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As of September 26, 2026, Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY) trades at $56.86. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $69.00, 21.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $69.00 across 26 analysts. RSI at 39 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $58.37.
Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY)
Occidental Petroleum Corp. NYSE
$56.86
-1.190 (-2.05%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is currently trading at $56.86, below its 50-day SMA but above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mixed technical picture. The company's recent earnings have shown significant positive surprises, particularly in the quarter to March 2026, though revenue growth has recently turned negative year-over-year. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $69.00, suggesting a potential upside of 21.4%. Insider activity shows a 'Net Buyer' trend with moderate buying signals, adding a layer of confidence. Despite the positive insider sentiment and strong historical revenue growth, the current revenue contraction and bearish RSI momentum warrant caution. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 16.77, is slightly below the sector average of 18.4, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 is also favorable compared to the sector median of 0.35. However, forward revenue growth estimates for next year are negative, which could pressure future earnings and stock performance.
OXY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$57.08
Day Range
$56.58 to $57.44
Prev Close
$58.05
Volume
8.43M
52-Week Range
$38.80 to $67.45
Market Cap
$56.84B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-9% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
OXY Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, OXY beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
OXY Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+21.35% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$69.00
AI Technical Analysis
Occidental Petroleum's (OXY) technicals present a mixed outlook, trading below its 50-day and 20-day EMAs while sitting above its 200-day SMA. The RSI is currently at 38.56, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD is slightly negative at -0.355. This suggests that while the longer-term trend remains supported, the short-to-medium term momentum is leaning bearish. Volume has been below its average, with the latest volume at 8.43 million compared to an average of 9.97 million, indicating a lack of strong conviction behind recent price action. Key support levels are indicated by the 200-day SMA at $53.64, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA at $58.37 and the 20-day EMA at $58.93. The current price action suggests a potential for consolidation or a slight pullback before any significant upward movement.
ProTips
- an insider's insider activity shows a 'Net Buyer' trend with $444.8K in purchases versus $0 in sales, indicating moderate insider confidence.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting caution for short-term traders until these levels are reclaimed.
- Given the projected revenue decline, investors should monitor oil price trends and the company's ability to manage costs effectively to maintain profitability.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Insider Net Buying Signal
Insiders have made net purchases totaling $444.8K, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Projected Revenue Decline
Revenue is estimated to decline by 8.00% next year, posing a risk to future earnings and potentially impacting stock valuation.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesNeutral
Mixed Wall Street Analyst Ratings
The majority of analysts rate OXY as 'Hold', with a median price target suggesting limited upside, reflecting a balanced but not overwhelmingly bullish sentiment.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Strong Earnings Beats
Occidental Petroleum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency and strong performance.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is expected to maintain a steady performance over the next 6-12 months, with Wall Street's median price target of $69.00 suggesting a 21.4% upside from the current price of $56.86. The company's solid profitability margins and manageable debt levels provide a stable foundation. Insider buying further supports a moderately positive outlook, signaling confidence from management. However, the outlook is tempered by concerns regarding future revenue growth, which is projected to decline next year. A sustained downturn in oil prices or increased competition could negatively impact earnings and hinder the stock's ability to reach its higher price targets. Conversely, any positive catalysts, such as favorable commodity price movements or successful strategic initiatives, could drive the stock towards its more optimistic projections.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 56.84B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.77 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.39 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.83% |
| 52 Week High | 67.45 |
| 52 Week Low | 38.80 |
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a P/E ratio of 16.77 and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.38, which are slightly below the sector averages of 18.4 and 2.5 respectively. The company's return on equity stands at 10.63%, and its profit margin is a strong 30.32%, indicating efficient operations and profitability. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 is in line with the sector median, suggesting a manageable debt load. However, recent revenue growth has turned negative at -3.00% for the current quarter, a stark contrast to its historical strong revenue growth. Forward revenue estimates for next year also project a decline of 8.00%. While current profitability metrics are strong, the projected slowdown in revenue growth could pose a challenge to maintaining its current valuation and profitability levels.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) has demonstrated strong earnings beats in recent quarters, notably exceeding estimates by 79.66% in the quarter to March 2026 and 82.35% in the quarter to March 2026. The most recent quarter to June 2026 also saw a positive surprise of 4.38%. Despite these strong earnings performances, the stock experienced a -7.11% price drop following the March 2026 quarter's results, suggesting that market sentiment may be influenced by factors beyond immediate earnings beats, such as revenue trends or broader market conditions.
