ETF·NYSE
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK)
- Net assets
- $127.30B
- Expense ratio
- 0.08%
- Yield
- 0.43%
- 52-week range
- $126.68 $203.25
XLK ETF forecast today
Where XLK stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
XLK at a glance
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK): Hold, 47/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages, though the 50-day is still above the 200-day ($187.80 and $170.44).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.08%, $127.3B in net assets, price up 14.3% over 1 year.
Figures as of November 10, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) earns a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 47/100.
The factor that adds the most to that score is one-year performance, with the price up 14.31% over the past year. The factor that drags it down the most is momentum: the 14-day RSI reads 36.3, placing it in the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. XLK is in a downtrend, trading 10.06% below its 50-day average of $187.80 and 0.90% below its 200-day average of $170.44.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from XLK's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
XLK ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
2/4Price below its 50-day average ›
The price of $168.91 is 10.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $187.80.Price below its 200-day average ›
The price is 0.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $170.44.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($187.80) is 10.2% above the 200-day average ($170.44), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 55% of its 52-week range, between $126.68 and $203.25.
XLK share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far XLK has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where XLK sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
XLK fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
4/5Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.08% a year, $8.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $127.3B.One sector above 35% of the fund ›
The largest sector, Technology, makes up 100.0% of the fund.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 0.43%.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 14.31% over the past year.
XLK Fund Facts
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF is a technology-focused exchange-traded fund designed to track the Technology Select Sector Index, giving investors broad exposure to large U.S. companies in the information technology space. The fund concentrates on industries such as semiconductors, software, technology hardware, communications equipment, IT services, and electronic components, making it a targeted way to access the sector’s core business activity.
Sector weights
Total returns to Sep 30, 2026, as the fund family reports them
| Period | XLK |
|---|---|
| YTD | 36.41% |
| 1 month | 5.07% |
| 3 months | 2.82% |
| 1 year | 39.47% |
| 3 years | 34.50% |
| 5 years | 22.14% |
| 10 years | 24.67% |
As of Nov 11, 2026, XLK has an expense ratio of 0.08%, $127.30B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.43%.
Fund reference data as of Nov 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, to Sep 30, 2026, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for XLK.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XLK's holdings, performance and risks.
Technology is the leading sector in State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK), and it accounts for 100.0% of the fund. With nearly all holdings in one sector, XLK moves in step with that sector. The fund is run by State Street Investment Management and was launched on December 16, 1998.
Holding the fund costs 0.08% a year in expenses, or $8.00 on a $10,000 position. Net assets stand at $127.3B. Distributions currently yield 0.43%, and the portfolio turns over at a rate of 5%.
XLK typically moves about 2.34% in a day. Its heavy tilt toward Technology, which makes up 100.0% of the fund, means trouble in that sector would hit the whole fund. While the price stays beneath both moving averages, the downtrend remains a risk. The price is 16.90% under its 52-week high of $203.25.
XLK AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 36.3, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI below 50 ›
An RSI of 36.3 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line below zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of XLK
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
XLK, the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF, changes hands at $168.91 and sits below both of its main moving averages. It is 10.06% below the 50-day average of $187.80 and 0.90% below the 200-day average of $170.44. The 50-day average is 10.18% above the 200-day average, and that gap would shrink if the price keeps trading under the shorter average. Within its 52-week range, running from $126.68 up to $203.25, the price stands at 55%.
A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 15.03% over the past month, fell 9.23% over the past three months and rose 14.31% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 36.3, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative. The price fell 1.15% in the last session on volume 31.8% below its average.
- Two levels deserve the closest attention: the 200-day SMA at $170.44, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $126.68, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 36.3 falls in the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
- Costs compound: at 0.08% a year, XLK charges $8.00 on every $10,000 invested.
A close above the 200-day would mark the first sign of a recovery. Overhead, the 200-day SMA at $170.44 is the first barrier a rally would face.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $126.68. With the RSI in the bearish band, momentum does not point to a fast rebound.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for XLK, from its daily closes.
As of November 10, 2026, with XLK at $168.91, its 14-day RSI is 36.3 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $187.80 and its 200-day is $170.44.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of November 10, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What XLK moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of November 10, 2026, XLK's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.89 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.97 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.42 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.18 with gold (XAU).
XLK risk and volatility
How much it moves day to day, and how it stacks up against similar assets.
Risk profile
How much XLK tends to move, against the market and on its own.
XLK price history and drawdowns
XLK's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Typical daily move of 2% or more ›
A typical daily move is 2.34% (the standard deviation of the last 30 daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 33.1%, from December 2021 to October 2022, regained by June 2023.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
88% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since December 2016 ›
$10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $88,555, against $39,967 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
XLK Drawdowns & Recovery
As of November 10, 2026, XLK's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -33.1% (December 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by June 2023, 8 months after the low, and 88% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into XLK in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: XLK beat the S&P 500 over this period: $88,555 against $39,967.
A $10,000 investment in XLK in December 2016 would be worth about $88,555 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $39,967 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to XLK, and which have not.
Strongest month, June: an average of +4.22%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -0.97%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, November: has averaged +3.81%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Across 10 calendar years of history, XLK's strongest calendar month has been June (average +4.22%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -0.97%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month across 10 calendar years of history, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
XLK price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XLK, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in XLK today could grow to about $14,924 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $28,602 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,787. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.43% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XLK 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $252 for XLK by 2030 in the base case, from $169 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $132. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $135 | $187 | $258 | |
| 2028 | $130 | $206 | $327 | |
| 2029 | $130 | $228 | $401 | |
| 2030 | $132 | $252 | $483 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of XLK's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
XLK ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of November 10, 2026.