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01

SLX ETF forecast today

Where SLX stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

SLX at a glance

VanEck Steel ETF (SLX): Hold, 54/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($105.48 and $101.67).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.55%, $160.9M in net assets, price up 28.7% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

VanEck Steel ETF (SLX) earns a CleaRank rating of Hold with a model score of 54/100.

The biggest push up comes from one-year performance, as the price gained 28.67% over the past year. The biggest drag comes from momentum, since the MACD line is negative. The trend points down: SLX is 3.73% below its 50-day average of $105.48 and 0.12% below its 200-day average of $101.67.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from SLX's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

SLX ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

2/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $101.55 is 3.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $105.48.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 0.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $101.67.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($105.48) is 3.7% above the 200-day average ($101.67), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 68% of its 52-week range, between $75.35 and $114.00.

SLX share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far SLX has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $78.92 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $101.55 Oct 27, 2026
High $113.57 Jun 2, 2026
Low $75.82 Nov 20, 2025

Today's trading

Where SLX sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.67% wide
$101.55
$100.00 $101.67
52-week range 68% of the way up
$101.55
$75.35 $114.00
Open
$100.00
Previous close
$99.52
Volume
7.53K
40% below average
03

SLX fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

2/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.55% a year, $55.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $160.9M.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Basic Materials, makes up 92.3% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 1.28%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 28.67% over the past year.

SLX Fund Facts

VanEck Steel ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to the global steel industry. The fund seeks to track the performance of a steel-related index by investing in companies involved in steel production, iron ore extraction, processing, and related industrial activities. Its portfolio typically includes a mix of major steelmakers, mining companies, and materials businesses across developed and emerging markets.

Issuer
VanEck
Category
Natural Resources
Inception
Oct 10, 2006
Expense ratio
0.55%
Net assets
$160.85M
Distribution yield
1.28%
YTD total return (fund family)
20.84%
Turnover
107.00%

Sector weights

Basic Materials 92.3%
Industrials 3.9%
Energy 3.8%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period SLX
YTD 20.84%
1 month -5.36%
3 months 3.69%
1 year 43.44%
3 years 19.21%
5 years 17.78%
10 years 16.65%

As of Oct 27, 2026, SLX has an expense ratio of 0.55%, $160.85M in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.28%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for SLX.

Net Assets
160.85M
Expense Ratio
0.55%
Yield
1.28%
Day High
$101.67
Day Low
$100.00
52 Week High
114.00
52 Week Low
75.35

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SLX's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Basic Materials leads VanEck Steel ETF (SLX), accounting for 92.3% of the fund. Industrials follows at 3.9%, then Energy at 3.8%. With nearly the entire fund in one sector, SLX tends to move in step with that sector. SLX is a Natural Resources fund run by VanEck and was launched on October 10, 2006.

Each year the fund charges an expense ratio of 0.55%, equal to $55.00 on a $10,000 holding. Total net assets come to $160.9M. Distribution yield stands at 1.28%, and the portfolio turns over at a rate of 107%.

Key risks

Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: SLX has moved 1.27% on an average session. Concentration matters here: Basic Materials makes up 92.3% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages.

04

SLX AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 43.8, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 43.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of SLX

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
54/100
Hold
What the AI sees

VanEck Steel ETF (SLX) changes hands at $101.55 and sits under both of its main moving averages. The price is 3.73% below the 50-day average of $105.48 and 0.12% below the 200-day average of $101.67. Within its 52-week range, running from $75.35 to $114.00, the price stands at 68%.

The latest pullback sits within a longer record that is stronger. Over the past month the price slipped 3.10%, and over the past three months it dropped 2.74%, yet across the past year it climbed 28.67%. In the last session the price gained 2.04% on volume that was 40.4% below its average. The 14-day RSI sits at 43.8, which is neutral territory, while the MACD line is negative.

ProTips
  1. Two levels deserve the closest attention: the 200-day SMA at $101.67, which sits just above the price, and the 52-week low at $75.35, which sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 43.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. With an expense ratio of 0.55%, SLX takes $55.00 each year from every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

SLX stays in a downtrend for as long as it trades under both its 50-day average of $105.48 and its 200-day average of $101.67. A close back above the 200-day would mark the first sign of repair. Overhead, the 200-day SMA at $101.67 is the first barrier a rally would have to clear.

