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As of September 16, 2026, Tempus AI Inc (TEM) trades at $68.85. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $70.00, 1.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $70.00 across 19 analysts. RSI at 50 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $56.08.
Tempus AI Inc (TEM)
Tempus AI Inc NASDAQ
$68.85
6.640 (10.67%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) is currently trading at $68.85, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($56.08 and $56.16), indicating positive short-to-medium term momentum. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 21.6% year-over-year, with forward estimates projecting continued expansion. However, the stock is currently trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.44, which is significantly higher than the sector median of 3.70, suggesting a premium valuation. Despite positive revenue trends and a median analyst price target of $70, implying a modest 1.7% upside, Tempus AI Inc is experiencing substantial insider selling. Over $320 million in sales have been recorded by insiders, leading to a 'Heavy Sell Signal' verdict. This significant insider divestiture is a primary risk factor that investors must consider, potentially signaling a lack of confidence from management despite the company's growth prospects.
TEM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$61.91
Day Range
$61.88 to $68.94
Prev Close
$62.21
Volume
8.23M
52-Week Range
$40.77 to $104.32
Market Cap
$12.42B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Healthcare)
Performance vs XLV
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+23%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
TEM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, TEM beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
TEM Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+1.67% Upside
Median of 19 analysts (12-month)
$70.00
AI Technical Analysis
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($56.08 and $56.16), currently at $56.08 and $56.16 respectively, suggesting an overall bullish trend. The stock is also above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average at $61.90. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.2, indicating neutral momentum, while the Stochastic Oscillator at 78.55 suggests it is approaching overbought territory. Volume has been notably active, with the latest volume at 8.23 million, approximately 48.3% above the average of 5.55 million, indicating strong investor interest. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be found near recent highs. The current technical setup suggests a neutral to slightly bullish short-term outlook, but the significant insider selling could weigh on price action.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the current 'Heavy Sell Signal' with over $320 million in dispositions warrants caution.
- Given the high Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.44, investors should focus on the company's ability to achieve profitability and sustain its high revenue growth rate.
- Consider the potential impact of the company's negative profit margins and high debt-to-equity ratio on its long-term financial health.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $320.4 million worth of stock across 138 transactions, resulting in a 'Heavy Sell Signal' and indicating potential concerns about valuation or future prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Strong Revenue Growth and Positive EPS Surprises
The company continues to demonstrate strong revenue growth, projected at 26.00% for the current year, and has consistently beaten analyst EPS loss estimates, suggesting operational improvements.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesNeutral
Analyst Coverage and Price Targets
With 19 analysts covering the stock, the median price target is $70, suggesting a modest 1.7% upside from the current price, reflecting a balanced view on the stock's near-term potential.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) is expected to continue its strong revenue growth trajectory, with current year estimates projecting a 26.00% increase to $1.6 billion and next year's estimates at $2 billion, representing 23.00% growth. The company's ability to beat EPS loss estimates suggests operational improvements, and the median analyst price target of $70 indicates a slight upside from the current price. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling and a premium valuation. A key risk is whether the company can achieve profitability to justify its current market capitalization. Positive developments in achieving net income or significant new contract wins could drive the stock higher, while continued insider divestitures or a slowdown in revenue growth could pressure the stock downwards.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 12.42B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.44 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 104.32 |
| 52 Week Low | 40.77 |
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) exhibits a Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.44, considerably higher than the sector median of 3.70, indicating that investors are paying a premium for its revenue. The company's Profit Margin is negative at -17.77%, and its Return on Equity is a weak -67.44%, reflecting ongoing losses. The Debt-to-Equity ratio stands at 3.25, which is higher than the sector median of 3.25, suggesting a leveraged balance sheet. While the company is not currently profitable, its revenue growth of 21.6% is strong, and forward estimates project significant sales expansion. The current valuation appears stretched given the lack of profitability and high P/S ratio, but this may be justified by the company's growth trajectory in the health information services sector. Investors should monitor the path to profitability closely.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) has shown a pattern of beating EPS estimates in recent quarters, though the estimates themselves are for losses. In the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS of -0.04 against an estimate of -0.15, a positive surprise of 73.33%, though the stock price declined by 0.95%. