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01

The short version

Where XSD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

XSD at a glance

State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD): Sell, 25/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($465.10 and $511.36).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.35%, $3.1B in net assets, +66.1% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) offers focused exposure to the U.S. semiconductor industry, tracking the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index with an equal-weight approach.

This strategy aims to mitigate concentration risk in the largest semiconductor companies. The fund's recent performance shows a 9.16% gain in the last month, but a significant -15.08% decline over the past three months, contrasting with its strong year-to-date return of 64.84%. The ETF is heavily concentrated in the Technology sector, representing 99.36% of its assets, with a small allocation to Industrials.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from XSD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $472.09 is 7.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $511.36.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 1.5% above the 200-day simple moving average of $465.10.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($511.36) is 9.9% above the 200-day average ($465.10), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 51% of its 52-week range, between $280.83 and $658.14.

XSD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far XSD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $347.77 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $472.09 Oct 16, 2026
High $649.73 Jun 3, 2026
Low $287.85 Nov 20, 2025

Today's trading

Where XSD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.39% wide
$472.09
$470.46 $477.00
52-week range 51% of the way up
$472.09
$280.83 $658.14
Open
$474.44
Previous close
$482.47
Volume
1.37K
99% below average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

3/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.35% a year, $35.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $3.1B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 99.4% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 0.15%.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of 66.10%.

XSD Fund Facts

State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to the U.S. semiconductor industry. The fund seeks to track the performance of the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index, which is designed to represent semiconductor companies within the broader U.S. market and uses an equal-weight approach that reduces concentration in the largest holdings.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Technology
Inception
Jan 31, 2006
Expense ratio
0.35%
Net assets
$3.12B
Distribution yield
0.15%
YTD return
64.84%
Turnover
48.00%

Sector weights

Technology 99.4%
Industrials 0.6%

Trailing total returns

Period XSD
YTD 64.84%
1 month 9.16%
3 months -15.08%
1 year 66.10%
3 years 39.61%
5 years 22.11%
10 years 26.39%

As of Oct 16, 2026, XSD has an expense ratio of 0.35%, $3.12B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.15%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for XSD.

Net Assets
3.12B
Expense Ratio
0.35%
Yield
0.15%
Day High
$477.00
Day Low
$470.46
52 Week High
658.14
52 Week Low
280.83

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XSD's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) is managed by State Street Investment Management and was incepted on January 31, 2006.

It has amassed net assets of $3.12 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.35%, costing investors $35.00 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund's strategy focuses on the U.S. semiconductor industry, utilizing an equal-weight methodology to provide diversified exposure across manufacturers, designers, and equipment providers. The sector allocation is overwhelmingly concentrated in Technology (99.36%), with a minimal 0.64% in Industrials, reflecting the specialized nature of the semiconductor market.

Performance
Its performance is closely tied to the aggregate earnings trends of the semiconductor companies it holds. The semiconductor sector has historically been a high-growth area, driven by demand for advanced computing, AI, and consumer electronics. Recent sector performance, as indicated by XSD's YTD return of 64.84%, suggests strong underlying earnings growth. However, the recent three-month return of -15.08% may signal a short-term slowdown or increased volatility in earnings expectations within the sector.
Key risks
The primary risk for XSD is its high concentration within the semiconductor sector, making it vulnerable to industry-specific downturns or technological disruptions. The ETF's equal-weighting strategy, while reducing single-stock risk, still exposes investors to the overall volatility inherent in the technology and semiconductor markets. Also, macroeconomic factors such as interest rate changes and global supply chain issues can significantly impact semiconductor demand and profitability.
04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 33.7, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 33.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of XSD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
25/100
Sell
What the AI sees
At $472.09, XSD trades below its 20-day EMA at $512.98 and its 50-day SMA at $511.36, signaling short-term downward pressure. The price is above its 200-day SMA of $465.10, indicating a longer-term uptrend remains intact. The 14-day RSI is at 33.71, which is in the 'bearish momentum' territory, and the Stochastic indicator at 9.15 further supports a bearish short-term outlook. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -144.76 also suggests that the price is significantly below its typical range.
ProTips
  1. Monitor the 14-day RSI for a move back above 50 as an early sign of improving momentum.
  2. Watch for XSD to reclaim its 50-day SMA ($511.36) as a key short-term resistance level.
Market outlook
The 6-12 month outlook for XSD is cautiously bearish in the short term due to its current technical positioning, but the long-term trend remains supported by its price being above the 200-day SMA. A potential shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy or a significant technological advancement in semiconductors could alter this thesis. If XSD can reclaim its 50-day SMA and the 14-day RSI moves back above 50, the outlook could turn more positive. Conversely, a break below the 200-day SMA would signal a more significant bearish trend.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for XSD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
33.714-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -5.45 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-7.7%price against the 50-day average
200-day $465.10 50-day $511.36 Price $472.09
Price against the 200-day +1.5% Bearish

