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As of October 11, 2026, American International Group, Inc. (AIG) trades at $77.04. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $77.04, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $88.00 across 22 analysts. RSI at 62 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $76.22.
American International Group, Inc. (AIG)
American International Group, Inc. NYSE
$77.04
-0.0100 (-0.01%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
American International Group (AIG) is currently trading at $77.04, near its fair value and slightly above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.22 and $76.86). The stock exhibits bullish momentum with its RSI at 61.53 and trading above key moving averages. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 11.09% and a return on equity of 7.22%, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, which is below the sector average. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $88.00, implying a 14.2% upside. While the company has a solid cash position relative to its market cap, insider activity shows a moderate sell signal, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases. Recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a slight beat in the quarter to June 2026 but a pattern of beats in prior quarters.
AIG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$77.33
Day Range
$76.87 to $77.69
Prev Close
$77.05
Volume
5.03M
52-Week Range
$71.25 to $87.29
Market Cap
$40.28B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs KIE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-14% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
AIG Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, AIG beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 4 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
AIG Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+14.23% Upside
Median of 22 analysts (12-month)
$88.00
AI Technical Analysis
American International Group (AIG) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.22 and $76.86), indicating a generally positive short-to-medium term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 61.53, signaling bullish momentum. Key resistance is observed near the current price, while support is found around the 50-day SMA. Volume has been below its average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders. The MACD is showing a slight positive divergence. Given the current trading range and bullish RSI, the stock may see continued upward movement if it can break through immediate resistance levels, though the below-average volume warrants caution.
ProTips
- Insider selling activity, with total sales of $30.1M versus $55.8K in purchases, warrants close monitoring as it suggests a lack of strong conviction from management.
- The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($76.22 and $76.86), indicating bullish momentum, but volume has been below average, suggesting caution.
- Given the neutral 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street and modest upside potential, consider a balanced approach to position sizing, avoiding aggressive bets until clearer catalysts emerge.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprises
AIG has a track record of beating EPS estimates, including a 3.63% beat in the most recent quarter to June 2026. Continued positive earnings surprises could drive investor confidence.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsBullish
Accelerating Revenue Growth
Forward estimates project revenue growth to reach 8.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next, indicating a significant pickup from recent performance. This acceleration could support higher valuations.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $30.1 million worth of stock versus purchasing $55.8 thousand, indicating a moderate sell signal that could signal caution among management.
Source: Insider Transaction DataNeutral
Wall Street 'Hold' Consensus
With 14 out of 22 analysts rating AIG as 'Hold', the market sentiment is neutral, suggesting a lack of strong conviction for either a significant upside or downside move in the near term.
Source: Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for American International Group (AIG) suggests a stable performance, with the stock trading near its fair value and analysts projecting a modest 14.2% upside to a median target of $88.00. The company's solid financial footing, indicated by its profit margins and debt levels, combined with anticipated revenue acceleration, provides a foundation for steady returns. Potential upside catalysts include continued execution on revenue growth estimates and a potential shift in analyst sentiment if forward earnings exceed expectations. Conversely, a significant increase in insider selling or broader market headwinds affecting the financial services sector could pressure the stock, potentially testing support levels near the 50-day moving average.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 40.28B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.11 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.46 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.47% |
| 52 Week High | 87.29 |
| 52 Week Low | 71.25 |
American International Group (AIG) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.11, which is below the sector average of 16.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 1.51, also below the sector average of 3.8. The company's profit margin is 11.09% and its return on equity is 7.22%, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, indicating a healthy balance sheet relative to peers. While the company's revenue growth was modest at 0.5%, forward estimates suggest an acceleration to 8.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next. The current P/E ratio is lower than the sector average, but its ROE is also below the sector median of 13.8%, indicating potential for margin improvement. The company's ability to grow earnings and revenue will be key to justifying its current valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
American International Group (AIG) recently reported earnings for the quarter to June 2026, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.00, beating the estimate of $1.93 by 3.63%, although the stock experienced a 1.49% decline. Prior quarters showed a consistent pattern of EPS beats, including a significant 12.23% surprise in the quarter to March 2026. The company's forward EPS estimates for the current year are $8.06, with projected growth of 13.7%.
