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As of September 11, 2026, Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY) trades at $4.02. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $4.02, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $5.75 across 1 analysts. RSI at 17 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $4.43.
Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY)
Tilray Brands Inc. NASDAQ
$4.02
-0.1250 (-3.02%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY) is currently trading at $4.015, well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.43 and $6.53), signaling considerable technical weakness. The company has experienced negative revenue growth of -7.8% over the last year, and recent earnings reports show a significant miss on estimates, with EPS of $0.05 against an estimate of $0.21 in the latest quarter. Insiders have been net sellers, with $1.7M in total purchases versus $116.5M in total sales, indicating a lack of confidence from management. The stock's oversold RSI of 16.87 suggests potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish.
TLRY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$4.13
Day Range
$4.01 to $4.15
Prev Close
$4.14
Volume
231.6K
52-Week Range
$3.67 to $23.20
Market Cap
$569.58M
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Healthcare)
Performance vs XLV
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, TLRY trades at 0.6222x, far below the sector average of 4.20x.
TLRY Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY) is exhibiting strong bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day SMA of $4.43 and 200-day SMA of $6.53. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is significantly oversold at 16.87, suggesting a potential for a short-term reversal, but the MACD at -0.09 indicates a prevailing downward trend. Volume has been significantly below average recently, with the latest volume at 231,569 compared to an average of 3,170,227, indicating a lack of conviction behind current price action. Key resistance levels are now at the 50-day SMA and the 20-day EMA at $4.43 and $4.43 respectively, while the current price of $4.015 acts as immediate support.
ProTips
- Given the oversold RSI and negative revenue growth, consider waiting for a confirmed technical bounce or positive earnings surprise before initiating a position in Tilray Brands Inc.
- The significant volume below average suggests a lack of strong conviction from traders; monitor for increased volume on any upward price movements as a sign of potential trend change.
- With insider selling and negative revenue growth, position sizing should be conservative, and a tight stop-loss below the current price is advisable due to the stock's technical weakness.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Continued Earnings Misses
The company's recent earnings report showed a significant miss on EPS estimates, continuing a trend of underperformance that could pressure the stock further.
Source: Company Earnings ReportBearish
Insider Net Selling Activity
Insiders have been net sellers of Tilray Brands Inc. stock, with total sales exceeding purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Transaction FilingsBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is at 16.87, indicating significantly oversold conditions that could lead to a short-term technical bounce or reversal.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment
Despite current challenges, the sole Wall Street analyst covering the stock maintains a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $5.75, suggesting potential upside.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
The outlook for Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY) is cautious, with the stock currently trading at $4.015 and facing significant headwinds. The company's negative revenue growth and recent earnings misses suggest that operational improvements are still needed. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $5.75, implying a potential upside of 43.2% if the company can execute its turnaround strategy effectively. However, the current technical setup, with the stock below key moving averages and an oversold RSI, suggests that the path to recovery may be challenging in the near term.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 569.58M |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 23.20 |
| 52 Week Low | 3.67 |
Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY) faces valuation challenges with a negative EPS of -1.08, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not comparable to sector averages. The company's revenue growth has declined by 7.8% year-over-year, contrasting sharply with the Healthcare sector's average revenue growth of 10.0%. The negative EPS and revenue contraction suggest underlying operational difficulties that are not currently supported by its valuation multiples. The current price of $4.015 is significantly below the median analyst target price of $5.75, indicating a substantial upside potential if the company can improve its fundamental performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY) recently reported an EPS of $0.05 for the quarter ending July 28, 2026, missing analyst estimates of $0.21 by a significant 76.19%, leading to a -0.99% price change. This follows a previous quarter where the company also missed estimates, reporting an EPS of -0.14 against an expected -0.16, though this resulted in a 12.5% price increase. The pattern of earnings misses suggests ongoing challenges in meeting analyst expectations and achieving profitability.