As of October 16, 2026, with XSD at $472.09, its 14-day RSI is 33.7 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $511.36 and its 200-day is $465.10.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What XSD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.77 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.85 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.30 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.19 Weak

As of October 16, 2026, XSD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.77 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.85 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.19 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

XSD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$481.53
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$472.09
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$499.40
Max loss
-3.7%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (33.7) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$457.46
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$433.38
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$409.30
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from XSD's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much XSD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
2.48%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$472.09
$280.83 51% of the way up $658.14

Compare XSD

Put XSD side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

XSD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 2.48% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 40.7%, from December 2021 to October 2022, regained by June 2024.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    84% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $99,500, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

XSD Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-40.7%
December 2021 to October 2022
Recovery
20 months
back at the old peak by June 2024
From the 10-year high
-27.3%
highest close, June 2026
1-year holds that gained
84%
of every 1-year window

As of October 16, 2026, XSD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -40.7% (December 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by June 2024, 20 months after the low, and 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into XSD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

XSD today
$99,500
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,525
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$56,975
2.3x the index result
Total change
+895%
9.9x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
XSD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: XSD beat the S&P 500 over this period: $99,500 against $42,525.

A $10,000 investment in XSD in October 2016 would be worth about $99,500 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to XSD, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb6/10 upMar3/10 upApr5/10 upMay7/10 upJun6/10 upJul7/10 upAug4/10 upSep5/10 upOct7/9 upNov9/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, May: an average of +8.04%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -2.07%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +0.35%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, XSD's strongest calendar month has been May (average +8.04%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.07%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XSD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$6,471
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$28,225
median path
Upside, 2036
$123,113
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XSD today could grow to about $28,225 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $123,113 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,471. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.15% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XSD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$472
Base case, 2030
$715
1.5x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$282 to $1,815
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $715 for XSD by 2030 in the base case, from $472 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $282. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XSD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XSD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $329 $524 $834
2028 $301 $581 $1,123
2029 $288 $644 $1,444
2030 $282 $715 $1,815
2031 $280 $793 $2,247

Method: a lognormal simulation of XSD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?
The expense ratio for XSD is 0.35%, which translates to an annual cost of $35.00 for every $10,000 invested.
What sectors does the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) hold, and how concentrated is it?
XSD is heavily concentrated in the Technology sector, holding 99.36% of its assets there, with a minor 0.64% in Industrials. This focus provides significant exposure to the semiconductor industry.
What is the distribution yield for the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD)?
The distribution yield for XSD is 0.15%.
What are the key technical indicators for XSD?
XSD's 14-day RSI is 33.7 (bearish momentum), its 50-day SMA is $511.36, and its 200-day SMA is $465.10. The price is currently below its 20-day EMA ($512.98) and 50-day SMA.
What is XSD's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -40.7%, from December 2021 to October 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by June 2024, 20 months after the low. Over the same period, 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are XSD's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, May has been XSD's strongest month on average (+8.04%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-2.07%, rising in 3 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does XSD move with the stock market?
Over the past year XSD's daily returns were strongly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.77). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.85; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.30; Gold (XAU): +0.19. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for XSD in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from XSD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $714.96, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $281.66 and $1,814.85. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
How volatile is XSD?
XSD's daily price moves average 2.48% (30-day standard deviation of daily returns). Over the past 52 weeks it traded between $280.83 and $658.14.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XSD are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 16, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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