For VanEck Steel ETF (SLX), the next level down is the 52-week low at $75.35.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for SLX, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
43.814-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -1.25 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-3.7%price against the 50-day average
200-day $101.67 50-day $105.48 Price $101.55
Price against the 200-day -0.1% Bearish

As of October 27, 2026, with SLX at $101.55, its 14-day RSI is 43.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $105.48 and its 200-day is $101.67.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What SLX moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.69 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.63 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.30 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.38 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, SLX's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.69 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.63 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.38 with gold (XAU).

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05

SLX trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

SLX trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$100.53
Slight discount to current
Lower entry level
Aggressive
$101.55
At current price
Entry at the current price

Risk management

Stop loss
$97.52
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (43.8) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$103.55
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$105.56
+5% (Conservative) +4.0% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$108.58
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

These levels come from SLX's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much SLX tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.27%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$101.55
$75.35 68% of the way up $114.00

Compare SLX

Put SLX side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

SLX price history and drawdowns

SLX's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.27% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 57.3%, from May 2018 to March 2020, regained by January 2021.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    67% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $42,000, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

SLX Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-57.3%
May 2018 to March 2020
Recovery
10 months
back at the old peak by January 2021
From the 10-year high
-10.6%
highest close, June 2026
1-year holds that gained
67%
of every 1-year window

As of October 27, 2026, SLX's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -57.3% (May 2018 to March 2020); it regained that peak by January 2021, 10 months after the low, and 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into SLX in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

SLX today
$42,000
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,015
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$15
1.00x the index result
Total change
+320%
4.2x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
SLX S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: SLX trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $42,000 against $42,015.

A $10,000 investment in SLX in October 2016 would be worth about $42,000 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to SLX, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb7/10 upMar3/10 upApr4/10 upMay6/10 upJun5/10 upJul9/10 upAug5/10 upSep4/10 upOct6/9 upNov6/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, November: an average of +5.97%, up in 6 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -3.54%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +2.02%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, SLX's strongest calendar month has been November (average +5.97%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -3.54%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

SLX price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SLX, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$6,237
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$13,769
median path
Upside, 2030
$30,397
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in SLX today could grow to about $13,769 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $30,397 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,237. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.28% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

SLX 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$102
Base case, 2030
$140
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$63.34 to $309
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $140 for SLX by 2030 in the base case, from $102 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $63.34. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SLX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

SLX simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $74.03 $110 $163
2028 $68.07 $119 $209
2029 $65.01 $129 $256
2030 $63.34 $140 $309

Method: a lognormal simulation of SLX's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

SLX ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

SLX Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is VanEck Steel ETF (SLX) a buy right now?
The Hold rating comes from a model score of 54/100. Most of the lift comes from one-year performance, as the price rose 28.67% over the past year. The biggest drag is momentum: the MACD line is negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has VanEck Steel ETF (SLX) performed over the past year?
SLX gained 28.67% over the past year. Looking at shorter spans, the fund dropped 2.74% over three months and dropped 3.10% during the past month. The price is currently 10.92% under its 52-week high of $114.00.
What does SLX cost to own?
Running at 0.55% a year, SLX costs $55.00 on a $10,000 holding. That charge is paid out of the fund's assets instead of being billed to the investor on its own.
What are the largest sectors in SLX?
Basic Materials is the fund's biggest sector, making up 92.3%. Industrials comes next at 3.9%, and Energy follows at 3.8%.
Does SLX pay a dividend?
Yes. SLX has a distribution yield of 1.28%. A yield is the payout divided by the price, so it changes when either one does.
What are the key price levels for SLX?
On the upside, the first levels are the 200-day SMA at $101.67 and the 20-day EMA at $102.55. On the downside, the level to watch is the 52-week low at $75.35.
How volatile is SLX?
On an average day, SLX's price shifts by 1.27%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of SLX?
Over the past 52 weeks, SLX has ranged from $75.35 up to $114.00. With the price at $101.55, it sits at 68% of that band, 34.77% above the low and 10.92% below the high.
Is SLX in an uptrend?
No. VanEck Steel ETF (SLX) trades at $101.55, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($105.48 and $101.67). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 43.8, in neutral territory.
What is SLX's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
VanEck Steel ETF (SLX)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -57.3%, from May 2018 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by January 2021, 10 months after the low. Over the same period, 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for SLX are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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