Key Risks
Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY) faces substantial risks including its negative revenue growth of -7.8% and a history of missing earnings estimates, as evidenced by the recent -76.19% EPS surprise. The stock is trading significantly below its key moving averages, with an oversold RSI, indicating strong technical weakness. Also, insider transactions show a net seller position, with $232.9K in sales versus $192.8K in purchases, signaling a lack of confidence from management.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 16.87 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.09 |
| SMA 50 | 4.43 |
| SMA 200 | 6.53 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $4.432, 200-day: $6.525), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 16.9 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.04
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
TLRY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$4.095
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$4.015
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$4.332
MAX LOSS
-5.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (16.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$3.891
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$3.686
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$3.481
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
TLRY is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.22%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TLRY in July 2018 would be worth about $185 today, compared with about $27,065 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TLRY today could grow to about $1,907 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $14,470 and a bear case around $251. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TLRY Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $2.07 for TLRY by 2030 in the base case, from $4.02 today (0.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.5745. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TLRY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1.79 | $3.40 | $6.46 |
| 2028 | $1.16 | $2.88 | $7.13 |
| 2029 | $0.805 | $2.44 | $7.41 |
| 2030 | $0.5745 | $2.07 | $7.45 |
| 2031 | $0.4184 | $1.75 | $7.35 |
| 2032 | $0.3092 | $1.49 | $7.14 |
| 2033 | $0.231 | $1.26 | $6.86 |
| 2034 | $0.1741 | $1.07 | $6.53 |
| 2035 | $0.1322 | $0.9038 | $6.18 |
| 2036 | $0.1009 | $0.7658 | $5.81 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TLRY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TLRY Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$192.8K
6 Transactions
Sold
$232.9K
1 Transactions
Insiders
10
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$60.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2021 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Director
|
Sell | 800.0K | $14.1M |
| Jan 24, 2019 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 149.9K | $11.1M |
| Jul 16, 2021 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Director
|
Sell | 600.0K | $8.6M |
| Aug 5, 2021 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Director
|
Sell | 600.0K | $8.6M |
| Mar 1, 2019 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 87.1K | $7.0M |
| Apr 2, 2019 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 106.1K | $6.7M |
| Nov 6, 2020 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 400.0K | $3.9M |
| Feb 25, 2019 | CASTANEDA MARK
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $3.1M |
| Nov 5, 2020 | KENNEDY BRENDAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 400.0K | $3.0M |
| Apr 2, 2019 | PASTORIUS EDWARD WOOD JR
Officer
|
Sell | 46.6K | $3.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Tilray Brands Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Tilray Brands Inc.'s long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $2.07, with a downside scenario at $0.57 and an upside scenario at $7.45. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and should not be considered definitive price targets or guarantees.
Is Tilray Brands Inc. stock a buy right now?
With a current price of $4.015, Tilray Brands Inc. is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.43 and $6.53) and has an oversold RSI at 16.9. While the median analyst target price suggests potential upside, the negative revenue growth and recent earnings misses present significant risks, making it a speculative buy at best.
What are the biggest risks facing Tilray Brands Inc.?
The primary risks for Tilray Brands Inc. include its negative revenue growth, a pattern of missing earnings estimates, and significant technical weakness indicated by its trading below key moving averages. Insider selling also suggests a lack of management confidence in the near-term outlook.
How does Tilray Brands Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Tilray Brands Inc. lags its Healthcare sector peers with negative revenue growth of -7.8%, compared to the sector average of 10.0%. Its negative EPS also prevents a direct comparison of P/E ratios, indicating it is not performing in line with the sector's profitability metrics.
What is the current technical outlook for Tilray Brands Inc. stock?
The technical outlook for Tilray Brands Inc. is bearish, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.43 and $6.53) and exhibiting oversold conditions on the RSI. The MACD also indicates downward momentum, suggesting further price declines are possible despite the oversold technicals.
What are the recent earnings results for Tilray Brands Inc.?
Tilray Brands Inc. recently reported an EPS of $0.05, missing analyst estimates of $0.21 by 76.19%. This follows a prior quarter where the company also missed expectations, highlighting a trend of underperformance in earnings.
What is the consensus rating for Tilray Brands Inc. among Wall Street analysts?
The consensus rating for Tilray Brands Inc. among Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with one analyst issuing this rating. The median price target from analysts is $5.75, suggesting a potential upside of 43.2% from the current price of $4.015.