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01

XSD ETF forecast today

Where XSD stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

XSD at a glance

State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD): Hold, 49/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages, though the 50-day is still above the 200-day ($491.54 and $474.14).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.35%, $3.1B in net assets, price up 31.8% over 1 year.

Figures as of November 10, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) Hold, with a model score of 49/100.

One-year performance lifts the score most: the price rose 31.82% over the past year. The trend holds it back most: the price is 7.09% below its 200-day average and 10.38% below its 50-day average. The 50-day average stands at $491.54 and the 200-day at $474.14.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from XSD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

XSD ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $440.53 is 10.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $491.54.
  • Price below its 200-day average ›
    The price is 7.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $474.14.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($491.54) is 3.7% above the 200-day average ($474.14), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 42% of its 52-week range, between $280.83 and $658.14.

XSD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far XSD has moved over it, to the last close.

Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jul '26Sep '26Nov '26
Start $334.19 Nov 10, 2025
Latest close $440.53 Nov 10, 2026
High $649.73 Jun 3, 2026
Low $287.85 Nov 20, 2025

Today's trading

Where XSD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 4.04% wide
$440.53
$430.95 $448.35
52-week range 42% of the way up
$440.53
$280.83 $658.14
Open
$435.78
Previous close
$444.71
Volume
127.58K
15% below average
03

XSD fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

3/5
  • Expense ratio above 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.35% a year, $35.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $3.1B.
  • One sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 99.4% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 0.15%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 31.82% over the past year.

XSD Fund Facts

State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to the U.S. semiconductor industry. The fund seeks to track the performance of the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index, which is designed to represent semiconductor companies within the broader U.S. market and uses an equal-weight approach that reduces concentration in the largest holdings.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Technology
Inception
Jan 31, 2006
Expense ratio
0.35%
Net assets
$3.12B
Distribution yield
0.15%
YTD total return to Sep 30 (fund family)
64.84%
Turnover
48.00%

Sector weights

Technology 99.4%
Industrials 0.6%

Total returns to Sep 30, 2026, as the fund family reports them

Period XSD
YTD 64.84%
1 month 9.16%
3 months -15.08%
1 year 66.10%
3 years 39.61%
5 years 22.11%
10 years 26.39%

As of Nov 11, 2026, XSD has an expense ratio of 0.35%, $3.12B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.15%.

Fund reference data as of Nov 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, to Sep 30, 2026, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for XSD.

Net Assets
3.12B
Expense Ratio
0.35%
Yield
0.15%
Day High
$448.35
Day Low
$430.95
52 Week High
658.14
52 Week Low
280.83

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XSD's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

XSD is a Technology fund from State Street Investment Management, launched on January 31, 2006. Technology is the fund's dominant sector at 99.4%, with Industrials trailing at 0.6%. Because nearly the entire portfolio sits in one sector, the fund's moves track that sector closely.

Each year the expense ratio takes 0.35% of assets, or $35.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund's net assets come to $3.1B. Its distribution yield is 0.15%, and portfolio turnover is 48%.

Key risks

The 30-day standard deviation of XSD's daily returns is 3.86%. Concentration matters here: Technology makes up 99.4% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 33.06% below its 52-week high of $658.14.

04

XSD AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 43.4, in neutral territory.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 43.4 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of XSD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
49/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Both moving averages sit above the price, the shape of a downtrend for XSD: the price of $440.53 is 10.38% below the 50-day average ($491.54) and 7.09% below the 200-day average ($474.14). The 50-day average itself is 3.67% above the 200-day average. The 52-week range runs from $280.83 to $658.14, and today's price is 42% of the way up it.

The recent pullback sits within a longer record that is still stronger. The 14-day RSI stands at 43.4, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line is negative.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two levels closest to the price: the 20-day EMA at $459.03 sits above it, and the 52-week low at $280.83 sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 43.4, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.35% a year, XSD charges $35.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The downtrend stays in place while XSD is below both its 50-day average at $491.54 and its 200-day average at $474.14; a close back above the 200-day would be the first step of a repair. The 20-day EMA at $459.03 is the first hurdle overhead.

XSD's next level below the price is the 52-week low at $280.83.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for XSD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
43.414-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -19.74 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-10.4%price against the 50-day average
200-day $474.14 50-day $491.54 Price $440.53
Price against the 200-day -7.1% Bearish

As of November 10, 2026, with XSD at $440.53, its 14-day RSI is 43.4 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $491.54 and its 200-day is $474.14.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of November 10, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What XSD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.77 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.86 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.29 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.19 Weak

As of November 10, 2026, XSD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.77 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.86 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.29 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.19 with gold (XAU).

