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As of September 27, 2026, State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) trades at $196.27. RSI at 68 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $184.47.

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK)

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE

$196.27 1.560 (0.80%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
78 / 100
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) is a technology-focused exchange-traded fund that tracks the Technology Select Sector Index, offering broad exposure to large U.S. companies within the information technology space. The fund's strategy involves a passive, full-replication approach, holding a diversified basket of current industry leaders across semiconductors, software, technology hardware, and IT services. XLK is a widely utilized instrument for investors seeking liquid, sector-specific access to the U.S. technology market. Its recent performance shows a significant year-to-date return of 29.83%, outpacing its category's 13.51%.

XLK Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$195.53
Day Range
$195.05 to $196.94
Prev Close
$194.71
Volume
6.00M
52-Week Range
$126.68 to $198.73
Market Cap
$43.68B

XLK Fund Facts

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF is a technology-focused exchange-traded fund designed to track the Technology Select Sector Index, giving investors broad exposure to large U.S. companies in the information technology space. The fund concentrates on industries such as semiconductors, software, technology hardware, communications equipment, IT services, and electronic components, making it a targeted way to access the sector’s core business activity.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Technology
Inception
Dec 16, 1998
Expense ratio
0.08%
Net assets
$121.44B
NAV
$187.87
Distribution yield
0.43%
YTD return
29.83%
Turnover
5.00%

Sector weights

Technology 100.0%

Trailing returns vs category

Period XLK Category
YTD 29.83% 13.51%
1 month 6.37% 19.10%
3 months -2.28% 10.83%
1 year 42.84% 54.99%
3 years 29.39% 27.86%
5 years 19.51% 9.93%
10 years 24.31% 19.36%

Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

XLK Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Buy
XLK is currently trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, signaling a strong uptrend. The 50-day SMA is at 184.47 and the 200-day SMA is at 163.68, with the current price of 196.27 well above both. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 67.79, indicating bullish momentum. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 95.49, suggesting the ETF is approaching overbought territory, while the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 112.08, further confirming bullish strength. Volume was slightly below average, with 6,000,400 shares traded compared to the average of 7,310,770.
ProTips
  • Consider XLK for targeted exposure to the U.S. technology sector's growth potential.
  • Monitor the ETF's RSI for potential overbought conditions that may precede short-term pullbacks.
  • Given its sector concentration, assess the broader technology industry's health before investing.
Market Outlook
The outlook for XLK over the next 6-12 months remains positive, supported by the continued strength and innovation within the technology sector. The ETF's current trading position above key moving averages and its bullish momentum suggest further upside potential. Key drivers will include advancements in artificial intelligence, cloud infrastructure, and semiconductor demand. Investors should monitor the sector's response to potential interest rate changes and any significant regulatory developments that could impact major technology companies.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.89
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.97
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.44
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.16
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with XLK? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 43.68B
Expense Ratio 0.0900%
Yield 0.43%
Day High $196.94
Day Low $195.05
52 Week High 198.73
52 Week Low 126.68
As a technology sector ETF, XLK's fundamental health is tied to the performance and innovation within the information technology industry. The fund holds 99.97% in stocks, reflecting its core mandate. Its expense ratio is a low 0.08%, costing approximately $8.00 per $10,000 invested. The net assets stand at a substantial $121.44 billion, indicating significant investor confidence and liquidity. The ETF's sector concentration is entirely within Technology, making it a direct act on the sector's growth drivers and potential headwinds.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Its performance is driven by the aggregate earnings trends of the technology companies it holds. The sector has shown strong year-to-date returns of 29.83%, suggesting that underlying companies are likely experiencing strong earnings growth. This positive earnings environment for the technology sector supports the ETF's current bullish technical posture and its ability to maintain its upward trajectory.

Key Risks

The primary risk for XLK is its high concentration in the technology sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes impacting major tech firms. While the ETF has strong bullish momentum, its RSI nearing overbought levels could signal a potential short-term pullback. Also, the significant upside price projection from the Monte Carlo simulation (629.7) contrasts with the downside projection (174.32), highlighting the inherent volatility associated with technology investments.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 67.79
MACD 2.88
SMA 50 184.47
SMA 200 163.68
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($184.47) above the 200-day SMA ($163.68), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

XLK Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$192.34
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$196.27
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$186.57
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (67.8) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$201.96
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$211.58
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$221.20
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XLK is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in XLK in September 2016 would be worth about $82,242 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLK today could grow to about $37,023 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $102,197 and a bear case around $13,413. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XLK ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $331 for XLK by 2030 in the base case, from $196 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $174. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XLK simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $162 $224 $308
2028 $162 $255 $402
2029 $167 $291 $507
2030 $174 $331 $630
2031 $184 $378 $774
2032 $196 $430 $945
2033 $210 $491 $1,147
2034 $226 $559 $1,387
2035 $243 $638 $1,670
2036 $263 $727 $2,006

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK)?
The expense ratio for XLK is 0.08%, which translates to approximately $8.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) hold?
XLK is entirely concentrated in the Technology sector, holding 99.97% in stocks within this industry.
What is the distribution yield for the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK)?
XLK has a dividend yield of 0.43%.
How has XLK performed against its category over different periods?
XLK's year-to-date return is 29.83% compared to the category's 13.51%. Over 1 year, XLK returned 42.84% versus the category's 54.99%. However, over 3, 5, and 10 years, XLK has outperformed its category with returns of 29.38%, 19.50%, and 24.31% respectively.
What are the key technical levels for XLK?
XLK is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of 184.47 and its 200-day SMA of 163.68, indicating strong support at these levels.
What is the price prediction for XLK ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price prediction for XLK in 2030 is 331.32, with a downside projection of 174.32. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What is the insider and institutional activity for XLK?
While XLK is an ETF and does not have traditional insider trading, its substantial net assets of $121.44 billion indicate significant institutional and investor interest.
What is the outlook for the technology sector in the next 6-12 months?
The technology sector is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by ongoing innovation in areas like AI, cloud computing, and semiconductors, though potential regulatory scrutiny and macroeconomic shifts remain factors to monitor.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XLK are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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