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As of September 27, 2026, Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) trades at $60.13. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $75.50, 25.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $75.50 across 27 analysts. RSI at 35 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $62.77.
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV)
Ovintiv Inc. NYSE
$60.13
-0.3800 (-0.63%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
58 / 100
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is trading at $60.13, below its 50-day SMA of $62.77, signaling a bearish technical trend. The stock's RSI is at 35.11, indicating bearish momentum, and volume has been 19.3% below average recently. Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $75.50, suggesting a 25.6% upside potential. However, insider activity shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with $5.9 million in net sales, raising concerns about management's short-term conviction. The company's fundamentals are mixed, with strong revenue growth of 29.7% and a healthy operating margin of 36.18%, but a lower return on equity of 8.41% compared to sector averages. Despite the bearish technicals and insider selling, the company operates in the Oil & Gas E&P sector, which has seen strong revenue growth of 32.8% on average. Ovintiv's own revenue growth of 29.7% and a profit margin of 9.66% are competitive within this space. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44 is also within reasonable bounds compared to the sector median. The current price action, however, suggests caution is warranted as the stock navigates resistance levels and a prevailing bearish momentum.
OVV Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$59.30
Day Range
$59.30 to $60.36
Prev Close
$60.51
Volume
2.83M
52-Week Range
$35.47 to $67.51
Market Cap
$16.63B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-9% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
OVV Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, OVV beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
OVV Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+25.56% Upside
Median of 27 analysts (12-month)
$75.50
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has been 19.3% below average, indicating subdued investor interest as Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) trades below its 50-day SMA ($62.77) and 20-day EMA ($62.49). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35.11 confirms bearish momentum, suggesting potential for further downside. The stock is currently trading above its 200-day SMA ($54.25), which acts as a key support level. Key resistance is observed at the 50-day SMA ($62.77) and the 20-day EMA ($62.49). The current price of $60.13 suggests these levels will be challenging to overcome in the short term. The MACD at -0.87 also points to a bearish trend. Investors should monitor the 200-day SMA for any potential breakdown, which could signal a more significant decline.
ProTips
- Monitor insider activity closely; the current 'Moderate Sell Signal' suggests caution is warranted.
- The 200-day SMA at $54.25 is a critical support level; a break below could signal further downside.
- Given the current bearish technical momentum, consider waiting for a confirmed bullish reversal before initiating new long positions.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold a net $5.9 million worth of Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) stock across 42 transactions, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that may weigh on investor sentiment.
Source: Insider Activity DataBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is exhibiting bearish technical momentum with an RSI of 35.11 and trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis DataBullish
Analyst Price Targets Suggest Upside
The median analyst price target for Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is $75.50, offering a potential upside of 25.6% from the current price, indicating analyst confidence in future appreciation.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Strong Sector Revenue Growth
Ovintiv Inc. operates in the Energy sector, which has seen average revenue growth of 32.8%, providing a favorable industry backdrop for the company's own 29.7% revenue growth.
Source: Sector Averages DataMarket Outlook
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is projected to see its base case price reach $72.96 by 2030, with a downside scenario at $20.25, according to Monte Carlo simulations. The current analyst median target price of $75.50 suggests a potential upside of 25.6% from its current trading level of $60.13. The company's outlook is influenced by its strong operational performance in the E&P sector, with projected revenue growth of 12.00% for the current year. However, a projected revenue decline of 8.00% for next year and a modest 5-year average growth estimate of 4.6% warrant attention. The 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions and bearish technical momentum are key factors that could impede the stock's ability to reach its fair value targets.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 16.63B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.80 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.58 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.00% |
| 52 Week High | 67.51 |
| 52 Week Low | 35.47 |
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.8, which is slightly below the sector average of 18.4, suggesting a potential valuation discount. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 1.75 is also below the sector median of 2.5, reinforcing this view. The company's revenue growth of 29.7% is strong and aligns with the sector's average revenue growth of 32.8%. However, its Return on Equity (ROE) of 8.41% lags behind the sector average of 14.2%. The profit margin of 9.66% and operating margin of 36.18% are healthy, and the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44 is reasonable within the industry context.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) missed earnings expectations in its most recent quarter to June 2026, reporting EPS of $1.74 against an estimate of $1.94, a surprise of -10.31%, leading to a 2.83% stock price increase. Prior to this, the company had a mixed performance, beating estimates in two consecutive quarters (March 2026 and December 2025) with positive surprises of 9.29% and 2.35% respectively, though the stock reacted negatively in one of those instances. The trend suggests some volatility in earnings performance relative to analyst expectations.