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05

XSD risk and volatility

How much it moves day to day, and how it stacks up against similar assets.

Risk profile

How much XSD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
3.86%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$440.53
$280.83 42% of the way up $658.14

Compare XSD

Put XSD side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

XSD price history and drawdowns

XSD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Typical daily move of 2% or more ›
    A typical daily move is 3.86% (the standard deviation of the last 30 daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 41.2%, from January 2022 to October 2022, regained by June 2024.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    84% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since December 2016 ›
    $10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $88,071, against $39,967 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

XSD Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-41.2%
January 2022 to October 2022
Recovery
20 months
back at the old peak by June 2024
From the 10-year high
-32.1%
peak with dividends reinvested, June 2026
1-year holds that gained
84%
of every 1-year window

As of November 10, 2026, XSD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -41.2% (January 2022 to October 2022); it regained that peak by June 2024, 20 months after the low, and 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into XSD in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

XSD today
$88,071
from $10,000 in December 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$39,967
the same $10,000 in SPY, dividends reinvested
Ahead of the index by
$48,103
2.2x the index result
Total change
+781%
8.8x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
XSD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: XSD beat the S&P 500 over this period: $88,071 against $39,967.

A $10,000 investment in XSD in December 2016 would be worth about $88,071 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $39,967 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to XSD, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb4/10 upMar3/10 upApr5/10 upMay7/10 upJun6/10 upJul7/10 upAug7/10 upSep5/10 upOct6/10 upNov7/9 upDec6/9 up

Strongest month, November: an average of +7.38%, up in 7 of 9 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -1.52%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, November: has averaged +7.38%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Across 10 calendar years of history, XSD's strongest calendar month has been November (average +7.38%, up in 7 of 9 years) and its weakest March (average -1.52%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month across 10 calendar years of history, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

XSD price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XSD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$5,857
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$15,057
median path
Upside, 2030
$38,706
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in XSD today could grow to about $15,057 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $38,706 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,857. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.15% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XSD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$441
Base case, 2030
$663
1.5x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$258 to $1,705
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $663 for XSD by 2030 in the base case, from $441 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $258. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XSD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

XSD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $304 $488 $782
2028 $277 $541 $1,054
2029 $264 $599 $1,356
2030 $258 $663 $1,705

Method: a lognormal simulation of XSD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

XSD ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of November 10, 2026.

XSD Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) a buy right now?
XSD scores 49/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Hold band. The biggest support is one-year performance: the price rose 31.82% over the past year. Against that, the trend weighs on the score, as the price is 7.09% below its 200-day average and 10.38% below its 50-day average. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 31.82%. Over shorter periods it fell 16.90% in three months and fell 16.56% in the past month. It now trades 33.06% below its 52-week high of $658.14.
What does XSD cost to own?
Charges on XSD run at 0.35% a year, which equals $35.00 on a $10,000 holding. That fee comes out of the fund's assets instead of being billed to shareholders on its own.
What are the largest sectors in XSD?
Industrials is the second-largest sector at 0.6% of the fund, while Technology is the largest at 99.4%.
Does XSD pay a dividend?
Yes. XSD has a distribution yield of 0.15%. A yield is the payout divided by the price, so it changes when either one does.
What are the key price levels for XSD?
Overhead, the first hurdle is the 20-day EMA at $459.03, followed by the 200-day SMA at $474.14. On the downside, the 52-week low at $280.83 is the level to watch.
How volatile is XSD?
XSD's price moves 3.86% on a typical day, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of XSD?
Over the last 52 weeks, XSD has moved between $280.83 and $658.14. At $440.53, it sits at 42% of that span, which means the price is 56.87% above the low and 33.06% below the high.
Is XSD in an uptrend?
Not clearly. State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) trades at $440.53, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages, though the 50-day is still above the 200-day ($491.54 and $474.14). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 43.4, in neutral territory.
What is XSD's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -41.2%, from January 2022 to October 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by June 2024, 20 months after the low. Over the same period, 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for XSD are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. Simulated scenarios and historical performance figures shown are hypothetical and hindsight-based. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by up to a minute. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on November 11, 2026.