Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of October 11, 2026, Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY) trades at $60.11. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $65.01, 8.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $69.00 across 26 analysts. RSI at 62 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $58.73.
Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY)
Occidental Petroleum Corp. NYSE
$60.11
-0.1700 (-0.28%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is trading at $60.11, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.73 and $54.50), indicating positive short-to-medium term momentum. The company's recent earnings have shown beats, with EPS for the quarter ending June 2026 coming in at $2.62 against an estimate of $2.51, a 4.38% surprise. Revenue growth has been strong, with current year estimates showing a 21.00% increase year-over-year. The company holds a substantial cash buffer, with cash equivalents representing a significant portion of its market capitalization, providing a strong financial runway. However, the median analyst price target of $69 suggests limited upside from current levels, leading to a 'Hold' consensus rating.
OXY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$59.91
Day Range
$59.79 to $60.93
Prev Close
$60.28
Volume
6.69M
52-Week Range
$38.80 to $67.45
Market Cap
$60.09B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-7% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
OXY Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, OXY beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
OXY Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+14.79% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$69.00
AI Technical Analysis
Occidental Petroleum's stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.73 and $54.50), signaling an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 62.39, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is slightly positive at 0.009, suggesting continued upward pressure. Volume has been below average recently, with 6.69 million shares traded compared to a 9.22 million average, which could indicate a pause in strong conviction buying. Key resistance levels are near the recent highs, while support is found at the 50-day SMA.
ProTips
- an insider's insider sentiment is moderately positive, with net buying activity reported, which can sometimes precede positive stock performance.
- The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), indicating bullish technical momentum, but recent volume has been below average.
- Given the 'Hold' consensus and limited analyst upside, consider position sizing carefully and look for specific catalysts to drive further upside beyond the current fair value estimates.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Insider Net Buying Activity
Insiders have made net purchases totaling $444.8K with no reported sales, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Positive Earnings Surprises
Occidental Petroleum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 4.38% beat in the June 2026 quarter, demonstrating operational execution.
Source: Earnings ReportsNeutral
Projected Revenue Slowdown
While current year revenue growth is strong at 21.00%, next year's estimates show a decline of 8.00%, which could impact future earnings potential.
Source: Analyst EstimatesNeutral
Median Analyst Target Price
The median analyst price target of $69 suggests limited upside from the current price of $60.11, contributing to the overall 'Hold' consensus.
Source: Wall Street SummaryMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Occidental Petroleum suggests a modest upside, with a projected fair value of $65.01 and a median analyst target of $69. The company's strong operational performance, healthy balance sheet, and positive insider sentiment provide a solid foundation. However, the projected slowdown in revenue growth for next year and the current 'Hold' consensus indicate that significant catalysts would be needed to drive substantial price appreciation beyond current analyst expectations. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and energy market dynamics closely.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 60.09B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.18 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.52 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.73% |
| 52 Week High | 67.45 |
| 52 Week Low | 38.80 |
Occidental Petroleum exhibits a P/E ratio of 17.18, which is slightly below the sector median of 18.4, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to peers. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 2.53 is in line with the sector average of 2.5. The company's profit margin of 30.32% and operating margin of 45.44% are strong, outperforming the sector median ROE of 14.2%. Debt-to-equity stands at a healthy 0.35, below the sector average. Despite these strong fundamentals, the current valuation and analyst price targets suggest limited room for significant appreciation in the near term.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Occidental Petroleum has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings surprises, most recently reporting $2.62 in EPS for the quarter ending June 2026, exceeding the estimate of $2.51 by 4.38%. This follows a significant beat in the prior quarter. While revenue growth is projected to slow to -8.00% next year, the current year is expected to see a strong 21.00% increase, indicating continued top-line momentum in the near term.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Occidental Petroleum lies in the limited upside indicated by the median analyst price target of $69, which suggests that the stock may be fairly valued at its current price. While insider sentiment is moderately positive with net buying, the overall Wall Street consensus is 'Hold', reflecting a cautious outlook. Also, projected revenue growth is expected to turn negative next year, which could pressure future earnings and stock performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 62.39 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.01 |
| SMA 50 | 58.73 |
| SMA 200 | 54.50 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Neutral
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($58.73) above the 200-day SMA ($54.50), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.11
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with OXY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
OXY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$59.51
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$60.11
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$57.69
MAX LOSS
-3.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (62.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$61.29
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$62.48
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$64.27
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for OXY is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OXY in October 2016 would be worth about $8,157 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OXY today could grow to about $12,167 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $92,303 and a bear case around $1,604. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OXY Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $65.01 for OXY by 2030 in the base case, from $60.11 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $18.05. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OXY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $32.30 | $61.30 | $116 |
| 2028 | $25.26 | $62.51 | $155 |
| 2029 | $21.01 | $63.75 | $193 |
| 2030 | $18.05 | $65.01 | $234 |
| 2031 | $15.82 | $66.30 | $278 |
| 2032 | $14.07 | $67.62 | $325 |
| 2033 | $12.65 | $68.95 | $376 |
| 2034 | $11.48 | $70.32 | $431 |
| 2035 | $10.49 | $71.71 | $490 |
| 2036 | $9.64 | $73.13 | $555 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OXY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
OXY Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$444.8K
2 Transactions
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$222.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | ICAHN CARL C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.0M | $217.2M |
| Apr 6, 2021 | ICAHN CARL C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.0M | $179.6M |
| Jun 1, 2022 | CHAMPION CHRISTOPHER O
Officer
|
Sell | 111.6K | $7.9M |
| Jun 8, 2020 | BROWN OSCAR K
Officer
|
Sell | 63.9K | $1.3M |
| Mar 11, 2022 | POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYR
Director
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.1M |
| May 8, 2020 | BROWN OSCAR K
Former
|
Sell | 30.0K | $445.5K |
| Apr 20, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $251.5K |
| Apr 27, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $247.1K |
| May 11, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $242.1K |
| May 4, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $237.9K |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Occidental Petroleum's stock forecast for 2030?
Occidental Petroleum's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $65.01, with a downside scenario at $18.05 and an upside scenario at $234.21. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not definitive price targets.
Is Occidental Petroleum stock a buy right now?
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $69, implying limited upside from its current price of $60.11. While technicals are bullish and insider sentiment is moderately positive, the consensus suggests a balanced risk-reward profile.
What are the recent earnings results for Occidental Petroleum?
Occidental Petroleum recently reported EPS of $2.62 for the quarter ending June 2026, beating the estimate of $2.51 by 4.38%. This continues a trend of positive earnings surprises for the company.
How does Occidental Petroleum's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Occidental Petroleum's P/E ratio of 17.18 is slightly below the Energy sector median of 18.4, and its P/S ratio of 2.53 is in line with the sector average. Its profit margins and debt-to-equity ratio are strong relative to peers.
What is the outlook for Occidental Petroleum's revenue growth?
Revenue growth for Occidental Petroleum is projected to be strong in the current year, with an estimated increase of 21.00%. However, revenue is expected to decline by 8.00% next year, indicating a potential slowdown.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Occidental Petroleum?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Occidental Petroleum stock, with $444.8K in total purchases and $0 in total sales in recent filings. This 'Moderate Buy Signal' suggests some insider conviction.
What are the key risks facing Occidental Petroleum?
Key risks include the limited upside potential indicated by analyst price targets and the projected slowdown in revenue growth for next year. The 'Hold' consensus rating also suggests that the market sees a balanced risk-reward scenario.