ETF·CBOE
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT)
- Net assets
- $11.25B
- Expense ratio
- 0.46%
- Yield
- 1.33%
- 52-week range
- $94.07 $115.58
MOAT ETF forecast today
Where MOAT stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MOAT at a glance
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT): Buy, 73/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($110.29 and $105.20).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.46%, $11.2B in net assets, price up 8.2% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) earns a Buy rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 73/100.
Trend contributes the most to that score. The price is 5.80% above its 200-day average and 0.93% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average runs 4.83% above the 200-day. Those averages stand at $110.29 and $105.20. Across the past year, the price climbed 8.24%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MOAT's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
MOAT ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $111.31 is 0.9% above the 50-day simple moving average of $110.29.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 5.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $105.20.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($110.29) is 4.8% above the 200-day average ($105.20), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 80% of its 52-week range, between $94.07 and $115.58.
MOAT share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MOAT has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MOAT sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
MOAT fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
4/5Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.46% a year, $46.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $11.2B.No sector above 35% of the fund ›
The largest sector, Technology, makes up 29.4% of the fund.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 1.33%.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 8.24% over the past year.
MOAT Fund Facts
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide exposure to a concentrated portfolio of U.S. companies that Morningstar identifies as having sustainable competitive advantages. The fund seeks to track the Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index, using a rules-based approach that emphasizes attractively priced businesses with durable “wide moat” characteristics. MOAT typically invests across a range of sectors, with holdings selected for their long-term competitive strength rather than broad market weighting.
Sector weights
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | MOAT |
|---|---|
| YTD | 2.09% |
| 1 month | -7.65% |
| 3 months | 1.65% |
| 1 year | 8.05% |
| 3 years | 13.04% |
| 5 years | 8.88% |
| 10 years | 13.44% |
As of Oct 28, 2026, MOAT has an expense ratio of 0.46%, $11.25B in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.33%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 28, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MOAT.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MOAT's holdings, performance and risks.
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) is weighted most heavily toward Technology, which makes up 29.4% of the fund. Consumer Defensive follows at 20.1%, and Consumer Cyclical is third at 14.7%. MOAT is a Large Blend fund from VanEck that launched on April 24, 2012.
Each year the expense ratio of 0.46% works out to $46.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund holds $11.2B in net assets. Its distribution yield stands at 1.33%, and portfolio turnover is 55%.
Day-to-day swings are the first thing an investor should plan around. On an average session, MOAT has moved 0.75%.
MOAT AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 56.5, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 56.5 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MOAT
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) sits in an uptrend, with the price above both of its moving averages. The price of $111.31 trades 0.93% above its 50-day average of $110.29 and 5.80% above its 200-day average of $105.20. Sitting at 80% of its 52-week range, the price is 3.69% below the 52-week high of $115.58. Meanwhile, the 50-day average is 4.83% above the 200-day average.
The price is up over each of these periods: 3.41% over the past month, 2.92% over the past three months and 8.24% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 56.5, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels. Above the price sits the 52-week high at $115.58, and below it sits the 20-day EMA at $110.35.
- The 14-day RSI reads 56.5, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. MOAT's expense ratio of 0.46% works out to $46.00 a year for every $10,000 invested.
MOAT trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($110.29 and $105.20), which is what makes the trend up; losing the 50-day would be the first warning. The nearest level under the price is the 20-day EMA at $110.35.
The next level overhead is the 52-week high at $115.58.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MOAT, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with MOAT at $111.31, its 14-day RSI is 56.5 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $110.29 and its 200-day is $105.20.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What MOAT moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, MOAT's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.79 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.64 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.10 with gold (XAU).
MOAT trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MOAT trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MOAT's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MOAT tends to move, against the market and on its own.
MOAT price history and drawdowns
MOAT's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 0.75% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 28.3%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by August 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
87% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $38,028, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MOAT Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, MOAT's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -28.3% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by August 2020, 5 months after the low, and 87% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MOAT in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MOAT trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $38,028 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in MOAT in October 2016 would be worth about $38,028 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MOAT, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +4.50%, up in 10 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -2.68%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.78%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, MOAT's strongest calendar month has been July (average +4.50%, up in 10 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.68%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
MOAT price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MOAT, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MOAT today could grow to about $13,945 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $22,557 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,621. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.33% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MOAT 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $155 for MOAT by 2030 in the base case, from $111 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $95.95. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MOAT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $95.10 | $121 | $154 | |
| 2028 | $93.55 | $131 | $185 | |
| 2029 | $94.18 | $143 | $217 | |
| 2030 | $95.95 | $155 | $251 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MOAT's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
MOAT ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.