Key Risks
A primary risk for American International Group (AIG) stems from insider selling, with total sales significantly exceeding purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal from management. While the stock is trading near its fair value, a lack of strong conviction from Wall Street, reflected in a 'Hold' consensus, suggests limited near-term catalysts. Also, the company's return on equity is below the sector average, indicating potential for operational efficiency improvements.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 61.53 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.01 |
| SMA 50 | 76.22 |
| SMA 200 | 76.86 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Neutral
Price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with AIG? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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AIG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$76.27
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$77.04
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$73.98
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (61.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$78.56
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$80.08
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$82.37
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for AIG is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AIG in October 2016 would be worth about $12,870 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AIG today could grow to about $15,755 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $59,338 and a bear case around $4,183. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AIG Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $92.40 for AIG by 2030 in the base case, from $77.04 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $39.94. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AIG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $53.01 | $80.62 | $123 |
| 2028 | $46.63 | $84.37 | $153 |
| 2029 | $42.71 | $88.30 | $183 |
| 2030 | $39.94 | $92.40 | $214 |
| 2031 | $37.86 | $96.70 | $247 |
| 2032 | $36.23 | $101 | $283 |
| 2033 | $34.92 | $106 | $321 |
| 2034 | $33.85 | $111 | $363 |
| 2035 | $32.96 | $116 | $408 |
| 2036 | $32.23 | $121 | $457 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AIG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
AIG Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$55.8K
5 Transactions
Sold
$30.1M
6 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.7M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | ZAFFINO PETER
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 333.0K | $25.3M |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ZAFFINO PETER
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 236.8K | $18.1M |
| Jun 12, 2024 | ZAFFINO PETER
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $14.9M |
| May 5, 2025 | FLATT CHRISTOPHER
Officer
|
Sell | 46.2K | $3.8M |
| May 11, 2021 | DUPERREAULT BRIAN
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 65.0K | $3.3M |
| May 16, 2025 | GLAZER ROSE MARIE E
General Counsel
|
Sell | 35.0K | $2.9M |
| May 20, 2025 | CARBONE KATHLEEN
Officer
|
Sell | 30.1K | $2.5M |
| Aug 11, 2021 | HOGAN KEVIN T
Officer
|
Sell | 41.4K | $2.2M |
| May 10, 2021 | HOGAN KEVIN T
Officer
|
Sell | 41.0K | $2.1M |
| May 5, 2025 | WADE CLAUDE E.
Officer
|
Sell | 22.5K | $1.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is American International Group (AIG) stock a buy right now?
American International Group (AIG) is currently trading at $77.04. Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $88.00, suggesting a 14.2% upside. The stock has a 'Hold' consensus from analysts and an AI consensus score of 59, indicating a neutral outlook.
What is AIG's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, AIG's stock price is projected to be $92.40 in 2030 under a base case scenario, with a downside projection of $39.94 and an upside projection of $213.76. These are statistical outcomes and not definitive price targets.
How are AIG's recent earnings?
AIG recently reported an EPS of $2.00 for the quarter to June 2026, beating estimates by 3.63%. The company has a history of beating EPS estimates, and forward estimates suggest earnings growth of 13.7% for the current year.
What is AIG's financial health like?
AIG demonstrates solid financial health with a profit margin of 11.09% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, which is favorable compared to the sector average. Its return on equity is 7.22%, slightly below the sector median.
What are the key risks for AIG stock?
Key risks include moderate insider selling, a neutral Wall Street consensus, and an ROE that lags the sector average. These factors suggest potential headwinds for significant stock appreciation in the near term.
How does AIG compare to its sector averages?
AIG's P/E ratio of 14.11 is below the sector average of 16.5, and its P/S ratio of 1.51 is also lower than the sector's 3.8. However, its ROE of 7.22% is below the sector median of 13.8%.
What is the outlook for AIG's revenue growth?
AIG reported modest revenue growth of 0.5%. However, forward estimates indicate a significant acceleration, with projected revenue growth of 8.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next, reaching approximately $29 billion and $31.3 billion respectively.