Stock·NYSE·Technology
Elastic N.V. (ESTC)
- Market cap
- $11.08B
- P/E
- 30.15
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $118.00median of 30 analysts
- 52-week range
- $42.05 $108.00
ESTC stock forecast today
Where ESTC stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
ESTC at a glance
Elastic N.V. (ESTC): Buy, 79/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($91.28 and $66.82).
- Insiders Insiders sold $480.7M and bought $710K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 30.2 against 35.1 for the Technology sector: broadly in line with peers (-14%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Buy, with a model score of 79/100.
The trend lifts the score most: the price is 57.91% above its 200-day average and 15.60% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 36.60% above the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $91.28 and the 200-day at $66.82. Over the past year the price rose 18.99%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ESTC's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
ESTC stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $105.52 is 15.6% above the 50-day simple moving average of $91.28.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 57.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $66.82.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($91.28) is 36.6% above the 200-day average ($66.82), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 96% of its 52-week range, between $42.05 and $108.00.
ESTC share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far ESTC has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where ESTC sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
ESTC fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/3P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 30.15 is 14.1% below the Technology median of 35.1.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 6.19 is 18.5% below the sector median of 7.6.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $375.6M on revenue of $1.8B, a net margin of 20.8%.
Key statistics
The headline figures for ESTC.
As of October 27, 2026, ESTC trades at $105.52, with a market value of $11.08B and a P/E ratio of 30.15.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ESTC's valuation, growth and risks.
ESTC has a market value of $11.1B, and its trailing P/E of 30.15 sits 14.1% below the Technology median of 35.1. The peer comparison on this page rates that multiple as broadly in line with peers. Measured against sales, the P/S of 6.19 is 18.6% below the sector median of 7.6.
Profitability shows a net margin of 20.84% and an operating margin of -0.61%, with a return on equity of 33.12%, above the sector median of 13.4%. Debt-to-equity of 0.46 rounds out the fundamentals.
ESTC beat expectations in the August 27, 2026 report by 20.69%, posting $0.70 a share against an estimate of $0.58. Investors responded in kind, with the stock climbing 19.31% in the following session.
The record is a clean sweep: 2 beats in 2 reports, and the stock rose in the first session after each of those beats. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $3.36, which would be growth of 30.7%, and $3.96 for next year (growth of 17.7%).
ESTC's average daily move is 2.66%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.04. Over the last 18 months, insider sales totalled $480.7M against $710K of purchases; planned sales and tax sales on vesting shares make selling a weaker signal than buying.
ESTC against the Technology sector
How ESTC compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-14% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs XLK: Since May 15, 2025, ESTC has gained 14.5% against a gain of 61.5% for XLK.
Performance against XLK
ESTC and the Technology sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much ESTC sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to April 30, 2026); ESTC reported again on August 27, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 17.3% in FY2026 to $1.7B, from $1.5B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 21.1% in FY2026, up from -7.3% the year before.
Profitable: ESTC earned $368M in FY2026.
Earnings reality check
Did ESTC beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: ESTC beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the last 2 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026after close | $0.58 | $0.70 | +20.69% | +19.31% | +14.80% |
| May 28, 2026after close | $0.56 | $0.61 | +8.93% | +12.31% | +12.98% |
As of October 27, 2026, ESTC has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its latest report, on August 27, 2026, came in 20.69% above the estimate and the stock moved +19.31% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
ESTC AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 66.7, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 66.7 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of ESTC
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
ESTC is trending up. The stock trades at $105.52, 15.60% above its 50-day average of $91.28 and 57.91% above its 200-day average of $66.82. Sitting at 96% of its 52-week range, the price is 2.30% below the 52-week high of $108.00. Meanwhile, the 50-day average is 36.60% above the 200-day average.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 66.7, in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, with the MACD line positive. The recent returns all show a gain, with the price up 69.92% over the past three months, 122.38% over the past six months and 18.99% over the past year. The price fell 0.72% in the last session on volume 39.0% below its average.
Earnings beat ›
The August 27, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 20.69%, and the share price rose 19.31% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 27, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
Wedbush kept its Outperform rating on October 9, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Wedbush, October 9, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now: the 52-week high at $108.00 overhead, and the 20-day EMA at $96.80 underneath the price.
- The 14-day RSI reads 66.7, in the bullish zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- ESTC's share price rose 19.31% in the first session after the August 27, 2026 report, and the company has beaten estimates in 2 of the last 2 reports.
ESTC trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($91.28 and $66.82), which is what makes the trend up; losing the 50-day would be the first warning. The nearest level under the price is the 20-day EMA at $96.80.
ESTC's next overhead level is the 52-week high at $108.00. The RSI is in the bullish band, which backs the current direction while sitting near the overbought line.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for ESTC, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with ESTC at $105.52, its 14-day RSI is 66.7 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $91.28 and its 200-day is $66.82.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What ESTC moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, ESTC's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.36 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.35 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.22 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.02 with gold (XAU).