Key Risks
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) faces significant risks from insider selling, with a 'Moderate Sell Signal' indicating $5.9 million in net sales by insiders, potentially signaling a lack of near-term confidence. Bearish technical momentum, evidenced by the RSI below 40 and the stock trading below key moving averages, suggests further price declines are possible. Additionally, the company's lower return on equity compared to sector averages could indicate operational inefficiencies that need addressing.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 35.11 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.87 |
| SMA 50 | 62.77 |
| SMA 200 | 54.25 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($62.77) above the 200-day SMA ($54.25), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.36
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with OVV? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
OVV Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$59.53
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$60.13
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$57.74
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (35.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$61.31
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$62.51
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$64.29
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for OVV is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in OVV in September 2016 would be worth about $13,558 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in OVV today could grow to about $16,218 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $123,043 and a bear case around $2,138. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
OVV Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $72.96 for OVV by 2030 in the base case, from $60.13 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $20.25. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on OVV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $33.25 | $63.11 | $120 |
| 2028 | $26.76 | $66.24 | $164 |
| 2029 | $22.91 | $69.52 | $211 |
| 2030 | $20.25 | $72.96 | $263 |
| 2031 | $18.27 | $76.58 | $321 |
| 2032 | $16.73 | $80.37 | $386 |
| 2033 | $15.48 | $84.35 | $460 |
| 2034 | $14.45 | $88.53 | $542 |
| 2035 | $13.59 | $92.92 | $635 |
| 2036 | $12.85 | $97.52 | $740 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using OVV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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OVV Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$5.9M
7 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$849.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | ZEMLJAK RENEE ELLEN
Officer
|
Sell | 76.3K | $3.9M |
| Mar 3, 2023 | ZEMLJAK RENEE ELLEN
Officer
|
Sell | 70.4K | $3.3M |
| Dec 4, 2025 | GIVENS GREGORY DEAN
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $2.1M |
| Dec 12, 2025 | GIVENS GREGORY DEAN
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $2.0M |
| Mar 27, 2018 | ZEMLJAK RENEE ELLEN
Officer
|
Sell | 130.0K | $1.5M |
| Jun 7, 2022 | RICKS THOMAS GREGORY
Director
|
Sell | 19.2K | $1.1M |
| Jul 27, 2017 | MCALLISTER MICHAEL GERARD
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 73.3K | $755.9K |
| Mar 13, 2026 | EILERS MEGHAN NICOLE
General Counsel
|
Sell | 11.6K | $634.5K |
| May 13, 2024 | NANCE STEVEN WAYNE
Director
|
Sell | 12.0K | $600.0K |
| Nov 29, 2023 | NANCE STEVEN WAYNE
Director
|
Sell | 13.0K | $569.1K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Ovintiv Inc. stock a buy right now?
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is currently rated as 'Hold' by our AI, with a consensus score of 58. Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $75.50, suggesting a 25.6% upside. However, bearish technical indicators and insider selling present near-term risks.
What is Ovintiv Inc.'s fair value?
Ovintiv Inc.'s (OVV) fair value is estimated at $75.50, based on analyst median price targets. This suggests a potential upside of 25.6% from the current price of $60.13.
What are the key risks for Ovintiv Inc. stock?
Key risks for Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) include moderate insider selling totaling $5.9 million, bearish technical momentum indicated by a low RSI and price below moving averages, and a return on equity that lags sector averages.
How does Ovintiv Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) shows strong revenue growth (29.7%) compared to the sector average (32.8%) and a lower P/E (16.8 vs 18.4) and P/S (1.75 vs 2.5). However, its ROE (8.41%) is below the sector median (14.2%).
What is the outlook for Ovintiv Inc. based on analyst estimates?
Analyst estimates for Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) project revenue growth of 12.00% for the current year, with EPS estimates around $7.44. While next year's revenue growth is expected to slow to -8.00%, the 5-year average growth estimate remains positive at 4.6%.
What are the recent insider transactions for Ovintiv Inc.?
Insiders at Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) have been net sellers, with $9.1M in total purchases versus $22.9M in total sales in recent filings. This activity has resulted in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' from our analysis.
What is Ovintiv Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Ovintiv Inc.'s (OVV) stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, indicates a base case price of $72.96 and a downside projection of $20.25. The upside projection, representing a low-probability tail outcome, is $262.84.