Key Risks
Occidental Petroleum faces risks from a projected slowdown in revenue growth, with estimates indicating a decline of 8.00% for next year after a recent contraction. The bearish momentum indicated by its RSI suggests potential short-term price weakness. Also, while insider buying is positive, the mixed signals from Wall Street analysts, who largely maintain a 'Hold' rating, indicate a lack of strong conviction for significant upside.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 38.56 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.36 |
| SMA 50 | 58.37 |
| SMA 200 | 53.64 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($58.37) above the 200-day SMA ($53.64), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with OXY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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OXY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$56.29
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$56.86
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$54.60
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (38.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$57.98
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$59.11
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$60.79
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for OXY is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OXY in September 2016 would be worth about $8,203 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OXY today could grow to about $12,206 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $92,601 and a bear case around $1,609. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OXY Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $61.58 for OXY by 2030 in the base case, from $56.86 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $17.09. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OXY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $30.56 | $58.00 | $110 |
| 2028 | $23.91 | $59.17 | $146 |
| 2029 | $19.90 | $60.36 | $183 |
| 2030 | $17.09 | $61.58 | $222 |
| 2031 | $14.99 | $62.82 | $263 |
| 2032 | $13.34 | $64.08 | $308 |
| 2033 | $12.00 | $65.37 | $356 |
| 2034 | $10.89 | $66.69 | $409 |
| 2035 | $9.95 | $68.03 | $465 |
| 2036 | $9.15 | $69.40 | $527 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OXY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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OXY Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$444.8K
2 Transactions
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$222.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | ICAHN CARL C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.0M | $217.2M |
| Apr 6, 2021 | ICAHN CARL C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.0M | $179.6M |
| Jun 1, 2022 | CHAMPION CHRISTOPHER O
Officer
|
Sell | 111.6K | $7.9M |
| Jun 8, 2020 | BROWN OSCAR K
Officer
|
Sell | 63.9K | $1.3M |
| Mar 11, 2022 | POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYR
Director
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.1M |
| May 8, 2020 | BROWN OSCAR K
Former
|
Sell | 30.0K | $445.5K |
| Apr 20, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $251.5K |
| Apr 27, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $247.1K |
| May 11, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $242.1K |
| May 4, 2017 | CHAZEN STEPHEN I
Director
|
Sell | 4.0K | $237.9K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Occidental Petroleum's stock price forecast for 2030?
Occidental Petroleum's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $61.58, with a downside scenario of $17.09 and an upside scenario of $221.83. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Occidental Petroleum stock a buy right now?
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $69.00, suggesting a 21.4% upside. While insider activity shows net buying, the bearish RSI momentum and recent revenue contraction warrant a cautious approach.
What are Occidental Petroleum's recent earnings surprises?
Occidental Petroleum has reported significant earnings beats in recent quarters, including a 79.66% surprise in the quarter to March 2026 and an 82.35% surprise in the quarter to March 2026. The quarter to June 2026 also saw a positive surprise of 4.38%.
How does Occidental Petroleum compare to its sector averages?
Occidental Petroleum's P/E ratio of 16.77 and price-to-sales of 2.38 are below the Energy sector medians of 18.4 and 2.5, respectively. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 is in line with the sector median, and its return on equity of 10.63% is slightly below the sector's 14.2%.
What is the current technical momentum for OXY stock?
Occidental Petroleum's (OXY) technical momentum is currently bearish, as indicated by an RSI at 38.6 and a negative MACD. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting potential short-term weakness.
What are the main risks facing Occidental Petroleum?
Key risks for Occidental Petroleum include a projected decline in revenue growth for the upcoming year and bearish technical momentum. Additionally, the majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating, indicating a lack of strong conviction for significant near-term upside.
What is the outlook for Occidental Petroleum's revenue growth?
Occidental Petroleum's revenue growth has recently turned negative, with a -3.00% year-over-year change in the current quarter. Projections for next year indicate a further decline of 8.00%, which contrasts sharply with its historically strong revenue expansion.