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As of September 27, 2026, American International Group, Inc. (AIG) trades at $74.17. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $88.00, 18.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $88.00 across 22 analysts. RSI at 36 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $77.07.
American International Group Inc (AIG)
American International Group Inc NYSE
$74.17
-0.6500 (-0.87%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
American International Group Inc (AIG) is currently trading at $74.17, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($77.07 and $77.30) of $77.07 and $77.30 respectively. The stock exhibits bearish momentum as indicated by its RSI of 36.44 and a MACD of -0.55. Volume has been below average recently, with 2.93 million shares traded compared to a 4.18 million average. Analysts maintain a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $88.00, implying an 18.6% upside from the current price. While forward EPS estimates show modest growth, revenue growth is projected to accelerate in the coming quarters. However, insider transactions reveal a moderate sell signal, with total sales of $30.1 million significantly outweighing purchases of $106.5 thousand, indicating a degree of caution from management.
AIG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$74.85
Day Range
$73.95 to $74.85
Prev Close
$74.82
Volume
2.93M
52-Week Range
$71.25 to $87.29
Market Cap
$38.78B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs KBE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-18% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
AIG Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, AIG beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 4 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
AIG Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+18.65% Upside
Median of 22 analysts (12-month)
$88.00
AI Technical Analysis
American International Group Inc (AIG) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($77.07) and 200-day SMA ($77.30), indicating a bearish trend. The RSI at 36.44 suggests bearish momentum, and the MACD at -0.55 further supports this downward pressure. The stock is also trading below its 20-day EMA ($75.57). The current price of $74.17 is below recent moving averages. Resistance may be found near the 50-day and 200-day SMAs. Recent trading volume has been below average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from buyers. The overall chart structure points towards continued downward pressure in the short term.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the current moderate sell signal warrants attention.
- Given the bearish technical momentum and price below key moving averages, consider waiting for a confirmed technical reversal before initiating new long positions.
- While AIG's valuation appears reasonable compared to peers, the recent price reaction to earnings and insider selling suggest caution is warranted.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $30.1 million in stock versus $106.5 thousand purchased, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Positive Earnings Surprises
AIG has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 3.63% beat for the quarter ending June 2026.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast significant revenue acceleration, with +17.00% growth expected for the current quarter and +16.00% for the next.
Source: Analyst EstimatesNeutral
Analyst Ratings Hold Steady
Despite technical headwinds, the majority of analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating, with a median price target suggesting potential upside.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for American International Group Inc (AIG) anticipates a potential move towards the median analyst target price of $88.00 over the next 6-12 months, representing an 18.6% upside. This is supported by projected revenue growth accelerating to over 16% in the upcoming quarters and a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, the outlook is tempered by bearish technical indicators, including trading below key moving averages and a low RSI, alongside moderate insider selling. A significant downside risk could materialize if the bearish technical trend persists or if insider selling accelerates, potentially pushing the stock towards its lower long-range projection of $38.34.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 38.78B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.53 |
| EPS (TTM) | 5.48 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.56% |
| 52 Week High | 87.29 |
| 52 Week Low | 71.25 |
American International Group Inc (AIG) trades at a P/E ratio of 13.53, which is below the sector median of 16.5. Its price-to-sales ratio of 1.45 is also below the sector median of 3.8. The company's return on equity stands at 7.22%, below the sector average of 13.8%, and its profit margin is 11.09% compared to the sector median of 13.8%. Despite a below-sector-average ROE, AIG's profit margin and operating margin of 19.41% are respectable. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 is well below the sector average of 0.22, indicating a strong balance sheet. However, the current valuation metrics do not suggest a significant undervaluation given the company's growth and profitability profile.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
American International Group Inc (AIG) recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $2.00, beating the estimate of $1.93 by 3.63%. This followed a beat in the prior quarter and a significant beat in the March 2026 quarter. However, the stock experienced a 1.49% price decrease following the most recent earnings report. Looking ahead, analysts project revenue growth of +17.00% for the current quarter and +16.00% for the next quarter. Current year EPS estimates are $8.05, with next year's estimates at $8.79, indicating a positive earnings trajectory.
