ETF·NYSE
United States Oil Fund LP (USO)
- Net assets
- $1.69B
- Expense ratio
- 0.86%
- Yield
- None
- 52-week range
- $65.99 $171.82
USO ETF forecast today
Where USO stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
USO at a glance
United States Oil Fund LP (USO): Strong Buy, 88/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($150.09 and $123.98).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.86%, $1.7B in net assets, price up 135.4% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 30, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
USO holds a CleaRank rating of Strong Buy with a model score of 88/100.
Trend contributes the most to that score. The price is 36.17% above its 200-day average and 12.48% above its 50-day average, while the 50-day average is 21.06% above the 200-day. Cost pulls the score down the most, with an expense ratio of 0.86%. The 50-day average is $150.09 and the 200-day is $123.98, and the price has risen 135.42% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from USO's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
USO ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $168.82 is 12.5% above the 50-day simple moving average of $150.09.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 36.2% above the 200-day simple moving average of $123.98.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($150.09) is 21.1% above the 200-day average ($123.98), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 97% of its 52-week range, between $65.99 and $171.82.
USO share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far USO has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where USO sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
USO fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
2/3Expense ratio above 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.86% a year, $86.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $1.7B.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 135.42% over the past year.
USO Fund Facts
United States Oil Fund, LP is a commodities-focused exchange-traded fund designed to provide exposure to the daily price movements of West Texas Intermediate crude oil. The fund uses oil futures and related petroleum-linked contracts rather than holding physical barrels, making it a widely used vehicle for gaining access to crude oil price dynamics through a brokerage account.
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | USO |
|---|---|
| YTD | 110.48% |
| 1 month | 9.04% |
| 3 months | 37.87% |
| 1 year | 97.67% |
| 3 years | 21.67% |
| 5 years | 22.54% |
| 10 years | 5.15% |
As of Oct 30, 2026, USO has an expense ratio of 0.86%, $1.69B in net assets and no distribution yield.
Fund reference data as of Oct 30, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for USO.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of USO's holdings, performance and risks.
USO, a Commodities Focused fund run by USCF Investments, began trading on April 10, 2006.
Costs take 0.86% of assets each year, or $86.00 on a $10,000 holding.
Normal swings for USO run at about 2.11% a day.
USO AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 67.0, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 67.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of USO
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Trend remains up for USO, which trades at $168.82. The price sits 12.48% above its 50-day average of $150.09 and 36.17% above its 200-day average of $123.98. Trading at 97% of its 52-week range, the price is 1.75% below the 52-week high of $171.82. Because the 50-day average is 21.06% above the 200-day average, the shorter trend is pulling ahead of the longer one.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 67.0, in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, with the MACD line positive. The price is up over each of these periods: 15.90% over the past month, 30.70% over the past three months and 135.42% over the past year. The price rose 0.37% in the last session on volume 69.6% above its average.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high at $171.82 sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $159.90 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 67.0, in the bullish zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- Because costs compound, note that at an expense ratio of 0.86% a year, USO charges $86.00 on every $10,000 invested.
USO trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($150.09 and $123.98), which is what makes the trend up; losing the 50-day would be the first warning. The nearest level under the price is the 20-day EMA at $159.90.
The 52-week high at $171.82 is the next level overhead. The RSI sits in the bullish band, which supports the current direction and sits close to the overbought line.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for USO, from its daily closes.
As of October 30, 2026, with USO at $168.82, its 14-day RSI is 67.0 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $150.09 and its 200-day is $123.98.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What USO moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 30, 2026, USO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.05 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.06 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.09 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.01 with gold (XAU).
USO trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
USO trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from USO's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much USO tends to move, against the market and on its own.
USO price history and drawdowns
USO's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move of 2% or more ›
The price has moved 2.11% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 85.0%, from October 2018 to May 2020, regained by March 2026.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
59% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $19,966, against $42,358 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
USO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 30, 2026, USO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -85.0% (October 2018 to May 2020); it regained that peak by March 2026, 70 months after the low, and 59% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into USO in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: USO trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $19,966 against $42,358.
A $10,000 investment in USO in October 2016 would be worth about $19,966 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,358 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to USO, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +5.31%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, November: an average of -1.52%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.30%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, USO's strongest calendar month has been January (average +5.31%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest November (average -1.52%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
USO price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in USO, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in USO today could grow to about $12,942 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $36,178 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,630. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
USO 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $218 for USO by 2030 in the base case, from $169 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $78.17. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on USO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $108 | $180 | $301 | |
| 2028 | $92.85 | $192 | $397 | |
| 2029 | $84.10 | $205 | $499 | |
| 2030 | $78.17 | $218 | $611 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of USO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
USO ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.