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As of October 11, 2026, Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) trades at $63.88. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $75.50, 18.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $75.50 across 27 analysts. RSI at 66 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $62.88.
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV)
Ovintiv Inc. NYSE
$63.88
0.5100 (0.80%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
76 / 100
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is trading at $63.88, showing bullish momentum with its RSI at 65.57 and trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($62.88 and $55.33). The company's fundamentals are solid, with a net profit margin of 9.66% and a return on equity of 8.41%, which is slightly below the sector median of 14.2%. The stock is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.86, below the sector average of 2.5, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. Analyst sentiment is largely positive, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $75.50, implying an 18.2% upside. Forward-looking estimates indicate strong earnings growth for the current year, with an average EPS estimate of $7.61, representing a 57.1% increase year-over-year. While revenue growth is projected to slow to -9.00% next year, the current momentum and analyst support paint a constructive near-term picture.
OVV Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$63.40
Day Range
$63.26 to $64.76
Prev Close
$63.37
Volume
3.15M
52-Week Range
$35.47 to $67.51
Market Cap
$17.67B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-3% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
OVV Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, OVV beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
OVV Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+18.19% Upside
Median of 27 analysts (12-month)
$75.50
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has increased by 7.9% above its average, indicating growing investor interest as Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) trades above its 50-day SMA ($62.88) and 200-day SMA ($55.33). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 65.57, signaling bullish momentum, and the Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory at 87.95. The MACD is currently negative at -0.23, suggesting a slight loss of upward momentum, but the overall trend remains positive with the price trading above its 20-day EMA ($61.70). Key support levels are found near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge around the recent highs. The chart structure indicates a generally upward trend, supported by the positive RSI and the price's position above key moving averages. Investors should monitor volume for confirmation of sustained upward movement.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; while recent activity shows moderate selling, any shift towards net buying could signal increased management confidence.
- Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($62.88 and $55.33), indicating positive short-to-medium term momentum. Consider this trend in position sizing.
- The energy sector is inherently volatile. Investors should be prepared for potential price swings driven by global supply and demand dynamics for oil and gas.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
A significant number of analysts maintain Buy ratings, with a median price target of $75.50, suggesting potential upside of 18.2% from current levels.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Strong Current Year EPS Growth Estimates
Analysts forecast a 57.1% year-over-year increase in EPS for the current year, reaching an average estimate of $7.61, indicating strong profitability.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold approximately $5.9 million worth of shares, indicating a degree of caution or profit-taking at current price levels.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Projected Revenue Growth Slowdown
Revenue growth is estimated to decline by 9.00% next year, which could signal a slowdown in business expansion or market headwinds.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesMarket Outlook
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is expected to maintain its positive trajectory over the next 6-12 months, with analysts projecting a median price target of $75.50, implying an 18.2% upside from the current price of $63.88. The company's strong earnings growth estimates for the current year, coupled with its trading position above key moving averages and bullish RSI, support this outlook. The energy sector's inherent cyclicality and commodity price fluctuations remain a key factor to monitor. Potential catalysts for upside include continued positive analyst sentiment and any favorable shifts in energy prices. Conversely, a significant downturn in oil and gas prices, increased regulatory scrutiny, or a failure to meet forward earnings expectations could pressure the stock. The projected slowdown in revenue growth for next year also presents a risk that warrants close observation.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 17.67B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.79 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.59 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.88% |
| 52 Week High | 67.51 |
| 52 Week Low | 35.47 |
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.86, which is below the sector average of 2.5, suggesting it may be undervalued relative to its revenue generation compared to peers. The company's net profit margin stands at 9.66%, and its return on equity is 8.41%, which is below the sector median of 14.2%. This indicates that while the company is profitable, its efficiency in generating profits from shareholder equity lags behind the industry. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.44, which is in line with the sector average. The current P/E ratio of 17.79 is slightly below the sector average of 18.4, suggesting a reasonable valuation. However, the lower ROE compared to the sector warrants attention, as it may indicate areas for operational improvement.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS of $1.74 missing the estimate of $1.94 by 10.31%, leading to a 2.83% price increase. Prior to this, the company beat estimates in the March 2026 quarter by 9.29% and significantly exceeded expectations in the March 2026 quarter (reported Feb 23) by 37.62%. The overall trend shows some inconsistency in earnings beats, but forward estimates for the current year project substantial EPS growth of 57.1% year-over-year, reaching an average estimate of $7.61.