Key Risks
A primary risk for American International Group Inc (AIG) is the moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with significant sales by officers totaling $30.1 million. The stock is also trading below key technical indicators, including its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, suggesting potential for further downside. Additionally, the recent earnings report, despite beating estimates, resulted in a price decline, indicating market sensitivity to the company's performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 36.44 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.55 |
| SMA 50 | 77.07 |
| SMA 200 | 77.30 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.34
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with AIG? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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AIG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$73.43
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$74.17
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$71.23
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (36.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$75.63
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$77.10
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$79.30
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for AIG is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AIG in September 2016 would be worth about $12,676 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AIG today could grow to about $15,623 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $58,803 and a bear case around $4,151. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AIG Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $88.66 for AIG by 2030 in the base case, from $74.17 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $38.34. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AIG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $51.00 | $77.55 | $118 |
| 2028 | $44.83 | $81.09 | $147 |
| 2029 | $41.03 | $84.79 | $175 |
| 2030 | $38.34 | $88.66 | $205 |
| 2031 | $36.31 | $92.71 | $237 |
| 2032 | $34.72 | $96.93 | $271 |
| 2033 | $33.44 | $101 | $307 |
| 2034 | $32.39 | $106 | $347 |
| 2035 | $31.51 | $111 | $390 |
| 2036 | $30.78 | $116 | $436 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AIG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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AIG Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$106.5K
6 Transactions
Sold
$30.1M
6 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | ZAFFINO PETER
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 333.0K | $25.3M |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ZAFFINO PETER
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 236.8K | $18.1M |
| Jun 12, 2024 | ZAFFINO PETER
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $14.9M |
| May 5, 2025 | FLATT CHRISTOPHER
Officer
|
Sell | 46.2K | $3.8M |
| May 11, 2021 | DUPERREAULT BRIAN
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 65.0K | $3.3M |
| May 16, 2025 | GLAZER ROSE MARIE E
General Counsel
|
Sell | 35.0K | $2.9M |
| May 20, 2025 | CARBONE KATHLEEN
Officer
|
Sell | 30.1K | $2.5M |
| Aug 11, 2021 | HOGAN KEVIN T
Officer
|
Sell | 41.4K | $2.2M |
| May 10, 2021 | HOGAN KEVIN T
Officer
|
Sell | 41.0K | $2.1M |
| May 5, 2025 | WADE CLAUDE E.
Officer
|
Sell | 22.5K | $1.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current consensus rating for American International Group Inc (AIG)?
The current consensus rating for American International Group Inc (AIG) is 'Hold'. This is based on an analysis of 22 Wall Street analysts, with 1 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, and 14 Hold ratings.
What is the median analyst price target for AIG stock?
The median analyst price target for AIG stock is $88.00. With the current price at $74.17, this implies an upside potential of 18.6%.
Is AIG stock showing bullish or bearish technical momentum?
AIG stock is currently showing bearish technical momentum. Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 36.44, and it is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($77.07 and $77.30), indicating downward pressure.
What do recent insider transactions suggest about AIG?
Recent insider transactions for AIG indicate a moderate sell signal. Insiders have sold a total of $30.1 million worth of stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $106.5 thousand.
How does AIG's valuation compare to its sector peers?
AIG's valuation appears attractive relative to its peers. Its P/E ratio of 13.53 and price-to-sales ratio of 1.45 are below the sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively.
What is the long-range projection for AIG stock?
The long-range projection for AIG stock in 2030 suggests a base case price of $88.66, with a downside scenario of $38.34 and an upside scenario of $205.02, based on Monte Carlo simulations.
What was the price reaction to AIG's latest earnings report?
Despite beating earnings estimates for the quarter ending June 2026, AIG's stock price decreased by 1.49% following the report, suggesting market concerns beyond the headline EPS figures.