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises in EPS, with the stock reacting negatively in two of the three reported quarters. Revenue growth remains strong, with current quarter estimates showing a 23.00% year-over-year increase. The company's ability to consistently beat loss estimates suggests operational efficiency improvements, but the path to net profitability remains a key focus for investors.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Tempus AI Inc (TEM) is the heavy insider selling, with over $320 million in dispositions, signaling potential concerns from management regarding future performance or valuation. The company's valuation is also a risk, as its Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.44 is substantially higher than the sector median, indicating it trades at a premium. Also, Tempus AI Inc is not currently profitable, with negative profit margins and return on equity, which could pose challenges if revenue growth falters.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 50.20 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.12 |
| SMA 50 | 56.08 |
| SMA 200 | 56.16 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.47
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with TEM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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TEM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$68.16
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$68.85
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$56.50
MAX LOSS
-17.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$70.21
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$71.57
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$73.61
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
TEM is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 6.74%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TEM in June 2024 would be worth about $17,106 today, compared with about $13,954 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TEM today could grow to about $29,757 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $225,755 and a bear case around $3,922. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TEM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $106 for TEM by 2030 in the base case, from $68.85 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $29.56. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TEM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $40.45 | $76.78 | $146 |
| 2028 | $34.60 | $85.63 | $212 |
| 2029 | $31.47 | $95.50 | $290 |
| 2030 | $29.56 | $106 | $384 |
| 2031 | $28.34 | $119 | $498 |
| 2032 | $27.57 | $132 | $636 |
| 2033 | $27.11 | $148 | $805 |
| 2034 | $26.89 | $165 | $1,009 |
| 2035 | $26.87 | $184 | $1,256 |
| 2036 | $27.01 | $205 | $1,554 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TEM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. TEM is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TEM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$320.4M
109 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | LEFKOFSKY ERIC P
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.2M | $190.4M |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RED SKY VENTURES L L C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.0M | $79.8M |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LEFKOFSKY ERIC P
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.2M | $62.0M |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LEFKOFSKY ERIC P
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 812.3K | $41.1M |
| Jun 18, 2025 | LEFKOFSKY ERIC PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 500.0K | $34.9M |
| Jan 17, 2025 | KEYWELL BRADLEY A
Former
|
Sell | 946.1K | $33.1M |
| Jan 17, 2025 | KEYWELL BRADLEY A
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 946.1K | $33.1M |
| Oct 28, 2025 | LEFKOFSKY ERIC PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 332.5K | $29.6M |
| Sep 25, 2025 | LEFKOFSKY ERIC PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 332.5K | $25.5M |
| Aug 27, 2025 | LEFKOFSKY ERIC PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 332.5K | $24.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Tempus AI Inc (TEM) stock a buy right now?
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) is currently rated as a Hold, with a consensus score of 59. While revenue growth is strong and analysts have a median price target of $70, significant insider selling and a high Price-to-Sales ratio present considerable risks.
What is TEM's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Tempus AI Inc (TEM) has a base case price projection of $106.50 for 2030, with a downside scenario of $29.56 and an upside scenario of $383.65. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
How does Tempus AI Inc (TEM) compare to its sector averages?
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) shows stronger revenue growth (21.6%) than the sector median (8.1%). However, its Price-to-Sales ratio (7.44) is higher than the sector median (3.70), and its Return on Equity (-67.44%) is significantly weaker than the sector median (6.9%).
What are the main risks facing Tempus AI Inc (TEM)?
The primary risks include substantial insider selling totaling over $320 million, a high Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.44 compared to sector peers, and the company's current lack of profitability with negative margins.
How has Tempus AI Inc (TEM) performed in recent earnings reports?
Tempus AI Inc (TEM) has consistently beaten EPS loss estimates in recent quarters, such as reporting -0.04 against an estimate of -0.15 for the quarter ending June 2026. Despite these beats, the stock has seen negative price reactions in some instances.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Tempus AI Inc (TEM)?
The Wall Street consensus for Tempus AI Inc (TEM) is a Hold, with a score of 59 out of 100. This is based on 19 analysts, with 2 Strong Buys, 8 Buys, 8 Holds, and 1 Sell rating.
What are the key catalysts or events to watch for Tempus AI Inc (TEM)?
Investors should monitor future earnings reports for continued EPS beats and progress towards profitability. Additionally, any shifts in insider transaction activity or new strategic partnerships could serve as significant catalysts.