an EPS of $0.07 against an estimate of $0.05, leading to a 0.12% price increase. The company's revenue growth has recently turned negative at -0.5%, which is a key area of concern for future performance.
Key Risks
The primary risk for MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is its recent deceleration in revenue growth, which turned negative at -0.5%, lagging behind the sector average. Additionally, insider activity indicates a moderate sell signal, with significant sales by insiders and no reported purchases, suggesting potential caution from management. The stock's current overbought technical condition, with an RSI of 73.68, also poses a risk of a near-term price correction.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 73.68 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.17 |
| SMA 50 | 154.54 |
| SMA 200 | 157.02 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $154.54, 200-day: $157.02), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 73.7 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.07
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.04
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MKTX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
MKTX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$162.55
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$164.19
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$156.70
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (73.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$167.42
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$170.68
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$175.55
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MKTX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MKTX in September 2016 would be worth about $9,780 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MKTX today could grow to about $13,495 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $53,086 and a bear case around $3,431. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MKTX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $185 for MKTX by 2030 in the base case, from $164 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $77.84. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MKTX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $110 | $169 | $261 |
| 2028 | $94.49 | $174 | $322 |
| 2029 | $84.84 | $180 | $380 |
| 2030 | $77.84 | $185 | $440 |
| 2031 | $72.42 | $191 | $502 |
| 2032 | $68.03 | $197 | $568 |
| 2033 | $64.39 | $203 | $637 |
| 2034 | $61.30 | $209 | $710 |
| 2035 | $58.64 | $215 | $788 |
| 2036 | $56.33 | $222 | $872 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MKTX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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MKTX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$2.4M
15 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$162.6K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2020 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 41.0K | $23.2M |
| Sep 9, 2020 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 42.0K | $19.0M |
| Nov 9, 2020 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.7K | $14.1M |
| Nov 14, 2024 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 50.0K | $13.5M |
| Aug 10, 2020 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $12.2M |
| May 8, 2020 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $12.1M |
| Mar 15, 2021 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $10.4M |
| Oct 29, 2020 | THEMELIS NICHOLAS
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 17.3K | $9.6M |
| Nov 10, 2020 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 16.3K | $8.7M |
| Feb 10, 2020 | MCVEY RICHARD M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $8.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is MarketAxess Holdings Inc.'s current consensus rating?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts. This rating is based on the collective assessment of 12 analysts covering the stock.
What is the upside potential for MarketAxess Holdings Inc. based on analyst price targets?
The median analyst price target for MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is $167.00, suggesting an upside potential of 1.7% from the current price of $164.19. This indicates limited immediate upside according to Wall Street expectations.
How is MarketAxess Holdings Inc. performing technically?
Technically, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($154.54 and $157.02), indicating a bullish trend. However, its RSI is at 73.68, signaling an overbought condition that could precede a pullback.
What are the key financial strengths of MarketAxess Holdings Inc.?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. demonstrates strong financial health with a net profit margin of 35.22% and a return on equity of 23.14%, both significantly outperforming sector averages. Its debt-to-equity ratio is also favorable at 0.14.
What is the recent earnings performance of MarketAxess Holdings Inc.?
In the quarter ending June 2026, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. reported an EPS of $1.95, beating estimates by 4.84%. However, the company has experienced negative revenue growth recently, standing at -0.5%.
Are there any significant insider transactions for MarketAxess Holdings Inc.?
Insider activity for MarketAxess Holdings Inc. shows a moderate sell signal, with $2.4 million in total sales in recent filings and no reported purchases. This suggests a net selling trend among insiders.
What is MarketAxess Holdings Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, MarketAxess Holdings Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $185.10, with a downside projection of $77.84 and an upside projection of $440.16. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.