ESTC price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
19 of 30 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $118.00 is 11.8% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
19 of 30 rate it a buy now, against 18 of 31 three months ago.
ESTC Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Outperform |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Neutral |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wedbush | Assumes | Outperform |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Perform |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
As of October 27, 2026, 30 Wall Street analysts cover ESTC: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $75.00 to $130.00. The median ESTC price target is $118.00, 11.8% above the price of $105.52.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
ESTC trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
ESTC trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from ESTC's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much ESTC tends to move, against the market and on its own.
ESTC price history and drawdowns
ESTC's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.66% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 76.2%, from November 2021 to April 2026; the price is still 42.1% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
46% of 1-year holding periods in the last 8 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2018 is now worth $15,074, against $30,128 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
ESTC Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, ESTC's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 8 years with dividends reinvested was -76.2% (November 2021 to April 2026); it is still 42.1% below that peak, and 46% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into ESTC in October 2018 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: ESTC trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $15,074 against $30,128.
A $10,000 investment in ESTC in October 2018 would be worth about $15,074 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $30,128 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to ESTC, and which have not.
Strongest month, June: an average of +8.13%, up in 5 of 8 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -10.74%, up in 1 of 8 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.05%, up in 4 of 7 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 8 years, ESTC's strongest calendar month has been June (average +8.13%, up in 5 of 8 years) and its weakest March (average -10.74%, up in 1 of 8 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 8 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
ESTC stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ESTC, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 8 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in ESTC today could grow to about $12,536 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $45,158 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,480. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ESTC Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $132 for ESTC by 2030 in the base case, from $106 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $36.72. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ESTC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $58.83 | $112 | $212 | |
| 2028 | $47.74 | $118 | $292 | |
| 2029 | $41.20 | $125 | $379 | |
| 2030 | $36.72 | $132 | $477 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of ESTC's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
ESTC insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
ESTC insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $710K on the open market and sold $480.7M.
As of October 27, 2026, ESTC insiders reported 58 open-market sales worth $480.7M and 1 open-market purchase worth $710K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Paul R Auvil III
Director
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Alison Gleeson
Director
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Shelley B Leibowitz
Director
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Julia Liuson
Director
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Chetan Puttagunta
Director
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Steven Schuurman
Director
|
Sell | 2.0M | $188.3M |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Steven Schuurman
Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $135.2M |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $925.8K |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 2.8K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 84.2K | $7.1M |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 161.8K | $14.0M |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 29.2K | $2.6M |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 9.7K | $849.1K |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 9.0K | $786.6K |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Sell | 5.5K | $481.5K |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 1.5K | $135.4K |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 284.3K | $26.6M |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 476.3K | $44.5M |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $936.7K |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 4.2K | $390.4K |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.4K | $2.4M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Sell | 18.4K | $1.1M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 18.4K | $1.1M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 13.0K | $785.6K |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Sell | 9.5K | $574.9K |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 9.3K | $562.9K |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 1.1K | $66.9K |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 71.5K | - |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Grant | 12.1K | - |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Grant | 163.8K | - |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Grant | 155.8K | - |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Grant | 52.3K | - |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 260.0K | - |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 101.5K | - |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 17.8K | $928.3K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Sell | 4.3K | $225.3K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 4.3K | $223.9K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $208.5K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 3.7K | $194.6K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.2K | $169.4K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 887 | $46.4K |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 1.2K | $95.3K |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $373.0K |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 1.0K | $77.9K |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.4K | $1.5M |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Sell | 6.5K | $491.1K |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Sell | 5.4K | $401.7K |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 5.2K | $390.1K |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 4.6K | $341.6K |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.3K | $324.7K |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 2.4K | $180.7K |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Grant | 9.1K | - |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 5.8K | $432.7K |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Paul R Auvil III
Director
|
Buy | 10.0K | $710.2K |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 1.3K | $109.0K |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 1.3K | $106.2K |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Paul R Auvil III
Director
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Alison Gleeson
Director
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Shelley B Leibowitz
Director
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Caryn Marooney
Director
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Chetan Puttagunta
Director
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $440.6K |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 204.3K | $18.4M |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 19.6K | $1.8M |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Sell | 6.3K | $566.9K |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Sell | 5.1K | $463.5K |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $453.9K |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.5K | $314.4K |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Jane E Bone
Officer
|
Sell | 629 | $56.7K |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $17.1M |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 2.5K | $208.7K |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $400.1K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.9K | $2.0M |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Sell | 6.9K | $601.2K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Sell | 5.7K | $495.6K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Sell | 5.5K | $479.2K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 5.1K | $444.7K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.3K | $196.5K |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 37.8K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Shay - Shalom Banon
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 30.0K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Grant | 83.5K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Mark Eugene Dodds
Officer
|
Grant | 74.1K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Grant | 83.5K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Ken Exner
Officer
|
Grant | 74.1K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Grant | 19.7K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Carolyn Herzog
Officer
|
Grant | 25.5K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 106.2K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Ashutosh K Kulkarni
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 133.2K | - |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Navam Welihinda
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 37.6K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
ESTC stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.