Key Risks
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) faces moderate insider selling, with $5.9 million in sales across 42 transactions, indicating a potential lack of strong conviction from management at current price levels. While the company's forward revenue growth is projected to turn negative next year (-9.00%), its current valuation metrics, such as a P/E ratio of 17.79, are trading slightly below the sector average, which could limit downside risk. The energy sector is also subject to inherent commodity price volatility, which can significantly impact profitability and stock performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 65.57 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.23 |
| SMA 50 | 62.88 |
| SMA 200 | 55.33 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($62.88) above the 200-day SMA ($55.33), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.36
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.15
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with OVV? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
OVV Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$62.60
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$63.88
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$60.37
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (65.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$65.73
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$68.86
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$71.99
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for OVV is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OVV in October 2016 would be worth about $11,531 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OVV today could grow to about $14,814 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $112,388 and a bear case around $1,953. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OVV Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $74.75 for OVV by 2030 in the base case, from $63.88 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $20.75. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OVV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $35.01 | $66.44 | $126 |
| 2028 | $27.92 | $69.10 | $171 |
| 2029 | $23.69 | $71.87 | $218 |
| 2030 | $20.75 | $74.75 | $269 |
| 2031 | $18.55 | $77.75 | $326 |
| 2032 | $16.83 | $80.87 | $389 |
| 2033 | $15.44 | $84.11 | $458 |
| 2034 | $14.28 | $87.48 | $536 |
| 2035 | $13.31 | $90.98 | $622 |
| 2036 | $12.47 | $94.63 | $718 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OVV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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OVV Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$5.9M
7 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$849.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | ZEMLJAK RENEE ELLEN
Officer
|
Sell | 76.3K | $3.9M |
| Mar 3, 2023 | ZEMLJAK RENEE ELLEN
Officer
|
Sell | 70.4K | $3.3M |
| Dec 4, 2025 | GIVENS GREGORY DEAN
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $2.1M |
| Dec 12, 2025 | GIVENS GREGORY DEAN
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $2.0M |
| Mar 27, 2018 | ZEMLJAK RENEE ELLEN
Officer
|
Sell | 130.0K | $1.5M |
| Jun 7, 2022 | RICKS THOMAS GREGORY
Director
|
Sell | 19.2K | $1.1M |
| Jul 27, 2017 | MCALLISTER MICHAEL GERARD
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 73.3K | $755.9K |
| Mar 13, 2026 | EILERS MEGHAN NICOLE
General Counsel
|
Sell | 11.6K | $634.5K |
| May 13, 2024 | NANCE STEVEN WAYNE
Director
|
Sell | 12.0K | $600.0K |
| Nov 29, 2023 | NANCE STEVEN WAYNE
Director
|
Sell | 13.0K | $569.1K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Ovintiv Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Ovintiv Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $74.75, with a downside scenario of $20.75 and an upside scenario of $269.29. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Ovintiv Inc. stock a buy right now?
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 76. The stock is trading above its key moving averages, and analysts have a median price target of $75.50, suggesting an 18.2% upside potential.
What is Ovintiv Inc.'s current financial health?
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) has a net profit margin of 9.66% and a return on equity of 8.41%. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.44, indicating a manageable debt level.
How did Ovintiv Inc. perform in its most recent earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) reported EPS of $1.74, missing the estimate of $1.94 by 10.31%. This followed a period of earnings beats in prior quarters.
What are the main risks facing Ovintiv Inc.?
Key risks for Ovintiv Inc. include moderate insider selling totaling $5.9 million, potential volatility in energy commodity prices, and projected negative revenue growth for next year. The company's ROE also lags behind the sector average.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Ovintiv Inc. stock?
Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus rating of Buy for Ovintiv Inc. (OVV), with a score of 76 out of 100. The median price target from 27 analysts is $75.50.
How does Ovintiv Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) trades at a P/E ratio of 17.79 and a P/S ratio of 1.86, both below the sector medians of 18.4 and 2.5, respectively. However, its ROE of 8.41% is below the sector median of 14.2%.